Oligopoly 1 Oligopoly - Competition among the Few In an oligopoly there are very few sellers of the good. The product may be differentiated among the sellers (e.g. automobiles) or homogeneous (e.g. gasoline). Entry is often limited either by legal restrictions (e.g. banking in most of the world) or by a very large minimum efficient scale (e.g. overnight mail service) or by strategic behavior. Sill assuming complete and full information. 2 How Oligopolists Compete In an oligopoly – firms know that there are only a few large competitors; – competitors take account of the effects of their actions on the overall market. To predict the outcome of such a market, economists must model the interaction between firms and so often use game theory or game theoretic principles. 3 Three Basic Models Competition in quantities: Cournot-Nash equilibrium Competition in prices: Bertrand-Nash equilibrium Collusive oligopoly: Chamberlin notion of conscious parallelism It is very useful to know some basic game theory to understand these models as well as other oligopoly models. 4 Game Theory: Setup List of players: all the players are specified in advance. List of actions: all the actions each player can take. Rules of play: who moves and when. Information structure: who knows what and when. Payoffs: the amount each player gets for every possible combination of the the players’ actions. 5 A Classic Two Player, Two Action Game - The Prisoners’ Dilemma Roger Lie Confess Chris Lie Confess -1, -1 -6, 0 0, -6 -5,-5 Roger’s best response function: – If Chris lies, then Roger should confess (check out left column, 1st entries) – If Chris confesses, then Roger should confess (right column, 1st entries) – Confess is a dominant strategy for Roger Chris’s best response function: – If Roger lies, then Chris should confess (see top row, 2nd entries) – If Roger confesses, then Chris should confess (bottom row, 2nd entries) – Confess is a dominant strategy for Chris 6 A Classic Two Player, Two Action Game - The Prisoners’ Dilemma Roger Lie Confess Chris Lie Confess -1,-1 -6, 0 0, -6 -5,-5 There is a single dominant strategy equilibrium: – Rogers confesses and – Chris confesses – They both go to jail for 5 years Note: the game is played simultaneously and non-cooperatively! Ways to sustain the cooperative equilibrium (lie, lie) – different payoff structures – repeated play and trigger strategies 7 Question: Will There Always Be A Dominant Strategy Equilibrium? Answer…NO! Then what? Look for Nash Equilibrium. 8 Nash Equilibrium Named after John Nash - a Nobel Prize winner in Economics. The Nash Non-cooperative Equilibrium of a game is a set of actions for all players that, when played simultaneously, have the property that no player can improve his payoff by playing a different action, given the actions the others are playing. Each player maximizes his or her payoff under the assumption that all other players will do likewise. 9 Another Example - The Price Game Roger Low High Chris Low High 20, 20 60, 0 0, 60 100, 100 Roger’s best response function: – If Chris goes low, then Roger should go low (check out left column, 1st entries) – If Chris goes high, then Roger should high (right column, 1st entries) – There is no dominant strategy for Roger Chris’s best response function: – If Roger goes low, then Chris should go low (see top row, 2nd entries) – If Roger goes high, then Chris should go high (bottom row, 2nd entries) – There is no dominant strategy for Chris 10 Another Example - The Price Game Roger Low High Chris Low High 20, 20 60, 0 0, 60 100, 100 Roger’s best response function: – If Chris goes low, then Roger should go low – If Chris goes high, then Roger should high Chris’s best response function: – If Roger goes low, then Chris should go low – If Roger goes high, then Chris should go high Two Nash Equilibria: (low, low) and (high, high) Respective Nash equilibrium payoffs: (20,20) and (100,100) Which equilibrium will prevail? Good question. 11 Another Example - The Simultaneous Entry Game Roger - the entrant enter not enter Chris - the incumbent fight accommodate (Roger = 0,Chris = 0) (Roger = 2, Chris = 2) fight (Roger =1,Chris = 5) accommodate (Roger =1,Chris = 5) Get two Nash equilibria: – (enter, accommodate) and (not enter, fight) 12 Another Example - The Sequential Entry Game Roger - the entrant enter not enter Chris - the incumbent fight accommodate (Roger = 0,Chris = 0) (Roger = 2, Chris = 2) fight (Roger =1,Chris = 5) accommodate (Roger = 1,Chris = 5) Still get two Nash equilibria: – (enter, accommodate) and (not enter, fight) Only one, however, is credible: (enter, accommodate) 13 Another Two Player, Two Action Example Player 1 Up Down Player Left 1,0 0,3 2 Right 1,2 0,1 The game has two players 1 & 2. Player 1 can move “up” or “down” (actions). Player 2 can move “left” or “right” (actions). If player 1 moves “up” and player 2 moves “left” then player 1 gets $1 and player 2 gets $0 (payoffs). The table shows all possible action pairs and their associated payoffs. 14 Player 1’s Best Strategies Player 1 Up Down Player 2 Left Right 1,0 1,2 0,3 0,1 player 2 plays “right,” the best strategy (action) for player 1 is to play “up.” In this case player 1 will get a payoff of $1, underlined. If 15 Player 2’s Best Strategies Player 1 Up Down Player Left 1,0 0,3 2 Right 1,2 0,1 player 1 plays “up” then player 2’s best strategy (action) is to play “right.” In this case, player 2 gets a payoff of $2, underlined. If 16
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