Section 10-3 β Comparing Two Variances The F-Distribution Let π 12 and π 22 represent the sample variances of two populations. If both populations are normal, and the population variances π12 and π22 are equal, then the sampling distribution of πΉ = π 12 π 22 is called an F-distribution. The populations must be independent and normally distributed. Guidelines for Using a Two-Sample F-Test to Compare π12 and π22 . 1) Write the hypotheses and identify the claim. 2) Identify Ξ±. 3) STAT-TEST-E. Make sure to enter the values correctly. The calculator asks for the sample standard deviations; if you are given the variances you will need to convert to standard deviations (take the square roots). 4) Make a decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. Section 10-3 β Comparing Two Variances The F-Distribution Example 3 β Page 583 A restaurant manager is designing a system that is intended to decrease the variance of the time customers wait before their meals are served. Under the old system, a random sample of 10 customers had a variance of 400. Under the new system, a random sample of 21 customers had a variance of 256. At Ξ± = 0.10, is there enough evidence to convince the manager to switch to the new system? Assume both populations are normally distributed. Section 10-3 β Comparing Two Variances The F-Distribution Example 3 β Page 583 SOLUTION Remember that the larger variance is π 12 , so 400 is π 12 , and 256 is π 22 . In other words, π 12 and Ο12 are the sample variance and the population variance of the old system. To write the hypotheses, we need to understand that the claim is that βthe variance of waiting times under the new system is less than the variance of waiting times under the old systemβ, π 22 < π 12 Since we want to write this with π 12 first, we need to reverse the sign. H0: π 12 β€ π 22 Ha: π 12 > π 22 (claim) This makes this a right-tailed test. Section 10-3 β Comparing Two Variances The F-Distribution Example 3 β Page 583 STAT-TEST-E. (2-SampFTest) Please be careful in entering the data!! The calculator asks for the standard deviation, not the variance. The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. We would enter the square root of 400 (20) for sample 1 We would enter the square root of 256 (16) for sample 2. Indicate whether it is a right, left, or two-tailed test. Calculate. If p β€ Ξ±, reject H0. If p > Ξ±, fail to reject H0. In this case, p = .194, which is > .10, so we fail to reject π»0 . At the 10% confidence level, there is not enough evidence to convince the manager to switch systems. Section 10-3 β Comparing Two Variances The F-Distribution Example 4 β Page 584 You want to purchase stock in a company and are deciding between two different stocks. Because a stockβs risk can be associated with the standard deviation of its daily closing prices, you randomly select samples of the daily closing prices for each stock to obtain the results shown below. At Ξ± = 0.05, can you conclude that one of the two stocks is a riskier investment? Assume the stock closing prices are normally distributed. Stock A Stock B π2 = 30 π1 = 31 π 2 = 3.5 π 1 = 5.7 Since 5.7 is greater than 3.5, 5.7 will be π 12 , and 3.5 will be π 22 . π 12 = 5.72 , π 22 = 3.52 (Stock B is represented by π 12 and π12 .) Section 10-3 β Comparing Two Variances The F-Distribution Example 4 β Page 584 To write the hypotheses, remember that the claim is that βone of these stocks is a riskier investmentβ. We are not interested in which one it is, just that they are not equal. π»0 : π 12 = π 22 π»π : π 12 β π 22 (claim) STAT-TEST-E (2-SampFTest) Since we were given the standard deviations in this problem, we enter them as given. Use 5.7 for Sx1 and 31 for n1. Use 3.5 for Sx2 and 30 for n2. Select two tailed test and Calculate. The test gives us the p-value of .0102, which we can compare to Ξ±. .0102 < .05, so we reject the null. At the 5% level of significance, there is enough evidence to conclude that one of these stocks is a riskier investment. Classwork: Page 585 #3, 11-16 All Homework: Pages 585-586 #17-24 All Skip part b - don't need it to run the test on the calculator. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a hypothesis-testing technique that is used to compare means from three or more populations. To begin an ANOVA test, you should first state a null and an alternate hypothesis. For a one-way ANOVA test, the null and alternate hypotheses are always similar to the following statements: H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 = β¦.. µk. (All population means are equal) Ha: At least one of the means is different from the others. To reject the H0 means that at least one of the means is different from the others. It will take more testing to determine which one of the means is different from the others. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA In an one-way ANOVA test, the following conditions must be true. 1) Each sample must be randomly selected from a normal, or approximately normal, population. 2) The samples must be independent of each other. 3) Each population must have the same variance. Guidelines For Finding the Test Statistic for a One-Way ANOVA Test. This test can be run on the TI-84 by entering each set of data into STAT-EDIT using L1, L2, L3, etc. Once the data has been entered, go to STAT-TEST-H (ANOVA). Enter the names of the lists into which you put the data, separated by commas, and allow the calculator to do the work. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA Example 1 β Page 591 A medical researcher wants to determine whether there is a difference in the mean length of time it takes three types of pain relievers to provide relief from headache pain. Several headache sufferers are randomly selected and given one of the three medications. Each headache sufferer records the time (in minutes) it takes the medication to begin working. The results are shown in the table. At Ξ± = 0.01, can you conclude that the mean times are different? Assume that each population of relief times is normally distributed and that the population variances are equal. H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 Ha: At least one mean is different from the others. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA Example 1 β Page 591 Med 1 Med 2 Med 3 12 16 14 15 14 17 17 21 20 12 15 15 19 Use the calculator to enter these lists into STAT-EDIT. Med 1 into L1 Med 2 into L2 Med 3 into L3 Once the lists are entered, go to STAT-TEST-H (ANOVA) Press β2nd 1, 2nd 2, 2nd 3β and close the parenthesis. You must use the commas!! Press Enter. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA Example 1 β Page 591 The calculator gives us many values and numbers. For our purposes, we are going to look at the p-value and compare it to Ξ± to make our decision. Since p = .269, which is greater than 0.01, we will fail to reject the null. Because we failed to reject the null, we can not support the claim. There is not enough evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that there is a difference in the mean length of time it takes the three pain relievers to provide relief from headache pain. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA Example 2 β Page 593 Three airline companies offer flights between Corydon and Lincolnville. Several randomly selected flight times (in minutes) between the towns for each airline are shown. Assume that the populations of flight times are normally distributed, the samples are independent, and the population variances are equal. At Ξ± = 0.01, can you conclude that there is a difference in the means of flight times? H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3 Ha: At least one mean is different from the others. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA Example 2 β Page 593 Airline 1 Airline 2 Airline 3 122 119 120 135 133 158 126 143 155 131 149 126 125 114 147 116 124 164 120 126 134 108 131 151 142 140 131 113 136 141 Use the calculator to enter these lists into STAT-EDIT. Airline 1 into L1 Airline 2 into L2 Airline 3 into L3 Once the lists are entered, go to STAT-TEST-H (ANOVA) Press β2nd 1, 2nd 2, 2nd 3β and close the parenthesis. You must use the commas!! Press Enter. Section 10-4 β Analysis of Variance One-Way ANOVA Example 2 β Page 593 You can see from the calculator that the p-value of this test is 0.0064. Since this is less than the Ξ± value of 0.01, we need to reject the null hypothesis. At least one of the flight times has a mean different from the others. Classwork: Page 595-597 #5 - 10 All Homework: Pages 597-599 #11-16 All Skip part b - you don't need to do that when you run the test on the calculator.
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