Monopoly Prices versus Ramsey-Boiteux Prices: Are they "similar", and: Does it matter? Felix Hö- er1 August 29, 2005 1 Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, Kurt-Schumacher-Str. 10, 53113 Bonn, Germany. Phone: +49(0)228-9141646. hoe- [email protected]. I would like to thank Felix Bierbrauer, Christoph Engel, Hendrik Hakenes and Thijs ten Raa for helpful discussions. The comments of two anonymous referees are gratefully acknowledged. Any remaining errors are mine. Abstract Ramsey-Boiteux prices and monopoly prices are frequently regarded as being similar. This might suggest that sometimes monopoly pricing is close to the Ramsey-Boiteux second best and welfare superior to imperfectly regulated prices. This paper tries to specify what is meant by "being similar". Both sets of prices are similar in a theoretical sense but di¤er not only with respect to price levels but can even lead to di¤erent price orders. The paper discusses the impact of competition and stresses the di¤erence between market and residual demand, which are important for the Ramsey-Boiteux and the monopoly problem, respectively. Key words: Ramsey Pricing, Regulation, Access Pricing, Termination JEL-Classi…cation: L33, L50, L94 1 Introduction Ramsey prices and monopoly prices are similar, aren’t they? It is widely acknowledged that the solution to the Ramsey-Boiteux problem of second best price setting in an environment with increasing returns to scale and the price setting of a monopolist are somewhat similar. Both can be expressed by an ”inverse elasticity rule”. Goods with low elasticities receive a higher mark-up on their marginal cost than goods with high elasticities. A private …rm tries to maximize pro…ts, thus taking money from those who are least likely to abstain from buying the …rm’s products. A welfare maximizing social planner tries to minimize distortion caused by the departure from marginal cost pricing. She therefore uses high mark-ups only if this will cause little quantity reaction. It is because of the similarity of this reasoning that Ramsey-Boiteux pricing is often called ”business oriented” (La¤ont and Tirole, 2000, 63). This similarity is sometimes used to suggest that withholding from monopoly regulation might be welfare superior to imperfect regulatory interference. A monopolist might set prices a bit higher, but at least this will re‡ect the ”right” structure. Market participants and even academics involved in the political discussion often informally refer to Ramsey arguments. In the UK, mobile operators have strongly relied on Ramsey arguments when trying to justify high prices for mobile call termination. The UK regulator Ofcom reports: "MNOs [mobile network operators] have made a number of comments in favour of the use of Ramsey prices". For instance, "TMobile claims that the own-price elasticities for the two types of calls [on-net and o¤-net calls] are very similar and so are relative mark-ups, as required by the Ramsey principle" (Ofcom, 2003, 297298). For Germany, also in the context of mobile regulation, it has been argued that "companies already try to come close to the Ramsey pricing structure because this is individually pro…t maximizing. Ramsey prices are, however, also welfare maximizing for the whole economy."(Kruse, 2003, 11, own translation) Prieger (1996) reports that in the 90s in the US, the …xed line telecommunication incumbents GTE, Paci…c Bell (and other local exchange carriers) have argued to "lower prices for services also provided by competitors (such as intra-LATA toll calls) and to raise the price of basic phone service of which they are the sole provider. To justify the price shift, the …rms typically argue that demand for services that face competition is highly elastic... Underlying such arguments is an appeal to the traditional Ramsey rule..."(Prieger, 1996, 307) 1 In this short survey we discuss whether such arguments can be justi…ed by economic reasoning. We want to provide some orientation in which case reference to the Ramsey-Boiteux problem makes sense and in which it does not. In a nutshell, monopoly prices and Ramsey-Boiteux prices are similar in a theoretical sense. They are solutions to constrained maximization problems which di¤er only with respect to the constraints. Therefore, the "logic" of the solutions, i.e. the inverse elasticity rule, is similar. The actual solutions, however, di¤er. Not only are monopoly prices higher, they also have a di¤erent price structure, i.e. the order of prices might di¤er between the two sets of prices. Furthermore, implications for regulatory policy from the theoretical similarities are di¢ cult to draw. In practice, most regulated markets are subject to some form of competition. Competition drives a wedge between the reasoning of the Ramsey-Boiteux planner and a pro…t maximizing …rm. While the former is concerned about the market demand elasticities, the latter is only concerned about his own residual demand. For most practical regulatory questions the fact that Ramsey-Boiteux and monopoly prices both apply an inverse elasticity rule does not matter since the rule is applied to di¤erent demand functions. The text is organized as follows. Section 2 provides the theoretical framework and makes precise the similarities between the two sets of prices. Section 3 investigates the di¤erences for the case of independent demand functions. In section 4 we introduce competition as a complication which is important for policy issues. Section 5 elaborates this point buy investigating a selective entry process. Section 6 discusses mobile termination as a policy example and section 7 concludes. 2 Model The similarities become obvious when stating the original Ramsey-Boiteux problem and comparing it to the monopolist’s problem. We analyze a fairly general formulation which is similar to e.g. Braeutigam (1989), or La¤ont and Tirole (2000). There are m; i = 1; :::; m; products. The m dimensional vector q represents the quantities of these products. Consumer demand for each product is given by qi (p); where p is the m dimensional vector of prices. Demand might be interdependent, i.e. @qi =@pj need not be zero. There is a single technology to produce the output, de…ning a cost function C(q); where C(q) is subadditive for the relevant demand levels. Let CS denote the consumer surplus. Then a social planner would – due to the subadditivity of costs – choose only a single …rm to produce the output. Assume that the social planner is restricted to linear pricing. Then she solves the following optimization problem: max CS(q) + pq pi s.t. = pq C(q) = 0 C(q) 8i; (1) (2) Assume that the restriction is binding (i.e. the Lagrange multiplier is nonzero) and that the solution is determined by the …rst order conditions. Then, 2 after some rearrangement, the …rst order conditions with respect to the relative mark-up on marginal cost Mi can be stated as (La¤ont and Tirole, 2000, 64) : MiRB = X 1 "RB ii 1+ MjRB j6=i | where Mi = "ji = RB RB "RB pj ji qj ; RB pRB "RB q ii i i {z } (3) correction term pi @C @qi pi @qj pi : @pi qj This is the classical ”inverse elasticity rule” with interdependent demand. In the case of independent demand, the mark-up in excess of the marginal cost, which is necessary to cover the production cost (say, to cover …xed cost), is proportionate to the inverse of the price elasticity of demand. In case of interdependent demand, this needs to be corrected: the mark-up should be smaller (larger) for complements (substitutes). Otherwise the price for a complement would not account for the distortion imposed on the other complementary products. The correction term must be larger in absolute terms, the more important the complementary good is (the higher the revenue is) and the higher the distortion (i.e. the mark-up) of this product is. A monopolist, with the same production technology available as the social planner, and facing competition in none of the markets, solves the following problem: max pq C(q) 8i: (4) pi The …rst order conditions can be expressed as: MiM = 1 "M ii X j6=i | MjM M M "M ji qj pj : M "ii qiM pM i {z } (5) correction term The monopolist also uses an ”inverse elasticity rule”. Where demand is less elastic, the monopolist will be able to extract more rent, as consumers will be less prone to abstain from purchasing the good. When demand is interdependent, the monopolist will account for that similarly to the way a social planner will. He will add a (positive) correction in case of substitutes in order to account for the ”externality” among goods. Compare the case where the monopolist either produces only one good i with the case where he also produces the substitute j. In the …rst case, he will set a relatively low price, otherwise revenues and pro…ts would decrease, since consumers would switch to the substitute if prices were too high. If he, however, produces both products, he will account for that 3 e¤ect: he will set a higher price since he will also receive the payments from the consumers switching to the substitute. That a similar logic along the lines of an inverse elasticity rule applies is theoretically unsurprising. From a theoretical point of view there is no doubt that the prices are similar since they are solutions to the same optimization problem under comparative statics with respect to the social planner’s constraint (2). One can transform the Ramsey-Boiteux problem into the monopolist’s problem just by setting the pro…t in (2) equal the monopolist’s pro…t. Furthermore, one could also get the marginal cost pricing outcome if in (2) is set equal to the loss of the …rm if it would use marginal cost pricing (which is the same as ignoring the constraint (2)). Viewed from this point it will also be not surprising that comparative statics within a given optimization problem will yield di¤erences in the solutions. 3 Di¤erences with independent demand Trivially, by construction Ramsey-Boiteux prices yield a higher welfare level than monopoly prices. However, given the same "logic" of an inverse elasticity rule, one is tempted to consent to the following statement: "Put more crudely, the Ramsey-Boiteux prices are the same as those of an unregulated monopolist, just a notch down." (La¤ont and Tirole, 2000, 63) There are indeed situations where this statement is perfectly correct, namely if one assumes constant elasticities of demand and zero cross-elasticities.1 In this case the vector of monopoly mark-ups M M is just a scalar multiple of the Ramsey-Boiteux vector of mark-ups M RB : "ii constant and "ij = 0 ) M M = 1+ M RB ; > 0: If the assumption of constant elasticity of demand is not met, the statement might actually be "too crude". Then the order of the mark-ups need not be the same order under monopoly prices compared to Ramsey-Boiteux prices. MiM > MjM ; MiRB > MjRB : Therefore, it might well happen that product i is less expensive than product j under Ramsey-Boiteux pricing, while under monopoly pricing product i will be more expensive then product j: To see how this can happen consider the 1 ten Raa (2005) constructs an example where the …rst condition holds (constant demand elasticities) while the second (independent demand) is violated and where this leads to a reversal of the price structure. Thus, independence of demand is also essential for RamseyBoiteux and monopoly prices to have the same structure. 4 following kinked linear demand example, depicted in Figure 1.2 There are two markets with independent demands. Market 2 has a linear demand function. Market 1 has a piecewise linear demand function, e.g. because it is the sum of linear demands of two di¤erent consumer groups. Note that the lower part of the (inverse) demand functions are parallel. Assume marginal costs equal zero. Monopoly prices (which equal the mark-ups) can be derived geometrically M M M as pM 1 and p2 ; p1 > p2 : Assume that the social planner has to set prices such that some small amount of …xed cost F is covered. Consider …rst the case where both prices would be the same, pRB = pRB = pRB : This would imply 1 2 j"1 j > j"2 j ; which, together with p1 = p2 ; cannot be optimal. Thus, the planner has to raise p2 relative to p1 , which also increases "2 (p2 ); 3 until eventually "2 (p2 )p2 = "1 (p1 )p1 = ( =1 + ); the optimality condition from (3). Thus, the M M social planner would choose pRB > pRB 2 1 , while p2 < p1 : p P1 P 2 p 1M p 2M RB RB ε^1 (p ) > ε^2 (p ) pRB q Figure 1: Linear Demand Example Thus it might be misleading to think that Ramsey-Boiteux prices are equal to monopoly prices minus, say, 20%. They are "a notch down" but the notch might be di¤erent for each price such that the price order might be reversed. Therefore, monopoly prices are not only higher but can also have a di¤erent order of prices. This has important policy implications for regulators. Regulators lack the information necessary to identify the Ramsey-Boiteux prices. The regulated …rm has superior information on costs and on demand elasticities. On the cost side, …rms typical have an incentive to shift cost from the non-regulated sector 2 ten Raa (2005) shows that the break down of the similarity of Ramsey-Boiteux and monopoly pricing does not hinge upon the lack of smoothness. He shows that the same occurs with two di¤erentiable demand functions, where one exhibits constant demand elasticity while the other is a linear demand function. 3 Note that the elasticity is given by the (negative) ratio of the distances from the point on the demand curve to the intersection of the demand function with the x-axis and the y-axis, respectively: The absolute value of the elasticity thus strictly increases in p along the demand function. Since the lower part of the …rst demand function is parallel to the second demand function, at pRB we have "1 > "2: 5 to the regulated sector in order to be able to get approval of higher prices in the regulated sector. Even though regulators try to get reliable information on the …rm’s cost structure4 there will always remain some degree of freedom for the …rm how to allocate cost which the …rm will use to come as close as possible to monopoly prices. Consider a situation where the …rm proposes monopoly prices to the regulator, e.g. because these were the prices in the past. The regulator lacks the information to derive the Ramsey-Boiteux prices. Vogelsang and Finsinger (1979) have shown that under certain conditions (in particular: with a myopic monopolist) a price cap regime converges to Ramsey-Boiteux prices. A price cap is applied each period to a basket containing the di¤erent services of the monopolist, where past revenues are used as weights for the di¤erent services in the basket. Hence, the regulator circumvents the informational problem. Although it is not the focus of the current paper to analyze speci…c methods of price regulation,5 two more general points are of interest in this context. First, mechanisms like the one proposed by Vogelsang and Finsinger that converge to Ramsey prices must allow the price structure to change when moving from monopoly prices to Ramsey-Boiteux prices. The kinked demand example illustrates that this can be necessary. Just reducing the monopoly prices by x % does not produce Ramsey-Boiteux prices even if x is chosen such that the Monopolist just breaks even afterwards. This is a direct implication of the fact that monopoly prices are not a scalar multiple of Ramsey-Boiteux prices. Second, prices will be equal to the Ramsey-Boiteux prices only if the monopolist’s pro…t goes down to zero. Therefore, if the regulator leaves some pro…t to the monopolist, the regulator cannot be sure that the price structure obtained is similar to the Ramsey-Boiteux price structure. 4 Competition In his seminal article Marcel Boiteux (Boiteux (1956)), who later became CEO of Electricité de France, the French state owned electricity monopolist, derived the "inverse elasticity rule" for a setting with a single monopolist serving different customer groups. At that time this description was by and large correct. In many countries, as in France, there was only a single supplier for electricity, supplying di¤erent customer groups with potentially di¤erent price elasticities. Thus his argument was highly relevant for the pricing of a monopolistic utility, e.g. setting prices for residential versus industrial customers. His considerations were also perfectly adequate for the regulation of telecommunication tari¤s pro4 Legislators provide regulators with the right to collect cost data, see e.g. for the EU the "Access Directive" 2002/19/EC (7 March 2002), art.13, which allows regulators even to prescribe accounting methods for cost allocation. The UK regulator Ofcom just recently obliged BT to provide separate accounts for network access and retail (see Ofcom (2005)). 5 There is an extensive literature comparing di¤erent regimes, in particular price cap versus average revenue regulation. Most paper argue that average revenue regulation is welfare inferior to price caps (Bradley and Price (1988), Bradley and Price (1991), Waterson (1992)) or even to no regulation at all, Cowan (1997). 6 vided by a monopolistic telecommunications operator for di¤erent products, like long distance and local calls. The same is true for public transport, again with respect to potentially di¤erent price elasticities of di¤erent destinations or customer groups. Times have, however, changed and competition has been introduced into most of these markets formerly exclusively supplied by a monopolist. Liberalization has at least two dimensions, a horizontal dimension and a vertical dimension. Horizontally, it implies that some of the …nal good markets a former monopolist supplied are opened to competition, while others are not. In Europe the EU required member states to open the non-household sector in the gas industry for competition at July 2004 while markets for household customers need not be opened to competition before July 2007.6 With respect to the vertical dimension it has often been argued that in network industries some elements in the value chain are natural monopolies ("essential facilities") while others are not. For the former regulated access prices are required to allow for competition in the latter. For instance in the telecommunications industry it is standard to regard the local access as a natural monopoly while the distribution network (the backbone) is probably not a natural monopoly. Both aspects, the horizontal as well as the vertical, raise the question whether and to what extent Ramsey-Boiteux ideas are still relevant for regulatory decisions. We want to discuss both issues in turn. 4.1 Competition in some …nal good markets With adjacent …nal product markets opened to competition it is unclear in the …rst place whether a Ramsey-Boiteux planner would actually like to have more than one …rm active across markets. In the presence of economies of scale, free market entry can be ine¢ cient (since the last entrant …nances his entry at the cost of lower pro…ts for competing …rms rather than from additional social surplus, see Mankiw and Whinston (1986)). This is of particular importance since the Ramsey-Boiteux problem assumes scale economies. When talking of the Ramsey-Boiteux problem we mean that setting price equal marginal cost results in a de…cit, or more general, that the constraint (2) in the social planner’s maximization problem is binding. Only very speci…c cost functions imply that the social planner wants to have more than a single …rm active across markets in the presence of the RamseyBoiteux problem. Three properties are required. (i) The cost functions of none of the potential suppliers is subadditive for the relevant region (i.e. the region of total market demand in equilibrium). Otherwise, due to the natural monopoly character of the industry, least cost production requires production by this …rm only. (ii) For n …rms to be socially optimal, the production vector (x1 ; :::; xn) , Pn providing total supply X = i=1 xi , must be such that the cost for each …rm is 6 Article 23, Directive 2003/55/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 26 June 2003 concerning common rules for the internal market in natural gas and repealing Directive 98/30/EC. 7 subadditive at xi : Otherwise, the social planner could just split the production of the …rm with non-subadditive cost and introduce a new …rm (provided, that there is no scarcity of resources that prevent the social planner from replicating …rms). (iii) Finally, as long as marginal costs are non-decreasing, the average cost for xi must exceed the marginal cost at xi for at least some …rms. Otherwise, the Ramsey-Boiteux problem would not occur since …rms could cover their …xed costs by setting price equal to marginal cost. Few of the standard cost functions used in economic modelling ful…l these requirements.7 Nevertheless, such cost situations might exist in reality.8 Assume a cost situation where the social planner wants to allow for competition in one of the markets formerly served by the incumbent only. The incumbent remains the monopolistic supplier in all other markets.9 Let us compare the monopoly prices with the Ramsey-Boiteux prices in this situation even though before liberalization prices in regulated markets were neither monopoly prices nor Ramsey-Boiteux prices. An imperfectly regulated …rm will nevertheless use any leeway to execute market power. Taking monopoly prices as a point of reference therefore can serve as a useful benchmark. Consider the model discussed in Section 2. Imagine now that one market j is opened to competition and a competitor enters the market. This highlights a key di¤erence between Ramsey-Boiteux and Monopoly reasoning. A private …rm always focuses on the own residual demand function. Only in the case of monopoly does this coincide with the market demand function and only this coincidence is responsible for the similarities between Ramsey-Boiteux and monopoly pricing. In market j; the ”monopolist” will optimize against his residual demand function and no longer against the market demand function (and demand in7 Examples for cost functions which do not ful…l the listed properties are: (i) Constant marginal costs: If all …rms have a cost function Ci = Fi + ci xi ; then least cost production always requires production by a single …rm. (ii) Symmetrically increasing marginal cost: Ci = F +cxi ; > 1: Least cost production then has every …rm producing at the same marginal cost where in the social optimum marginal cost equal average cost (otherwise - abstracting from integer problems - the planer could reduce the number of …rms, shift production to the remaining …rms and reduce industry cost). 8 In Baumol, Panzar, and Willig (1988), 337-338, another issue is highlighted which makes a situation less likely in which it is socially desirable to have more than a single …rm while prices equal to marginal cost lead to losses. They show that for any given number of …rms larger than one, industry cost are typically not minimized if one requires that each …rm individually breaks even. This is due to the fact that the social planner needs to deviate from the cost minimizing situation in which the marginal costs are equal among …rms. In the absence of subsidies, shifting quantities among …rms is the only way to provide those …rms (that would otherwise not break-even) with additional revenue and pro…ts. 9 This is certainly disputable and there might exist good reasons to assume some "hybrid" social planner who is able to perfectly control prices but not to prevent entry. A large literature has made this assumption, see Braeutigam (1989) or Braeutigam (1979). Baumol, Panzar, and Willig (1988), 334, discuss di¤erent restrictions on the budget balancing for each …rm individually or at industry level only. In the latter case the social planner can tax or subsidize di¤erent …rms, in the former he can not. None of these assumptions seem very realistic with respect to what regulators can actually do. From this point of view assuming that the social planner can restrict entry might seem even less unrealistic because this happens frequently, e.g. whenever licences are required like in telecommunications or public transport. 8 terdependencies will also be considered with respect to the residual demand in market j): The form of the residual demand function is not generally determined; instead, it hinges upon the assumptions about the strategic interaction between the suppliers and the assumptions on the demand side behavior. Well known examples for assumptions about the strategic interaction are: (i) Stackelberg leadership for the incumbent, which leads to a relatively inelastic residual demand function (Fixed quantity qj of the incumbent, the entrant optimizes against a residual demand function of the form qjE = qj qj :): (ii) Bertrand competition, which yields perfectly elastic demand function. Examples of assumptions on the demand side are di¤erent rationing rules (”e¢ cient” versus ”proportionate”rationing in case of excess demand; the former implies a parallel downward shift of the demand function; the latter reduces the inverse demand at each point by a …xed percentage, see e.g. Tirole (1988), 213.) It might nevertheless be reasonable to assume that for each quantity qj of the former monopolist, the residual demand function is more elastic than the market demand function, since customers can switch to the competitor. This view is supported by evidence from the telecommunications industry. Estimations for long distance telecommunications demand …nd a price elasticity for the residual demand function of individual long distance telecommunications operators up to 22.8 (Hartman and Naqvi (1994)), while market demand is usually found to be price inelastic (i.e. price elasticity < 1, see Taylor (2002)). By similar reasoning, the absolute value of the cross-price elasticity is likely to be smaller for any given quantity vector of the monopolist if there is competition in market j: Consider an increase in price i: If products i and j are substitutes, not all consumers’substitution away from i will arrive at the monopolist’s o¤ering in market j; since some consumers might buy good j from the entrant. Vice versa for complements. The "monopolist", faced with competition in market j, sees less need for correcting the mark-up in market i since part of the e¤ect from the correction will no longer bene…t the monopolist but will be captured by the competitor in market j. With these assumptions on the elasticities of the residual demand function, we can state that (i) the mark-up in the competitive market j will decrease, and the mark-ups in the other markets (ii) remain unchanged in the case of independent demand (iii) still have the same sign but become smaller in absolute terms in case of interdependent demand. The mark-up Mj becomes smaller due to the introduction of competition in market j: At the former (monopolistic) price level, demand will now be more elastic and the former monopolist reacts by lowering the price. Prices of substitutes tend to decrease while prices of complements tend to increase, due to our assumption that j"ij j decreases. Furthermore, since the monopolist had formerly chosen a point on the demand function where demand is elastic, i:e: ejj > 1; the monopolist’s revenue qj pj decreases with the introduction of competition. There is some evidence for the empirical validity of these theoretical claims. In the electricity market, in Europe the opening of the market took place step by step, opening …rst the market for large industrial customers, then for intermediate customers, and …nally for private households. These demands are 9 independent. Indeed, prices decreased only in the segment opened to competition, not in the other markets. See Figure 2 for a comparison of consumer prices of electricity in Germany versus industry prices before and after liberalization 1998. Although liberalization encompassed both markets, for institutional reasons competition developed only for industrial customers. These prices have decreased, while the price in the monopoly market (households) has remained almost stable. Electricity Prices Germany Index (1998 = 1) 1,1 1 0,9 0,8 0,7 Households 0,6 Industry 0,5 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Source: Eurostat Figure 2: Partial market opening I: Electricity A similar reasoning holds for the telecommunications market in Germany. While long-distance and international calls were opened to competition in 1998 on the basis of call-by-call competition, local calls were excluded until the second half of 2003. A similar situation is found: the price in the noncompetitive sector was almost stable, the price of the competitive segments – unsurprisingly – went down. Telecommunication Prices Germany Index (1998 = 1) 2 local national to US 1,5 1 0,5 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Source: Eurostat Figure 3: Partial market opening II: Telecommunications To summarize the "horizontal" case it is important to note that the (former) monopolist’s price reaction to competition can formally be described by an "in10 verse elasticity" rule. However, since the monopolist now optimizes against the elasticity of the residual demand while the Ramsey-Boiteux planner optimizes against the market demand, the results can be very di¤erent. 4.2 Access Pricing If some markets along the value chain are competitive, while …rms in the competitive segments require access to the monopolistic elements of the value chain, the problem of access pricing arises.10 A standard result is that access prices should contain some mark-up to cover the (…xed) costs of the essential facility and that these mark-ups have a "Ramsey-property", which means that they incorporate some form of an inverse elasticity rule. Since the access pricing problem can be phrased in terms of the RamseyBoiteux problem all problems discussed so far carry over to this class of problems (di¤erent price structures, incumbent orientated towards residual demand, not …nal market demand). This is of particular regulatory importance in the presence of the asymmetric information problems already discussed. Imagine an incumbent controlling essential inputs for di¤erent …nal good markets, like access lines, switches, and DSL infrastructure. As discussed in Section 3, monopoly prices converge to the Ramsey-Boiteux prices if the price cap system on the di¤erent products is adequately formulated. Following the logic of Vogelsang and Finsinger (1979), the basket of products to which the price cap is to be applied needs to contain all regulated products. Regulators, however, are reluctant to allow for price cap regulation on inputs. They are afraid of a price-cost squeeze an integrated incumbent could execute by setting low …nal market prices and too high prices on (strategically important) elements of the access services basket. The German legislator, for instance, has spelled out high hurdles for the application of price cap mechanisms on access services.11 This prevents the regulator from using a price cap regime which –as discussed in Section 3 – might converge to the Ramsey-Boiteux result. By the same arguments discussed in Section 3, just cutting the proposed (monopoly) access prices by some percentage need not result in Ramsey-Boiteux prices, even if the monopolist just breaks even with the set of regulated prices. 5 Selective Market Entry When markets are opened to competition, competitors do usually not enter all markets at the same time. Entrants typically choose to enter the most attractive markets …rst ("cream skimming"). What is most attractive clearly depends on the size of the mark-up the monopolist has established. However, since the 1 0 Seminal articles for the access pricing problem are La¤ont, Rey, and Tirole (1998a), La¤ont, Rey, and Tirole (1998b) and Armstrong, Doyle, and Vickers (1996). A very accessible overview is provided in La¤ont and Tirole (2000), Chapter 3. 1 1 Price cap procedures for access services can be considered only if abuse of monopoly power is prevented by additional ex ante measures; see the legislator’s commentary ("Gesetzesbegründung") to § 32 of the German Telecommunications Act. 11 mark-up was subject to regulation this might not be the monopolistic markup. Nevertheless, it might be plausible to assume that the actual prices re‡ect market power and the informational advantage of the monopolist and hence monopoly prices can serve again as a reasonable point of reference. If pre-liberalization prices were su¢ ciently close to monopoly prices, opening of the market leads to a systematic bias between Ramsey-Boiteux pricing and the prices resulting from pro…t maximization. Entry of competitors is biased towards markets with low price elasticity. Therefore, the residual demand an incumbent faces tends to be inversely related to the market demand. This is illustrated in the following simple example. Assume n markets with market demand Di (pi ) = pi i : Assume that markets di¤er only with respect to their constant elasticity of demand i ; i = 1; :::; n; where i > 1 and i < j for i < j:12 Markets are the same size, and marginal costs are identical for all markets, ci = c for all i. Also the market entry cost Fi are the same, Fi = F; for all i: Assume that initially all markets are served by an incumbent, who then sets his mark-up on marginal cost equal to 1= i : Now consider an entrant who can enter each market (and if he entered, is identical to the incumbent). He will enter a market as long as he makes positive pro…ts, i.e. the pro…t from competition (which we assume to be of the Cournot type) with the incumbent in market i covers the …xed cost of market entry F: Straightforward computations show that he would then enter the markets with the lowest price elasticities.13 Prices in these market then go down. If pre-entry prices were su¢ ciently close among markets (which would be the case if the elasticities are close), this change in the prices of the markets the entrant chose will su¢ ce to change the order of prices. Some empirical evidence can be found when comparing business and residential customer markets for phone calls. The demand of business customers is usually regarded as less price elastic than residential demand, e.g. because they 1 2 With constant elasticities of demand, we need to assume elastic demand, i > 1; in order to ensure existence of a price equilibrium. For inelastic demand, i < 1; increasing prices would always increase pro…ts. 1 3 The inverse demand function is: 1= pi = Q ; where Q = q1 + q2 : The Cournot pro…ts of the two symmetrical competitors in the market the entrants selects are: c) F: i = q1 (pi By symmetry, and assuming F to be small enough such that entry is pro…table, equilibrium quantity for each …rm is given by: (2c) i qi = : 2 Cournot pro…ts equal: 1 i =2 i i c1 c i F; thus, the no-loss condition is: 1 2 i i c1 i c F: The left hand side is decreasing in the market’s price elasticity i : Thus, the entrant enters all markets up to bi; the last market for which the last inequality holds. 12 are bound to o¢ ce hours and cannot postpone calls into less expensive o¤ peak hours. Taylor (2002), 103-104, cites additional reasons for a lower elasticity for business customers. While the regulatory regime is similar (in particular, there are no di¤erences with respect to the regulated interconnection charges), competition for business customers is more intense than for residential customers. This is re‡ected in the lower market share of BT, the British telecommunications incumbent, in the business segment, as can be seen from Figure 4. BT Market Shares (Volume) Business Volume Residential Volume 100,0% 80,0% 60,0% 40,0% 20,0% Ju n D 96 ez Ju 9 6 n D 97 ez Ju 9 7 n D 98 ez Ju 9 8 n D 99 ez Ju 99 n D 00 ez Ju 0 0 n D 01 ez Ju 0 1 n D 02 ez Ju 0 2 n D 03 ec Ju 03 n 04 0,0% Source: Ofcom Figure 4: Stronger market entry in business segment 6 An example: Mobile termination rates Mobile termination fees have to be paid by the telecommunications company of the call-originating party to the mobile network operator of the called party in order to deliver the call on the called party’s network. Under the "calling party pays" principle the network operator of the call-originating party (typically a domestic …xed line or mobile network operator) charges the own client for the termination. The called party pays nothing.14 As it was mentioned already in the introduction, mobile operators made frequent reference to Ramsey-Boiteux pricing in the discussion of termination rates. Mobile network operators claimed that demand for termination is relatively inelastic compared to …xed monthly subscription fees or to call prices. Therefore charging relatively high termination fees would be in line with social 1 4 Calling party pays is the standard rule in Europe. In the US, "mobile party pays" is frequently in place. While for mobile phones in- and outbound calls are of the same magnitude in Europe, in the US the ratio is about 1 (inbound) to 3 (outbound). See e.g. http://www.mobilein.com/ calling_party_pays.htm, (download 26 July 2005). International roaming is a similar topic since here often also the called party has to pay. A di¤erence, however, is that the networks of the operators typically do not overlap, therefore the issue of duplication infrastructure and desirability of more than one supplier is not relevant. A survey on termination can be found in Armstrong (2002). 13 welfare maximization, as operators have to …nance the …xed and common cost of the mobile telecommunications network (Competition Commission, 2002, para 1.7, and para 2.435). This argument is ‡awed since it does not take into account that the di¤erence in price elasticity might stem from di¤erent intensities of competition in the markets compared and does not distinguish between …nal market demand and residual demand. In the retail market, e.g. for subscribers, there typically is high competitive pressure. Thus, the residual demand function of an operator is highly price elastic. Regulators have at the same time often ruled that mobile network operators have signi…cant market power with respect to delivering the call on the own network, since there is no substitute for this service. The mobile phone of a called party can be reached only via the network of the called party’s mobile network provider. Thus, the residual demand function of an operator for termination is very inelastic. However, the reference of the mobile network operators towards the Ramsey-Boiteux logic must be with respect to the …nal market demand, not the individual …rm’s residual demand. OFTEL, the UK regulator, employed precisely this logic in its arguments (Competition Commission, 2002, para. 2.437). High termination charges (compared to e.g. monthly subscription fees) could be justi…ed only if the …nal market demand satis…ed with termination services would be less elastic than the demand for other services. This would, for instance, be implied if the demand for "on-net" calls would be more price elastic than the demand for "o¤-net" calls. On-net calls are calls where the calling party and the called party have subscribed to the same network operator. Thus, no termination fee is charged. With o¤-net calls di¤erent network operators are involved. Hence, a termination fee is charged which –assuming cost based pricing –turns into a higher …nal customer price. If the market demand for o¤-net calls (for whatever reason) would be relatively inelastic, such calls should contribute more to the coverage of the network’s …xed cost and should be more expensive, which could be induced by high termination fees. Vodafone, the largest operator in the UK, however denied that termination fees could be justi…ed by di¤erences in the price elasticities for on- and o¤-net calls (Competition Commission, 2002, para. 2.432). This discussion of termination points out another pitfall when naively referring to "Ramsey-Boiteux" arguments as a justi…cation for (relative) prices. The Ramsey-Boiteux analysis is a welfare analysis maximizing the social surplus as the sum of producer and consumer surplus. This is meaningful only when looking at …nal customer markets, where the consumer surplus is derived. Termination is an intermediate product, an essential input to produce the …nal product, namely voice calls.15 It needs careful investigation how input prices relate to …nal market prices. If there exist monopolistic mark-ups in down1 5 An alternative view would be to think of termination and origination as (perfectly) complementary products, implying that the cross-price elasticities are non-zero. This – see the discussion in Section 3 and example 2 in ten Raa (2005) – implies that monopoly prices are not always scalar multiples of Ramsey-Boiteux prices. 14 stream markets even large changes in input prices might not yield changes in …nal market prices. The case of mobile termination at least casts some doubt on the hypothesis that changes in this input price has had a major impact on the …nal market price, although at times termination accounted for almost 80% of the call revenues, see Figure 5. Pence/Min. UK: Retail revenues and termination fees 33 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 Average Revenue / Call Jun 98 Dez Jun 98 99 Dez 99 Jun Dez 00 00 Jun Dez 01 01 Termination Jun Dez 02 02 Jun 03 Figure 5: Termination rates in the UK There is a large economic literature on mobile termination. The seminal papers by La¤ont, Rey, and Tirole (1998a) and La¤ont, Rey, and Tirole (1998b) discuss –among other things –questions of (i) overlapping versus nonoverlapping networks, (ii) uniform versus two-part retail tari¤s, (iii) price discrimination between on-net and o¤-net calls, and (iv) reciprocal versus nonreciprocal termination charges. Further research by Gans and King (2001) and Behringer (2004) shows that the magnitude and even the sign of the mark-ups on termination costs crucially depend on the question of reciprocal or nonreciprocal access. The issue of whether only the calling party has to pay for the call is analyzed in Hermalin and Katz (2004). None of this literature, however, is focused on the key question of a RamseyBoiteux planner: How to set prices if marginal cost pricing would lead to a de…cit? How can of …xed (network) cost be recovered? The model of La¤ont, Rey, and Tirole (1998a) which has been used by many subsequent papers on the topic, does not even consider any …xed cost of network build-up.16 Discussing the large network build-up cost in overlapping mobile networks begs the question (raised already in Section 3) whether a social planner would want to have so many …rms active in the market. This implies that a regulator should be cautious in allowing all network operators to recoup their network build-up cost, even if this happens with Ramsey-Boiteux prices. Ramsey-Boiteux mark-ups might …nance an ine¢ cient amount of …xed cost of a duplicated infrastructure. 1 6 Their …xed costs are subscriber acquisition costs, e.g. subsidization of a mobile handset. One exemption, which makes reference to network cost is La¤ont and Tirole (2000), 196: A socially optimal termination fee would generally be below the marginal cost of termination in case of monopoly power in the retail market. This might not be the case in the presence of "common costs": The necessary mark-up might increase the termination fee above marginal cost. 15 7 Conclusion The classical Ramsey-Boiteux approach is based on a static model of a single …rm producing for di¤erent …nal consumer markets. The Ramsey-Boiteux prices are similar to the prices of a pro…t maximizing monopolist in this framework only in the sense that at the implemented allocation (which is di¤erent in both cases) mark-ups on marginal cost will be higher for goods where demand is less price elastic. The size and order of the prices can, however, di¤er. Monopoly pricing is not in any general sense "more e¢ cient" just because it is orientated on the price elasticity at the point realized on the demand function. It is therefore not surprising that reference to Ramsey-Boiteux pricing o¤ers even less insights for welfare analysis if one departs from the original assumptions of the Ramsey-Boiteux world. 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