RETURN ON INVESTMENT FISCAL YEAR 2013 Prepared for the New Hampshire Division of Travel and Tourism Development by Daniel S. Lee, Ph.D. The Institute for New Hampshire Studies Plymouth State University of the University System of New Hampshire March 2015 Table of Contents I. II. III. Executive Summary ROI Calculation Recent Trends in State’s Tourism Industry I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY It was estimated that: 1. Travelers spent $4.7 billion in New Hampshire during the study period between September 2012 and August 2013. 2. Of this $4.7 billion, $535 million was resulted from the DTTD promotional activities. 3. Of this $535 million, $62.4 million was accrued to the state and local governments. a. The state government received $57.5 million. b. The local governments received $4.9 million. 4. This means the state and local governments received $9.16 cents per every dollar invested. a. State’s return on investment per DTTD $ was $8.44. b. Local governments’ return on investment per DTTD $ was $0.72. 5. Therefore, the state government had a net revenue of $50.7 million, the gross revenue of $57.5 million less the DTTD budget of $6.8 million, which is an increase of 12.1% from $45.2 million during fiscal year 2012. II. ROI Calculation Table 1 shows how the state’s return on investment in tourism promotion was estimated. Estimated visitor counts, spending and tax revenues shown in this report is for the period of September 2012 to August 2013, while the Division of Travel and Tourism Development (DTTD) budget is for the fiscal year (FY) 2013 budget, July 2012 to June 2013. The time lag of two months is intended to capture the effect of the DTTD’s promotional spending in spring on visitation during the following summer. The information used in this model is based on surveys conducted of travelers in New Hampshire by an independent firm, the TNS Global Market Research, during FY 2012. In addition, conversion studies of DTTD target markets were conducted by INHS during FY 2013, and monthly travel barometers have been prepared for the past 25 years. Finally, all tourist spending information was benchmarked back to the 2007 US Census of Business. Table 1: Step by Step Explanation of Return on Investment Calculation and Data Sources Variable FY13 %,2012-13 Source Visitor Number of person trips (millions) 35.22 3.7% Multitude of data* spending Visitor spending ($ millions) $4,719 5.3% Multitude of data* Visitor Conversion rate 11.3% 8.9% Conversion study / spending Visitor Surveys that Visitor spending that resulted from $535.37 14.7% (Visitor spending) * resulted promotional activities ($ millions) (Conversion rate) from DTTD Return in Revenue to Government in total, $62.4 11.7% Total which resulted from promotion Revenue to state govt. $57.5 12.1% (state’s share) * (visitor spending that resulted from promotional activities) Revenue to local govt. $4.9 7.4% (local share) * (visitor spending that resulted from promotional activities) Return per DTTD budget $6.81 11.9% DTTD DTTD $ Revenue to Government per dollar $9.16 -0.2% Revenue to state govt. $8.44 0.2% (State return) / (Budget) Revenue to local govt. $0.72 -4.1% (Local return) / (Budget) Net Return State’s net return ($ millions) $50.7 12.1% =(Gross Return) - (DTTD budget) *Multitude data sources for estimating number of visitor trips include visitor surveys and government data such as U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. **Conversion rate is the percent of visitor spending that resulted from promotional activities (state’s share) = share of total visitor spending (paid by both those who came as a result of DTTD promotions and those who came regardless) that ended up in the state’s coffer Visitor spending For the period between September 2012 and August 2013, the state attracted 35.2 million visitors, up by 3.7 percent from a year earlier. The visitors spent $4.7 billion, up by 5.3%. Visitor spending that resulted from DTTD Comparing conversion studies and visitor surveys shows that these visitors attracted by DTTD promotional activities spent about 24.0 percent more per day than did other visitors; they both stayed longer and were more likely to stay at lodgings which pay the rooms and meals tax than typical visitors to the state. As a result, it was estimated that 11.3 percent of all visitor spending was a result of DTTD promotional activities. This 11.3 percent conversion rate means that, out of $4.7 billion total visitor spending, $535 million was estimated to have resulted from the DTTD’s promotional activities. Return to Government in total, which resulted from promotion It was estimated that, out of $535 million, o $57.5 million accrued to the state government, up by 12.1 percent from FY 2012. o $4.9 million accrued to the local governments, up by 7.4 percent from FY 2012. State government revenues from tourist spending include rooms and meals taxes, gasoline taxes, admission fees, licenses, tolls, tobacco taxes, beer taxes, lottery tickets, State Liquor Store sales, and business profits/enterprise taxes. This information is shown in Table 2. Local governments’ revenues consist of airport landing fees, parking revenues, and municipal and county park and ski area revenues. But they do not include property taxes or user fees on second home properties. Return to Governments per dollar spent, which resulted from promotion The DTTD total budget was $6.81 million for FY 2013. This means that each dollar spent by DTTD brought: o $8.44 to the state government, up by 0.2 percent from FY 2012. o $0.72 to the local governments, down by 4.1 percent from FY 2012. Thus, the sum of $9.16 was received by the state and local governments during the period between September 2012 and August 2013. Return to Governments in net As a result, the state government netted $50.7 million, after paying for the DTTD budget, which represents a 12.1% increase from $45.2 million during fiscal year 2012. Table 2: Estimated Tax Revenues to State and Local Governments Resulted from DTTD Promotion Tax Millions of dollars State Rooms and Meals Business tax State liquor store Gas tax Tolls Tobacco and beer Parks and recreation Lottery Communication tax Other Govt. Total State $20.1 $8.6 $8.3 $3.2 $2.7 $2.2 $2.0 $1.8 $0.3 $7.1 $56.3 Local Parks and Recreation $2.11 Airport $1.15 Parking $0.07 Other Govt. $1.46 Total Local $4.79 State liquor store receipts are gross sales, not net revenue to the state’s general fund. The above includes indirect and induced state and local government receipts from direct traveler spending. Local government tax and revenues do not include property taxes on second homes and commercial properties supported by traveler spending. Parks and recreation is defined as provision and support of recreational and cultural-scientific facilities and activities including golf courses, play fields, playgrounds, public beaches, swimming pools, tennis courts, parks, auditoriums, stadiums, auto camps, recreation piers, marinas, botanical gardens, galleries, museums, and zoos. Also includes building and operation of convention centers and exhibition halls. III. Recent Trends in State’s Tourism Industry The New Hampshire’s tourism industry has done very well since the Great Recession. Spending at lodgings has been on the rise since fiscal year 2010. It is important to note that spending at lodgings is not an estimate, but an official count, which is mostly paid by travelers. Rooms and meals taxes are collected by the New Hampshire Department of Revenue Administration. All traveler spending, which is estimated based on spending at lodgings and other travel barometers, also shows a similar pattern. During the period of fiscal year 2010-2012, spending at lodgings increased by 15 percent. During the same period, the rest of the economy in the state grew by only 6 percent, measured by the state’s GDP. Figure 1: Spending at Lodgings since Fiscal Year 2007 Spending at Lodgings in millions of dollars $650 $600 $562 $550 $542 $524 $508 $490 $500 $473 $450 $400 Spending at lodgings includes sales at restaurants that are part of a hotel or resort. Figure 2: All Traveler Spending since Fiscal Year 2007 All Traveler Spending in millions of dollars $4,800 $4,600 $4,649 $4,503 $4,435 $4,400 $4,200 $4,000 $3,800 $3,600 $3,400 $3,200 $3,000 $4,219 $4,114 $3,952
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