35, 41-54 March,1979 BIOMETRICS CompetitionExperiments R. MEAD Departmentof AppliedStatistics,Universityof Reading,Whiteknights,Reading,England Summary forms of competitionexperimentis surveyedand some of the A wide range of diffierent shoulddevote biometricproblemsencounteredare discussed.It is suggestedthat biometricians more attentionto the practicalaspects of experimentaldesign.A majorarea of interestfor research,wherethereare majordimcultiesnot onlyin biometriciansshouldbe in intercropping the designof practicallyegeient experimentsbutalso in the analysisof yield datafrom two or morecrops. I. lntroductionand Structure There are many diSerent kinds of competition experimentbecause the idea of competition is interpretedin many diSerentways. In attemptingto discuss the presentstate of developmentof experimentalmethodsfor investigatingcompetitionit is necessaryto define the scope of the paperand also to providea structurewithin whichto organisethe various areasof investigation.This paperis verymuchmy personalview of competitionexperiments and I shall not pretendto be objective. In this paper I shall be concernedwith designedexperimentsto investigatecompetition eSects between plants in field crops or in more controlledconditionsin the laboratoryor glasshouse.I shall referonly brieflyto investigationson patternsof competitionin naturally occurringplant communities,and I shall completelyignorecompetitionbetweenanimals.To providea structurefor the paper I shall classify experimentsin three ways: (a) Bythe numberof cropspeciesinvolved. Here we have a rangeof increasinglycomplexsituations.The simplestis that wherea singlecrop (monocrop)is grown under a numberof treatments.Differentvarietiesof the crop species may be includedin the set of treatmentsand comparisonsmade between the varieties as between other treatments. The next level of complexityinvolvesthe growingtogetherof pairsof genotypesof a given crop species to examinethe competitiveeffectsand the combinedyield of differentgenotypes.Genotype competitionexperimentscan involve other treatmentfactors (such as nutrientsand spacing)but in practicethey rarelyhave. A furtherlevelof complexityis introducedby consideringcompetitionbetweena cropspeciesand a weed species.The work in this area will not be consideredin this paper,except for some detailed physiologicalexperimentsin Section 2.2. One importantcharacteristicof crop-weedcompetition experimentsis that the two componentsarenot consideredsymmetrically.The primaryinterestis in the cropyield as affectedby the competitionfrom the weed species. The most complexlevel, which will be consideredextensivelyin this paper,since I believeit is both importantand interesting,is the growth of two or more crop species together.This is usually of the referredto as intercropping(in whicheach crop is sown in rows and variousinter-arrangements Key Words.Competition;ExperimentalDesign;Plant Interactions;Intercropping. 41 BIOMETRICS,MARCH 1979 42 rows are possible) or mixed cropping(in which the crops may be mixed within rows or broadcast together).In intercroppingthe interestis in the yield of eachcomponentcrop, but also in the combined crop yield. Intercroppingexperimentsalmost alwaysinvolvecomparisonof diSerentspatialarrangements of the two crops but also include other factors such as nutrientsor comparisonof diCerent genotypesof one or both crops. (b) By the treatmentfactorsbeing investigated. The primarytreatmentfactor is that of spatialarrangementof plantsor of crops.This involves the crop density,or in intercroppingthe densityof each componentcrop, and the arrangementof the plantsor cropsrelativeto each other.Spatialarrangementfactorsmay be thoughtof as intrinsicto the crop, whereasother factors involvingthe environmentunderwhich the crop is grown, are extrinsic. Includedin these other factors are nutrientand shadingfactorsand also the simple comparisonof diCerentvarietiesof genotypes. (c) Accordingto whetherthe experimentis concernedonly with crop meanyields or with the yieldsof individualplants. In Table 1 the various aspects of competitionexperimentsincludedin the paper are listed togetherwith the section numberof the paperin which each aspect is discussed,in accordance with this three-waystructure. 2. InvestigationsConcernedwithIndividualPlants to of competition thephysioJDgy Theseinvestigationsrangefromattemptsto disentangle the use of empiricatmeasuresof competitionintendedto providethe basis for measuringthe intensityof competitionand thus to enablediSerentcompetitivesituationsto be compared. 1 TABLE Different Aspects of Competition Experiments GENOTYPE FOR MIXTURES CROP SINGLE CROP SINGLE SPECIES SPATIAl ARRANGEMENT FACTORS INDIVIDUAL PLANT OTHER INVESTIGATIONS FACTORS SPATIAL ARRANGEMENT FACTORS Effectsof different numbersof neighbour ing plants(2.2) Effectsof local plant density(2.3) Patternof competingplants(2.2) Plantinteraction models(2.4) Thephysiologicalbasis of competition(2.1) Responsemodelsfor yield-densityrelationships(3.1) designs Experimental for spatialarrangementtreatmentsin intercropping(4.2) Designsfor response modelestimation(3.2) CROP MEAN YlElDS OTHER FACTORS TWOORMORE CROPSPECIES Genotypecompetition models(3.3) Methodsfor analysing intercroppingexperiments(4.1) Genotypecomparison experimentsin intercropping(4.3) COMPETITIONEXPERIMENTS 43 All the methods of this section are directed towardsunderstandlngthe processesof petition. com- 2.1. Physiological Experimentation A majorconcernamongphysiologistshas beento isolatethe competitioneSectsof above and belowgroundenvironments.The abovegroundcompetitionis usuallyassurnedto be for light, and the below ground competitionfor nutrients.The experimentaltechniqueswhich have been used all derive from the method of Donald (1958) who used acrial and soil partitionsin pots. The four basic arrangementsto investigatecompetitionbetweerltwo plant speciesfor competitiondevisedby Donald are (a) for neitherlight nor nutrients,(b) for light but not nutrients,(c) for nutrientsbut not light,and (d) for both light and nutrientsand these are shown diagrammaticallyin Figure 1. Modificationsof this basic designhave been developedby Aspinall(1960) and Schreiber (1967) and more recentlyby Snaydon (1979). Snaydon uses alternatingrows of the two competingspecies and aerialand soil partitionswhich may be arra2lgedperpendicularlyto one another, or in parallel,or coincidentally.Snaydon'ssystem allows variationof overall density,separationof root and shoot competition,variationof the relativedensitiesof the two species, and separatevariationof root and shoot densities for either or both species. Some of the possibilitiesof this systemaredemonstrateddiagrammatically in Figure2 which shows a portion of each of six differentcompetitionsituations: (a) Equal densities, no competition between species. (b) Equal densities, full competition between species. (c) Equal densities, root competition only between-species. (d) Unequal densities, shoot competition only between species. (e) Equal densities, shoot competition only between species, greater eSective root density tha shoot density. (f) Equal densities, root competition only between species, effective shoot density varying between species but eSective root density identical for the two species. Snaydonnotes that thereare still limitationsto the technique"Firstly,all techniquesdepend on the use of aerialand soil partitions.Secondly,these techniquesrestrictinteractionsto one lateraldimension."Thus far the biometricianshave contributedlittle to this field of experi- (a) NOCOPlPETITION (b) COtlPETITIORJ ABOVE GROURJD (c) COhlPETITION BELOV! GROUND (d) FE'LL GOt4PETITIOtt Figure 1 Donald's pot design for separating above and below ground competition eSects. The two plant species are indicated by (x) and (o); the soil partitions by solid lines and the aerial partitions by dotted lines. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ o _ t j 44 BIOMETRICS,MARCH 1979 (a) x, o , x @ x, x ' x, x @ .W x, (b) o, I x, , o, x o | x, o | x o, x, o, x o, , ' | o | x o | o, o ' x @ ' ' X * x I x, x, x, x x x x x x *, , , o o, o ' o, o, o, o ' o o o o o O x, o x, x I x, x, x x ' x x x x x x x, o, o, o, o ' o o o o o o o, x, x | x, x, x x x x x x o, o . o o, o o o o o o x o, | (c) , | x, o ' o (d) ._ , | o I o x, | | x, e l o l (e) (f) x x o x x o x o x o x o x x x x x x x x o x x o x _ x o x o o o o o o o x x x x _ _ o _ x _ _ x _ _ o _ _ x o x o x o x x x x _ _ x x o x x X X O X X O x x . o x x o o . x _ _ . o _ x _ . x , o _ D O o E x ^ _ . x . o . _ o . x _ _ _ . _ o _ o _ _ o . . . o _ o _ o . o X X X X X X g t o o o o Figure2 Examplesof Snaydon'ssystemfor investigatingroot andshoot competition.Symbolsas in Figure1. mentationand one is left to wonderwhetherthe mathematicalingenuityof the biometrician could be helpful. An alternativeapproach is that of Currah (1975), who examined the eSect on size variationwithin a crop of carrots of eliminatingthe potential competitiondue to various possiblylimitingfactors.The crop was grownin the '6ideal"conditionsof uniformseed size, regularplant arrangement,and amplesuppliesof light, waterand nutrients.Each factor,in turn, was changedfrom the idealto a non-ideallevel(heterogeneousseed size, randomplant arrangement,or limited suppliesof light, water or nutrients)and comparedwith the ideal. 2.2. Efffiects0Z1 Individual Plants of Varying the Numbers of Competis1gPlas1ts A naturaldevelopmentof the physiologicalapproachto understandingplantcompetition is to considerthe eSects on a single plant of the competitiondue to the presenceof diCerent numbersof neighbours,and diSeringdistancesof the neighbours. Two diSerentkinds of experimentsneed to be distinguished.One looks at variationof the numberof competitors,or neighbours,in a monocropsituation.This was investigated by Goodall (1960), who consideredindividualmangoldplants with one, two, four, or eight neighboursarrangedround a circle centeredon the single plant to be measured.Goodall's interpretationof his resultswas that the eSect of neighbourswas additiveup to six neigh- COM PETITION EX PER IM ENTS 45 bours, at which stage the competingeSects were completeand the introductionof further neighbourshad no eSect. Goodall comparedhis resultswith those of Sakai(1955, 1956, 1957)for a ratherdiSerent situationin which individualplants were surroundedby six neighbours,some of the neighbours being of the same species as the initial plant and the remainderof a second species. Sakaiexaminedthe eSect of varyingthe numberof neighboursfrom the second speciesand showedthat there was a linearrelationbetweennumberof neighboursof the second species and the yield of the initial plant. RecentlyMartin(1973) and Veeversand BoSey (1975) have developed"beehive"designs in which plants of two speciesare arrangedon a hexagonalgrid such that for plantsof one species,the numberof neighbouringplantsof the secondspeciesvariesbetweenzero and six. These designsallow the eSects of varyingthe numberof plants of the alternativespeciesin the set of neighbours to be investigatedin a much smaller area than is required for experimentsin which each plant is eithera recordedplant or a competingplant. A possible difficultywith beehivedesigns,in my view, is that it is not clearthat the eSects of varyingthe numberof neighboursof the second species in a beehive design will be the same as the correspondingeSects in a Sakai-typeexperiment,when each plant is eithera recordedplant or a competitor. This difficulty of whether an ingenious and "efficient"mathematical experimentaldesignprovidesestimatesof the eSectswhichare of relevanceto realsituations is, of course, not new, the best known examplebeing the relevanceof resultsfrom changeoverdesignsto comparisonsof dietsfor farmanimals,and shouldnot dissuadebiometricians from searchingfor new and more ingenious designs. However, the usefulnessof beehive designs for answeringpracticalquestions remainsto be demonstrated. 2.S The EX7ectsof DiX7erentDistances of Neighbours Much of the investigationof the eSects of the distanceof neighbouringplants is concernedwith crop mean yields and discussionof such experimentsis deferredto Section 3. There are, however,some investigationsof the eSects on individualplants of the particular arrangementof neighbouringplants.Goodall (1960) considereddiSerentdistancesof neighbours as well as diSerentnumbers.Howeverthe scope for designedexperimentsin whichthe distancesof up to six neighboursare systematicallyvariedis limitedby the immensenumber of possible patternsof neighbours. Instead,the eSects of varyingthe local densityabouteach planton the yield of that plant, has been investigatedby measuringthe position of neighboursin a designedexperimenton a carrot crop (Mead 1966) or in naturalforest stands (Brown 1965, Jack 1971, Newnha 19669Opie 1968and Strand 1970).To examinethe eSects of varyingthe local density two diSerentapproacheshave been tried. One is to considercirclesof influenceof each plant or tree, the radiusof the circle possibly dependingon the size of the plant, and to define the density at each plant in terms of the numbersof circles includingthe plant. A survey of diSerentmeasuresof local densityof this type is givenby Nishizawa( 1968)and a comparison of the predictingpower of diSerent measuresby Opie (1968). The other approachis to considerthe areas of ground nearestto each plant (the plant polygon, or Dirichletcell or Voronyipolygon) and to relateplantsize to the areaand shapecharacteristicsof the polygon (Brown 1965,Mead 1966).A briefcomparisonof the two methodsby Mead (1971) suggests that the simplercircleof influencemay be moreeSective.On the basis of these observational studiesit may now be appropriateto attemptto designexperimentsto determinethe eSect of diCerentlocal patternsof competition on the growth of individualplants in a controlled environment. 46 BIOMETRICS,MARCH 1979 2.4. Measuresof InterplantCoznpetition Over the last 15 years many methods of measuringor describingthe amount of competitionwithin a crop have been suggested.These are based eitheron characteristicsof the frequencydistributionof plant sizes or on the relationshipbetween the sizes of adjacent plants. Ideas using the frequencydistributionare (a) The coefficientof variation(Kira, Ogawaand Hozumi 1953,Stern 1963) (b) Skewness,arldin particularthe log-normaldistributionto demonstratecompetition.However, the latterapproachhas beensubjectiveand no attemptshave been madeto fit the distributionor interpretthe parametervalues. RecentlyKoch (1969) and Ford (1975) have arguedthat a log-normal type frequencydistributiondoes not in itself provideevidenceof competition. (c) Bimodality(Ford and Newbould1970,Ford 1975).Again this has beenentirelysubjectiveso far, the appearanceof bimodality in frequencydistributionsbeing interpretedas demonstrating competition. Plantinteractionmodelshave beendevelopedfor plantsin regulararrays.The earlyideas of Kira et al. (1953) involved inter-plantcorrelationsand these were extended by Mead (1967, 1971).A muchmorecomprehensiveattackon describinginter-plantinteractionsusing conditionalprobabilitymodelsis providedby Besag(1974).An alternativeapproachconsidering the plants dividedinto two classes(big/small or present/absent)and usingthe probabilitydistributionsof adjacencymeasuresdevelopedby Krishna-Iyer(1949, 1950)is used by Ford (1975). There has been far more activity in the area of suggestingnew methods of describing competitionthan in the practicalareaof usingthe measuresto obtain a betterunderstanding and knowledgeof competition.An interestingexception is the paper by Cannell Njugma, Ford and Smith, with an appendixby Ross-Parker(1977), on the analysisof an experiment on the selectionof tea bush genotypes. Each of the ideas basedon the frequencydistributionof plantsize suSersfromthe defect that it is not demonstrablymeasuringcompetition.Also the frequencydistributionignores the relativepositions of the individualsmaking up the distributions.The plant interactioll models also have not yet been shownto be practicallyuseful.Becausethe modelscontainno time component they do not have predictivevalue, and their use to make comparative assessmentsof the level of competitionin diSerentsituationshas been limted (Mead 1968) and arguablyhas added nothing to an analysisof crop mean yields. In conclusionto this sub-section,I suggestthat thereis not yet muchevidencethatthe use of measuresother than mean plant yield underdiSerentcompetitivepressureshas addedto our understandngof competition. 3. CosnpetitionStudieson Mean Yieldin a Single Crop The most substantialarea and surely the most practicallyimportantis that of yielddensity relationshipsand the models which have been found useful in describingthese relationships.The subjectof experimentaldesignfor estimatingsuch relationshipsis not well developed at the practical experimentallevel. The important ideas are those of optimal designs for particularresponse models, and systematicdesigns. A separatearea of some importanceis that of genotypecompetitionmodels. A subjectnot discussedfurtherin this paper,which uses the relationshipbetweendensityand yield, is the adjustmentof meancrop yields to allow for missingplants(Rayner1969,Section 18.8)or for uncontrollablevariation in achievedplant densities(Dowker and Mead 1969). COMPETITION EXPER1MENTS 47 3.2. ResponseModelsfor Yield-DensityRelationships Willeyand Heath( 1969)havewrittenan importantreviewof this subjectfroma practical viewpoint.The principalmodelswhichhave been usedto describeyield-densityrelationships are listed below (W representsyield per unit area, w representsyield per plant and p representsplants per area = density): (a) The simple quadraticpolynomial W= 0 + Fp+ ep2 used frequentlyas smoothing curves but not regardedas appropriateto describethe underlying relationship. (b) Mitscherlich's(1919) equation W= oe[l - exp(-$p)] which has been tried by various experimenters(Donald 1951, Goodall 1960, Kira, Ogawa and Sakawaki1954)but found not to be alwaysadequate. (c) A reciprocalrelationship W-1 = of + dps derivedby Shinozakiand Kira (1956) on the assumptionsthat the growthcurvewas logisticand yield per area was independentof densityfor high density. (d) Holliday's(1960) reciprocalequation, w = oe + ap + ep, generalizedto the familyof inversepolynomialsby Nelder (1966). (e) Bleasdaleand Nelder's(1960) power versionof the Shinozakiand Kira model, w @ = a + dp. Increasinglyonly (c), (d) and (e) are used, with (c) being used for asymptoticrelationships and (d) or (e) for 'parabolic'relationships.These models are used because they usually providean adequate (statistical)fit to the data and at least some of the parametershave reasonablebiologicalinterpretationsand, most importantly,are often found to be invariant over subsetsof data. Good examplesof the use of the models to summariseand interpret substantial sets of data are given by Frappell (1973) who examined the invarianceof parametersoveryearsfor dataon onions, and by Hearn(1972)who analyseda veryextensive set of cotton spacing experimentsusing another modificationof (e), suggested by Berry (1967) to allow for the separationof the effect of density into effects of the within and betweenrow spacings(x1 and x2) W 8 = 0e + dlxl-l + dSx2-l + 7(XlX2)-l Methods for fittingequationsof the form (c), (d) or (e) are describedby Nelder (1966) and Mead (1970) based on the assumptionthat the variance of log w is homogeneous. RecentlyGillis and Ratkowsky( 1978)have examinedthe samplingdistributionsof parameters, principallyoeand W.in models (d) and (e), when the true model is (c). The methodsof fittingused were iterativemaximumlikelihoodusing the methodof Nelder.Gillis and Ratkowsky show that when using model (e) when model (c) is true, substantialbiases can be found in the estimationof oeand d. This appearsto be the resultof the strong correlation between0 and(oe,d) and showsthe desirabilityof eitherfixing0 = 1, whichhas beenfoundto be acceptablefor many crops, or seekingan invariantvalue for 0 over a numberof sets of data whenthe estimationof oland d will be as preciseas for the case when0 is not estimated. I believe that Gillis and Ratkowsky'sconclusion, that the Bleasdale-Neldermodel (e) is 48 BIOMETRICS,MARCH 1979 unsuitablefor yield-densityrelationships,is not justifiedwhen the biologicaladvantagesof the modeland the normalprocedurefor searchingfor an invariantvalueof 0 areconsidered. I believe that the models (d) and (e) provide a good frameworkwithin which to investigatepracticalyield-densityrelationshipsand this is one aspectof competitionexperiments which is in a satisfactorystate of development. 3.2. Designs for Response Model Estimation Thereis little evidencethat the densitiesin experimentson yield-densityrelationshipsare chosen on the basis of statisticaladvice. This is not surprisinggiven the concentrationof optimal design researchon generalresults,and the resultinglack of knowledgeof statisticians about the choice of treatmentlevels for particularsituations.Mead and Pike(1975), in a generalreviewof responsesurfacemethodology,suggestthat 'the detailedinvestigationof experimentaldesigns for particularresponsemodels would be of more practicalvalue than the continuedpursuitof generalresults.' My experiencewith experimentersis that they want their design to satisfy a range of objectives estimationof optimumdensityand the economicoptimumdensity,checkingthe validityof theirmodel,and obtaininginformationoverthe whole rangeof possibletreatment levels.They are not happywith the fundamentalprinciplesof designsfor parameterestimation of response functions (see Box 1968) that the number of levels should equal the numberof parametersin the model,and that the rangeof levelsshouldbe as wide as possible. Whatseemsto be neededis informationaboutthe behaviourof variouscriteriaIvariancesof estimatesof parametersand of importantfunctionsof parameters,sums of squaresfor lack of fit) for a rangeof diSerentdesigns so that experimenterscan see to what extenta design which is optimal for criterionA is sub-optimalfor criterionB. EssentiallyI think we should stop pretendingthat there can be only a single optimal design and we should provide experimenterswith informationabout the meritsand defects of a range of designs so that they can make a subjectivebut informedchoice of designs. The systematicdesignsoriginallysuggestedby Nelder(1962) and modifiedby Bleasdale (1967) are definitelynot optimalin any senseof formaloptimaldesigntheory.Howeverthese designsare popularwith some agronomistsand do have potentialstatisticaladvantagesin the sense of the efficientuse of availablematerial,throughthe reductionof non harvested areas.They also have the advantageof not beingtied to a singleparticularobjectivewhichis importantwhen priorinformationabout parametersof a responsemodelis slight,a situation likely to be common in intercroppingexperimentationto be discussedin Section 4. The disadvantageof systematicdesignsis that the lack of randomisationmeansthat any simple analysisof variancemust relyon the homogeneityof the systematicplot togetherwith the assumptionsthat the plants are randomlyallocated and that the errors of yields are normallydistributedand independent.Whereindependenceappearsto be markedlyunrealistic a more complex analysis using Papadakismethod or one of the spatial interaction alternativesto it (Bartlett 1978) may be appropriate.Howeverusuallya simple fittingand comparisonof responsecurvesis a quite adequateform of analysis. 3.3. Genotype Competition Models The main formalapproachto analysingexperimentsin whicha numberof genotypesare grown in all possiblepairsand in purestandshas been a seriesof papersstartingwith Sakai (1961) and Williams(1962) and continuingthroughMcGilchrist(1955) to McGilchristand COMPETITIONEXPERIMENTS 49 Trenbath(1971). In this last paper the analysis is based on De Wit and Van den Bergh's (1965) conceptof Relative Yield Total, which is obtained by consideringthe yield of each componentof the mixturerelativeto the purestand yield of that componentand averaging thesestandardisedyields over the components.A second importantconceptin their work is the aggressivityof one species with respectto the other which is definedas the diSerence betweenthe two standardisedyields. Both these basic concepts are expressedas a combination of main eSects and interactionsand a substantialand complex analysisis built up. McGilchristand Trenbathlist a numberof papersin which other forms of analysisare proposedand they argue that these other analysesare all empiricalwhereastheiranalysisis not. I find this argumentdifficultto accept.I think that what McGilchristand Trenbathare actuallydoing is to take a very particularview of what a genotypecompetitionexperimentis designedto achieve, and then building a model to embody that aim. Clearly when it is assumedthat the experimentis designedto investigateaggressivityand depressioneSects of individualgenotypes, then an analysis couched in terms of aggressivityand depression parametersis less empiricalthan other analyses.However,for other objectives,such as the agronomicone of selectingthe best combination,this model may not be appropriateand may actually obscurepatterns.SometimesI wonderif the terms 'more empirical'and 'less empirical'shouldnot be bannedfroma comparativediscussionof modelsbecausethey imply an objectivitywhich is spurious! 4. IntercroppingExperiments Intercroppingcan be definedas the growingof two or more crops simultaneouslyon the samepieceof land. It has beenrecognisedfor a long time that intercroppingwas importantin the developingtropicsbut in the past it seemsto havebeenassumedthat it wouldgive way to monocroppingas a consequence of agriculturaldevelopment.It is now clear that intercroppingcan give substantialyield advantagecomparedwith monocroppingin the sense of requiringless land to producethe sameyields of the componentcrops and it is also clearthat intercroppingwill continue as a common practiceand that there is a need for a substantial experimentalprogrammeto investigateagronomicpracticein intercropping.I believe this developmentin experimentationoSers the most interestingresearcharea in experimental designand analysis for statisticiansfor many years, and I am fortunateto be involvedin a veryextensiveintercroppingresearchprogrammeat the InternationalCrop ResearchInstitute in the Semi-AridTropics(ICRISAT)whichwill formthe basis of muchof the comment in this section. A general view of the presentdevelopmentof intercroppingis providedby Willey(1978). In consideringthe agronomy of intercroppingit is necessaryto considerthe intercrop mixtureas 'a crop',just like a monocrop,and to discussexperimentsin termsof the levels of the varioustreatmentfactors.The reasonswhy intercroppingexperimentationis so statistically interestingare: (1) The largenumberof faetorsof interest,whichis morethan for a sole erop becauseof all the differentquestionsabout spatialarrangementof the two separatecomponentcrops. (2) The degreeof ignoraneeabout optimal levels of spatialarrangementand other factors.For example,very mueh higherdensitiesmay be appropriatefor some eomponenterops in intereropping than would be optimal for the same erops grownas sole erops. (3) The very substantialproblemsof analysis, both what to analyze and how to interpretthe results. A separatearea of considerableimportanceis the screeningof genotypesfor use in intercropping(Section4.3). 50 BIOMETRICS,MARCH 1979 4.1. Methods of Analysis of IntercroppingExperiments Therehas been much argumentabout how to combinethe yields of the componentcrops. Probablythe single most popular measureis the Land EquivalentRatio (LER) which is definedas the relativeland area requiredfor sole crops to produce the yields achievedin intercropping(Willey and Osiru 1972). This is essentiallythe sarlleas the Relative Yield Total of De Wit and Van den Bergh(1965), thoughthe standardisingsole cropyieldsused as denominatorsin calculatingthe LER's arenot regardedas necessarilybeingthe yieldsfor the sole crop underthe same conditionsas the intercropbut ratheras a measureof the maximum achievablesole crop yield (Huxley and Maingu 1978).With this approachthe values of the standardisingmonocrop yields need not be based solely on within experimentinformation and consequentlythe variabilityof this compositeyield is likelyto be less than that used by McGilchristand Trenbath. The usual reason advanced for preferringthe LER to a composite yield based on a comparisonwith the yield, based on equal areasof the two crops, is that at harvestthereis a higherproportionof the more competitivecrop than is indicatedby the sown proportions and that the LER representsa measureof biologicalefficiencyin achievingthe sameyieldsby intercroppingrather than monocroppingeHowever the LER does have a corresponding disadvantagein that it representsthe biologicalefficiencyof intercroppingconditionalon the harvestproportionsof yield being those which are required. I believethat no singlemeasureof overallyield will be completelysatisfactoryand that in some form it will be necessaryto use a two-dimensionalrepresentationof yield advantage.A method of displayingthe biological advantageobtained by intercropping,for a range of proportionsof the two harvestedcrop yields, is proposedby Mead and Willey(in preparation) and it is hoped that this will providea usefulmethodof data presentation.For formal analysisI suspectthat it will usuallybe usefulto analyseyields for each crop separatelyand also to analyse one or more forms of compositeyield. 4.2. Experimental Design for Spatial A rrangement Treatments The problems of designing experimentsto investigatespatial arrangementeffects in intercroppingare particularlycomplex becauseit is necessaryto considerfive factors the plant density for each crop; the spatial arrangementin terms of within and between row distancesfor each crop; and the inter-relationshipof the two spatial arrangements,sometimes referredto as the degreeof intimacyof the two crops. Most of the experimentsused previouslyhave held constant or confounded severalof these factors.Thus most of the experimentsof the De Wit school (De Wit 1960,1961,De Wit and Van den Bergh 1965)have workedon the replacementprincipleusing varyingproportions of the two cropsbut keepingthe overallcrop densityconstant.More recentexperiments (Huxley and Maingu 1978, Wahua and Miller 1978)have used a modificationof Nelder's ( 1962)systematicfan designin whichplantsarespacedalong the radiiof a circle.Wahuaand Millerhave some quadrantsof the circleplantedwith mixedcrops and otherquadrantswith sole crops. Huxleyand Mainguvary the ratio of the two componentcropsbetweendifferent segments of the circle as well as varying the density along each spoke. At ICRISAT a systematic row design of the type advocated by Bleasdale (1967) was used to vary the population density of safflowerin steps of 10%within each of four constant chickpea densities,and the resultsshowed a most strikingresponseto safflowerdensity. I believethat systematicdesignswill be extremelyusefulin intercroppingexperimentsand anticipate that many more variationson systematicdesigns will be devised. Two possible designs,the first of whichis currentlybeingtriedat ICRISAT,are shown in Figures3 and 4. COM PETITION EXPERIM ENTS (9) (c) (c) 51 (b) (b) (a) (a) (a) (e) (e) (d) (d) (f) G G G G G G G C G G F1C G G C t1 G G G G ;1 G G G M G G t1 G G M C G M G G (W1 t1 M G G G G t1 t' C G G M M G G G M M G G G M ; " M MM G G C G G G G G G G M G G G G M G G G G t1 G G G M G G t. G G t1 G C1h1G G G t1 F1G G G C. F1M C G G tl M G G G M t1 G G G t1 M M tt M G C C G G G G G G G F1G G G c t! G G G G t' G G G M G G t: G G ' C G Fl G G G F11 G G.G G1M F1G1C G H M G G G li M G G G M F: M M lT M G G G G G G G G G G M G G G C t1 G G G G lI G G G M G G tt G G t; G G F1G G G M F: G G C C M Fs G G G t: $' G G G M O;G G G M M M M M M G G G G G G G G G G tl G G G G t: G G C G M G G G M G G 1 G G tx'G G tl C. G1G M M G G G G t! M G G C .: ' G G G M M G G G M M M M M M r. Figure3 Systematicrow design to investigatevariationof proportionsand intimacyin a groundnut(G)-Millet (M) intercrop.[See text for definitionsof (a) to (g)]. In Figure 3 a systematicdesign to compare various density ratios and intimaciesof two crops, PearlMillet and Groundnut,is shown. Rows run verticallyand five plants are shown in each row. The row arrangementtreatmentsrequiredwere (a) 1 row Millet, 2 rows Groundnut,(b) 1 row Millet, 3 rows Groundnut,(C) 1 row Millet, 4 rows Groundnut,(d) 2 rows Millet, 3 rows Groundnutand (e) 2 rows Millet, 4 rows Groundnut,plus sole crops of (f) Millet and (g) Groundnut.By arrangingthe rows systematicallyas shown only two rows need be discardedand the designis 20%or 30%more efficientin usingplant materialthan a randomiseddesign would be. This is one systematicdesign for which a standardanalysis ignoringthe non-randomnesswill probably be appropriate(the experimenthad not been harvestedat the date of writing).Figure4 shows,in abbreviateddiagrammaticform,a simple modificationof Bleasdale's(1967) systematicrow design which allows the densitiesof the two crop componentsto be variedindependently,the density for one componentcrop (x) changingsystematicallyalong each row, with the same patternfor each row, and the density for the other componentcrop (o) changingsystematicallyfrom row to row with a uniform densityin eachrow. The analysisof this designwoulddefinitelybe by fittingresponsecurves. 4.3. Genotype Comparison Experiments Among intercroppingexperimentsother than those primarilyconcerned with spatial arrangementfactors, the most important are probably those concerned with screening x x x x x x x o o o o o o o x x x x x x x x x x x x o o o o o o x x x x x x o x o x o x o x o x o x x x o x x x o x o x x o o x o x x x x o o o x x o o x o x o x x o o o x x o o o x x x o o x o o x o o x x o x o o x x o o x o o x o o x o o o o o o o o x o o o o o o o o o o x o o x o x o x o x o o x o o o o o x x x o o x x o x x o x o o x x o o o o o x x x o x x x o o o x x x x x o x o o x o o x o o x o x x o x x o x o x x o o x o o x x o o x x x o o o x x o o o x x x o o Figure4 Two-waysystematicspacing design for two crops (x and o) with a constantbetween-rowdistance. 52 BIOMETRICS,MARCH 1979 genotypesbecauseagain the experimentsare particularlycomplicated.This is due simplyto havingtwo componentcropsso that not only are theretwo genotypefactors,but also it may be necessaryto include all the sole crops for each genotypeof each crop. Some interesting problemsare: (i) How many intercroppingsituations should one impose on a comparisonof a numberof genotypesof one crop intendedfor use in intercroppingand how should an experimentto compare genotypesof a single crop, undera rangeof diSerentintercroppingsituationsbe designed? (ii) Is it necessaryto includesole crop plots of all genotypesincludedin a genotypetrial? (iii) How manygenotypesshouldbe includedwhenvariouscombinationsof genotypesof eachof two crops are being compared?Should all possiblecombinationsbe used?And again should all sole cropsbe included?What kind of experimentaldesignsare useful? In most situationsthe numberof experimentaltreatmentswill be large,thoughplots neednot be, and variabilityin intercroppingexperiments(in randomisedexperiments)is frequently very high, often with coefficientsof 25%to 30%.Thus the need to deviseefficientdesignsis extremelyimportantand again systematicdesignsmay have much to offer. 5. Epilogue My prejudiceswill havebecomeincreasinglyclearto the readerof this paperbut I believe that it is usefulto drawmy conclusionsfrom the variousaspectsof competitionexperiments together. In generalbiometricianshave, I believe, failed to concernthemselvessufficiently with the practicalaspectsof experimentaldesign.The objectiveof obtainingthe maximum amount of informationfrom a given amountof experimentalmaterialdoes not end with the formulafor the efficiencyof an incompleteblockdesign.Systematicdesignsofferone tool for the biometricianto use in improvingexperimentaldesign. Good designs for the detailed physiologicalexperimentsare needed.ThereareprobablyotherareasI havenot identified. I am sure that intercroppingis the most importantarea of agriculturalresearchfor the next decade. Will biometriciansbe involvedin the intellectuallyfascinatingand practically importantproblems of experimentaldesign and analysis?Since most of the researchon intercroppingwill be done at researchinstitutesin developingcountries,wherethe biggest benefitsof intercroppingseem to lie, and wheretherearegenerallyveryfew biometricians,it will be necessaryfor biometriciansto make a deliberateeffortto be involved. If we do not makethat effortwe will be clearlyshownto be interestedonly in our mathematicsand not in the real world. The only area where I have suggestedthat mathematicalwork is necessary,is that of optimaldesignfor variousestimationcriteriawith yield densityresponsemodels.Two areas urgentlyneedingjustificationby practicalapplicationare those of plant interactionmodels (Section 2.4) and the varietalcompetition'bee-hive'designs(Section 2.2). Acknowledgments I have enjoyedstimulatingdiscussionsand advicefrommanypeople and am particularly gratefulto Dr. R. W. 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