Conference Session B1 Paper #229 Disclaimer — This paper partially fulfills a writing requirement for first year (freshman) engineering students at the University of Pittsburgh Swanson School of Engineering. This paper is a student, not a professional, paper. This paper is based on publicly available information and may not be provide complete analyses of all relevant data. If this paper is used for any purpose other than these authors’ partial fulfillment of a writing requirement for first year (freshman) engineering students at the University of Pittsburgh Swanson School of Engineering, the user does so at his or her own risk. COMPUTATIONAL MODELS AND SIMULATIONS AND THEIR PREVALENCE IN RESEARCHING ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE Jaida Barker-English, [email protected], Mahboobin 4pm, Janet Canady, [email protected], Mahboobin 4pm Abstract—This paper addresses the applications of computational models and simulations in tracking and predicting the development of various mechanisms in the nervous system linked to the worsening of Alzheimer’s Disease and brain atrophy. Research surrounding the Amyloid plaque theory involves building databases of brain scans from Alzheimer’s patients over a set period of time to effectively track the growth of Amyloid plaque. This database allows researchers to conduct predictive simulations that can help determine where plaque buildup is most common, as well as the expected detrimental effect the plaque may have on a patient’s brain. Predictive simulations and computer models allow researchers to develop methods of counteracting the growth of Amyloid plaque, as well as test theoretical solutions without using costly or potentially dangerous human trials. This paper provides examples of the efforts and successes of researchers in using simulations to predict Amyloid plaque growth, and further discuss the significance of computer models in biomedical fields to improve the lives of Alzheimer’s patients. Furthermore, this paper assesses the societal impact of Amyloid plaque simulations on the future of Alzheimer’s Disease research, as well as the ethical implications of using computer models according to the Code of Professional Ethics for Simulationists. tomography, computational modeling has populated the biomedical field and continues to be one of its most viable options for sustainability. As computer modeling continues to assist researchers in science, it has impacted Alzheimer’s Disease research significantly. Because of the limited understanding of the disease, victims of Alzheimer’s disease have minimal options available for treatment. There are currently only four Food and Drug Administration Approved Medicines for Alzheimer’s Disease symptom treatment and none to reverse the disease [1]. It is estimated to affect around 20% of the American population age 65 or higher at a total of 88.5 million people by the year 2050. It is linked to aging, and for every 5 years a person lives beyond age 65 they are twice as likely to develop Alzheimer’s [2]. The disease seems to be increasing its impact with time, so the need for research increases each year. Simulations have allowed Alzheimer’s Disease researchers to predict patterns of brain atrophy in an individual patient, which in turn opens many opportunities for the development of specific and individualized treatment regimens and the development of new vaccines to counteract the spread of atrophy. Simulations and computer models tailored specifically for tracking the development of Alzheimer’s Disease are already in use, and their success could very well steer the direction of both Alzheimer’s Disease treatment and the acceptance of simulations as a beneficial and legitimate means of experimentation. The success of simulations in providing reliable and trustworthy results is paramount to their continued use in the future, and with its growth comes the concerns of the safety and ethical implications of using simulations instead of real life trials, as well as taking their lasting effect on society into account. With hope, the rapid expansion and continued innovation of computational modeling will continue to promote the general epidemiology and eventual eradication of Alzheimer’s Disease, as well as the plethora of other afflictions that computer models and simulations serve to provide priceless intelligence. Key Words—Alzheimer's Disease, Amyloid plaque, Biomarker, Brain Atrophy, Computer Modeling, Simulation INTRODUCTION: MODELING AND SIMULATION IN THE BIOMEDICAL SPHERE As computer technology becomes increasingly more efficient and convenient with time, computational models and simulations have become more popular in the experimental steps of hypothesis testing and development. From the creation of magnetic resonance imaging, to positron emission 1 University of Pittsburgh Swanson School of Engineering 03.31.2017 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady Computational Model Types and Application to Bioengineering COMPUTER MODELING IN BIOENGINEERING The development of computational modeling heavily aligns with its extensive use in the field of biomedical engineering. Upon the re-discovery and recognition of computational modeling for brain disease research, researchers studied brain recognition patterns through formation of network models. This allowed them to observe anatomical and functional relationships along regions of the brain by localizing lobe regions [3]. Other biological studies that are assisted with computational modeling include blood flow, optometry surgeries, drug design and limb rehabilitation. For each of these processes, computational modeling serves a unique, yet major significance. Computer Modeling and Simulation Defined The National Institute of Health defines Computational Modeling as “The use of computers to simulate and study the behavior of complex systems using mathematics, physics and computer science” [3]. Computational Modeling is extremely useful to the field of biology and research because it allows scientists to simplify complex systems by visiting them one variable at a time. In addition to replicating whole systems, computer technology can be used to adjust models to be as detailed or as specific as needed. For example, multiscale modeling handles experimentation by testing materials on both micro and macro scales. This gives researchers the power to replicate complex systems layer by layer without having to do physical experimentation. Also, while the testing is being done through the computer, numerical data is being recorded as well. Additionally, computer systems organize data, making it easier for scientists to reach their own conclusion while saving a significant amount of time and resources. If operated properly, computers will allow experiments to virtually run themselves. Computational modeling is extremely effective for laboratory testing. Models with modified variables are monitored for reactions, and the reactions that happen are accurate predictions of outcomes that would be produced during physical experimentation. This makes computational modeling a very sustainable option to solving medical issues. Computational modeling can be sustainable in areas such as including optimization, modeling, data management and analytics, advanced sensing techniques, human computer interaction, and intelligent systems, but the aspects of sustainability we will mention in this paper will be system design, optimization of processes, data management and analytics and human computer interaction [4]. For more complicated systems, computational modeling assist with optimization of processes through its ability to replicate an entire functioning system in particular. Also, unlike humans, computers can simultaneously categorize and organize the result of testing multiple variables under multiple conditions making it helpful for data management and analytics. For example, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) regularly models medical phenomena such as brain atrophy and Positron Emission Tomography (PET) measures hypometabolism by three-dimensional mapping [3]. These models can provide the scientist with information about abnormal brain regions and locations of the abnormalities, neither of which can be observed by the naked eye. FIGURE 1 [3] A three-dimensional computational model of platelet system reveals basic structure The figure above depicts a model of a platelet system compared to its actual appearance under a microscope. With this accurate model, predictions and experiments regarding platelets can be developed and tested with ease. The process of blood flow can be seen with instruments such as microscopes, but it cannot be altered without proper examination and knowledge of capillaries. For blood clot removal surgeries, doctors examine the style of the blockage and decide on the best way to clear plaques. The ability to make such a decision wisely is enhanced by the preparation of computer models where surgeons replicate the environment of the capillary so that they can form a predicted response for actual blockage removal of plaques. The usage of computer models in drug design helps researchers simulate the body’s unwanted responses to medicine. Although some of these processes seem independent of Alzheimer’s Disease research, the combination of concrete visualization and medicinal testing are key components of how computer 2 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady modeling is used in Alzheimer’s Disease research. The responses of computer simulated systems or features can predict the outcome of testing on biological material because they are extremely accurate. stages of Alzheimer’s Disease where atrophy causes noticeable changes. The first stage may include mild shortterm memory loss or small changes in behavior. The patient then experiences symptoms that make it harder for them to operate independently—patients in the second stage of AD may have trouble with complex tasks, may not recognize close friends and family, and will often lose the ability to handle personal responsibilities such as daily chores, finances, or hygiene routines. When the patient reaches the third, most severe stage of decline, they are usually declared unable to operate independently and are hospitalized for their safety. Symptoms of this stage include delusions, long-term memory loss, Dementia, and inability to recognize basic human needs such as thirst or hunger on their own. The Alzheimer’s association predicts that the number of senior citizens with Alzheimer’s per year will increase by 400,000, but the cost of treatment will inflate by 13.1% [7]. Therefore, Alzheimer’s research and modeling proves itself necessary for economic sustainability of the population over age 65. Currently, there are several main hypotheses regarding the development of Alzheimer’s Disease. The first hypothesis involves the formation of plaque blockages along the nervous system. These plaques, known as amyloid plaques, are formed between nerve cells by a protein called beta-amyloid peptide, and are normally broken down and removed by the body. However, in cases of AD, the plaques accumulate and form insoluble blockages [8]. Using cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers with amyloid deposition, Dickerson and Wolk concluded the principle that the amyloid deposition hypothesis heavily correlates with development of Alzheimer’s Disease [9]. The second hypothesis is described as a neurofibrillary tangle, in which another species of protein, the tau protein, creates tangles inside nerve cells in the brain. These tau proteins are necessary for transferring important nutrients between nerve cells, and abnormalities can lead to a complete collapse of the nutrient-transfer system. These conditions cause neurons to lose their connections to other neurons, and the brain begins to shrink as more neurons are killed. This process is known as brain atrophy [8]. Using computational models, Dr. Braak morphometrically and cross-sectionally mapped out the spread of abnormal tau proteins following each stage of Alzheimer’s Disease. With MRI assistance, he kept track of morphological changes and could then follow the pathological progression of the disease [9]. Lastly, the cholinergic hypothesis proposes that the memory deterioration observed in AD patients is caused by reduced synthesis of acetylcholine. When cholinergic neurons in the forebrain aren’t formed properly, acetylcholine cannot be released and synapse does not occur. Because synaptic loss correlates with disease progression and loss of cholinergic neurons produces AD symptoms, scientists proposed the theory that if they create a drug to act on the cholinergic system, they can treat patients with Alzheimer’s Why Modeling and Simulation is Important Computer modeling serves a vital role in simplifying complex processes, making them a very efficient way to conduct experiments. For example, examination of brains through MRIs has reduced the necessity for opening the skull cap to examine issue with the brain, a practice that has proven to be fatal by case of stroke, coma, brain damage, and anesthesia accidents. With MRIs, this practice can be avoided and the chances of living increases for those who require brain examinations. Many brain disease diagnoses are only possible by computational modeling because of the utilization of MRI and PET scans. An MRI-developed model of transneuronal transmission made by Dr. Ashish Raj at the Department of Radiology in the Weill Medical College of Cornell University consisted only of the brain’s connectivity network which greatly mathematically reduced the topography of Alzheimer’s Disease in the brain [5]. The result is a connectome, a clear map of the brain’s neural connections. With simplified models, Alzheimer’s Disease can be inspected one factor at a time and through this, theories of the cause have been developed. Because of computer modeling, researchers have kept track of plaque growth and have associated accumulation of specific plaques with the cause of Alzheimer’s Disease. This result has not only amplified, but transformed the role of computational modeling of plaques and brain deterioration in research. The goal of Raj’s study is now “to develop the theoretical model into a clinically useful computational biomarker with the ability to predict future patterns of atrophy in susceptible individuals” [5]. Being able to detect the likeliness of the disease early in patients greatly increases the amount of treatment a person can receive ahead of time thus increasing their chances of survival. The continuation of computational modeling of atrophy patterns and other key Alzheimer’s Disease principles is important if the disease is to eventually be eradicated. COMPUTER MODELING IN ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE RESEARCH Defining and Explaining Alzheimer’s Disease Alzheimer’s Disease (AD) is defined as “a progressive, degenerative disorder that attacks the brain's nerve cells, or neurons, resulting in loss of memory, thinking and language skills, and behavioral changes” [6]. While physical deterioration within the brain is not visible, there are several 3 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady Disease [1]. The medicines developed from this model have not yet been completely proven. the Network Diffusion (ND) predictive model. This type of computational simulation, known as a biomarker, is a unique theoretical model “with the ability to predict future patterns of atrophy in susceptible individuals” and is used in clinical settings to monitor potential development of atrophy and target areas of concern before they develop [5]. Once the predictive model is constructed, new data is collected to test the model's’ ability to predict patterns of atrophy that correlate with the experimental data. The predictive results from the Network Diffusion model are displayed using “glass brains,” a computer-generated model of a brain with superimposed, color-coded spheres to represent growth and spread of atrophy over time within respective lobes. The glass brains show that the ND model correctly predicts the experimental pattern of atrophy spread throughout the brain, to the extent that it accurately displays patterns that are specific to different categories of AD symptoms. The ND model is able to differentiate between cases of Mild Cognitive Disease and cases of Alzheimer’s Disease based on the severity and pattern of atrophy [5]. Concluded Inconclusive: The Necessity for More Research Of the listed proposed theories, none have produce the results that clearly prove the cause of Alzheimer’s Disease. The results often conflict or are difficult to interpret. Because Alzheimer patients often experience the same set of symptoms, it is necessary for the causes of each of those symptoms to be studied in junction. Computational modeling has the ability to tie together in a single framework advances from various levels of detail so they can examine the interaction of mechanisms to find the specific interactions (or lack thereof) that are the causes of the disease. Modeling has been used to analyze each of the factors separately, but in order figure out the pathogenesis of the disease, more research must be done on tau hyper-phosphorylation, increased Aβ production, reduction of and acetylcholine synthesisprincipal characteristics of AD. With the possibility of eventual AD eradication, computational modeling will increase population growth. This is another example of sustainability in this technology which fits the principal development challenge described by the United Nations(UN) in chapter 2 of The Report of World Commission on Environment and Development. The UN states that “The principal development challenge is to meet the needs and aspirations of an expanding developing world population” [7]. Several researchers have developed theories through modeling techniques to meet these needs. THE NETWORK DIFFUSION BIOMARKER: BUILDING A PREDICTIVE DATABASE Computer models and simulations have a significant role in modern Alzheimer’s Disease research, and the success of their use can prove beneficial not only to those whose wellbeing relies on the haste and accuracy of the results, but also to the credibility of computer modeling in all branches of medicinal experimentation and development. Computer models and simulations were used in a study conducted by Dr. Ashish Raj in which patterns of brain atrophy were compiled to build an algorithm capable of predicting areas of concern in patients affected by Alzheimer’s Disease. In the study, MRI scans were collected from subjects diagnosed with Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI), a common precursor to Alzheimer’s Disease, and from subjects diagnosed with Alzheimer’s Disease. Scans are taken over an extended period of time to properly track development of atrophy, and are used to construct an accurate database that accounts for variability in individual patients. These results were then used to create FIGURE 2 [5] Raj’s “Glass Brains” imaging method, displaying atrophy spread over time in color-coded lobes 4 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady of atrophy. This evidence makes for a much more reliable method of categorization of Alzheimer’s subtypes, as opposed to categorization by symptoms reported by the patient [5]. Raj states that the Network Diffusion model has limitations that serve as minor inconveniences to the reliability of the results, however future projects are in progress to reduce these inconveniences. The first of these includes the sample size with which the model was built. The MRI scans used to construct the model were limited to records from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) as opposed to a larger sample from multiple sources, and only includes atrophy progression scans from a range of two to four years. Future work is planned to reduce or eliminate these limitations; However, the current results of the ND model are still sound and valid for continued use [5]. FIGURE 3 [5] Network Diffusion Model scatterplot of correlation between predicted and experimental Atrophy/Metabolism vs. Exponential and Sigmoid models CURRENT LIMITATIONS OF COMPUTER SIMULATIONS As with all technology, computer simulations are not without drawbacks and limitations. It is suggested that computer simulations create a “false sense of security” because the models and calculations are performed by a computer where human error can be easily avoided [11]. Real-world testing is still very necessary for this reason--Computers are not suited for the unpredictability of nonsimulated conditions, nor are they perfectly suited to accommodate systems with very complex machinations and processes [11]. Models can only represent specific portions of a total system, such as a model of the human brain rather than the entire body, and should the model fail to acknowledge potential influences outside of its scope, it leaves a chance of unaccounted for results or possible disaster if an important detail goes unnoticed [11]. Naturally, there is also the chance of human error during the construction of a model or simulation, in the form of coding bugs, or false theories and assumptions [11]. While computer simulations have proven to be incredibly useful to engineers and experimenters, they must be utilized with utmost confidence that the simulation lacks errors and takes into account any possible influences outside of its scope. These limitations further support the necessity for an extensive peer review system suggested by Tongen and Adam above, for it can help to reduce the risk of these limitations causing any significant problems. Therefore, while computer simulations are convenient and cost-effective, it is also important that computer simulations do not take absolute precedence over real life testing, as no computer simulation can capture every nuance and replicate every precise condition that a real-life test can. Often, the faults of computer modeling threaten its accessibility to everyone. High costs of technology raise the price of healthcare, and being diagnosed with Alzheimer’s As per figure 3, compared to two similar biomarker hypotheses, a sigmoid (logistic) model and an exponential model of brain degeneration, Raj’s Network Diffusion model provided the highest correlation between experimental and predicted rate of Atrophy/Metabolism. The Network Diffusion model proved to be significantly robust in the face of variability and sampling error, and is capable of minimizing variance with a precision improvement of 300% compared to the baseline data [5]. Significance of the Network Diffusion Results Overall, the Network Diffusion model trials produced highly favorable results, both in its capability to predict locations and severity of atrophy, and its improved results compared to other predictive models. Due to its success, the ND model can potentially be used in clinical and diagnostic settings for predicting the future conditions of an individual patient. Raj states that “Knowledge of what the future holds can empower patients and allow informed choices regarding lifestyle, therapeutic, and nontherapeutic interventions,” [5]. This supports the idea that the Network Diffusion model can make significant improvements in the lives of both those diagnosed with Alzheimer’s and those with other conditions that cause brain atrophy. A prediction model as powerful as the ND model will allow patients to seek the most viable treatments for their current and possible future conditions, as well as allow doctors, clinicians, and other medical professionals to customize treatment regimens to fit an individual’s best needs. Furthermore, Raj explains that the ND model, paired with the Glass Brain imaging method, provides visual and quantitative evidence of common patterns 5 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady can be financially unbearable to those who do not save enough for emergencies or have good insurance. As listed in the United Nations’ Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development, to be classified as sustainable, a development must address the problem of the large number of people who live in absolute poverty [11]. If over 13.5% of Americans cannot afford basic healthcare, computational modeling needs to serve a role of sustainability and become more reasonably priced. Energy consumption is also an additional limitation of computational modeling because of the high voltage that MRI machines and other imaging machines require. Frequent use of electricity includes to impact the environment due to inefficient energy consumption. Until power is provided in a sustainable manner, things using power (i.e., computational modeling), will not be fully sustainable. Strides are being made every day to reduce risk of error and increase sustainability of computer simulations and make them even more capable of producing reliable results without fear of mistakes or oversights, and as technology continues to become more and more complex over time, it can be hoped that within due time this goal will be achieved. system design assumptions and known limitations...Be explicit and unequivocal about the conditions of applicability of specific models and associated simulation results,” and “Assure thorough and unbiased interpretations and evaluations of the results of modelling and simulation studies.” [12]. These specific codes are very significant to the practice of simulating and modeling, for their use relies heavily on the credibility of those conducting the experiment, and the condition that the results of an experiment are being presented truthfully regardless of whether or not they are favorable. In the case that results are not favorable, the practicality of simulations is revealed—Using computer models is much more convenient than conducting real-life experiments, mainly because of their ability to be repeated. Computer simulations eliminate the risk that money and time will be wasted on rerunning an experiment only to have the results turn out poorly. Computer simulations do not risk the safety of living creatures or people, and do involve wasting resources in hopes of a favorable outcome. This fact supports the claim that simulations can prove beneficial to society because they allow for valuable resources to be better prioritized on successful plans rather than on works in progress, and they allow for assurance that a plan is in proper working order, has no detrimental side effects or shortcomings, and is safe for use by humans before it is officially set into action or developed. The code further explains that simulationists should regularly seek peer review and advisement, as well as be willing to provide it when needed [12]. This idea is further expanded upon by Anthony Tongen and Mary Adam, and their assessment of peer reviewed simulations in “Ethics Involved in Simulation-Based Medical Planning”. Tongen and Adam propose a verification procedure for simulations created with intent to be used in human clinical tests, including “proper verification of the mathematical model, proper understanding of the relationship between the model and actual human physiology, proper verification of margins of error, and proper verification of the risks and benefits of the new technology” [13]. This verification system would ensure that any possible risks are exposed and dealt with accordingly, and that simulationists are certain their models are safe and ready for eventual human trials [13]. It is suggested that, just as pharmaceuticals and medical tools must be evaluated for safety before use on human subjects, simulations used in medical decision-making should be assessed just as thoroughly, for their results, gone unchecked, can have detrimental effects just as any medical evaluation tool [13]. This system of verification can help to improve the credibility of computer simulations and models, for it assures that efforts are being made to keep any possible risks at a minimum, and adds an extra level of verification that an experiment is being conducted ethically. As computer simulations become more widely used, implementing this system of verification is a beneficial idea to ensure the ETHICAL IMPLICATIONS OF COMPUTER SIMULATIONS Computer models and simulations can prove to have lasting benefits for not only the progression of the medical world, but also for the many people whose livelihoods depend on new and innovative medical technology. As mentioned above, experimental simulations such as Dr. Raj’s Network Diffusion prediction model and Glass Brain imaging method proved to be successful examples of computer simulations, the results of which can have lasting influence on the state of Alzheimer’s research and those affected by Alzheimer’s Disease. From this experiment, it is clear to see that simulations, when conducted effectively and ethically, can have a major impact on society, especially as models and simulations become more ubiquitous and widely used in professional spheres, medical or otherwise. First, it is critical to understand the ethical implications of using computer models and simulations, for innovation of any kind is null without proof that it is safe, reliable, and a genuine improvement to society. To assure that simulations achieve an acceptable standard of credibility, Dr. Tuncer I. Ören, Dr. Maurice S. Elzas, Dr. Iva Smit, and Dr. Louis G. Birta collaborated to create the Code of Professional Ethics for Simulationists, a proposed code of ethics with guidelines regarding “Personal development and the profession, professional competence, trustworthiness, property rights and due credit, and compliance” with the guidelines of the proposed code [12]. Among these guidelines are the stipulations that simulationists will “Provide full disclosure of 6 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady reputations of neither the experimenters responsible nor the concept of simulations are tarnished, and to ensure that human subjects of the experiment are at lowest possible risk of harm. comes time to produce a final project, the most cost and energy effective prototype is created. This has both environmental and economic benefits, as less money is spent because less resources are wasted on faulty experiments [14]. While simulations prove to be incredibly useful to the scientific process, as well as to the wellbeing of people affected by Alzheimer’s or any targetable affliction, simulationists still have a long process ahead of them to ensure their projects are reliable and sustainable. Projects like Raj’s Network Diffusion model still have minor issues to be fixed and improvements to be made, however its effectiveness will only continue to increase [5]. Should more and more experimenters decide to implement simulations into their scientific process, society could very well see vast improvements in the biomedical sphere as a whole. SOCIETAL IMPACT OF COMPTUER SIMULATIONS As computer simulations and models are a relatively recent technology, brought with the rise of medicallyimplemented computer technology, their credibility to provide reliable information is still under scrutiny. Effective simulations can prove to have major impacts on society, from cases like the Network Diffusion prediction model for estimating Alzheimer’s spread, or even non-medical simulations that provide useful information. However, these impacts should not be considered without first determining that the simulation is conducted and overseen through an ethical lense, and that the results of a simulation are accurate and trustworthy for eventual implementation into society where it will be utilized daily. The future of computer simulations and models relies heavily on the ethical implications of their use. The Network Diffusion experiment is a prime example of computer simulations and models benefiting the medical world and the lives of Alzheimer’s patients. The success of this experiment can pave the way for effective simulations for a plethora of other conditions, can shift treatment methods to a much more custom and individualized approach, and provides a much more convenient and inexpensive method of analyzing diseases as they progress [5]. SOURCES [1] “Alzheimer’s Disease: Targeting the Cholinergic System.” Ferreira-Vieira T. 14 Jan. 2016 Accessed 02.27.2017 [2] “Statistics.” About Alzheimer’s Disease. 01.28.2017 AFA. 02.15.2017 https://www.alzfdn.org/AboutAlzheimers/statistics.html [3] "Science Topics." National Institutes of Health. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Sept. 2016. Web. 02 Mar. 2017. https://www.nibib.nih.gov/scienceeducation/science-topics/computational-modeling [4] “Special Issue on Computational Sustainability.” IEEE. Accessed 03.22.2017 http://ieeexplore.ieee.org.pitt.idm.oclc.org/document/686700 0/ [5] Raj, A. “Network Diffusion Model of Progression Predicts Longitudinal Patterns of Atrophy and Metabolism in Alzheimer’s Disease” Cell Reports. 01.20.2015. Accessed 10 Feb. 2017 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S22111247 14010638 [6] “About Alzheimer’s Disease.” 01.28.2016. Alzheimer’s Foundation of America Accessed. 10 Feb. 2017 http://www.alzfdn.org/AboutAlzheimers/definition.html [7] “Our Common Future, Chapter 2: Towards Sustainable Development.” Our Common Future: Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development. United Nations. Accessed 03.22.2017 http://www.undocuments.net/ocf-02.htm [8] “Amyloid Plaques and Neurofibrillary Tangles.” 2017. BrightFocus Foundation. 10 Feb. 2017. http://www.brightfocus.org/alzheimers/infographic/a myloid-plaques-and-neurofibrillary-tangles https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4787279/ SUSTAINABILITY AND THE FUTURE OF BIOMEDICAL SIMULATION In the case of Alzheimer’s Disease treatment, computer simulations have demonstrated their ability to predict patterns of atrophy development, and in doing so provided experimenters and clinicians with a plethora of new potential theories for specific and individualized treatment. It can be readily assumed that simulations such as the Network Diffusion prediction model set a precedent for models and simulations to be used in the future, not only for Alzheimer’s research, but throughout the entirety of the medical sphere. With the power of models and simulations, scientists harness the ability to replicate lifelike conditions or even test new vaccinations and treatment regimens without the costs and risk that comes with using a living test subject, or without wasting resources on an experiment that may prove fruitless. It is critical that new technology is sustainable and environmentally friendly, and computer models allow for that verification to be made. Models both eliminate the need for physical experiments and allow for more resource-conscious plans to be made and tested within the model, so when it 7 Jaida Barker-English Janet Canady [9] “Biomarker-Based Prediction of Progression in MCI: Comparison of AD Signature and Hippocampal Volume with Spinal Fluid Amyloid-β and Tau.” 10.11.2013. Dickerson B. Accessed 15 Feb. 2017 http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fnagi.2013.0005 5/full [10] “Stages of the Pathologic Process in Alzheimer Disease: Age Categories from to 1 to 100 Years.” Braak H. 11.11 2012 Clinical Neuroanatomy, Department of Neurology, and Laboratory for Neuropathology-Institute of Pathology, Center for Clinical Research, University of Ulm, Germany. Accessed 02.18.2017 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22002422 [11] “Issues Regarding Computer Modeling and Simulation.” Ethics in computing, North Carolina state University. Accessed 02.27.2017.https://ethics.csc.ncsu.edu/old/04_97/f97/13.html #Limitations [12] Oren, T. “Code of Professional Ethics for Simulationists.” Society for Modeling and Simulation International. Accessed 01.11.2016. http://www.scs.org/upload/03-Code_0.pdf [13] Tongen, A., Adam, M. “Ethics Involved in SimulationBased Medical Planning.” University of Arizona. Accessed 01.11.2016. http://educ.jmu.edu/~tongenal/Research_files/Ethics&Medic ineFinal.pdf [14] “Simulation for Sustainable Design.” Autodesk Sustainability Workshop. Accessed 03.31.2017. https://sustainabilityworkshop.autodesk.com/products/simul ation-sustainable-design Proteins Propagation in Aging and Associated Neurodegenerative Disorders.” Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Published 11.20.2014. Accessed 01.25.2016.http://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id= 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003956 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We would like to acknowledge our grader Renee Prymus and our peer advisor Michelle Riffits for help with writing this paper. Janet would also like to thank her research professor, Dr. Shilpa Sant for heightening her passion for bioengineering. ADDITIONAL SOURCES A. Moustafa. “Computational Models of Alzheimer’s Disease.” Scholarpedia. 1.11.2016 Accessed 2.1.2017 http://www.scholarpedia.org/article/Computational _models_of_Alzheimer's_disease “Bioimaging and Signals Concentration.” University of Pittsburgh Swanson School of Engineering. Accessed 01.11.2016. http://www.engineering.pitt.edu/Departments/Bioengineerin g/_Content/Programs/Undergraduate/BIOIMAGING-andSIGNALS-Concentration/ “Computational Modeling.” National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering. 09.2016. Accessed 01.10.2016. https://www.nibib.nih.gov/science-education/sciencetopics/computational-modeling “Computer model maps spread of toxic Alzheimer’s protein.” Alzheimer’s Research UK. 11.20.2014. Accessed 01.10.2016. http://www.alzheimersresearchuk.org/computermodel-maps-spread-of-toxic-alzheimers-protein/ Iturria-Medina, Y. Sotero,R. Toussaint,P. Evans, A. “Epidemic Spreading Model to Characterize Misfolded 8
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