Unit Six: Probability Game Task By: Beverly Watola Goal of the task: The goal is to design a new game that shows your understanding of probability. Students will perform trials and compare the theoretical and experimental probability of their game. Students will present their findings in a power point, Sway, Smore, video or other presentation platform. Role the student will take: You will work in groups of three and four to design a new game. You will need to test your game and create a presentation to report your findings. Audience for which the product/performance is intended: Your game is created for middle school students, and you will present your report to your math class. Product to be created: The product is a game using a spinner, dice or cards that middle school students would enjoy playing. Then, you will conduct trials of your game and present your findings in presentation using a digital tool: power point, Sway, video, Smore Infographic or other approved digital tool. Expectations – See rubric. 1. Write clear directions to your game. 2. Using probability notation you will record the theoretical probability of winning your game. 3. You will play the game for at least 20 trials and record the sample space and experimental probability using probability notation. 4. Write a summary paragraph comparing the theoretical and experimental probability and what you learned about experimental and theoretical probability. 5. Present what you have learned using one of the following tools: power point, Sway, video, Smore Info-graphic or other approved digital tool. Use student checklist to self-assess your work. 6. Provide feedback for teammates on their presentation using the student checklist. Reference: Weigel, J. (n.d.). Carnival Game. Retrieved April 18, 2017, from http://jfmueller.faculty.noctrl.edu/toolbox/examples/weigel03/carnivalgame.pdf lw Unit Six Probability Task Rubric Performance Task Student uses probability notation to record theoretical and experimental probability, MPS 4 Model with mathematics. Student records sample space and all trials in a two-way table. MGSE7.SP.6 Approximate the probability of a chance event by collecting data on the chance process that produces it and observing its long-run relative frequency. Student writes a summary paragraph contrasting experimental and theoretical probability. MGSE 7.SP.7 Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare experimental and theoretical probabilities of events. If the probabilities are not close, explain possible sources of the discrepancy. Students write clear directions for game, creates presentation of finding and effectively present findings. TAG 1. The student uses written, spoken, and technological media to convey new learning or challenge existing ideas. Total Points Grade ________ ________ / 15 Not Evident (1) Emerging (2) Proficient (3) Exemplary (4) Student use probability notation to display tine theoretical or experimental probability, with three or more errors in labels or probability ratio. Student use probability notation to display tine theoretical or experimental probability, with two errors in labels or probability ratio. Student uses probability notation to display theoretical and experimental probability with one error in labels or probability ratio. Student uses probability notation to accurately display theoretical and experimental probability and labels each correctly. Student records the sample space and all trials using a two-way table but there are more than three errors. Student records the sample space and all trials using a two-way table but it may have up to three errors. Student accurately records the sample space and all trials using a twoway table but it may not be neat. Student accurately and neatly records the sample space and all trials using a two-way table. Student writes a summary paragraph with one or less facts contrasting experimental probability and theoretical probability. Student writes a summary paragraph with two facts contrasting experimental probability and theoretical probability. Student writes a summary paragraph with three facts contrasting experimental probability and theoretical probability. Student writes a summary paragraph with five facts contrasting experimental probability and theoretical probability. None of the following are demonstrated. One of the following is demonstrated. Two of the following are demonstrated. All of the following are demonstrated. 1. Student will write clear directions to the game. 2. Students will create a clear presentation of their findings. 3. Students will effectively present their findings. 1. Student will write clear directions to the game. 2. Students will create a clear presentation of their findings. 3. Students will effectively present their findings. 1. Student will write clear directions to the game. 2. Students will create a clear presentation of their findings. 3. Students will effectively present their findings. 1. Student will write clear directions to the game. 2. Students will create a clear presentation of their findings. 3. Students will effectively present their findings.
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