Airline Distribution Dr Keith Mason Director Business Travel Research Centre www.businesstravelresearch.com Dept of Air Transport [email protected] Air Transport Management Seminar Universidade Lusofona Lisbon 7th - 11th January 2008 Distribution - Factors affecting distribution strategy • Airlines drive to reduce costs • Distribution has been around 20% of operating costs • Airlines wishing to have more direct contact with their clients • Technology has provided the possibility of a direct channel between the airline and its customers • Disintermediation - as airlines doubt the ability of agents to influence customers’ choice • GDSs fees • Large corporates are more professional in the way they purchase travel products Star Alliance Carriers collective spend over USD $11bn on distribution Description Total Mainline reservations, sales, advertising and promotional cost, by category 2004 est. 100% Advertising & Promotions 20% 90% 80% 70% 60% Other Reservations & Sales 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Cargo Comm. 1% 10% 0% Sources: Form 41 4Q03, Star Alliance Pax Comm. 19% Cost Q3 03 Media 8% Personnel 2% Loyalty Programs 2% Other 7% CRS / GDS Fees 18% Credit Card Fees 18% Salesforce /Reservations 5% Benefits 6% Management & staff 3% Other 8% Passenger commissions 19% Cargo commissions 1% The distribution value chain • Airlines spend $5bn per annum on GDS fees • Cost as % of ticket prices • GDS 8 - 11% • Travel Agency 1 - 2% • Mercantile fee 2 - 3% Source: UATP(Universal Air Travel Plan), Airline Business July 2005 and July 2006 Airline Distribution Channels • Direct • • • • Sales offices Call centres Website Corporate travel website • Indirect • • Traditional travel agents On-line travel agents o Travelocity, Expedia, Priceline.com, last minute.com, … o On-line travel portals - Orbitz in the US, Opodo in Europe, Zuji in Asia • Tour operators and consolidators Airline Distribution Channels Supplier call centres & ticket office Supplier web site Corporate travel management Suppliers GDSs Traditional travel agencies & their web sites Tour operators & consolidators Internet travel agencies & airline portals Customers Travel Agents’ Traditional Services • • • • • • • • • • Marketing and sales Advisory service and itinerary planning Pricing and booking Subsequent amendments (back to advisory) Ticket issues Itinerary Invoice Delivery of documents (e-ticket or not) Accounting and credit Refund/Changes (back to advisory)) 10% of total business is refunds and changes Travel Agents’ other services • • • • • Hotels booking Car hire Package holidays Foreign currency Travel Insurance Travel Agent Remuneration models - Original Model • Commission a simple % of airline fare • Override payment additional commission for achieving targeted business levels • Net fares discounted fare offered to agent which could be sold to customers at what ever level the agent can achieve Airline Distribution Costs by Sales Channel: $300 Ticket (all channels) 45.00 Agent commission 40.00 CRS booking fee 35.00 Credit card fee Ticket processing USDollars 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 Traditional Agent Internet Agent Source: JP Morgan, 1999 Airline Call Airline Internet Travel Agent Remuneration models • Commission a simple% of airline fare • Override payment additional commission for achieving targeted business levels • Net fares discounted fare offered to agent which could be sold to customers at what ever level the agent can achieve • Flat fees a pre-determined amount for booking a ticket • Service fee fee paid by customers for booking itineraries • Management fee fee paid by corporate customers for managing their travel policy, all the commission from airlines passed on to the customers • Transaction based fees similar to management fee but is based on each transaction undertaken Original model Customer pays agent Agent pays the airline (less commission) Airline pay agent override Agents returns the override to customer 1st Phase Airlines attack 2nd Phase TMCs becomes traveller’s agent BA’s Channel Shift 100% % of Bookings 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2003/2004 Ba.com 2004/2005 2005/2006 Call Centers Online agents 2006/2007 Traditional agents Channel shift Share of revenue Index = 100 11% Online agents 0% 58% 76% Travel agents Online direct Airline.com / Direct links 3% 21% 2003 Call Centre 2004 Source: Harrop, IG Management, 2006 2005 14% 17% 2006 Airline relationships with TMCs Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 Strategic distribution issues for airlines Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 Changing Role of the TMC PAST PRESENT FUTURE •Low Commissions •High on-line adoption •Transaction Fees •Procurement focus •On-line sales channel •Travel Manager •Solution provider •Procurement •Local service •Multiple GDS •Centralised multimarket servicing •Multi-market servicing •Value add proposition •Direct airlines sales •Regulatory impact changing •Commissions •Agent/Principal •Standard GDS •High regulatory impact •Regulatory impact on decline HIGH TRANSACTION VALUE – Commissions LOW LOW ADDED VALUE – income from customers HIGH Source: Harrop, IG Management, 2006 The Future is Channel Fragmentation 3rd Party Channels Company Traveller Travel Agent / Consolidator On-line portal or off-line Suppliers Channels GDS 50% Private Fares 0.5% GNE 10% Web search Consolidated MI 10% Supplier Direct Private Fares 0.5% Company Supplier Direct On-line or off-line Traveller Supplier Portal 10% Supplier Website 10% Source: Harrop, IG Management, 2006 Distribution alternatives lead to confusion • Direct Connects • • • Single inventory and single supplier No shopping alternative other than via the GDS No data integration other than via the GDS • OnlineTravel Agents and MetaSearch Engines • • Expedia, Priceline, Travelocity, and Orbitz all use a GDS for functionality, faring and pricing, and data integration SideStep, Kayak, Mobissimo use ‘screen scrape’ technology for web fare comparisons • “Global New Entrants” - G2 Switchworks and ITA Software • • • • • • Utilises Worldspan for functionality, faring and pricing, and data integration Limited airline content access and no hotel or car access Conceptual platforms that claims equal functionality w/o a GDS Developing solutions with limited testing and unknown scalability Initial launch provides only access to air and only 8 carriers vs. 400+ in GDS Claim inventory aggregation and Super PNR data integration Source: Harrop, IG Management, 2006 Distribution strategies by segment Increasing value Decreasing cost Leisure segment Youth/ student Seniors Leisure pleasure Corporate segment Business pleasure Small and Large medium corporate enterprises Traditional offline travel agent Segment of one Main focus Important focus Online travel agent Limited focus Call Centrer Airline direct .com Source: Harrop, IG Management, 2006 TMC strategic issues TMC strategic issues Ensuring access to full content Communicating value proposition to consumers Global functionality Global fulfilment IT investment Threat of merger or acquisition 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Very unlikely 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Very likely Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 GDS market structure USA / Canada Central / South America Europe / Middle East Asia / Pacific Amadeus 9% 38 % 49 % 15 % 26 % Galileo 21 % 6% 31 % 15 % 22 % Sabre 42 % 50 % 13 % 4% 24 % Worldspan 28 % 6% 8% 4% 14 % Abacus 19 % 4% Topas 4% 1% Infini 4% 1% TravelSky 36 % 8% Source: Star Alliance, 2005 NB: Travelport which own Galileo purchased Worldspan in August 2007 Global Average GDSs’ Perspectives • Types of transactions flowing through the systems are getting more and more complex • The average number of transactions per booking has increased by 60% as there are more lookers than bookers • Prepared to reduce fees in exchange for having access to airlines’ all content • Are not prepared to remunerate travel agents the same as before and expect travel agents to bear some of the costs of a GDS booking GDS strategic issues Strategic issues for GDSs Ensuring access to content Realignment and change of the business model Developing new pricing mechanisms for airlines Take advantage of opportunities provided by deregulation Provide booking tools for corporates Protect business from TMC moving towards our business area Protect our company from takeover by other GDS 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 Very unlikely Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Very likely GDS’ view of airline strategies GDS view of airlines' strategy Put further pressure on GDSs to reduce fees Pass GDS fees onto corporates Pay GDS for favourable display Continue displaying information on all GDSs By-pass GDS as much as possible Work only with preferred GDS 1.00 Very unlikely 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Very likely GDS fee structure development GDS fee structure development Variable pricing will become the norm Pricing based on airline market share in each market Channel access based pricing Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 Score 4.88 4.13 3.88 GDS New Fee Structures • In US GDSs were deregulated in 2003 • DCA3 (Direct connect access for 3yrs) agreements expired 2006 • Sabre, Travelport and Amadeus have new full content agreements with all of the US majors. • Agents can “opt in” to work with airline’s preferred GDS • Agents get access to content and avoids $3.50 per segment fees • But pay GDS $0.80 per segment (EAS - Efficient Access Solution) – For large TMCs this is taken from the incentive fee the GDS pays have traditionally paid the TMC. • Agents can “opt out” and not use airline’s preferred GDS • pay the airline a $3.50 per segment surcharge for any bookings • TMCs still need access to full content so will pass on any additional costs to travellers in service charges Strategic issues for corporates Strategic issues for corporates Complete access to inventories Ensuring accurate MIS Improve data management Better use of technology to reduce costs Policy compliance Internal communication with travellers Improve business travel management processes Develop use of self service reservation systems Globalisation of air deals Integrating direct purchases within the travel programme Global fulfilm ent 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 Very unlikely 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Very likely Source: Alamdari and Mason, 2004 Control of Spend by Travel Managers • Travel manager needs to control / manage bookings to try to optimise the spend • Travellers have more knowledge of prices as they scan the internet • Travel managers discourage travellers booking online Control of travel spend would be ceded to travellers Travel managers believe that travellers booking online hinder their role of minimising travel spend for the company • Also a waste of executive’s time Online usage by business travellers Channel used for last flight taken 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Company's Self Booking Tool Direct via an airline's website Telephone TMC Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 Via Travel manager/travel arranger Emailing a request to TMC Via Secretary/PA Via an online travel agency Direct channels dominates hotels Hotel booking channels 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Hotel's website Self Booking Tool Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 Travel Agency Admin/PA Does it for me Call direct to the Hotel's reservations department Direct dominates Car Rentals Car Rental booking channels 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Car Rental Website Self Booking Tool Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 Via Travel Management Company Call direct to car rental company Admininstrator/PA does it for me Other Direct booking may create difficulties • When a traveller books direct… • Loses TMC support on that booking • Change tickets • • • • Loses Management Information Loses leverage against suppliers May lose volume deals Travel manager can’t trace traveller if transport crashes/terrorist attack/act of god • Harder to reconcile expenses Companies using Self Booking Tools Survey of 424 large corporates Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 SBT booking penetration Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 SBT saves TMC costs Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 SBTs reduce ticket prices Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 SBT adoption by Industry Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 Three different groups of SBT users Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 Making SBT mandatory improves adoption Source: Mason, Cranfield University, 2006 Future of Airline Distribution - 1 • The drive to reduce distribution costs through increasing on-line sales, e-ticketing, self servicing, reducing travel agents commission and battle against GDSs will be an ongoing strategy. • As US and European airlines have benefited from the savings of distribution costs, carriers from other regions will speed up their move towards distribution revolution to have a similar cost base for competition • Airline alliances may push for common reservation booking platform • Internet will continue to revolutionise travel distribution Future of Airline Distribution - 2 • Travel agents will see their shares of airline ticket sales gradually deteriorating as a result of the emergence of alternative channels • Small agents could become under threat due to: less leverage to get good airline deals, the development of IT is too costly, they cannot influence corporate choice • The market will experience a growing dominance by a handful of large agents (traditional and on-line) • traditional agency skills with face-to-face contacts have to be complemented by offering specialist services and capabilities to consumers through the internet
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