PROBABILITY (Board Paper Questions 2008-2012) 1. A fair die is rolled. If 1 turns up, a ball is picked at random from bag A, if 2 or 3 turn up, a ball is picked from bag B, otherwise a ball is picked from C.Bag A has 3 red and 2 white balls, bag B has 3 red and 4 white and bag C has 4 red and 5 white.Tha die is rolled, a bag is picked up and a ball is drawn.If the ball is red, what is the probabilitythat bag B was picked? Ans: [ ] 2. Three ball are drawn without replacement from a bag with 5 white and 4 green balls. Find the probability distribution of number of green balls drawn. X P(X) 0 1 2 3 Ans: 3. Let X denote the number of hours you study on any day. Probability that X can take values x, has the following form where k is some constant, P(X = x) = Find: (i) value of k (ii) Probability you study-(a) At least 2 hours (b) Exactly 2 hours (c) At most 2 hours Ans:[ 0.15, 0.75, 0.3 ,0.55] 4. In answering a multiple choice test , a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let be the probability he knows the answer , be the probability he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses will be correct with probability what is the probability that the student knows the answer, given he answered it correctly. Ans:[ ] 5. A bag contains 4 balls.2 balls are drawn at random and are found to be white. What is the probability that all are white? Ans: [ ] 6. An urn contains 4 white and 3 red balls. Let X be the number of red balls in a random draw of 3 balls. Find the mean and variance of X. Ans: [ , ] 7. Bag I contains 4 white, 3 red and Bag II contains 3 white , 7 red. One ball is drawn from one of the bags and id found to be white. Find the probability that it was drawn from Bag I? Ans: [ ] 8. From a lot of 10 bulbs, which includes 3 defectives , a sample of 2 bulbs is drawn at random. Find the probability distribution of number of defective bulbs. X 0 1 2 Page 1 of 3 P(X) Ans : 9. A pair of dice is thrown 4 times. If getting a doublet is considered a success, find the probability distribution of number of successes and its mean. X P(X) Ans: 0 1 2 3 4 Mean : 10. Ina college 4% of boys and 1% of girls are taller than 1.75m. Further 60% of the students are girls. A student is selected at random from the college and is found to be taller than 1.75m. Find the probability that the selected student is a girl. Ans: [ ] 11. Two bags A and B contain 4 white and 3 black balls and 2 white and 2 black balls respectively. From Bag A , 2 balls are drawn and transferred to bag B. A ball is the drawn from bag B and is found to be a black ball. What is the probability that the transferred balls were 1 white and 1 black. Ans: [ ] 12. In an exam,10 questions of true-false type are asked. A student tosses a fair coin. If coin falls heads, he answers true and if it falls tails he answers false. Show that the probability that he answers at most 7 questions correctly is . 13. A biased dice is twice as likely to show an even number as an odd number. The die is rolled three times. If occurrence of an even number is considered a success, write the probability distribution of number of successes. Also find mean. Ans: X 0 1 2 3 P(X) Mean : 2 14. A and B throw a pair of dice turn by turn. The first to throw a 9 is awarded a prize. If A starts the game, show that the probability of A getting a prize is . 15. Probability of a man hitting a target is . How many times must he fire so that probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than 16. Probability that A hits a target is and B hits ? Ans : [ At least 4 times ] .If each shoots, what is the probability that (i) target is hit? (ii) exactly one of them hits the target? Ans: [ , ] 17. A die is thrown again and again till 3 sixes are obtained. What is the probability of getting the third six in the sixth throw of the die? Ans: [ ] 18. Bag I and Bag II have 3 red,4 black and 4 red, 5 black balls respectively. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is drawn fromm Bag II. Find the probability that the transferred ball is black? Page 2 of 3 Ans: [ ] 19. A man is known to speak truth 3 out of 4 times. He throws a die and reports a six. Find the probability that it is actually a six. Ans: [ ] 20. A card from a pack of 52 cards is lost. From the rest 2 cards are drawn at random and are found to be clubs. Find the probability of the lost card being a club? Ans: [ ] 21. Bag A has 4 white and 3 black balls , Bag B has 2 white and 2 black balls. From Bag A, 2 balls are transferred to Bag B. Find the probability of drawing (a) 2 white balls from Bag B (b) 2 black balls from Bag B (c) 1 white and 1 black ball from Bag B Ans: [ , , ] 22. A letter is known to have come either from TATANAGAR or CALCUTTA. On the envelope 2 consecutive letters TA are visible. What is the probability the letter came from (i) CALCUTTA (ii) TATANAGAR Ans: [ , ] 23. A factory has 2 machines A and B. Past record shows A produced 60% of items and B produces 40%. Further 2% of items by A and 1% by B were defective. All items are put into one stockpile and then 1 item is chosen at random.It is found to be defective. What is the probability that B produced it? Ans: [ ] 24. 3 coins, one is 2 headed coin, one is biased that comes up with tail 25% of the time and on unbiased. One coin is chosen and tossed. It shoes heads. What is the probability that it was a 2 headed coin? Ans: [ ] 25. A2 cards are drawn without replacement from a pack of 52 cards. Find the probability distribution of the number of kings. Ans: X P(X) 0 1 ************************************* Page 3 of 3 2
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