Mansfield University Projecting University Revenue Tuition University Days Oct. 20, 2014 Sources of Revenue Tuition = 45% Undergraduate/Graduate In-State/Good Neighbor/Out-of-State Fees = 12% Designated Fees: Technology Fee, Health Fee, Non-Credit Fees Non-Designated Fees: Ed Fee, Instructional Fees, Testing Fees, Late Fees, Transcript Fees, Application Fees, etc. Appropriation/Performance Funding = 39% Other = 4% Gifts, Salary/Benefit Recovery, Parking Decals, Facility Use, Transcripts, Camp/Conf., Fines, etc. Today’s Presentation How do we project tuition revenue? Variables Enrollment Grad. vs UG Residency In-State Good Neighbor Out-of-State ENROLLMENT FTE VS. HEADCOUNT FTE = Full Time Equivalent Undergraduate = 15 credits Graduate = 12 credits Headcount = # of bodies on campus regardless of total credits For budget purposes FTE is what matters! Why is it a challenge to project tuition revenue? When discussing enrollment on campus we often hear a % that FTE has increased or decreased…”enrollment down 3% from last FY” It is not that simple…a 3% decrease could mean tuition is down ($1,063,920) or tuition is down ($2,659,800). Example on next slide Tuition revenue can vary significantly depending on where FTE increases and decreases occur…let’s look at some scenarios…. Let’s look at an example using undergraduate enrollment Fall 2014 Enrollment was down (5.86%) or 156 FTE Tuition Rates Undergraduate Academic Year Tuition Rate FTE Loss of Tuition Revenue In-State $6,820 -156 Good Neighbor $11,254 -156 Out-of-State $17,050 -156 ($1,063,920) ($1,755,624) ($2,659,800) Difference between loss of In-State vs loss of Out-of-State is ($1,595,880) Let’s look at an example comparing undergraduate vs. graduate Tuition Rates Undergraduate vs. Graduate Tuition Rate FTE Loss of Tuition Revenue In-State Undergrad In-State Graduate $6,820 -156 $16,344 -156 ($1,063,920) ($2,549,664) Difference between loss of graduate vs loss of undergraduate is ($1,047,576) How Do We Project FTE #’s and why is it a challenge? Admission Numbers New student Transfers Re-admits Registrar’s Office Returning students registered Returning students not registered Eligible returning students with “restrictions” How Do We Project FTE #’s? Admission Numbers – New students (new, transfers, re-admits) Applications Admits Deposits Fall 2014 New Student Enrollment Data 7-18-14 vs. 7-19-13 UNDERGRADUATE & GRADUATE COMBINED TOTALS NEW HEADCOUNT GOAL APPS-PASSHE Undergaduate & Graduate Students Fall 2014 1170 Fall 2013 1195 # Change -25 % Change -2.09% 2472 2536 -64 -2.52% APPS ADMITS 3032 3393 -361 -10.64% 2228 2348 -120 -5.11% NEW FULL-TIME EQUIVALENCY (FTE) DEPOSITS #REG FOR FALL 881 992 -111 -11.19% 835 877 -42 -4.79% FALL CREDITS FALL FTE 11131 11930 799 -6.70% 744.32 800.42 -56.10 -7.01% Total Enrollment Projections Fall 2014 Enrollment as of 07/21/14 compared to Fall 2013 as of 07/19/13 Resident Good Neighbor Non-Resident TOTAL PA NY NJ Other OS 2078 2073 28562 28760 1904.1 1917.3 -0.7% 354 412 4976 5896 331.7 393.1 -15.6% 50 51 723 741 48.2 49.4 -2.4% 9 8 120 116 8.0 7.7 3.4% 44 36 508 389 33.9 25.9 30.6% 15 20 204 317 13.6 21.1 -35.6% 13 14 164 202 10.9 13.5 -18.8% 2563 2614 35257 36421 2350.5 2428.1 -3.2% 102 133 430 593 35.8 49.4 -27.5% 17 26 64 141 5.3 11.8 -54.6% 2 4 18 18 1.5 1.5 0.0% 0 1 0 4 0.0 0.3 -100.0% 19 39 87 173 7.3 14.4 -49.7% 0 0 0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0 2 0 9 0.0 0.8 -100.0% 140 205 599 938 49.9 78.2 -36.1% -26 -361 -27 -67 -997 -68 -3 -18 -1 0 0 0 -12 33 1 -5 -113 -8 -3 -47 -3 -116 -1503 -106 -1.2% -1.2% -1.4% -15.3% -16.5% -16.7% -5.5% -2.4% -2.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.8% -16.0% 5.9% 1.9% -25.0% -35.6% -35.6% -18.8% -22.3% -23.1% -4.11% -4.02% -4.22% Intl - China Intl - Other Undergraduate Level # Students Fall 2014 Fall 2013 # of Term Credits Fall 2014 Fall 2013 FTE Fall 2014 Fall 2013 Graduate Level # Students: Fall 2014 Fall 2013 # of Term Credits Fall 2014 Fall 2013 FTE Fall 2014 Fall 2013 Total Undergraduate & Graduate # Change: # Students # Term Credits FTE % Change: # Students # Term Credits FTE Institutional Research & Registrar Returning students registered Returning students not registered Eligible returning students with “restrictions” New students registered Comparisons – registered students at given point in time After Start of semester – reconcile class rosters Budget Office All data gathered from Admissions, IR, Registrar Compared to prior year final data Predict how much data may change between “now” and start of FY …….Pull out the crystal ball! Future Budget Presentations Revenue How do we project revenue? Funding Formula, BOG and Legislative decisions Expenses What are our primary expenses? How do we project expenses? Personnel – what do benefits cost?
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