In Search of Optimal Institutions for Natural Resources Management By M.K. (Marty) Luckert Presented to the Centre for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) Bogor, Indonesia, March 25, 2009 1 Introduction Optimism in the 1970s regarding institutions: “Substantial advances have already been achieved and the literature gives evidence of continuing vitality and promise of future accomplishments.” (Furobotn and Pejovich 1972) Nobel prizes to institutional economists (Myrdal and von Hayek, Buchanan, Coase, Fogel and North) “We can make optimal institutions!” 2 Introduction….contd Bromley (2001) says, not likely: “As for linking property rights to ‘economic behavior’ I now believe that this will be a difficult if not impossible task. There are simply too many intervening variables--time preference rates, age of individual (somewhat related to time preference, income, etc. etc. etc). I wish you luck, but I am now skeptical that anything coherent will be found.” 3 Introduction …contd What happened??? Complexity Objective: investigate sources of complexity Draw on examples from Developed (e.g. Canada) and Developing (e.g. southern African) countries Mostly Economics, but some other disciplines 4 Overview Key Terms (NRM and Optimal Institutions) Problem Areas Potential Ways Forward Conclusions 5 A Tribute to J.K. Galbraith (1908-2006) “We all agree that pessimism is a mark of superior intellect.” “When people are the least sure, they are often the most dogmatic.” “Ideology is just an escape from thought.” 6 Key Terms: Natural Resources Management What is Good NRM? Is it just Sustainable Development? Negative definition: Where we are going, not where we have been Different for everyone: “Beauty is in the eye of the beholder” 7 J.K. Galbraith on Beauty “There is certainly no absolute standard of beauty. That precisely is what makes its pursuit so interesting.” 8 Key Terms: Natural Resources Management Positive definition: Broader values than marketed resources (economic, social, cultural) Tradeoffs Ecosystem health, integrity, and biodiversity at multiple scales Adaptive Management 9 Key Terms: Optimal Institutions Cortner et al. (1994): “Expressions and mechanisms of collective experiences” North (1993): “the rules of the game” Rules of process Resulting rules (i.e. Property Rights) not organizations Most Economic studies in NRM concentrate on Property Rights Does the constrained definition makes finding an optimum tractable? 10 Key Terms: Optimal Institutions and Natural Resources Management NRM as an institution? Rules of process Rules of results With Criteria and Indicators rules of process became rules of results Differences between processes and results are blurred 11 Difficulties in Pursuing Optimal Institutions for NRM 12 The Typical Model Institutions/ Property Rights I1 I2 . . Ij Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 A2 . . Aj Welfare/ NRM I1 I2 . . Ij Non-Uniqueness of Pareto Efficiency Constrained Welfare Maximization Problem, solve for FOCs? 13 J.K. Galbraith on Predictable Behaviour “The real accomplishment of modern science and technology consists in taking ordinary men, informing them narrowly and deeply and then, through appropriate organization, arranging to have their knowledge combined with that of other specialized but equally ordinary men. This dispenses with the need for genius. The resulting performance, though less inspiring, is far more predictable.” 14 Problems with the Typical Model? Complexity in the components Complexity in what is not in the picture 15 J.K. Galbraith on Complexity “One of the greatest pieces of economic wisdom is to know what you do not know.” 16 The Typical Model Institutions/ Property Rights I1 I2 . . Ij Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 A2 . . Aj Welfare/ NRM I1 I2 . . Ij Hierarchies Difficult to describe Dummies (e.g. public vs. private) Characteristics (e.g. exclusiveness) 17 The Typical Model Institutions/ Property Rights I1 I2 . . Ij Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 A2 . . Aj Right amount of controlled variability? What is the firm? Welfare/ NRM I1 I2 . . Ij Socio-economic effects? Time preferences? Risk preferences? 18 The Typical Model Institutions/ Property Rights I1 I2 . . Ij Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 A2 . . Aj What Criteria for NRM? Pareto Efficiency? Equity? Environmental Integrity? Welfare/ NRM I1 I2 . . Ij Do we lack criteria to define an optimum? 19 An Expanded Model Institutions/ Property Rights I1 I2 . . Ij Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 A2 . . Aj What is the direction of causality? (e.g. security) Welfare/ NRM I1 I2 . . Ij Economic Behaviour affects the evolution of property rights 20 An Expanded Model Institutions/ Property Rights I1 . . Ij e.g. ENGOs Organization Behaviour/ Strategies S1 . . Sj Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 . . Aj Welfare/ NRM I1 . . Ij Why do we frequently ignore them? 21 J.K. Galbraith on Organizations “Any consideration of the life and larger social existence of the modern corporate man begins and also largely ends with the effect of one allembracing force. That is organization — the highly structured assemblage of men, and now some women, of which he is a part. It is to this, at the expense of family, friends, sex, recreation and sometimes health and effective control of alcoholic intake, that he is expected to devote his energies.” 22 An Expanded Model Institutions/ Rules I1 . . Ij Public Choice Considerations Organization Behaviour/ Strategies S1 . . Sj Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 . . Aj Welfare/ NRM I1 . . Ij Utility from processes 23 An Expanded Model Institutions/ Rules I1 . . Ij Transactions Costs Organization Behaviour/ Strategies S1 . . Sj Firm Behaviour/ Allocations A1 . . Aj Welfare/ NRM I1 . . Ij Belief Systems 24 Potential Ways Forward Define and analyze property rights in terms of key attributes Incremental advancements in economic behaviour by finding controlled variability Economists can help define NRM Criteria Explore reverse causality Consider Public and Social Choice perspectives concurrently 25 Potential Ways Forward Rich history in considering transactions costs Little done on belief systems, preference evolution and formation 26 J.K. Galbraith on Creativity “Economists are economical, among other things, of ideas; most make those of their graduate days last a lifetime.” 27 Conclusions Despite significant advances the ability of economist to specify an “Optimum Institution” for NRM is heavily constrained No FOCing way Institutions and organizations must evolve as reflections of belief systems if they are to be supported by the society that is creating them (North 1993) Stigler and Becker: “De Gustibus non est Disputandum” Should an economist be less of a policy advocate, and more of a policy analyst? 28 Conclusions Contribution will depend on relevance of theory and empirics Our ability to contribute is greater in developed than in developing countries Less of a role where we are needed most 29 J.K. Galbraith on Difficult Questions “The conventional view serves to protect us from the painful job of thinking.” 30 Conclusions Economists have enjoyed benefits of reductionism Consider benefits and costs of reductionism relative to the benefits and costs of more holistic thinking 31 J.K. Galbraith on Specialization “Much literary criticism comes from people for whom extreme specialization is a cover for either grave cerebral inadequacy or terminal laziness, the latter being a much cherished aspect of academic freedom.” 32 Conclusions Without this consideration we risk being precisely wrong or precisely irrelevant 33 J.K. Galbraith on the Relevance of Economists “Economics is extremely useful as a form of employment for economists.” 34
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