Digital Wealth Management and the Emergence of the Robo Advisors 27 JANUARY 2015 | CFA Society Houston William Trout – Senior Analyst, Wealth Management © Oliver Wyman | CHI-OCR00401 About Celent We are… …the industry’s premier provider of… …also focused on cross practice themes • Business and IT strategy research • Ongoing research & advisory services • Vertically-oriented consulting • Global, domain specific events and leadership forums …an experienced presence in financial services • Staffed by financial services industry experts with over 200 years of combined experience • 50+ full time analysts devoted to financial services Digital Innovation & Emerging Technology Legacy & Ecosystem Transformation …a division of Oliver Wyman • Global financial services consultancy • 1,400 consultants, offices in 40 countries • Domain experts throughout financial services, mirroring Celent’s coverage almost perfectly • Clients include 50 of global top 100 financial institutions …a truly global firm • Centres of excellence across Capital Markets, Finance & Risk, Wealth Management, Banking and Insurance • Reports in English, French, Japanese, Mandarin, and more © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 • Offices in North America, Europe and Asia • Coverage that spans many geographies 1 Opening Thoughts “How did you go bankrupt?” Bill asked. “Two ways,” Mike said. “Gradually, then suddenly.” ― Ernest Hemingway, The Sun Also Rises © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 2 Section 1 © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 Digital Wealth Management and the Emergence of the Robo Advisors • Wealth Management Trends • Automation of Advice • Distribution Model • Takeaways 3 Wealth Management Trends Disruption post-crisis Fragmentation of Retail Delivery NextGen Investors From wire-house to discount brokerage to independent Generation X: Time crunched, tech savvy Technology: Ascendance of self serve investing & robo The Millennials: in USA ~ 80 MM “digital natives” Shift to Passive Investing Digitization Shift to index funds from active investing Mobility/apps and automation Widespread adoption of ETFs as next phase of passive investing Social: Community, social media/trading, crowdsourcing © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 4 Wealth Management Trends A fractured marketplace National and International Banks Automated Investment Advisors (Robo-advisor) Online Brokerage Full Service Brokerage Independent Investment Advisors © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 5 Wealth Management Trends $20B of a $20T US market Automated Investment Advisors (Robo-advisors) National and Regional Banks and Brokerages Independent Brokerages Independent Advisors Source: Celent estimates © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 6 Section 2 © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 Digital Wealth Management and the Emergence of the Robo Advisors • Wealth Management Trends • Automation of Advice • Distribution Model • Takeaways 7 Automation of Advice Public awareness © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 8 Automation of Advice Robo-advisor value proposition No human advisor Simple to understand • Risk profiling, portfolio construction, tax optimization provided online • Aims to take the fear and complexity out of investing • Customized asset allocation based on questionnaire Betterment © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 • Simple 3 step process for enrollment and portfolio construction Low price • Cost for investing $100,000 – Charles Schwab: 0.00% – Betterment: 0.15% – Wealthfront: 0.25% Wealthfront 9 Automation of Advice Hybrid Delivery Third-party platform Personal Capital offers live video feeds between clients and advisors on both its mobile and tablet solutions via Facetime on Apple devices © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 Co Browsing: Personal Capital advisors use screen sharing to add visual support to their phone conversations with clients 10 Automation of Advice Shifting attitudes across Wealth Management “What is it?” (2014) “How do I use it?” (2016) “It’s a fad” Automated onboarding (and analytics) “It’s something for Millennials only” Portfolio management “Clients want a real life advisor” Reporting © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 11 Automation of Advice Market segmentation Client segment (by asset level) Ultra HNW/ Family office HNW Wealth Advisor/Planner Financial Advisor/Broker Upper affluent The average advisor is 55 years old! Online Brokerage Mass Market/lower affluent Automated advisor (Robo) 25 50 Underserved Not tech savvy 75 Age © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 12 Automation of Advice Three assertions 1 The robo-advisor story is about delivery, not product 2 “What a human can do, an algorithm can do better” 3 “Automation” and “advisor” ≠ mutually exclusive • Shift from inward looking channel views to a focus on new delivery mechanisms • Algorithms can re-balance, test ideas, monitor risk efficiently & at lower cost • From on-boarding on, automation is part of the “fabric” of the conversation © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 13 Section 3 © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 Digital Wealth Management and the Emergence of the Robo Advisors • Wealth Management Trends • Automation of Advice • Distribution Model • Takeaways 14 Distribution Model Pivot towards B2B 4 B2C (Consumer driven) 2 Betterment and Motif launch institutional offerings; Upside Advisor purchase by Envestnet; Betterment & Fidelity tie up Betterment, Wealthfront, Personal Capital, Motif Advisors start up 3 Nestwise (LPL) and BloombergBlack launch…and close 1 B2B (Advisor driven) Launch of Folio Institutional Early 2000s 2007‒2009 (Financial Crisis) 2015 Time © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 15 Distribution Model The future or a blip on the screen? October 2015 January 2016 © Oliver Wyman | CHI-OCR00401 16 Distribution Model Survey responses How has your firm reacted to the emergence of robo-advisors? 80% 71% 60% 50% 40% 29% 20% 11% 0% 0% Our firm is working Our firm is embracing Our firm views the The emergence of The emergence of with our existing the robo-advisor as a emergence of robo- robo-advisors has no robo-advisors has accelerated our firm’s clearing provider to complement to our advisors as a threat. impact on our future build robo-advisor existing service advisor technology focus on upgrading functionality. model. investments. advisors’ technology. Source: Celent Survey of 28 financial institutions, Spring 2015 © Oliver Wyman | CHI-OCR00401 17 Distribution Model Traditional providers take notice 1 Business model change 2 Advisor tools 3 Distribution partnerships (B2B) © Oliver Wyman | CHI-OCR00401 18 Distribution Model Digital tools for the advisor Security enhancements Multi-channel authentication, retinal scanning, and voice recognition technologies; Barclays already leading here Secure document drop boxes Living financial plan eMoney Advisor offers an interface where advisory clients can look at snapshots of their plans anytime, update their information, and run what-if scenarios while conversing with advisors – all aspects of “living financial planning” Co-browsing Merrill Lynch, Citi, and Northern Trust offer secure document vaults to better collaborate with clients back and forth Vendors like Livelook offer customer service solutions for screen sharing that advisors can use to add visual support to their phone conversations with clients Workshops/seminars Integration with tools like Cisco WebEx provide the potential to offer digital workshops for clients Live video chats Third-party platform Personal Capital offers live video feeds between clients and advisors on both its mobile and tablet solutions via Facetime on Apple devices Source: Industry publications © Oliver Wyman | CHI-OCR00401 19 Wealth managers must find a way to break traditional trade-offs between customization and scale © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 20 Section 4 © CELENT | LON-OCR00401-023 Digital Wealth Management and the Emergence of the Robo Advisors • Wealth Management Trends • Automation of Advice • Distribution Model • Takeaways 21 Takeaways Analysis across three domains Overview of trends (1–2 = Low, 3 = Medium, 5 = High) Financial planning technology 5 Social media 4 Platform consolidation 3 Mobile tools (tablet, smartphone) CRM technology 2 1 0 Onboarding technology Self-directed tools Hybrid delivery Artificial intelligence Automated advice (robo) Disruptive Potential Digital strategies (firm wide) Maturity of Technology Widespread Adoption Source: Celent © CELENT 22 Takeaways Stakes are rising © Oliver Wyman | CHI-OCR00401 23 Takeaways The robo story is only beginning 1 Robo-advisors will slowly move upmarket. To combat them, traditional firms will build more “robo” into the advisor tool-kit 2 Discount brokerages, caught between the robos and advisors, need to improve their offer … or lose market share 3 Despite competitive pressures , B2C (direct to consumer) robos offer potential for the greatest disruption long-term © CELENT 24 Takeaways The B2C “Super-Robo” • More asset classes, including alternatives (e.g. bitcoin, private shares) & active investing • Deeper advice (e.g. financial planning, wealth transfer) • Unified Managed Account (UMA) functionality, addressing concentrated stock positions and social preferences (e.g. tobacco or gambling stocks) © CELENT 25 Consider the shift from traditional, advisor-led models to technologybased models of investing. Entry barriers for innovative start-ups have never been lower. How will your firm respond? © CELENT 26 Thank You! William Trout Senior Analyst Wealth Management [email protected] © CELENT 27
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