Chapter 5: Short Run Price Competition • Price competition (Bertrand competition) A1. Firms meet only once in the market. A2. Homogenous goods. A3. No capacity constraints. • Bertrand paradox: same outcome as competitive market... • Solution: relax the assumptions.... – Repeated interaction (Chapter 6) – Product Differentiation (Chapter 7) – There exist capacity constraints; ∗ Cournot Equilibrium 1 1 The Bertrand Paradox • Duopoly, n = 2 • Because identical goods, consumers buy from the supplier that charges the lowest price. • Market demand: q = D(p) • Marginal cost: c • Firm i’s demand is D(pi) if pi < pj Di(pi, pj ) = 21 D(pi) if pi = pj 0 if p > p i j • Firm i’s profit is Πi(pi, pj ) = (pi − c)Di(pi, pj ) Definition A Nash equilibrium in price (Bertrand equilibrium) is a pair of prices (p∗1 , p∗2 ) such that each firm i’s price maximizes the profit of i, given the other firm’s price. Πi(p∗i , p∗j ) ≥ Πi(pi, p∗j ) for i = 1, 2 and for any pi. 2 • The Bertrand Paradox (1883): The unique equilibrium is p∗1 = p∗2 = c. • Firms price at MC and make no profit. • If asymmetric marginal costs c1 < c2, it is no longer an equilibrium. – p = c2 (firm 1 sets price lower than c2 to get the whole market) – firm 1 makes Π1 = (c2 − c1)D(c2) and firm 2 has no profit. 3 2 Solutions to Bertrand Paradox 2.1 Repeated Interaction (relax A1) • Chapter 6 • If firms meet more than once, (p∗1, p∗2) = (c, c) is no longer an equilibrium. • Collusive behavior can be sustain by the threat of future losses in a price war. 2.2 Product Differentiation (relax A2) • Chapter 7 • With homogenous product: at equal price, consumers are just indifferent between goods. • If goods are differentiated: (p∗1, p∗2) = (c, c) is no longer an equilibrium. • Example: spacial differentiation 4 2.3 Capacity Constraints (relax A3) • Edgeworth solution (1887). • If firms cannot sell more than they are capable of producing: (p∗1, p∗2 ) = (c, c) is no longer an equilibrium. • Why? If firm 1 has a production capacity smaller than D(c), firm 2 can increase his price and get a positive profit. • Example: 2 hotels in a small town, number of beds are fixed in SR. • The existence of a rigid capacity constraint is a special case of a decreasing returns-to-scale technology. • Why? Firm 1 has a marginal cost of c up to the capacity constraint and then MC = ∞. 5 3 Decreasing Returns-to-scale and Capacity Constraints 3.1 Rationing rules • Cost of production Ci(qi) is increasing and convex, Ci0(qi) > 0 and Ci00(qi) ≥ 0, for any qi. • If firm 1 has a capacity constraint, there exists a residual demand for 2. It depends on the rationing rule. • p1 < p2 • Supply of firm 1 is q 1 = S1(p1) 3.1.1 The efficient-rationing rule (parallel) • Suppose q 1 < D(p1) • Residual demand(for firm 2 is D(p2) − q 1 if D(p2) > q 1 e D2(p2) = 0 otherwise • It is as if the most eager consumers buy from 1, others from 2. • Efficient because maximizes consumers’ surplus. 6 3.1.2 The proportional-rationing rule (randomized) • All consumers have the same probability of being rationed. • Demand that cannot be satisfied at p1: D(p1) − q1 • Thus fraction of consumers that cannot buy at p1 (probability of not being able to buy from 1) is D(p1) − q 1 D(p1) • Residual demand for 2 is e 2(p2) = D(p2) D(p1) − q 1 D D(p1) • Not efficient for consumers. • However, firm 2 prefers this rule because his residual demand is higher for each price. 3.2 Price Competition • Decreasing returns-to-scale softens price competition. Both firms’ prices exceed the competitive price. • Demand function is D(p) = 1 − p • Inverse demand function is P = P (q1 +q2) = 1−q1 −q2 7 • The two firms have capacity constraints qi ≤ q i • Investment: c0 ∈ [ 34 , 1] unit cost of acquiring the capacity q i. • Marginal cost of producing is 0 up to q i and then it is ∞. • Rule is efficient rationing rule. • Price that maximizes (gross) monopoly profit Maxp(1 − p) p is pm = 1/2 and thus Πm = 1/4. • Thus the (net) profit of firm i is at most 1/4 − c0q i and is negative for q i ≥ 1/3. • Assume that qi ∈ [0, 1/3] • The unique Nash equilibrium is p∗ = 1 − (q 1 + q2) • Proof: – Is it worth charging a lower price? NO because of the capacity constraints. – Is it worth charging a higher price? Profit of i if price p ≥ p∗ is Πi = q(1 − q − q j ) where q is the quantity 8 sold by firm i at price p. Furthermore ∂Πi ∂q = 1 − 2q − q j 2 i and ∂∂qΠ2 < 0 – For q = q i, 1 − 2q i − q j > 0 as q i < 1/3 and q j < 1/3. – Hence, increasing p above p∗ is not optimal (i.e. lowering q below q i). • It is as if the 2 firms produce at the capacities, and an auctioneer equals supply and demand. • For q i ∈ [0, 1/3], i = 1, 2, the firms’ reduced form profit functions are the exact Cournot forms (Levitan and Shubik (1972)) • Gross Πig (q i, q j ) = (1 − (q i + q j ))q i • Net Πig (q i, q j ) = (1 − (q i + q j ) − c0)q i • Same result with the proportional rationing rule (Beckman (1967)). 9 • The assumption of large investment cost insures small capacities, and thus we find a solution. • For larger capacities: no equilibrium in pure strategies, only in mixed strategies. 3.3 Ex ante Investment and ex post price competition • A two stage-game in which 1. firms simultaneously choose q i 2. Firms observe the capacities and simultaneously choose pi. • is equivalent to a one-stage game in which firms choose quantities q i and an auctioneer determines the market price that clears the market p = P (q 1 + q 2); Cournot (1838). • Examples of ex ante choice of scale: – Hotel (cannot adjust its capacity), – Vendor of perishable food. 10 4 Cournot Competition • Firms choose the quantities simultaneously. • Each firm maximizes his profit Πi(qi, qj ) = qiP (qi + qj ) − Ci(qi) • where Πi(.) is strictly concave in qi and twice differentiable. • FOCi: ∂Ci(qi) ∂P (.) qi + P (qi + qj ) − =0 ∂qi ∂qi ⇒ qi = Ri(qj ) Best response function of i to qj • Lerner index is qi αi Q $i = P 1 = ε − Q ∂P (.) ∂qi • where αi is firm i’s market share . • Thus the Lerner index is – proportional to the firm’s market share, – inversely proportional to the elasticity of demand. 11 4.1 Case of linear demand Duopoly • P (Q) = 1 − Q • Ci(qi) = ciqi • What are the reaction functions? Ri(qj ) = for i, j = 1, 2 and i 6= j. 1 − ci − qj 2 • What is the Cournot equilibrium? 1 − 2ci + cj 3 • What are the profits of the firms? qi∗ = (1 − 2ci + cj )2 Π = 9 i • A firm’s output decreases with its MC , ∂q ∂ci < 0. • A firm’s output increases with its competitor MC , ∂qi ∂cj > 0. i 12 • For more general demand and cost functions, these 2 conditions are true: a. If reaction curves are downward sloping (quantities are strategic substitutes) b. if reaction curves cross only once, and slope of |R2| <slope of |R1| . Generalization to n firms Pn • Q = i=1 qi • P (Q) = 1 − Q • Ci(qi) = cqi • FOCi: ∂Ci (qi ) qi ∂P∂q(.) + P (Q) − ∂qi = 0 i ⇒ qi + 1 − Q − c = 0 • and Lerner index αi $i = ε • Symmetric equilibrium Q = nq , and thus 1−c q= n+1 13 • Market price is p = 1 − nq = c + 1−c n+1 • and the profit of each firm is (1 − c)2 Π= (n + 1)2 • If n → ∞, thus p → c. • Exercises 5-3, 5-4, 5-5 14 5 Concentration Indices • Structure - conduct - performance paradigm • Structure: concentration of the market • Market share of i is Pn qi αi = Q where i = 1, ..., n and i=1 αi = 1 Concentration indices: • m-firms concentration ratio (m < n) Pm Rm = i=1 αi – where α1 ≥ ... ≥ αm ≥ ... ≥ αn – If Rm → 0, low concentration (many firms) – If Rm → 1, high concentration (few firms): m (usually m = 4) or less firms produce all of the output of the industry. • Herfindahl index Pn 2 RH = 10, 000 i=1 αi – US department of Justice uses this index. The limit for antitrust case is 1,800. – RH → 0, low concentration – RH → 10, 000 high concentration 15 6 Conclusion 16
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