4.1 Day I: Sample Spaces and Probability By the end of class you will be able to explain the vocabulary associated with probability. What do you know about probability? 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 2 What do you think you know about probability? 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 3 What do you want to know about probability? 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 4 Interesting Probabilities • The probability of landing on Boardwalk during a game of Monopoly P(B)= 2.6% • The probability of two people in this class having the same birthday P(B) = 49% • The probability of having the million dollar case in deal or no deal P(M)= 3.8% 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 5 Probability • The chance of an event occurring • Is the basis for inferential statistics • What is the probability of rolling a 3 on a set of dice? 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 6 Probability Vocabulary • Probability Experiment: a chance process that leads to a well defined result called an outcome • Outcome: the result of a single trial of a probability experiment • Sample Space: the set of all possible outcomes of a probability experiment 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 7 Flipping a Coin • List the sample space for flipping a coin one time. • List the sample space for flipping two coins at the same time. 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 8 Tree Diagrams • A diagram used to determine all possible outcomes of an experiment • Draw a tree diagram for flipping two coins 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 9 Event • An action that leads to an outcome(rolling a die) • Simple Event: an event with one outcome (rolling a 4 on a die) • Compound Event: consists of two or more outcomes of simple events (rolling a 4, then rolling a 1) • Equally Likely Events: Events that have the same probability of occurring. 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 10 Probability Facts • Notation: P(A) Probability of event A • The probability of an event occurring is always a number between 0 and 1 0 P A 1 • If event A cannot occur the probability is 0 • If event A is certain the probability is 1 • The SUM of all probabilities in the sample space is 1. 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 11 A deck of cards (no jokers) • Name a simple event • Name a compound event • How many items are in the sample space if you select one card? • Create an event that has a probability of 0 • Create an event that has a probability of 1 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 12 Summarizer: Paired Verbal Fluency with Learning Partner 7/13/2017 Free template from www.brainybetty.com 13
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