Representation and Participation in Mexico The Peruvian novelist, Mario Vargas Llosa, once called Mexico the world’s “most perfect dictatorship.” The PRI’s adept use and abuse of democratic institutions to prolong its rule forced the opposition to struggle within those democratic arenas-the electoral system, the Congress, and state and local government-to ultimately remove the PRI from power. Thus Mexico offers an intriguing example of a country in which a democratic transition has taken place within a constitutional framework. –Michael Sodaro Recruiting the Political Elite • Since the days of the “Porfiriato” the Mexican political elite has been recruited primarily from the middle class. • In recent years the political elite have become more homogenous: drawn increasingly from the capitalinos (people raised in Mexico City). • The cabinets and upper level bureaucracy have been filled by tecnicos who studied economics, business, or public administration in the U.S. • Many politically important families are interrelated, either through marriage or through the traditional rite of compadrazgo (godparent) • Mexican political elite show considerable fluidity. Massive turnover of officeholders every six years is evidence of that. The medium age of cabinet ministers and presidential aspirants Mexico has been dropping with most in their late 30s or early 40s. Interest Representation and Political Control In its presidentialist system, the most effective interest participation took place within the upper levels of the government. Structures that normally aggregate and articulate interests served other purposes in Mexico: limiting the scope of citizens’ demands on the government, mobilizing electoral support, and distributing jobs and other rewards to “clients”. • From the 1930s to the PRI’s defeat in 2000, Mexico had a “corporatist” system of interest representation in which interest groups were part of the state structure: mass organizations affiliated with the PRI: the Labor Sector (CTM), Peasant Sector (CNC) and Popular Sector (CNOP). • Because the ruling party and national legislature did not effectively aggregate interests, individuals and groups made personal contacts in the bureaucracy. • In recent decades, the emergence of independent citizens’ organizations, not tied into the PRI regime’s clientelistic networks, has introduced new complexity and uncertainty into the political system. Political Parties Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) • was founded in 1929 by President Calles. The party was intended to serve as a mechanism to reduce violent conflict among contenders for public office and for consolidating the power of the central government, at the expense of the local and statelevel political machines. • For 70 years the PRI dominated Mexican politics. For much of that time the party operated with impressive efficiency, co-opting newly emerging interest groups, legitimating the regime through the electoral process, and resolving inter-party conflicts. • In 1938 President Cardenas transformed the party into a mass-based political party by merging the local, state, and national organizations of peasants and workers into the official party. Reasons for decline of the PRI 1. The party’s inability to distance itself from the unpopular austerity policies made by the tecnicos in the federal government from the 1990s. 2. Electoral reforms in 1993-94 and in 1996 limited total private contributions to any party and increased public funding to all parties. Reforms also added a prohibition against use of public resources and programs to benefit any campaign. 2 (cont.) PRI had benefited from use of a large government slush fund, (la partida secreta) doled out during campaigns. Responding to public pressure, President Zedillo eliminated this fund 3. A Federal Electoral Institute, established in 1990 to oversee the funding and registration of national parties, was separated from executive branch influence and given greater strength and autonomy which cut down on electoral fraud. Independent tribunals were set up to adjudicate election disputes; and new, high tech photo ID cards were introduced. These and other innovations improved the security and fairness of the electoral systems, but cost the 4. The PRI vote getting machine became less effective with the demographic changes in Mexico i.e. the shift of workers from the rural to urban areas and an increase in education levels. Voters were no longer closely tied to the PRI’s clientelistic networks and better informed about issues. In 2001 and again in 2006 PRI candidates lost in presidential elections. However, in 2012 a revitalized PRI, under the leadership of Enrique Peña Nieto, recaptured the presidency with 37% of the vote. Nieto worked to form a temporary coalition to pass reform legislation (Pact for Mexico). Subsedquently PRI won the largest percentage of 4. The National Action Party (PAN) • Founded in 1939 to represent interests opposed to the centralization and anticlericalism of PRI. It has a center-right ideology. Regional strongholds included several northern states states. • Up to the 1990s, PANista representation was mainly in the federal Congress, mainly in the lower house. • PAN deputies found it difficult as many of their proposed bills were ignored. However, gradually PANista legislative proposals were adopted by PRI governments such as increased proportional representation in Congress, autonomous electoral courts, voter IDs, etc. • PRI found themselves voting to the right of PAN because they had to support the austerity measures of their presidents. PAN has been divided into moderate-progressive (Vicente Fox) and militantconservative (neo-PANista) factions. • When Vicente Fox became president in 2000, PAN not at all united in backing him and did not have a majority in either chamber of Congress. Divided government was the main challenge for Fox. • In the 2006 presidential election, the PAN candidate, Felipe Calderon, won but without the same mandate as his predecessor and faced, once again, the difficulty in policymaking with divided government. • Calderon’s popularity plummeted in the wake of narcotics trafficking violence from which over 60,000 died during his sexenio. Corruption scandals tainted the military, police, and local officials. • For the 2012 presidential election PAN’s candidate was former education secretary, Josefina Vázquez Mota. Because of the unpopularity of the drug war, associated with PAN, she won only 26% of the vote. Challenges for PAN To achieve wider popularity in view of the past ineptitude of its administrations. This would include recapturing its previous northern states’ region of support lost in the 2012 presidential election. The Democratic Revolutionary Party (PRD) • was an outgrowth of moderate socialist parties of the Mexican left. The key to the left’s rejuvenation came in 1987 with a split within PRI leadership. A dissident group known as Corriente Democratica (CD) criticized de la Madrid’s economic restructuring and sought a renewed commitment to economic nationalism and social justice. • The CD’s demands for reform were rejected by the PRI and they formally split from the party. They joined with four other leftist parties to form a coalition, supporting Cuahtemoc Cardenas, the son of Mexico’s revered president, as their candidate. • Cardenas and this coalition ultimately formed the PRD in 1988 and won the mayoral race in Mexico City and gubernatorial elections in 5 states. • In the 2006 and 2012 presidential elections PRD ran a leftist former mayor of Mexico City, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO). Mexicans did not elect Obrador who then mounted disruptive street protests that deepened PRD’s unpopularity. • Obrador is a polarizing figure. He is beloved by Mexico´s working-class population, yet alienates middle class voters due to his populist political message. Following the 2012 election he resigned from PRD to found a new party, MORENA. Challenges for the PRD 1) PRD takes policy positions to the left of the ruling party on many issues. Its involvement in public demonstrations after the past two general elections, has strengthened an unpopular radical image. 2) PRD ties to rural areas have been underdeveloped as it has been dominated by Mexico City politicians. Central party leaders shortchanged local organizations in their allocation of funds. 3) The fracturing of the party with the defection of Obrador to MORENA has drawn away traditional left-wing supporters. The National Regeneration Movement (MORENA) • Following PRD’s loss in the 2012 election, Lopez Obrador (AMLO) left PRD to form form a left-wing party: MORENA, “The National Regeneration Movement” (Movimiento Regeneración Nacional) • In the subsequent 2015 general election, MORENA drew votes mainly away from PRD based on the supporters of AMLO. The party won 8.8% of the vote in the Chamber of Deputies and Senate, becoming the 3rd largest party. • The same challenges that face PRD will face MORENA or even greater since this party has split the left learning voters. Political Spectrum of Mexico’s Political Parties The PRD and MORENA are today left of center, PRI is more center, and PAN is right of center. General Election of 2012 On Sunday, July 1, 2012 Mexico held a general election for the following: • President: selected by FPTP to serve a 6-year term. • 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies: 300 by FPTP and 200 by PR (with electoral reforms they can run for office for four consecutive 3-year terms) • 128 members of the Senate including 3 per state by FPTP and 32 by proportional representation (can serve up to two consecutive 6-year terms) States won by Peña Nieto in green, López Obrador in yellow, Vázquez Mota in blue. Mexico's outgoing president, Felipe Calderon, left, gives a Mexican flag to Enrique Peña Nieto, right, during the official transfer of command ceremony on Dec. 1, 2012 at the National Palace in Mexico City. The 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies were elected in the 2015 interim election by two methods; 300 were elected in single-member constituencies, and 200 by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The largest 4 parties are shown below: District Proportional Votes % Seats Votes % Seats Total seats PRI 11,604,665 34.24 25 11,638,556 29.18 47 203 -9 PAN 8,346,846 22.06 55 8,379,270 21.01 53 108 -6 PRD 1,941,105 5.13 5 4,335,731 10.87 28 56 -48 MORENA 3,327,793 8.80 14 3,346,303 8.39 21 35 New Party +/– Why did PRI win? Commentators note: First: It is a national party unlike PAN and PRD which are more regional. In 2011 PRI had 21 governors among the 31 states indicating its nationwide status. Governors help candidates win. Second: PRI avoided fragmentation unlike the competition. PRI had a very popular, charismatic candidate and this discouraged internal party splits. Third: Identification with PRI grew stronger as PAN’s popularity waned due to the drug violence. Also PRI became more adept in communicating with voters at the state and municipal level. Is Mexico a democracy? With the elections of opposition candidates to the presidency in 2000 and 2006 and seemingly fair elections in 2012, it can be said that Mexico is now as democratic and transparent as any country in North America. • Electoral law reforms have ended most forms of fraud that were typical in the past. • The Federal Electoral Institute has been a strong guardian of democracy. Mexico has come a long ways from the one-party rule of the past.
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