Background The report summarises the results of the 9th social peace survey in Libya, as part of an initiative to empower municipal and community leaders to monitor and manage conflict tensions during the political transition. This survey took place in December 2016– March 2017 in seven areas: Wadi Al Bawanis, Aubari, Bani Waleed, Benghazi, Murzuq, Suq-al-Juma (Tripoli), and Zliten. Please note that three communities were excluded from this survey round, or replaced with other communities. In Misrata, collecting survey data was impossible due to ongoing fighting, and this community was therefore replaced by Zliten, where a group of local actors has initiated a Social Peace Partnership to monitor and manage sources of insecurity in their community. In Bayda, the Municipal Council did not have the capacity to further engage in PCi’s programming, and was removed from the survey. In addition, PCi suspended surveying in Sahel, where new Mayor – appointed by the military governor – has changed the nature of the interaction with the authorities. Methodology The survey assesses six different indicators of social peace. In this context, social peace is defined by strong horizontal relationships between different community groups, and strong vertical relationships between community groups and state bodies. The indicators are: - the sense of safety within a community, the sense of belonging felt by individuals, the opportunities for participating in democratic processes, the access to social, economic and cultural opportunities, the overall quality of the built environment, and the quality of local services. The survey assesses each indictor on a scale from 1 (bad) to 5 (good) by asking respondents to rate the present situation (e.g. ‘how safe do you feel on a scale of 1 to 5?’). In addition, each topic is explored through secondary questions, allowing respondents to share an insight into their day-today experiences. For ‘sense of belonging’ for instance, people were asked about incidents of negative or positive representation of different groups in (social) media. This is because a citizen’s sense of belonging is very much linked to how he or she is described. Summary table Monitoring topics Wadi AlBawanis Aubari Bani Waleed Benghazi Murzuq Nalout Sabratha Suq-alJuma Tiji Zliten Average How safe do you feel in your community? 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 How much do you feel you belong to this community? 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 3 5 To what level are you able and willing to participate in democratic processes? 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 4 What level of access do you have to social, economic and cultural opportunities? 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 1|Page How would you rate the quality of the built environment? 2 1 1 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 What is the level and quality of local services and facilities? 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 Average rating Overall summary - The ninth round of monitoring was carried out in seven communities, with the addition of Zliten. In total, 92 individuals participated in the survey, compared to 97 in the previous round. - In this round of surveys, the average score per community remained neutral (3). Most of the communities rated the local ‘sense of belonging’ and citizens’ ability and willingness to participate in decision-making processes with high scores (5 and 4). Most communities gave low ratings (2) to ‘access to socioeconomic opportunities’ and quality of infrastructure. These are consistent with the results from the previous round. - The great majority of the surveyed communities have a neutral overall rating. This is consistent with the previous round. - All of the communities interviewed in this round report that the situation in their community is safe (4) or at least neutral (3), which represents a downward trend compared to the previous round. Social peace continues to be most reinforced by a strong sense of belonging and social cohesion within communities. - The number of physical confrontations with heavy weapons is decreasing. Most confrontations only involve the use of light weapons or no weapons at all. However, consistent with the previous round, physical confrontations with the use of heavy weapons were reported from Benghazi. Additionally, in this round, Zliten reported incidents with the use of heavy weapons as well. - Male Arabs have the strongest ‘sense of belonging’ within their community. Other groups generally feel marginalized: women (Zliten), ethnic minorities (Tebou in Murzuq, Tuareg in Aubari) and youth (across communities). A noteworthy exception to this rule is the ethnic Amazigh community of Nalout, which is close-knit, relatively monoethnic and familyoriented. Despite being an ethnic minority, this community reports a strong sense of belonging. - Individuals continue to report loyalty to their communities, as well as a strong sense of belonging within their communities, tribes, and families. This is in spite of the prevalence of hate speech in various media sources. Facebook is the respondents’ major medium of news consumption, followed by local and national television stations. Through all these channels, hate speech and rumours are being disseminated, aimed at pitting different individuals and communities against one another. - Citizens continue to report a strong willingness and ability to participate in democratic processes, citing civic duty to contribute to the democratization of their country and to restore peace throughout communities. However, corruption and nepotism continue to plague the public sector and hurt people’s trust in it. - Unemployment remains a key problem as citizens seek access to social, cultural, and economic opportunities. Employment in the public sector is limited given the prevalence of corruption and nepotism and given limited budgets. Private sector employment is also limited. Additionally, the continued security concerns in the country have limited all types of opportunities for community members. Many young people are particularly affected, as their education was disrupted by the conflict, and many lack the professional skills that could give them access to opportunities to start their career. 2|Page - Across all communities, roads, schools, health centres, and sewage networks are of the highest concern to citizens. There is a considerable lack of funding to rebuild damaged or deteriorating infrastructure. This poor infrastructure contributes to poor development prospects for Libya, as individuals are unable to reach major roads, children and adolescents are unable to have a proper education, and health and sewage infrastructure are poor. - Local services and facilities that foster social interaction and cohesion, such as sports clubs and community centres and communication infrastructure are either non-existent (Aubari) or in very poor condition. Respondents continue to emphasise the importance of local facilities, but a lack of funding and political will continue to hamper development. Some of the communications infrastructure has been improved, but only marginally. Recommendations 1) Many respondents cited strong feelings of national pride and the importance of carrying out their civic duty in terms of participating in democratic processes. Local and municipal government entities should further channel these sentiments toward civic participation on a local level to better deal with ongoing confrontations across communities. 2) Given that national and local television are still major mediums of news consumption, authorities should limit the use of hate speech and other messages inciting conflict. The promotion of social inclusion efforts through different media channels can strengthen social cohesion throughout Libya. 3) The government needs to undertake a more concerted effort to create an enabling environment for private-sector led economic growth. Three recommendations in this regard are: 4) a. Enact and enforce strong anti-corruption and anti-nepotism legislation in order to broaden employment opportunities b. Invest in supporting young people who can be a force for change and progress in the country, but if marginalized can also be a force for further conflict and disruption; and c. Increase job training centres to equip people with the skills they would need for entrepreneurship or working in the private sector. Lastly, limited local government budgets continue to be a major concern. Funds are insufficient for basic infrastructure building and maintenance, including roads, schools, health centres, sewage networks, and communications networks. Basic infrastructure and community spaces are important for economic activity and social interactions. Better allocation systems within governing bodies can help alleviate the burden placed on local councils and community members, some of whom have taken it upon themselves to build and maintain community facilities. 3|Page HOWSAFEDOYOUFEEL? “I feel safe because of the activities of the police and army and because they cooperate with young people.”–Male, Arab, Bani Waleed “Tribal leaders are the ones who solve the problems in this area.”–Male, Arab, Aubari “There is a collective responsibility by all people to maintain safety. There are efforts by citizens to enforce security.”–Male, Arab, Zliten What do people feel? - Most communities feel slightly less safe than during the previous survey round, with the overall safety rating dropping from 4 (safe) to 3 (neutral). Respondents from Aubari, Bani Waleed and Benghazi reported feeling less safe in this round of reporting, their scores decreasing from a 4 to a 3. In these areas, people report robberies and organized crime, with most criminal activity taking place at night. In addition, Bani Waleed faces external security threats, as people are concerned that incidents from neighbouring Sirte might spill over to their community. Meanwhile in Murzuq and Sabratha the rating increased (from 2 to 3, and from 3 to 4, resp.), signifying residents feeling safer in their community. Despite this general downturn, none of the communities reported feeling unsafe, which is an improvement compared to the last round. - Fewer people report physical confrontations. This survey round, 39 respondents reported physical confrontations of some form - without weapons, with light weapons, or with heavy weapons. They represent 42% of the individuals who were interviewed. This is less in comparison to the previous round where the ratio stood at 57% and furthermore shows a continued downward trend, since the ratio from the seventh round (September 2015) was about 82%. - There were 18 reports of physical confrontations without weapons (compared to 32 in the previous round), 22 reports of confrontations with light weapons (compared to 20), and 6 reports of confrontations with heavy weapons (compared to 5). Although the total number of incidents has dropped, there are still many confrontations with the use of light weapons. Unarmed confrontations mostly involved verbal conflict between young people. - Zliten’s residents witnessed most incidents (11 reports), outnumbering Benghazi, which was previously the community with the most reports. However, Benghazi still witnessed 2 confrontations with the use of heavy weapons, similar to Zliten. Following Zliten are Aubari and Bani Waleed (7 reported incidents each), Sabratha (4 incidents) and Nalout (3 incidents). Wadi Al-Bawanis, Murzuq and Tiji reported the fewest incidents (2 reports each). What helps and what harms? - Individuals continue to report mixed feelings in regards to safety depending on their location. There are mixed comments in regards to the presence of security forces. Whereas in most communities security forces are seen as effective protectors of peace, in Zliten they hardly contribute to safety, with members of the security forces allegedly participating in criminal activities themselves. Some individuals report a prevalence of robbery, kidnapping for ransom, and armed conflict and a lack of security forces to resolve any issues, while other community members report a presence of security forces that are helping to keep the peace on the streets. Lastly, in many different communities, individuals point to the strength of social cohesion, which contributes to their feelings of safety. - Tribal Leaders are the most cited peace brokers, cited 24 times as involved in resolving confrontations (representing 52% of total attempts at resolution), followed by local authorities, such as local councils or police, (17 times, 37%), and others (5 times, 11%). Although some communities reported an increase in the activation of security forces in resolving disputes, tribal leaders still hold an important position in community life. Graph1:Attemptstoresolveconfrontationspercommunity 4|Page DOYOUFEELYOUBELONGTOTHISCOMMUNITY? “My belonging to my community is my belonging to my beloved country.” – Female, Arab, Benghazi “Women in our society are not accepted, as a result of our traditions. It is difficult at first, then they start to accept you slowly, slowly.” – Female, Arab, Zliten “Social media is delivering messages that harm society and people's safety, by adding 'poison to honey'.” – Female, Arab, Zliten What do people feel? - Like in the previous round, most respondents report a very strong sense of belonging. On average, individuals reported to feel very strongly that they belong in their community, rating their sense of belonging with a 5. - The newly surveyed town of Zliten reported the lowest ratings in this category – a score of 3, representing neutral feelings. Additionally, Murzuq’s residents’ sense of belonging decreased from a 5 to 4. The towns that reported the highest rates in terms of their sense of belonging (i.e. scores of 5) are Wadi Al Bawanis, Bani Waleed, Benghazi, Nalout, Sabratha and Suq-alJuma. - Arabs and Amazigh overwhelmingly reported having a very strong or strong sense of belonging within their community (rating 4.4 and 4.7, respectively), while Tuareg individuals reported a weak sense of belonging (2). Tebou individuals were divided over this question, but on average reported a 3.6. These findings are consistent with previous results. - Hate speech remains problematic, with about 50% of interviewees reporting hearing or reading hate speech, predominately from social media and television. - Individuals are using Facebook at increasing rates as a means of digesting news, with roughly 50% of individuals citing Facebook as one of their news sources. Following this, a little over 20% of interviewees cited using local television and national television as a news source. Generally, hate speech is observed across all types of media and is causing increasing degrees of divisiveness in the country. What helps and what harms? - Community members continue to cite a strong sense of belonging, especially among the males and Arabs, who represent the traditionally dominant gender and prevalent ethnic group. Often the reasons cited for strong ratings are feelings of mutual respect and tribal status, as well as patriotic feelings for their communities and country. Many females, youth, and other ethnic minorities (i.e. non-Arabs) still feel marginalized. A noteworthy exception to this rule is the ethnic Amazigh community of Nalout, which is close-knit, largely monoethnic, and family-oriented. - Respondents continue to cite biased reporting by local and national television including vocabulary that creates divisions between people. Hate speech is mostly propagated by two groups of television channels. The first group supports General Hiftar and the Dignity Operation in the East, and calls its opponents “terrorists”, “armed militias” and “supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood”. The second group supports Libya's Mufti and the armed groups that control the West. This group refers to its opponents as “Qadaffi supporters”, “tyrant worshippers” or even as “Qadaffi’s henchmen”. Graph2:Prevalenceofhatespeechpresentinmedia 5|Page - With increasing feelings of mistrust in traditional media sources, individuals are turning to social media, which inherently has its own biases since it compounds individuals’ personal opinions about various topics, including ethnic divisions and politics. Additionally, many respondents regard Facebook as a means of triggering violence or hatred and as a way for spreading rumours that misguide the public and cause further divisions between various age groups and ethnic groups. 6|Page AREYOUINVOLVEDINDEMOCRATICPROCESSES? “Every person has his own ideas and style to resolve a specific problem, therefore the more people the more successful the solution is.” – Male, Arab, Bani Waleed “I have no desire to participate because of the poor general condition of the state and public services.” – Male, Arab, Aubari “I want to participate because participation is important for building peace.” – Female, Arab, Benghazi What do people feel? - Consistent with the previous round, the overall rating of willingness and ability to participate in local democratic processes remained at 4. The lowest ratings came from Aubari, Tiji and Zliten, all reporting a score of 3 (the former two still reported a 4 during the previous round). Meanwhile, respondents from Bani Waleed, Benghazi reported increasing willingness to participate in democratic processes (ratings increased from a 3 to 4), similarly to Nalout (increased from 4 to 5). - Similar to feelings of belonging, individuals belonging to the Tuareg and Tebou ethnic groups feel the most excluded from local democratic processes with ratings of 2.5 and 3.2, respectively. Again, Arabs and Amazigh have the highest ratings, at 3.7 and 4.4 respectively. - Respondents mostly participated in: • • • • • Collaborative planning between local authorities and community leaders (25%) Support from local authorities for civil initiatives (22%) Public meetings to decide on issues of local importance (20%) Public consultations on issues of local importance (17%) Information campaigns (16%) What helps and what harms? - On the one hand, those that cite an unwillingness or neutrality in terms of participating in democratic processes state that they mistrust elected officials and the democratic process on the whole due to corruption and a poor state of public services and bodies. On the other hand, those that cite a willingness to particpate express the importance of civic duty and participation in reconciliation efforts. Both in this round of survey results as well as in previous rounds, the theme of patriotism in terms of contributing to the rebuilding and peace efforts in the country is strong. Moreover, indviduals express a willingness to collabrate for peace. - Collaborative planning between local authorities and community leaders is still the most used instrument for engaging citizens in decisionmaking. Additionally, support from local authorities for civil initiatives, public meetings, public consultations and information campaigns are almost equally important. Through these different efforts, citizens are kept abreast of local initiatives and opportunities of engagement. Meetings provide a venue for citizens to air any grievances while collaboration builds mutual trust among community members. - Many respondents state that they have participated in processes that allow for collaboration between various entites at the community level, which can further engage citizens in local decision-making and foster a sense of ownership in the community’s development. Graph3:Citizenparticipationindecision-makingeffortspercommunity 7|Page AREYOUABLETOACCESSOPPORTUNITIES? “The general situation of the country is not helpful. It is necessary to work on ensuring safety and to reactivate public departments, companies, and factories.” – Male, Arab, Wadi Al Bawanis “The economy is collapsing.” – Female, Arab, Suq-al-Juma “Favouritism decides who gets job opportunities and professional training. Jobs are not available for everyone.” – Male, Arab, Benghazi What do people feel? - Like in the previous round, almost all communities assess their access to social, economic, and cultural opportunities as low, rating it with a 2, except Nalout and Sabratha, where the situation has improved from poor to neutral (3). In Sabratha, one respondent remarks that job opportunities have become more readily available now many foreign workers have left. Notably, Wadi Al-Bawanis’ average rating in this category decreased from 3 to 2, representing a slight deterioration in opportunities. - Once again, employment-related issues are the first and foremost concern for most people interviewed, particularly the youth, who are mostly educated but are unable to find suitable work and assist with family incomes. - Unlike previous rounds, bread is no longer the most significant commodity shortage, but rather fuel in local gas stations (accounting for 47% of all reports on commodity shortages). General foodstuffs account for 25% of all responses, followed by bread (12%) and fuel outside of the gas station (12%). Murzuq faced the greatest fuel shortage. What helps and what harms? - More clearly than before, respondents emphasise the relation between the poor security environment and the lack of employment opportunities. Many say the conflict has created significant insecurity and has further limited the effectiveness and funding of the public sector, resulting in an environment that is not conducive to the creation of employment opportunities. - The private sector remains weak. Young people are most affected by unemployment, failing to find opportunities to start their career. Although many find it difficult to obtain employment due to a lack of vocational and professional training, many well-educated young people also fail to find employment. - The importance of the public sector as an employer remains very strong. Many individuals cited inability to find work in the public sector themselves or for their children. This is consistent with the history of Libya’s public sector, which many spectators including the World Bank have assessed as inflated. Many respondents also lament rampant nepotism and favouritism as obstacles to employment. - About 10% of individuals either observed or participated in protests in their communities, which represents a decrease compared to previous rounds. The reasons given for protests are rising prices, expression of political views, demand for release of captured prisoners, food shortages, and poor sewagerelated issues. Graph4:Commodityshortagespercommunity,numberoftimesreported 8|Page HOWWOULDYOURATETHEBUILTENVIRONMENT? “Local infrastructure is non-existent given the instable administrative and security situation of the country, in addition to lack of budget.”–Male, Arab, Wadi Al-Bawanis “All streets now are flooded by the septic tanks.”–Male, Arab, Aubari “The poor infrastructure is partly caused by the absence of the local council, which is not present on the ground.”–Male, Arab, Suq-al-Juma What do people feel? - Citizens continue to be widely dissatisfied with the built environment (overall rating of 2, “poor”). Ratings in Benghazi, Suq-al-Juma and Tiji increased from 2 to 3, meaning sentiments are now neutral in terms of infrastructure in their communities. Meanwhile ratings in Aubari and Bani Waleed decreased from a 2 to 1, signifying an increasingly negative assessment of the built environment in those communities. - In terms of infrastructure rehabilitation, local authorities are undertaking most efforts to repair roads and schools, representing 27% and 23% of responses. The high ranking of schools and roads is consistent with the latest rounds of surveys. Following schools and roads are health centres (20% of responses), “other” (13%), street lights (12%), and power lines (5%). Some emerging trends indicate that roads are the poorest infrastructure in Bani Waleed; in Wadi Al Bawanis the schools are the most pressing concern; meanwhile, all types of infrastructure need immediate attention in Benghazi and Zliten. - Similarly to the previous category, security issues affect community life. Infrastructure damaged by the prolonged conflict in Libya has yet to be renovated and restored. Community members must live their lives with deteriorating and damaged public infrastructure, which can inhibit their ability to work and live. What helps and what harms? - The single most prominent concern aired by respondents was the need for maintenance of public infrastructure. The infrastructure in place is generally old and either deteriorating from usage and age or damaged from conflict. Some infrastructure need to be better maintained, most notably the roads and the sewage system, but respondents claim that others should be demolished and rebuilt, such as schools and health centres. - - In terms of roads and the sewage system, both are vital for economic progress and development. Without properly maintained roads, rural communities are unable to easily connect to economic hubs in the country. Most individuals cited poor secondary roads that connect to major roads (especially in Tripoli and Tiji), which can hinder economic activity. Poorly maintained sewage systems are affecting the water supply in certain communities, and therefore pose a threat to public health. There is a general sense that the government does not have enough funds for infrastructure maintenance and reconstruction. In addition, respondents claim that local councils insufficiently engage local citizens and insufficiently air community members and insuffi, impeding change or progress in terms of the built environment in communities. 9|Page Graph5:Infrastructureimprovementspercommunity,numberof timesreported HOWARELOCALSERVICES? “Sport clubs are the only place for young people to spend their leisure time and release their energy. They have an important role in social communication between people from different groups and from other towns.”–Male, Arab, Zliten “The conditions of the country and the city in general hinder attempts to foster development.”–Male, Arab, Benghazi “I am rating my local community facilities as ‘poor’ because every club or association is depending on external support.”–Male, Arab, Murzuq What do people feel? - In half of the surveyed communities, respondents continue to be widely dissatisfied with the community facilities in their area, giving an overall rating of 2 (meaning “poor”). In half of the communities the rating stayed or increased to 3 (meaning “neutral”): Wadi Al-Bawanis, Bani Waleed, Sabratha, Suq-al-Juma, and Zliten. - In terms of types of communications infrastructure that citizens have noticed any efforts by the municipality to improve, only a total of 20 responses were reported, with the majority in internet infrastructure, and some reports for telephone infrastructure. Wadi Al Bawanis experienced the most improvements in their communications infrastructure, followed by Sabratha and Bani Waleed. What helps and what harms? - Similar to the comments regarding other public infrastructure, community facilities used for leisure activities are in poor shape. Maintenance and funding is needed, as well as municipal and local council attention. However, a lack of funding and human resources hinders these facilities’ improvements. Correlated to this is the continued security concerns in the country. - Most often individuals simply cited a lack of community facilities for leisure activities- i.e. there are no sports halls and community centres. Some communities’ residents have taken it upon themselves to either improve the existing infrastructure or build it themselves. Citizens continue to recognize the importance of these types of venues for the youth, for family-oriented leisure activities, and for social cooperation and cohesion. Existing venues include coffee shops, which allow for a mixing of community members and a space for public social interaction. - Improvements made to communications infrastructure include increasing Internet speed and capacity, which can assist in the development of communities, as information sharing flourishes. Some of the comments made references to private versus public service providers, signifying a shared space in the market and increased competition among actors, as well as increased choices for consumers. Graph6:Communicationsinfrastructureimprovementspercommunity 10 | P a g e
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