Review Class Five Outlines Up to now we have learned a very important economic model, which is the Two-good model with endowment . Everyone should comprehend the economic definitions which are your starts and master the method that you use to analyze the specific problem. Arithmetic tools and geometrical figures will help you to seek for the answers, but of cause, you should operate them well. Outlines Two-good model with endowment The key sentence: A typical consumer will satisfy himself as much as possible with limited resources. Start: 1 Def. of budget constraint involving prices and endowment point (figure and equation) 2 Def. of preference (indifference curves and utility function) So you can begin your march in two ways: arithmetic and geometric Outlines Finally you will reach your two objectives: 1 Optimal choice (demand) and the consumption decision the typical consumer has made. 2 Comparative statics: How the demand changes in response to…. Endowment point and the relative price (Warning: it’s uncertain that the typical consumer will be better or worse off and the decision the typical consumer will make. Why?) Outlines Applications of two-good model with endowment point Intertemporal choices (Fisher) Insurance market (Stiglitz) Intertemporal choices Recall that when we obtain the optimal choice facing to the typical consumer, all we claims is that current consumption is mostly based on the current income and relative price facing to the consumer. When people decide how much to consume and how much to save, they consider both the present and the future. Intertemporal choices The economist Irving Fisher developed the model with which economists analyze how rational, forward-looking consumers make intertemporal choices—that is, choices involving different periods of time. In fact fisher’s model is the application of two-good model with endowment point. Intertemporal choices The key sentence: A typical and forward-looking consumer will make a consumption decision to maximize his lifetime utility with the intertemporal budget constraint. How to describe the intertemporal budget constraint and the preference? Intertemporal choices Budget line: Assumptions: 1 no bequests or debts 2 Two periods 3 Well-operating financial market Intertemporal choices Intertemporal choices Now if we impose the Def. of preference and the utility function, we will obtain the optimal consumption choice geometrically and arithmetically. Further more, we can also find the role of the consumer. Intertemporal choices 偏好差异的影响 存款者 借款人 C2 C2 E1 W1 U1 W2 E2 U2 O C1 O C1 Intertemporal choices How the consumption decision changes corresponding to the change in the endowment point and the interest rate . Intertemporal choices 初始禀赋不同的影响 C2 W1 E W2 O U C1 Intertemporal choices 利率变化对预算线的影响 C2 A1 A A2 利率上升 利率下降 O B1 B B2 C1 Intertemporal choices 利率上升 C2 A' A E' E U' W O U B' B C1 Intertemporal choices Two special cases: 1 Borrowing constraint: The inability to borrow prevents current consumption from exceeding current income. A constraint on borrowing can therefore be expressed as C1 ≤ Y1. This additional constraint on the consumer is called a borrowing constraint or, sometimes, a liquidity constraint. Intertemporal choices Uncertainty Preparations: 1 how to represent an uncertain consumption facing a typical consumer? Let’s think of different outcomes of some random event as different types of goods. 2 Different uncertain consumptions will give the typical consumers different satisfactions, so we impose the def. of preference to describe the satisfaction. Uncertainty Expected utility function: The weighted sum of some function of consumption in each state. Def. of positive affine transformation: we say a function V (u ) is a positive affine transformation if it can be written in the form that V (u ) au b(a 0) We can apply the positive affine transformation to it and get another expected utility function that represents the same preference. Uncertainty From the expected utility functions to the indifference curves. If we assume U ' (C1 ) 0,U (C2 ) 0,U " (C1 ) 0,U (C2 ) 0 Then we can conclude that a function of some indifferent curve satisfies 2 dC2 d C2 0, 0 2 dC1 dC1 Uncertainty Risk aversion VS Risk loving Def figures Uncertainty Stiglitz: how does the Insurance market operates? You’re the risk averser and have a risky asset: (W1 ,W2 , P) You can go into the insurance market and spread your risk: (W1 K ,W2 (1 ) K ) Questions:1 how to fix the premium? 2 what level of insured amount should you choose? Stiglitz: how does the Insurance market operates? Feasible set: 1 C1 C2 (0 C1 W1 ) Optimal choice? Conclusions? 1 W1 W2 Applications of two-good model Summary: 在分析具体背景之后,要找准应该把那些因素抽 象为两种商品。这个是分析问题的突破口。 确定主旨句:这个经济主体要在一定的约束条件 下追求自身利益的最大化。 接下来就做翻译工作,刻画好“约束”和“自身 利益”,正如前面所述,这就是你们分析的出发 点。 展开相应的几何分析或代数推导,建议两者联合 运用。 最后得到我们想要的“最优选择”,有需要还要 进行比较静态分析。 画四种曲线的思路 总原则:直观切入,代数辅助。 1、为了有好的引导,应先求出两种商品的 需求函数; 2、根据定义和函数形式开始直观作图; 3、对比函数形式,检验图像的正确性; 4、最后要检查曲线(尤其是价格提供曲线 和需求曲线)的起点、终点和渐近线。 注意: 原点一般来说都会在收入提供曲线和恩格 尔曲线上面 在分析价格提供曲线和个人需求曲线时, 我们要尤其注意起点、终点和渐近线。而 起点和终点分别是价格趋向于无穷大和零 的情形。对此李杰老师认为这两个极限点 可取可不取;而我认为对于两个极限情形 我们都取空心点,毕竟极限情形是无法达 到的。
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