Economics and Computer Science CS595, SB 213 Xiang-Yang Li Department of Computer Science Illinois Institute of Technology Course information Instructor: XiangYang Li [email protected], 312-567-5207, SB 237D Homeworks? Exams? Projects? Gradings? What is this course about Using economics concept to solve some questions in computer science and vice versa What is economics? What does economics study typically? Traditionally, business is follows “Business is war” Outsmart the competition Capture the market share Make a killing brand Beating up supplies Locking up customers It is not enough to succeed. Others must fall. Nowadays Doing business, we have to Listen to customers Work with suppliers Create teams Establish strategic partnerships Business is not war, You do not have to blow out the other fellow’s light to let your own shine! but business is not peace either Even with competitors Battle with competitors over market share, fight suppliers for cost,… What it is then? A new mindset Business is Cooperation when it comes to creating a big pie And competition when it comes to divide it up! Have to compete and cooperate at the same time To find a way bring together competition and cooperation, we use Game theory What is computer science? Algorithms and protocols to solve questions efficiently Algorithms Programming language way to build the machines to solve the questions Computer networking tool to implement out ideas Architecture how to solve questions way of exchange information Etc. What are assumptions of CS? Traditionally Single computer, single user So concentrate on efficiency, and cost Assume that the computing devices will follow our protocols Computer networking Still efficiency, and cost May consider fault tolerance, malicious devices Thus, security is a issue Not always true The network devices could be neither cooperative nor malicious Example: wireless networking Peer-to-peer computing grid computing Computing devices and terminals belong to different users, and organizations Individual users are selfish Want to maximize its own benefit if possible Example: Wireless networks No wired structure Self-organized All nodes as routers Broadcasted signal Powered by battery Scarce energy & memory Mobile Selfish Users How to model this? How to achieve a global system gold when selfish users are present? Economics results How to implement this? Turn to game theory Combine with cryptography and security Is it efficient? Combine with traditional computer science wisdoms The game view of business Five basic elements of a game (PARTS) Players Added values Rules Tactics Scope Value Net customers competitors Company suppliers complementors Value Net Complementor A player is your complementor if customers value your product more when they have the other players product than they have your product alone. Inter vs. Microsoft Competitor A player is your complementor if customers value your product less when they have the other players product than they have your product alone. Coca-cola vs. Pepsi-cola Game Theory An example: Prof. Adam and 26 students Adam keeps 26 black cards and distributes 26 red cards one to each student Dean offer $100 for a pair of red and black cards Restriction: students cannot gather together and bargain as a group with Adam. What will each negotiation end up? 50/50 split What happens if Another example (Barry’s card game): Prof. Adam and 26 students Adam keeps 23 black cards and distributes 26 red cards one to each student Dean offer $100 for a pair of red and black cards Restriction: students cannot gather together and bargain as a group with Adam. What will each negotiation end up? Likely 90/10 split Added Value Your added value= Size of the pie when you are in the game minus the size of the pie when you are out of the game Example Card game one Added value of Adam is $2600, each student is $100, so total added value is $5200 Barry’s game Added value of Adam is $2300, each student is $0, so total added value is $2300! What does it tell? Instead of focusing on the minimum payoff you are willing to accept, be sure to consider how much the other players are willing to pay to have you in the game! Do not confuse your individual added value with the larger added value of a group of people in the same position of the game as you Example: Barry’s card game Rules Rules can change the game Card game example: Rule: take-it-or-leave-it negotiation: a student can either accept or reject the offer by Adam, but not counter-offer, nor second offer from Adam. What will the negotiation turn out to be? A 50/50 split or 90/10 split or something else Who is more powerful now? Rationality and Irrationality Game theory assumes rational player Maximize its profits Understand the game No misperceptions No feelings of pride No fairness No jealousy, spite, vengefulness, altruism But the world is not like this So much for game theory, What is rationality Rationality means A player is rational if he does the best he can, given how he perceives the game, including his perceptions of perceptions, and how he evaluates the various possible outcomes of the game A player can percept wrong and still be rational: he is doing the best he can given what he knows. Rationality as a Paradigm for Internet Computing Noam Nisan Hebrew University, Jerusalem Contents The Internet and the new face of computing Analyzing computing systems in equilibrium Designing computational mechanisms A defining problem: Combinatorial auctions What is Computing? 20th Century 21st century (second half) (first decade) von Neumann Machine The Internet The Internet • Huge dynamic heterogeneous distributed system – “normal distributed CS” • Not centrally owned – different parts owned by different people, firms, or organizations with differing goals – “CS+economics+game-theory”’ TCP Retransmission Rule Transmission Control Protocol Used for most Internet communication Breaks messages into packets, and assembles the packets back into messages Handles packet delay/loss TCP Retransmission Rule When a packet is lost, decrease transmission rate (by a factor of 2) Rational: Network is congested – fix it by reducing demand down to capacity TCP Retransmission Rule “Improved” Rule When a packet is lost, start sending each packet twice Rational: Packets are lost – fix it by increasing the probability that at least one copy of each packet arrives Why not? Internet Resource Sharing The vision Examples: everyone connected to the Internet should have access to all resources that are connected to the Internet CPU-time Files I/O devices Data Knowledge Humans Why share? Electronic Commerce • How will computers talk business? • Using communication, security software, agents, … • Using standards: XML, .NET, J2EE, … and other TLAs • What will they say to each other? • “Book X costs Y” • “Bid X for Y units of stock Z” • “Here’s a complicated offer to you guys: @#$%^ ” Internet Computing Protocols Should take into account Computational issues: CPU time, communication, robustness, memory, languages, … Incentive issues: Selfishness, strategies, payments, coalitions, risk, … Should combine the points of view of Computer Science and of economics Should apply game theory in a computational context At All Protocol Levels … High level (traditional business domain) eCommerce: eStores, auctions, exchanges, supply chains Online Services: games, web-hosting, ASPs Information Resources: music, databases Computational resources: CPU, disk space, proxies, caching, Network Infrastructure: routing, admission control, QoS Low level (traditional CS domain) The Price of Anarchy Take a “normal” CS protocol that works well if everyone does what they should…. Say “Oh my god – the participating computers may do whatever they want…” Analyze what happens when “they do whatever they want” Radical departure from CS: “want” utility rationality game-theory equilibrium Aim to prove that things are still not too bad Or else: argue against using on the Internet Minimizing Packet Delay Braess’s Paradox delay proportional to load x constant delay 1 0 1 x • Many “small”packets – total quantity = 1 • Each knows the delay situation • Each chooses how to get to destination Minimizing Packet Delay Braess’s Paradox 1 0.5 1 x 1 1/2 Optimal routing (delay = 1.5) 0 1 0.5 x • Many “small”packets – total quantity = 1 1 0 1 • Each knows the delay situation • Each chooses how to get to destination Selfish routing (delay = 2.0) The Price of Anarchy is Low Roughgarden&Tardos Theorem: for all network topologies, for all sets of routing requests, for all delay functions on the links: 1. 2. If all delays are linear functions, then the previous example is as bad as it gets – the price of anarchy is at most a factor of 4/3 in delay For general delay functions, doubling the edge capacities compensates for selfishness – the price of anarchy is at most a factor of 2 in infrastructure Algorithmic Mechanism Design Nisan&Ronen Design the protocols so that they will work well under selfish behavior of participants Use notions and techniques from the economic field of Mechanism Design “work well” – the usual computational optimization goals “under selfish behavior” – the usual game-theoretic concepts of equilibrium “Inverse game-theory” Concentrate on “incentive compatibility” (truthfulness) Equilibrium is reached when all players report their private information truthfully The revelation principle shows that this is without loss of generality VCG-Mechanism in CS Vickrey-Clarke-Groves Basic positive result in mechanism design Allow monetary transfers to/from participants Basic idea: internalize externalities Each player pays/gets the total loss/benefit in utility he causes to all others All players see the same goal: optimizing the total sum of players’ utilities VCG-Mechanism in CS Vickrey-Clarke-Groves Pay 70 (=80-10) Clarke tax Shared Cache Caching XXX will save me 100$ Caching XXX will cost me 80$ Caching XXX will save me 10$ Beyond Classical Mechanism New domain of problems New optimization goals Not just sum-of-utilities: e.g. make-span in scheduling New limitations Parameter-complexity: e.g. structure of network Brave-new-world: disregard human conventions and biases Computational complexity Distributed implementation Interaction with usual mechanism design often problematic New biases regarding solution concepts Computer scientists don’t like Bayesian analysis: real-world distributions are too different from those in our analysis – worst-case will happen Computer scientists are happy with approximations: optimality is often too hard Some Recent Results Selling “digital goods” (unlimited supply) Goldberg&Hartline&Wright A randomized mechanism can approximate monopoly price revenue Scheduling jobs on “unrelated machines” Nisan&Ronen No better than 2-approximation for the make-span is possible, but randomized mechanisms can do better Scheduling jobs on “related machines” Archer&Tardos A polynomial time 3-approximation mechanism for the make-span Cost-sharing for multicast transmissions FPS VCG mechanism can be implemented in linear communication Auctions using a few bits Blumrosen&Nisan An auction with 1-bit from each player can achieve 98% efficiency Combinatorial Auctions Most mechanism design problems involve resource allocation The central problem in classical mechanism design is an auction: how to allocate a single indivisible good? Abstracts many resource allocation problems English auction, Dutch auction, first price sealed-bid auction, … Gold standard: Vickrey’s 2nd price auction The emerging central problem in algorithmic mechanism design is a combinatorial auction: how to allocate a collection of goods, with complex dependencies between them? Abstracts many complex resource allocation problems Involves a wide spectrum of computational and game-theoretic issues Combinatorial Auction Problem N indivisible non-identical items are sold concurrently k bidders compete for subsets of these items Each bidder j has a valuation for each set of items: vj(S) = value that j assigns to acquiring the set S vj is monotonic non-decreasing (“free disposal”) Objective: Find a partition (S1…Sk) of {1..N} that maximizes the social welfare: j vj(Sj). Means: protocol between bidders and auctioneer Difficulties: communication, computation, incentives Complements and Substitutes vj() may have complements: vj(ST) > vj(S)+vj(T) for some S and T. Extreme case: “single-minded bid” -- will only pay for a complete package -- pay p for the set S but pay nothing for anything else vj() may have substitutes: vj(ST) < vj(S)+vj(T) for some disjoint S and T. Extreme case: “unit demand bid” -- will pay for at most a single item – the price may depend on the item Routing as Combinatorial Auction Bidder A Destination Bidder B Bidder C • Each bidder wants to buy some path to the destination • Each link is an item The FCC Spectrum Auctions The FCC auctions spectrum licenses for many geographic regions and various frequency bands These auctions have raised billions of dollars The value of a license to a bidder depends on the other licenses it holds Currently licenses are 3.1-3.2GHz 3.1-3.2GHz sold in a simultaneous 3.2-3.3GHz 3.2-3.3GHz auction 3.3-3.4GHz 3.1-3.2GHz USA Congress mandated 3.2-3.3GHz that the next spectrum 3.1-3.2GHz 3.1-3.2GHz auction be made 3.2-3.3GHz combinatorial. 3.2-3.3GHz 3.3-3.4GHz Basic Mechanism Approach Basic Solution Each bidder sends vj() to auctioneer. Auctioneer finds the partition that maximizes j vj(Sj). Auctioneer allocates Sj to each bidder j Auctioneer charges VCG payments – ensures incentive compatibility Computational difficulties Bidding: How to send vj()? Requires communication of 2 N numbers – impractical Allocation: How can the auctioneer find an optimal allocation? The problem is computationally intractable (even to approximate well) Bidding Languages The auction must fix a “language” for representing valuations. All bidders will use that language to express their valuations Proposed languages use: package bids, OR, XOR Language must be expressive: express all reasonable valuations succinctly Language must be simple: computationally easy to manage valuations (represent, determine allocation,…) (left-sock & right-sock : 5$) OR ( (Red-shirt : 10$) XOR (blue-shirt : 9$)) Different bidding languages have different power What should the FCC allow? Iterative Auctions Definition: The demand of valuation v at item prices p1 … pn is the set S that maximizes the benefit: v(S)-i S pi A Walrasian equilibrium is an allocation S1…Sm and item prices p1 … pn such that each Sj is the demand of vj at these prices Fact: Any Walrasian equilibrium gives an optimal allocation Algorithm: Demange&Gale&Sotomayor initialize prices of all items to 0 repeat: if an item is demanded by more than one bidder, increase the price a little; until a Walrasian equilibrium is reached Theorem: This works if valuations are “gross substitutes” Kelso&Crawford Theorem: In general, exponential communication (equivalently, an exponential number of prices) is needed Nisan&Segal Allocation Algorithms The allocation problem is computationally intractable Approaches for overcoming computational difficulty Solve (or approximate) special tractable cases Lehmann&Lehmann&Nisan Rothkopf&Pekec&Harstad Practical for 100s of items CABOB -- Sandholm et al. Heuristics that run quickly and find “reasonably good” solutions Kelso&Crawford Heuristics that obtain optimal allocations and run “reasonable fast” Gross substitutes Sub-modular (2-approximation) Linear order on items A few % loss for 1000s of items Use the usual tools of combinatorial optimization LP relaxation Branch-and-bound, cutting-planes Local search Dynamic programming Zurel&Nisan Incentives vs. Allocation Challenge: find a mechanism that obtains “reasonably good” allocations and is computationally efficient. Key problem: Algorithms that find sub-optimal allocations do not yield incentive compatible mechanisms Attaching VCG payments to sub-optimal algorithms essentially never yields incentive compatibility Nisan&Ronen The only known incentive compatible mechanisms are VCG; for “complete spaces” with at least 3 possible outcomes only VCG mechanisms exist. Roberts, Green&Laffont Special case: single minded bidders – have a single valuation parameter and desire a single package A Computationally efficient incentive compatible mechanism exists Lehmann&Ocallaghan&Shoham Open problem: Find any non-VCG mechanism for any multi-dimensional valuation space
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