A simulation-based method for evaluation of energy system cooperation between pulp and paper mills and a district heating system: A case study Alexander Hedlund, Anna-Karin Stengard, Olof Björkqvist Abstract— A step towards reducing greenhouse gases and energy consumption is to collaborate with the energy system between several industries. This work is based on a case study on integration of pulp and paper mills with a district heating system in Sundsvall, Sweden. Present research shows that it is possible to make a significant reduction in the electricity demand in the mechanical pulping process. However, the profitability of the efficiency measures could be an issue, as the excess steam recovered from the refiners decreases with the electricity consumption. A consequence will be that the fuel demand for steam production will increase. If the fuel price is similar to the electricity price it would reduce the profit of such a project. If the paper mill can be integrated with a district heating system, it is possible to upgrade excess heat from a nearby kraft pulp mill to process steam via the district heating system in order to avoid the additional fuel need. The concept is investigated by using a simulation model describing both the mass and energy balance as well as the operating margin. Three scenarios were analyzed: reference, electricity reduction and energy substitution. The simulation show that the total input to the system is lowest in the Energy substitution scenario. Additionally, in the Energy substitution scenario the steam from the incineration boiler covers not only the steam shortage but also a part of the steam produced using the biofuel boiler, the cooling tower connected to the incineration boiler is no longer needed and the excess heat can cover the whole district heating load during the whole year. The study shows a substantial economic advantage if all stakeholders act together as one system. However, costs and benefits are unequally shared between the actors. This means that there is a need for new business models in order to share the system costs and benefits. Keywords — Energy system, cooperation, simulation method, excess heat, district heating. I. INTRODUCTION T HERE is a global objective to reduce greenhouse gases and hence reduce energy consumption as a step towards sustainable development [1] [2]. In Sweden, the industry sector is responsible for 38% of the total energy requirements. Even if the industries have invested A. Hedlund is employed by FrontWay AB and is with Mid Sweden University, Sundsvall, Sweden (corresponding author phone: +46 70 678 9389; e-mail: [email protected]). A-K. Stengard is employed by Sundsvall Energi AB and is with Mid Sweden University, Sundsvall, Sweden (e-mail: [email protected]). in energy efficiency technologies for more than 30 years, a considerable amount of excess heat from industrial processes is still wasted. This means there is more potential for significant efficiency improvement. The pulp and paper industry is responsible for 51% of the energy consumption in the industry sector [3]; this area is important to be able to achieve a significant reduction of energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Using excess heat from the industry is a very efficient energy solution for the future [2], and there are synergistic effects of using excess heat in district heating systems [4]. Today only 8% of the energy supply to district heating nets originates from excess heat [3]. There is a large amount of untapped excess heat potential that when recovered may reduce the global CO2 emissions (i.e., the climate impact) [5]. The solution to use industrial excess heat in district heating is also more cost efficient than traditional heating mode [6]. Another way to reduce energy consumption and the use of primary energy is to use district heating in industry processes [7]. Only 2% of the energy consumption in the industry sector is coming from district heating [3]. The excess heat from one industry and the aim to reduce primary energy at another is an opportunity for cooperation. By using the district heating net a wider energy system is created. To collaborate and evaluate an energy system in a wider range than the energy system at one plant should identify the advantages of a large-scale operation and collaboration. District heating is an example of a working large-scale operation where households and companies share heat from a common source. This case study aims to evaluate if this concept could be of interest for the industry as well. Recent research shows that collaboration between industry and district heating is economic and good for the environment [4]. The question is why this solution is not frequently used. Factors for how successful cooperation emerge between energy companies and industries have been studied in [8] and [9]. Grönqvist and Sandberg show that while establishment of such O. Björkqvist is with Mid Sweden University, Sundsvall, Sweden, (e-mail: [email protected]). Founding’s from KK-stiftelsen, FrontWay AB and Sundsvall Energi AB are acknowledged by the authors. Figure 1. The figure to the left shows the reference scenario, how it works today. The middle figure describes how it would look if the project to reduce electricity consumption in the paper mill is successful. The figure to the right shows how it would look if steam can be transported from the incineration boiler to the paper mill while reducing electricity consumption in the paper mill. cooperation could be based on favorable techno-economic factors, it is not enough. According to research, for cooperation to take place what is needed is people with real ambition on both sides. Thollander et al. argue that successful collaboration rather depends on the individuals and organizations involved in the relationship between the two parties than on the technology used in the collaboration. Both Grönqvist and Sandberg and Thollander et al. cover cooperation between two parties, but do not discuss what happens when more than two industries and a district heating company cooperate. We believe that the initialization and negotiation process is important for the parties to develop trust for each other. The business model also has an important role for successful cooperation. To assess whether such cooperation between several parties would be profitable, a case study was set up in the city of Sundsvall, Sweden. The aim of the research project is to create a method for the evaluation of an energy optimization project between different parties. When the stakeholders use simulation to gain knowledge of their own process, and to gain understanding of the cooperating parties’ processes, it will be useful for the pricing negotiation and agreements, as simulation is a way of describing reality mathematically [10]. Another important aim is to find new areas where a district heating net could be used, as well as to find new business opportunities for the owner of the district heating net, in order to make the municipality or region more energy efficient as a whole. A. The case study The case study includes three parties, a district heating supplier, a paper mill and a pulp mill. Sundsvall Energi AB is the district heating public utility in Sundsvall. The district heating company owns the district heating net and is responsible for delivering heat to the customers in the city. The company also has a commitment to the municipality to separate collection of waste and use waste as an energy source. The district heat production is partly based on refuse/waste incineration. The fuel input in the incineration boiler is evenly distributed over the year. During the summer, part of the heat from the incineration boiler is removed in a cooling tower as excess heat. During the winter, Sundsvall Energi buys heat from the pulp and paper mills owned by SCA. This heat is based on industrial excess heat and biofuel. SCA is a global hygiene and forest product company with three mills in the Sundsvall region. The SCA Östrand pulp mill in Timrå municipality produces bleached softwood kraft pulp. SCA is investing SEK 7.8 billion in the Östrand pulp mill for a new plant, which is under construction and will be in operation by October 2018. SCA Östrand will double its production capacity from 430,000 tons to 900,000 tons per year with the new plant. The project is called Helios. With Helios, Östrand will increase the amount of excess heat to 1600 GWh. The excess heat will partly be used in a condensing turbine, but also discharged to a recipient. The SCA Ortviken paper mill produces coated and uncoated publication papers from mechanical pulp. In the mechanical pulping process electricity is used in the refiners to separate fibers from the wood chip. A spin-off from the refiner is generated steam. The steam is recovered and used in the drying process. Engstrand et al. [11] show that it is possible to make a significant reduction in the electricity demand in the refiners. However, the excess steam recovered from the refiners decreases as the electricity consumption is decreased, resulting in a shortage of steam in the paper mill. The third SCA production unit in the region is the SCA Tunadal saw mill. It is a large spruce saw mill using district heating to dry wood. The waste material from the saw mill is used as pulp wood in the Östrand pulp mill. This study focuses on combining the pulp and paper mills with a district heating system, i.e. a pulp mill with excess heat, an incineration plant with excess heat, and a paper mill with a shortage of heat. All parts have already been connected to the district heating net, Figure 1. To investigate possible solutions for a collaboration energy system the following questions have been asked: 1. How can the excess heat from the pulp mill replace the recovered steam loss at the paper mill? 2. How can the district heating system be used to transfer the excess heat from the pulp mill to the paper mill? 3. How big is the economic potential of the cooperation energy system? II. SIMULATION METHOD The classical approach involves an analysis of the energy loads of the structures in steady state, but when modeling this case the technical system requires a material and energy balance that also considers the system dynamics. System simulation method is a common approach in this field [12]. A key factor for the decision to use simulation is its versatility. The simulation model is built to illustrate the actual processes with as high level of detail as needed for a result that can be verified and compared with process data. This simulation model was built in steps in order to make sure that the modeling work had a good level of detail and corresponds to reality from the beginning of the modelling work. First, a steady-state simulation model was built describing summer and winter cases. It was later developed into a dynamic simulation model calculating one year of production/heat delivery with a time resolution of hours. The characteristics of the district heating load require a dynamic simulation model because of the variations throughout the year, but a static simulation model was created to see if the result was realistic before proceeding. The model itself was created by iterations over time as a result of feedback and analysis. The model needs to be at adequate level of detail in order for actors to adopt it. This way of working gives very precise answers because the simulation model makes calculations as if it was operating in reality over an extended period of time. Simulation models are also very good at handling nonlinear calculations, which are common. It is also easier to gain acceptance with a model that resembles the real process. When building this simulation model, the first part built was the district heating net and its heat consumers. This provided information about how to design the control and logics of the simulation model. The heat consumers have a heat demand, which is converted to an amount of hot water corresponding to the demand. The hot water comes from the incineration boiler which was built in the next step. It was constructed as a hierarchical block, i.e. there is only one icon. Inside the icon there is a small model describing the incineration boiler. Next, the model was calibrated to match real production data from the company. When the basics of the district heating and the incineration boiler was running properly, the paper and pulp mill were included in the simulation model. These parts were also calibrated using production data from the mills, to make the model resemble reality as closely as possible. A material and energy balance was generated from the model. To be able to quantify monetary potentials the income and input factors were included in the simulation model, and connected to fuel and electricity prices. All of this was summed up in a system as total potential operating margin, where no internal costs were used. Finally, reports were generated for an overview of the results, to improve the validation. Figure 2 shows the method used for this case study. When building this method other sources have been studied in order to find a common practice [13]. Figure 2. The method used for the case study III. MATERIALS In order to analyze the technical system of this case a process simulation tool has been used. A material and energy balance has been generated from the simulation model and the results are used to calculate different economical aspects, all in the same simulation model. The simulation model is built with an aggregated perspective (that compromises between level of detail and accuracy). The software applied was PaperFront® which is an addition in ExtendSim. PaperFront® is a simulation software with more than 30 years of development originating from the pulp and paper industry. PaperFront® includes all tools and blocks required to describe the collaboration between the different actors. Key benefits are the possibility to easily extract the results to other tools and allowing the simulation model an initial simple setup, and the option of adding levels of detail later on as needed. For the dynamic simulation, PaperFront® offers group start functionality which allows the simulation model to automatically change settings at specific time steps. It also includes a scenario handler which keeps track of all settings. For future research, PaperFront® is a good choice because it allows building, modifying and creating new functions without having to write code. This means that there is always an option when it comes to the calculations of material, energy balances and financial calculations of the system. It is also possible to use the simulation model as a prediction tool. The dynamic simulation model is designed to calculate one year divided into a step size of one hour. Parameters that are dynamic input in the simulation model are: Heat demand in the district heating system Temperature changes in the district heating inlet Electricity price The simulation model is set up by using production/process parameters, such as temperature, pressure, flow and power. The critical values for the pipes in the district heating net are temperature and pressure, which are designed for a maximum of 120 degrees and 16 bar. Transmission capacity in the pipes between the mills and the customers is assumed to be sufficient or extendable. The temperature in the supply pipes correspond to measured data and is regulated based on the outdoor temperature from a corresponding curve. The biofuel used in the simulation model is pellet because it is what is currently used in the paper mill. The pellet price used in the simulation model is the pellet index for Nordic countries [14]. The electricity price was collected from Nordpool spotprices [15] as weekly during 2015, to which a power transmission fee was added. For the income of sold electricity, the transmission energy loss fee is subtracted from the spot price. The demand for district heating, Figure 3, varies during the year and is higher during the winter months. The input values in the simulation model are based on production data from 2015. IV. RESULTS This part will cover the simulation model, the different scenarios that have been used and compared, the financial calculations that have been combined with the simulation model and the result of the case study. A. The simulation model A simulation model of the energy system, corresponding to the plants of the three parties, was designed in the simulation tool. The simulation model describes the energy systems of the processes in the plants. The district heating net consists of supply and return pipes and two customers. The customers’ heat demand corresponds to the whole district heating load in the city, and this is modeled by power consumers decreasing the temperature in the pipe system. A steam boiler is used to describe the incineration plant in the model. The boiler is fed with the amount of waste required to be processed evenly distributed over the year. The steam produced in the incineration boiler is carried to heat exchangers or a turbine for production of district heating and/or electricity, depending on the district heating load. The heat demand from the customers has the highest priority and must be delivered before using steam to produce electricity in the turbines. The paper and pulp mills are connected to the district heating net by heat exchangers and deliver heat when the capacity of the incineration boiler is insufficient. A cooling tower removes excess heat from the district heating net during low load periods in all scenarios. The pulp mill has been modeled with two boilers: one recovery boiler and one biofuel boiler. The boilers run on different fuels, which are excess flows from the process. The boilers generate steam that is used in the process, for power generation and production of district heating. The steam is generated in the boilers and runs through the back-pressure turbines where pressure and temperature are decreased and then used either internally in the condensing turbine or in the district heating exchangers. Internal demand has the highest priority, because it is needed to secure the production, followed by the district heat exchangers’ request for steam when the flow to the customers is insufficient, while the remainder of the steam flow is carried to the condensing turbine. The paper mill has been modeled as a paper machine and a dryer, as well as a mechanical pulp production line consisting of a refiner only. Paper production in the simulation model is set to correspond to the three machines running in reality; the simulation model will calculate the amount of chips needed for the HC-refiner to supply the machines with pulp. The steam from the refiner is led to the dryer section in the paper machine. Steam is also added to the drying section from a biofuel boiler. Validation of the simulation model has been performed with several iterations where comparisons to the individual systems have been made until representatives of the actors considered it corresponding to reality and gave their approval. B. Scenarios Three different scenarios have been studied in order to evaluate the (technical) possibility and economic potential of the cooperation: one reference scenario, one scenario with electricity reduction and internally replaced steam shortage and finally a scenario where energy is transported through the district heating net between the sites, as shown in fig 1. Scenario 0: Reference The reference point in the calculations is referred to as the reference scenario. It describes the current processes, but also includes the new plant at the pulp mill in the simulation. When looking at the process over one year it is clear that the heat demand in the district heating net is low during summer and high during winter, Figure 3. Figure 3. The heat demand from the district heating net and its consumers over one year. The incineration boiler must incinerate waste even if there is no heat demand and during warm periods the heat is discharged in a cooling tower. When the demand for district heating is higher than the internal heat production in the incineration boiler, the net owner requests heat from the paper mill and the pulp mill. The paper mill uses electricity to power the refiners and the refiners generate excess steam. This excess steam is recovered in the drying section of the paper machine, but steam is also added from a boiler. In addition, the paper mill receives excess heat from the flue gas condenser, which delivers heat to the district heating net when needed. The pulp mill delivers excess heat from the existing factory to the district heating net. Parts of the excess heat will be used in a condensing turbine, while some will still be emitted to the recipient. Scenario 1: Electricity reduction Scenario 1 has its outset in recent research on energy efficiency in mechanical pulp and paper processes [11]. The goal of this research is to significantly reduce electricity demand in the high consistency refiners, which is the starting point of this scenario. The reduction is set to 50%; the simulation shows that if the electricity is reduced by half then this also applies to the excess steam from the refiners. This shortage of steam is replaced by steam produced in a biofuel boiler at the same site. A comparison between the reference scenario and the electricity reduction scenario shows that there will be a steam shortage when the electricity consumption is reduced. This means that steam must be collected from another source. Scenario 2: Energy substitution In Scenario 2 an alternative to using biofuel is researched/investigated. In the simulation of this scenario, the steam from the waste incineration boiler contributes to the steam demand at the paper mill. A new pipe is added in the simulation model between the incineration boiler and the drying section in the paper mill. The simulation shows that the steam from the incineration boiler covers not only the steam shortage but also a part of the steam produced using the biofuel boiler. Since all steam can be used, the cooling tower connected to the incineration boiler is no longer needed. When the steam from the incineration boiler is used in the paper mill there will be a shortage of heat in the district heating net. The amount of excess heat available at the pulp mill has been investigated, and the simulation shows that the excess heat can cover the whole district heating load during the year, since the accessible excess heat effect is above the maximum heat load Using more steam for district heating will decrease electricity production, but also reduce excess heat to the recipient. C. Scenario comparison In the comparison, the results from the scenarios are analyzed, and the input factors, identified as electricity, biofuel and incineration fuel, are compared. The fuel to the incineration boiler is constant throughout the case study. The electricity demand is cut in half for the electricity reduction scenario and energy substitution scenario. The biofuel is different for all scenarios, see Figure 4. Figure 4. The different input factors for all scenarios. A main energy consumer in the model is the drying section of the paper machine at the paper mill. When reducing electricity to the dryers the steam generated in the refiners is also reduced. The steam must be compensated and obtained from another source. For the electricity reduction scenario, all extra steam is produced in the biofuel boilers in the paper mill. In the energy substitution case this steam is obtained from the incineration boiler, see Figure 5. Figure 5. Steam shares in the drying sections of the paper machines. D. Financial/economical results The economic calculation/evaluation assumes a system boundary where the three companies fully cooperate as one unit. Costs between the companies in the collaboration are excluded. The economic benefit consists of input factors and income from outside the system boundaries. The operating margin of the system consists of biofuel and electricity fuel costs, district heating, waste treatment and electricity delivery income. This can be calculated as: 𝑂𝑀 = ∑ 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 − ∑ 𝑖𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 ∑ 𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡 𝑓𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 = 𝐵𝑖𝑜 𝑓𝑢𝑒𝑙 + 𝐸𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 (1) ∑ 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒 = 𝐷𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑡 ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 + 𝑊𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑒 𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 + 𝐸𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑑𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑦 Where OM is Operating margin The operating margin in Scenario 1 (Electricity reduction) and 2 (Energy substitution) is compared to the operating margin in Scenario 0 (Reference). This means that the result is always presented as an increase from the reference scenario, as expressed in the following equations: 𝐵𝐸𝑅 = 𝑂𝑀𝐸𝑅 − 𝑂𝑀𝑅𝑒𝑓 𝐵𝐸𝑆 = 𝑂𝑀𝐸𝑆 − 𝑂𝑀𝑅𝑒𝑓 (2) (3) where B is Benefit OM is Operating margin ER is Electricity reduction ES is Energy substitution Ref is Reference Some parameters have been excluded because their effect on the total difference in operating margin is insignificant. Examples of excluded parameters are: maintenance costs, labor costs, environmental taxes. Scenario 1 (Electricity reduction) is beneficial from a 12-month perspective, but the simulation also illustrates that it depends on electricity price and biofuel price. As shown in Figure 6, during the summer months the operating margin for Scenario 1 (Electricity reduction) is lower than for the reference scenario, because the electricity price is lower than the biofuel price. Scenario 2 (Energy substitution) shows that collaboration is significantly more beneficial from a 12month perspective. Figure 6. Increase of operating margin for the scenarios compared to the reference scenario (which equals 0 in the diagram). The top graph shows the energy substitution case compared to the reference case, while the bottom graph shows the electricity reduction case compared to the reference case. The financial benefit of saving electricity (Scenario 1) is 30 MSEK/year, and for energy substitution (Scenario 2) it is 100 MSEK/year. V. DISCUSSION In this case study, a simulation model was built describing the stakeholders’ current processes. The simulation model is highly adjustable and can be used to study other aspects of the energy system. It could be used for decision support and operative questions, or to make future predictions for strategic decisions. We have identified the benefits of cooperation between three stakeholders connected to an energy system. By building a steam pipe between the incineration boiler and the paper mill, a potential worth of around 100 MSEK/year was demonstrated. The method and simulation model could be used to predict future scenarios. In the results section, it is mentioned that maintenance costs, environmental taxes and labor costs have been excluded in this study. This is mainly because of the assumption that they will not differ in the different scenarios, and such not affect the comparison to any greater extent. If a steam pipe is placed between the paper mill and incineration boiler it is possible to use steam from the incineration boiler to dry the paper. This requires that the energy needed in the district heating is distributed from another source, in this study the pulp mill. The energy company delivers energy of higher quality (steam) to the paper mill, while the pulp mill delivers energy of lower quality (hot water) to the district heating. The energy load will also vary during a 12month period, since the energy company will deliver steam throughout the year to the paper mill, while the energy required in the district heating by the pulp mill will vary (e.g. it requires less energy during summer, When looking at the process over one year it is clear that the heat demand in the district heating net is low during summer and high during winter, Figure 3). The solution requires that the energy company (incineration boiler and district heating) can come to an agreement with the pulp and paper mills on how to exchange the energy and profits from the cooperation. This means that industrial excess heat would replace primary energy, while refuse incineration would not deliver district heating. An interesting question that has not been addressed in this case study is how to divide the 100 MSEK/year between the different stakeholders. The simulation model can provide good indications on each stakeholder’s contribution, but in the end business models and agreements are necessary to control the share. Negotiation between the different stakeholders will be necessary; this can be investigated more thoroughly in negotiation analysis and gaming theory. An example of a business model to use could be the energy company sets a price for the steam that is sold to the paper mill, and the pulp mill sets a price for the energy transferred to the district heating net. This business model would probably not work for the paper mill since it is likely that using their own boilers would be cheaper than to buy steam from the energy company. This means that there is a need to find a business model for the allocation of the economic benefits of the cooperation. There is no previous work in this research field. The electricity reduction targeted in the mechanical pulping process done by other researchers is important in this case study [11]. If it is not possible to reach a 50% reduction it would also result in a different result for scenario 1 (Electricity reduction) and scenario 2 (energy substitution); this would be interesting to simulate to find the breakeven point for when the cooperation is no longer beneficial. When it comes to simulation it is important to validate the model in order to be able to trust the results generated. For this case study, the results in the reference case have been compared with real process data from the mills and the energy company. It is the vice president of technology at the companies who has approved the validity of the model. However, from a research perspective it could be interesting investigate whether it is possible to quantify the validation, to avoid personal dependence. The electricity efficiency project in the paper mill would be more beneficial if the cooperation solution was used. [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] VI. CONCLUSION Industrial excess heat could take on a new role in an energy system by using the district heating system to transform it to high value heat. Based on the aspects presented in this case it is possible to use district heating as a means to increase the electrical efficiency in a system. The paper mill can reduce electricity use and replace the deficit of steam with steam from the waste/refuse incineration plant. The waste incineration plant delivers steam to the paper mill and will not have excess heat during the summer period. The pulp mill will be provided with the possibility to use more of the excess heat, but decrease electricity production. ACKNOWLEDGMENT The authors would like to thank: Leif Olsson, Mid Sweden University Aron Larsson, Mid Sweden University Anders Nilsson, FrontWay AB Anette Rhodin, Sundsvall Energi AB Patrik Halling, SCA Forest Products Anders Jonsson, Sundsvall Energi AB We would also like to thank all staff members at SCA and Sundsvall Energi who have helped us find relevant data for the simulation model. REFERENCES [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] European Commission. 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