Chapter 6 The k 2 Factorial Designs 1 2k Factorial Design Special case of the general factorial design; k factors, all at two levels The two levels are usually called low and high (they could be either quantitative or qualitative) Very widely used in industrial experimentation Form a basic “building block” for other very useful experimental designs Particularly useful for factor screening experiments 2 Simple Case 22 Two factors each having two levels Completely randomized experiment The effects model 3 Example Consider an investigation into the effect of the concentration of the reactant and the amount of the catalyst on the yield in a chemical process The reactant concentration is factor A having two levels of 15 and 25 percent The catalyst is factor B with two levels of 1 and 2 pounds The data obtained are as follows A: reactant concentration ; 15 and 25 percent B: catalyst ; 1 and 2 pounds y: yield 4 “-” and “+” denote the low and high levels of a factor, respectively Low and high are arbitrary terms Factors can be quantitative or qualitative, although their treatment in the final model will be different Geometrically, the four runs form the corners of a square Notations for treatment combinations a : A +, B- / b: A -, B + / ab: A +, B + / (1): A -, B 5 • • The averaged effect of a factor: the change in response produced by a change in the level of that factor averaged over the levels of the other factor (1),a, b, ab: total of the response observation at all n replicates taken at the treatment combination • Main effect of A (denoted by A): A= Average of the effect of A at the low level of B and the effect of A at the high level of B or A = Difference in the average response of the combinations at A+ and A- 6 • Main effect of B (denoted by B): • Interaction effect AB (denoted by AB): AB = average difference between the effect of A at the high level of B and the effect of A at the low level of B or AB = the average of the right-to left diagonal treatment combinations minus the average of the left –to right diagonal treatment combination 7 Analysis Procedure for a Factorial Design Estimate factor effects Formulate model a. With replication, use a full model b. With an unreplicated design, use normal probability plots Statistical testing (ANOVA) Refine the model Analyze residuals (graphical) Interpret results 8 Estimation of Factor Effects The effect estimate are: A = (90+100-60-80)/(2x3) = 8.33 = (90+60-100-80)/(2X3) = -5.00 AB = (90+80-60-100)/(2*3) = 1.67 A A The effect of A is positive, implying that increasing A from the low level to the high level will increase the yield The effect of B is negative, suggesting that increasing the amount of catalyst added to the process will decrease the yield The interaction effect appears to be small relative to the two main effects 9 ANOVA ContrastA=ab+a-b-(1): total effect of A ContrastB=ab+b-a-(1): total effect of B ContrastAB=ab+(1)-a-b: total effect of AB Orthogonal contrasts Note: Let C be a contrast E[C]=0 Var[C]=4*n*2 C2/4n2 ~ 2(1) SS= 2(1)* 2 = C2/4n 10 Standard order: it is convenient to write down the treatment combinations in the order (1), a,b, ab Main effect A, B Interaction effect AB The total of the entire experiment I 11 Regression Model For the 22 design, the regression model is where x1 is a coded variable for the factor A and x2 is a coded variable for the factor B and and Then The regression coefficients are 12 For the chemical process experiment, 13 Response Surface • The model contains only the main effects.=> The fitted response surface is plane. • The yield increases as reactant concentration increases and catalyst amount decreases. => We use a fitted surface to find a direction of potential improvement for a process 14 Residuals and Model Adequacy Residual =observed y value – Fitted value ex) x1 =-1, x2 =-1 => 27.5+(8.33/2)*(-1) +(-5.0/2)(-1) = 25.835 e1=28-25.835=2.165 , e2=25-25.835=-0.835, e3= 27-25.835=1.165 15 Problem Temperature (0 C) 500C 1000C A. B. C. D. E. Copper Content (%) 40% 80% 17 24 20 22 16 25 12 23 State the effects model. Compute the estimates of the effects in the model. Construct two factor interaction plots State and test hypotheses related with the ANOVA table Give a regression model for the data 16
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