SOCIAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT AS A NEGOTIATION TOOL Abstract The aim of this paper is to show how stakeholders may use the information produced in SIA to establish priorities, negotiation strategies and to identify options that may result in mutual benefits. Introduction Social impact assessment is a technique commonly defined as a process of identification and evaluation of the future consequences of actions taken as a result of the planning and construction of a project. The impact assessment community is moving to complex forms of understanding social preferences, actors´ behaviors, and how actors use their resources as constraints or opportunities for action (Becker, 2003). In this paper we propose the use of a particular orientation of SIA to generate a better understanding of how the project affects stakeholder interests and how different stakeholders may use the information produced by SIA on the negotiation process required for project approval and construction. For this purpose we use information from a study conducted in four municipalities of Oaxaca, Mexico during a social impact assessment of a hydroelectric power plant. Changing the focus of social impact According to the current definition used by the international community of social impact evaluators, a social impact assessment refers to the analysis, monitoring and management of “the intended and unintended social consequences both positive and negative of planned interventions… and any social change processes invoked by those interventions” IAIA 2003: P2. This perspective stresses the importance of measuring consequences and social change. From the perspective of negotiation theory, this is a very broad definition that fails to inform decision makers and stakeholders, whose interests are being affected by a particular project, how deep are the impacts felt by different stakeholders, and what are the key conflictive issues during the different stages of the project. Thus, even if the social impact assessment produces a broad understanding of how the project may induce changes in social processes at the local or regional level, stakeholders still do not have enough information about the configuration of interests groups, or about the options available in multiparty negotiation processes. To properly address this situation, we propose the use of an Interest Based Social Impact Assessment (IB-SIA) which we define as a variation of conventional techniques focused on identifying how different players may feel affected by the project. In other words it is a process of assessing issues that are relevant for a broad constellation of stakeholders and how they perceive their interests affected by the impacts a project may have on each issue. Components of an IB-SIA model An interest based social impact assessment uses information not only to identify expected social changes in a particular region, it seeks to understand the configuration of stakeholder interests and how they are affected by the different components of the project. Given this orientation, the process may be organized in the following five components which need not be sequential stages: statistical information gathering, social surveys and field work to identify stakeholder configurations, participatory evaluation techniques, stakeholder group affiliation modeling, and interest impact evaluation. The following case illustrates the challenges and contributions each component of the evaluation contributes to the understanding of how interests are affected. Method and case study findings Interest based social impact assessment may be defined as a process oriented to the identification of issues and players involved on a particular intervention and the identification of options to reach consensus on how to manage positive and negative impacts with the aim to increase the general social well-being without leaving a particular stakeholder interest without compensation of possible negative impacts. It requires a complex modeling process of issues and players and how they are interconnected without the project as well as the changes that a project may induce to this issue-stakeholder matrix. In a study conducted in Oaxaca Mexico we used this approach by dividing the process in five major components. Statistical information gathering. While existing statistics may be of less than optimal utility to move towards the goal of modeling a map involving issues stakeholders and perceptions about costs and benefits for each issue-stakeholder intersection, it is good to have a broad perspective of key variables measuring social dynamics and how large social processes are distributed in space and time. We used census data and other public information such as voting patterns and crime rates to get a broad picture of social processes in four municipalities. Social surveys. Interviews were conducted to identify social preferences regarding several issues potentially related to the project. Fieldwork to identify stakeholder configurations. Interviews and focus groups were used to exchange information about the project, identify issues and which groups could feel affected by the different consequences of the project. Participatory evaluation techniques. Focus groups were used to assess the validity of a hypothetical structure of social dimensions to be affected by the project according to the perspective of local residents of different social backgrounds. After two focus groups, the dimensions used in table 1 were established as key aspects to evaluate local interests. Stakeholder group affiliation modeling. Using all the available information, a structure on “N” interest groups was identified. For this purpose each interest group was identified assuming commonality of key interests which in turn were assessed as the social impacts of the power plant. Interest impact evaluation. Using a Likert scale, the impact on each issue and stakeholder group was assessed to produce a map of possible areas of conflict and cooperation. As shown in Table 1, more controversy exists on the issue of the impacts of changes in infrastructure, but the most contested issue from the standpoint of project developer is health exposure where different stakeholders may present some disagreement on the scale of the impact, but most of them tend to see it as a negative impact. Table 1 OUTCOME OF INTEREST BASED SOCIAL IMPACT ASSESMENT OF POWER PLANT IN OAXACA, MEXICO Players Issues Self confidence Confianza en poder influir el and futuro optimism (CFU). Poverty and basic needs Eliminación de privaciones básicas (EPB). alleviation Demographic change and everyday life Cambios demográficos y en changes formas de vida cotidiana (FVC). 20 18 Dueños de Land owners of parcelas con parcels with land cambio de uso use change de suelo 16 14 12 Conflict and collaboration dynamics Dinámicas de conflicto y cooperación (DCC). 10 8 Local government performance 6 Desempeño gubernamental y programas públicos (IDG). Las maneras como participan Participation distintos segmentos de la población (PCP). forms by social group 4 2 Oros residentes Other in de Paso residents de la community nearest to Reina Interest impact scale irrigación 1-20 where construction site Land owners Propietarios de of tierras potentially irrigated suceptibles parcels de Linguistic and Cambios en aspectos de cultural changes lingüísticos y culturales (LYT). 0 Other agriculture Otros employers and productores workers acgropecuarios Inhabitants Habitantes delof communities in corredor La access corridor to huichicata-La humedad construction site Habitantes de of Inhabitants otras communities on the comunidades de lower river margenes del basin rio agias abajo Familas con Families with población working en age edad de trabajar members Changes in Los cambios observados en los infraestructure servicios la infraestructura y el equipamiento (SIE). and public service facilities Production structures Cambios en sus estructuras y prácticas de producción (EPP). Propietarios Retail and con service establecimientos industry comerciales o de entrepreneurs servicios 1 to 10 equals negative impact 11-20 positive impact Religious Grupos religiosos groups Financiamiento del Financing, insurance desarrollo, indemnizaciones y aseguramiento de inversiones and economic y activos productivos, sociales y ambientales (FIA). compensation Riesgos ambientales (RAM). Environmental risks Salud, exposición a Health,enfermedades exposure y seguridad to pública (SAL). contagious diseases and public safety Cambios en la interacción económica y social intraregional (DER). Socioenvironmental practices and processes Cambios socioambientales (DSA). Regional economic integration Local participants Participantes locales en in environmental grupos groupsde activismmo Lideres deof Leaders grupos de environmental activistas groups Lessons and policy implications Focusing SIA on the evaluation of stakeholder group affiliation and how stakeholders´ interests are affected by a particular project has several advantages if the study is used to prepare for actual negotiations required during the planning and construction of large hydroelectric power plants. Based on the findings of the case study conducted in Mexico, we argue that IB-SIA can make better contributions to the negotiation processes by making improvements in seven aspects of the assessment procedure: 1. Information scope and quality. The evaluation may be less concerned with quantitative measuring of social changes and pay more attention to understanding of social dynamics at different scales. Though the use of different techniques of participatory evaluation it may place the expected social impacts of a project in relation to other social changes taking place in a region such as international migration, the adoption of individualistic attitudes towards property and political participation, democratization and even technological change. The assessment should produce good information for decision makers on two important aspects: who are the players and what are the issues they care about, in order to have a proper map of what Becker (2003) calls salience of the issues, which is an approximation of “the willingness of the stakeholder to push his position in the decision making” (Becker, 2003: 136). 2. Stakeholder involvement on the assessment. To properly conduct an IB-SIA process, stakeholders need to be incorporated from the very beginning of the process and efforts need to be made to increase the capacity and opportunities of different social groups to be part of the process, to properly represent their interests and to be able to assess how a project may have positive or negative impacts on different interests they may have in the short, medium and large term ranges. An IB-SIA process should help the stakeholders to develop their own evaluation of the trade-offs created by the impacts of a project, so they can have a better understanding whether the project will result in positive or negative impacts in the long run, not only individually but at the larger social level. For this kind of appropriation of the process to take place, the IB-SIA method needs to be open to the public since the early stages, participation should be based on a democratic principle not only oriented to facilitate the participation of existent representatives of recognized group identities that may even be chosen in advanced as suggested in a OECD document (OECD, 2010); and information should be shared with the public stressing the relevance of considering all sorts of impacts. 3. Legitimacy of findings. Because SIA is commonly conducted by a team of experts hired by the developer and the results of the study are presented to a regulating government entity for project approval, the resulting findings may be regarded by different stakeholders as lacking the legitimacy needed to properly search for viable options on how to deal with social impacts. To change this situations, research groups need to be open to acquire knowledge not only from technical or otherwise state produced information, but also to incorporate different forms of local knowledge regarding what are the relevant dimensions of social dynamics affected by the project, and what do they think about such changes. For example, from the stand point of a female household head with no prospects for direct economic compensation from the project, the economic impacts of the project are less attractive than how the project changes the distribution of environmental services provided by the river. An IB-SIA may help to increase legitimacy by opening up the process to different forms of citizen participation that may start with the selection of who does the research and how those who do the research report to different stakeholders. 4. Impact modeling. Rather than focusing on how a project impacts social changes in general, the IB approach to social impact assessment emphasizes the need to understand social dynamics based on an extensive use of local knowledge, local discourses and emerging individual and community values and practices. For example rather than just looking at the individual affiliation to an indigenous group and simply assuming that all indigenous persons share a common interest, the IB-SIA assessor may want to consider new information generated on interviews regarding how indigenous household heads who have experienced a temporal income increase or have a different labor experience use their resources to redefine their relationship with the community and how an income increase is processed for everyday decision making where each decision may be placed along an individualistic-communitarian continuum. For an IB-SIA assessment what matters most is how a project affects interests of real actors (Scharpf, 1997). 5. Understanding controversy. By focusing on whose interests are affected by a project, and what positions different players have regarding the interests they perceived as been positively or negatively impacted, the IB-SIA approach may help each stakeholder, and project managers in particular to have a better understanding of stakeholders constellations, and whether a particular stakeholder is more oriented towards collaborative decision making or towards controversy and opposition. The main contribution made by the IB approach is a matrix that let project managers to identify on which issues stakeholders differ more and on which issues they agree upon, and whether such agreement is closer or farther from its own interests, thus he or she may be able to identify negotiation strategies and options to reach a consensus. 6. Mitigation, prevention and compensation as negotiable options. The aim of an IB-SIA is not to eliminate conflict from the decision making process but to find better options on how to deal with controversial issues and to help stakeholders to identify options for consensus building. Mitigation, prevention and compensation options are regarded as negotiable items in multiparty negotiations where stakeholders are free to express their preferences and reach consensus by creating and exchanging value in accordance with their own interests. In this regard the assessment process should provide information that may help the different stakeholders to have a better understanding of the implications of decisions that they may individually or collaboratively take. 8. Larger policy options identification. By stressing the relevance of stakeholders´ perspectives on the positive and negative impacts of a project, it is also possible to identify larger policy options for the region that may require the participation of other players such as local governments, state and federal governments or even other large, medium size and small private corporations. Based on the experience of the study conducted in Oaxaca, Mexico, the scope of policy options that may be addressed in the IB-SIA is very large ranging from drinking water provision, educational and labor training programs, creation of cultural and historic preservation facilities, redesigning of health services, provision of telecommunication facilities, insurance services, regulation of public transportation among others. A project developer may find it easier to argue that most of the larger policy issues are not part of his agenda, but from the standpoint of the interests of other stakeholders, the impact of the project are directly connected with what other public and private entities do during and after the project is constructed. References Becker, Henck A. 2003 “Theory formation and application in social impact assessement” in, Henck A. Becker and Vanclay Frank; editors. The International Hanbook of Social Impact Assessment, conceptual and methodological advances. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing Limited. Pp. 129-142. IAIA, 2003. Social Impact Assessment, international principles. Special publication series, num, 2. P. 2. Scharpf, Fritz, W. 1997. Games real actors play: actor centered institutionalism in policy research. Boulder: Westview Press. OECD, 2010. Guidance on sustainability impact assessment. Consulted on Google books: http://bit.ly/1MmB9Pb,
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