From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin: ... Prologue: “ … Has the world grown smaller? Certainly, returned Ralph. I agree with Mr. Fogg. The world has grown smaller, since a man can now go round it ten times more quickly than a hundred years ago. … You have a strange way, Ralph, of proving that the world has grown smaller. So, because you can go round it in three months. In eighty days, interrupted Phileas Fogg. … It's absurd! cried Stuart, who was beginning to be annoyed at the persistency of his friend.” Jules Verne, Around the World in Eighty Days, 1873 © Kari Liuhto 27.10.2011, Moscow Russia’s modernisation path(s) Russia in the 19701990s: Russia’s industrial competitiveness deteriorates Russia in this millenium: How to turn Russia more innovative ? Russia tomorrow: two major paths in modernisation State-led, militaryoriented reform vs ? Private firm dominated, civil societyoriented reform Modernisation is not self-evident path for Russia, though it would be highly needed Source: Liuhto 2009 Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (1) Figure 1 Expenditure on R&D Gross expenditure on R&D as share of GDP in 2007 and relative change in 1997-2007, percentage points (circle size corresponds to total GERD, USD mln.) High 5% Country’s share (%) of world’s GERD in 2007 USA Japan Germany France China South Korea Russia India Finland Israel Turkey South Africa Israel 4% Gross expenditure on R&D as share of GDP in 2007, % Japan Finland South Korea USA 3% 34,13% 14,04% 7,88% 5,06% 4,43% 3,13% 1,35% 0,88% 0,79% 0,72% 0,43% 0,25% Germany 0% France 2% Czech Rep. Russia 1% Ukraine Hungary Belarus Estonia South Africa Poland Chile Turkey Kazakhstan 0% -0,5% 20% 30% 40% Change of the country’s share in world’s GERD between 1997 and 2007 China India Low 10% Canada 0,0% 0,5% 1,0% 1,5% Change of the share of GERD in GDP between 1997 and 2007, percentage points Low Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics, World Bank Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 2,0% High China Turkey South Africa Israel South Korea Finland Japan India Germany Russia USA France 103% 79% 40% 38% 23% 13% 5% 1% 0% -5% -9% -16% -40% 0% 40% 80% 120% Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (2) Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (3) Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (4) Companies in Fortune Global 500 2005 2009 Companies in top 1,000 R&D investors 2005 2009 Brazil 3 6 3 3 Russia 3 8 2 1 India 5 7 1 12 China 16 37 3 5 Europe * 175 180 294 333 USA 176 140 423 378 * Europe excluding Russia Sources: DIUS (2009); Fortune (2009) Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (5) Figure 4 Sample characteristics (innovation), % Presence of R&D department Main sources of innovation 47 %* Company's own R&D department The company doesn’t have R&D department, 49% Foreign companies - suppliers of equipment or parts The company has an R&D department, 51% 38 % Russian companies - suppliers of equipment or parts 28 % Company's own departments, except R&D 25 % Russian engineering, design and other specialized companies Presence of innovation strategy The company doesn't have innovation strategy, В компании нет исследовательского 24% подразделения, 49% Innovation strategy exists only in top managers' minds, 51% Documented as a separate strategy, 5% Documented as a part of overall strategy, 20% В компании существует исследовательское подразделение, 51% 16 % Russian institution of science and technology or universi ty Foreign engineering, design and other specialized companies Acquisition of patents, licenses and know-how from Russian companies Acquisition of patents, licenses and know-how from foreign companies (with or without Russian presence) Foreign institution of science and technology or universi ty 15 % 8% 6% 5% 3% 0 % 10 % 20 % 30 % 40 % 50 % 60 % * The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010 Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (6) Figure 6 Obstacles to innovation Main obstacles to innovation activities for mid-sized and large companies in Russia Lack of funds available within the company Rankings of obstacles to innovation for EU- companies Non-innovative companies* Innovative companies* 62% * Too large cost of innovation activity 33% 1 Lack of funds available within the company 1 No demand for new products and services Difficult to get external financing 33% 2 Difficult to get external financing 2 Lack of funds available within the company 3 Uncertainty of demand for a new product or service 3 Difficult to get external financing 4 Difficult to find suppliers 4 Difficult to find suppliers 5 Too large cost of innovation activity 5 Uncertainty of demand for a new product or service 6 Lack of qualified human resources 6 Too large cost of innovation activity Uncertainty of demand for a new product or service 23% 19% Lack of qualified human resources 12% Lack of technology information Lack of market information 8% Difficult to find suppliers 6% Restricting standards and industry regulations 6% 7 No demand for new products and services 7 Restricting standards and industry regulations No demand for new products and services 5% 8 Restricting standards and industry regulations 8 Lack of qualified human resources Ineffective innovation management 5% 9 Lack of market information 9 Lack of technology information 10 Lack of technology information 10 Lack of market information Board of Directors doesn't recognize innovation as priority 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% * The sum exceeds 100%, since up to three options were allowed * See Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006 for explanations Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010; Community Innovation Survey 2004-2006, Central Statistics Office Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (7) Figure 7 Barriers to innovation: human resources and education Availability of engineers and technicians 8% 21% 18% 23% 17% 10% 3% Low Cost to hire engineers and technicians High 2% 8% 12% 32% 20% 14% 13% Too high, inacceptable Education quality in vocational schools and technical colleges Quality of higher education in natural sciences and engineering Quality of math and science education in school 8% Acceptable 17% 26% 25% 16% Low 4% High 13% 18% 24% 18% 19% Low 6% 6% 2% 4% High 11% Low Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010 14% 24% 23% 18% 5% High Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (8) Figure 8 Intellectual property protection 31% Intellectual property protection in general 24% 14% 10% 4%3% 14% Weak Intellectual property protection: patents for invention and prototypes Intellectual property protection: registered trademarks Intellectual property protection: authors’ rights Intellectual property protection: business secrets and know-how Strong 21% 15% 18% 24% 13% 7% 3% Weak 8% Strong 10% 16% 22% 18% 18% 7% Weak 13% Strong 19% 18% 27% 12% 10% 2% Weak 12% Strong 11% Weak Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010 18% 27% 13% 13% 4% Strong Russia’s innovation / R&D activity today (9) Finland is R&D superpower in industrial cooperation with Russia Figure 10 Cooperation with foreign companies in area of technology and innovation Technological cooperation with partners abroad (during last three years) Location of main technology partners Areas of cooperation 36%** Germany Upgrading products and services 53% * 23% USA 16% China CIS countries Yes No Developing new products and services 43% 48% 49% Designing and implementing new production processes 42% 9% Italy 8% Japan 8% France 5% India 5% 5% Sweden Upgrading production processes 42% Other Europe Other non-Europe * The sum exceeds 100%, since multiple options were allowed Source: Prazdnichnykh & Liuhto, PEI 2010 Source: Bauman Innovation and OPORA – Russian Innovation Survey 2009-2010 10% Finland 14% 5% ** The sum exceeds 100%, since up to two options were allowed Finnish-Russian innovation cooperation: Some examples INTER-ENTERPRISE JOINT INNOVATION ACTIVITY * Flagship: Nokia in Skolkovo INNOVATION FINANCE * TEKES-FASIE * Rusnano-Finnish Industry Investment Ltd NETWORKING * FinNode Russia (match making) * Technopolis (technopark) * Finnish-Russian Innovation Centre (regional cooperation) PR- ACTIVITIES * EU-Russia Innovation Forum (mainly bilateral annual event - third time in June 2011) JOINT RESEARCH * Academy of Finland and the Russian Foundation for Humanities (2006-2009) * Various universities and their Russia-units EXCHANGE OF RESEARCHERS * Various universities Some policy considerations based on Finnish-Russian cooperation (1) (1) Establish a Joint EU-Russia Innovation Centre both in Russia and in the EU. (2) Support the internationalization of innovations. (3) Turn the innovations conducted in the military sector into civilian use. (4) Improve intellectual property rights (IPR) and the investment climate. (5) Institutional innovations are needed. (6) Design a service innovation policy. Some policy considerations based on Finnish-Russian cooperation (2) ( 7) Enhance management innovations. ( 8) Create innovation competition. ( 9) Establish innovation journalism to share best practices. (10) Do not concentrate on radical innovations. (11) Teach creativity and entrepreneurship in universities. (12) Avoid political stagnation. From Phileas Fogg to Yuri Gagarin – but what after Gagarin ? Epilogue: 50 years ago, the Soviet cosmonaut, Yuri Gagarin, flew around the world in less than two hours. Lesson: reaching “the impossible” is possible but it takes time and requires foreign cooperation / competition.
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