Political Economics Riccardo Puglisi Lecture 5 Content: Welfare State: Redistributive Transfers Economic Model Winners and Losers Political Decision Welfare State: General Transfer IDEA: Agents differ in their income. The redistributive system consists of – a Proportional Income Tax (t) – a Lump-sum Transfer (T) Redistribution from the Rich to the Poor LIT: Romer (1975), Roberts (1977), Meltzer and Richard (1981), Krussel and Rios-Rull (1999) Economic Model Static economy: one period Economic Agents work and consume Agents are Heterogeneous in their working ability (e) Time constraint: 1+e = Effective disposable time l Leisure + n Work Features of Working Abilities e [el, eu] el < 0, eu > 0 e ˜ G (e) E (e) = 0 Average Ability G (eM) = 1/2 Distribution of Ability Median Ability eM < 0 Median < Average Poor Rich el eM E (e) = 0 eu e Individual Economic Decision Selfish Preferences Ue = c + V (l) V is increasing and concave Budget Constraint c = (1 - t) n (e) w + T with w = 1 Time Constraint 1+e = l + n The Welfare State General redistribution: – tax rate t – transfer T Government Budget Constraint T = t E (n(e)) Average Income How does this Redistributive Policy work? • Assume that everybody works “full time”: ne=1+e, l=0 – Tax Burden: t(1+e) – Transfer: T =t E(1+e) =t – Utility: Ue= c = (1-t)(1+e)+T = since E(e)=0 = (1-t)(1+e)+t Ue=1+e-te Winners and Losers • Type-e Agent’s utility: Ue =1+e-te Winners: Poor (e < 0) -t e > 0 Losers: Rich (e > 0) -t e < 0 transfer t (1 + e) contributions Losers t Winners t (1 + e) el eM 0 eu Economic Decisions and Distortions Economic Agents choose how much to work: ne Distortion: facing a tax they may decide to work less: lower production Economic decision: Max l c + V (l) s.t. c = (1 - t) (1 + e - l) + T F.O.C.: 1 - t = V (l) / l 1-t V (l) / l l* l Distortion: t l* n* E (n* (e)) Welfare State and distortion Government budget constraint: T = t E(n*(e)) An increase in the tax rate, t, has two effects: – increase the government revenue – reduces the tax base and thus the revenue LAFFER CURVE T 0% tL 100% t Political decision Voting behavior: every agent indicates the tax rate that maximizes her utility, given her economic decision: Max Ue (t) = (1 - t) n (e) + t E (n (e)) + V (e) How agents vote depend on three elements: • Direct cost (tax burden): • Direct benefit (transfer): - n (e) E (n (e)) • Distortion: [t E(n(e)) / t]: t E (n (e)) Political Equilibrium Individual voting: Poor (e < 0) t > 0 Rich (e > 0) t = 0 [no redistribution] Agent’s votes can be ordered according to their type: poorer individuals vote for more redistribution Preferences are single-peaked Median voter’s theorem applies The equilibrium tax rate is the one voted by the agent with Median working ability Results In the political-equilibrium there is redistribution, since em < 0 t* > 0 The amount of redistribution depends on the degree of income inequality – Income inequality is measured by the difference between Median and Average Ability More inequality leads to more redistribution – If Rich agents become Richer More redistribution – If Poor agents become Poorer Less redistribution Discussion How does this theory compare with the data ? Can theory explain the cross-country differences and the dynamics of Welfare State expenditure ? Early growth of welfare State may be also due to • extension of voting rights to poor voters • reduction in the cost of collecting taxes Recent growth and cross-country differences not well explained Extensions Dynamic model: • Voting does not occur only once • Taxation affect Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth Krusell and Rios-Rull (1999) show that “Dynamic Distortions” lead to lower Welfare State Fairness: what if some voters are altruistic ? Intergenerational transfer: Income is not the only source of difference among agents
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