ETF strategies INVESTOR EDUCATION Contents Why ETFs? 2 ETF strategies • Asset allocation 4 • Sub-asset allocation 5 • Active/passive combinations 6 • Asset location 7 • Portfolio completion 8 • Cash equitization 9 • Tax optimization 10 • Market rotation 11 Considerations across all ETF strategies 12 1 Why ETFs? Institutional investors were the first to recognize the merits of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), first introduced in the United States in 1993. But individual investors and financial advisors also recognized their appeal, helping to drive the explosive growth of ETFs in recent years, both in the number of offerings and in the amount of assets under management. ETFs are typically index-oriented or passive investments that trade like individual stocks. As such, they have the following features: Diversification within a market segment An ETF might contain hundreds or thousands of securities—more than many actively managed mutual funds and far more than a typical portfolio of individual securities. Low costs ETFs and index mutual funds generally have lower expense ratios (annual operating costs as a percentage of average net assets) than actively managed funds. Lower costs mean more of a fund’s returns go to the investor. Low manager risk Index funds and ETFs virtually eliminate the exposure to manager risk at the product level.1 They may underperform their benchmarks because of real-world operating costs, but usually by narrow margins. Active fund performance, on the other hand, is more unpredictable. Trading flexibility Unlike mutual funds, ETFs can be traded throughout the day. Anything that can be done with a stock—such as margin buying and short selling—can also be done with an ETF.2 Potential for tax efficiency Because of their structure, index funds and ETFs may provide a tax advantage relative to their active peer groups over longer holding periods. 1 Manager risk is defined as the chance that poor security selection or focus on securities in a particular sector, category, or group of companies will cause a fund to underperform relevant benchmarks or other funds with a similar investment. 2 Margin buying (borrowing to buy securities) and short selling (selling borrowed securities) carry their own risks. Adverse price movements can exacerbate losses. 2 Accessibility through financial advisors Index funds are not always widely available for investors who work with a financial advisor. But ETFs are available to anyone who has a brokerage account. Transparency ETFs hold the same securities or a representative sample as their benchmark indexes, so they’re transparent and easy to understand. These features just outlined make ETFs ideal for implementing various portfolio strategies, whether over the long term or the short term. This brochure outlines a variety of uses for ETFs. We also cover a few caveats about the investment risks. 3 ETF STRATEGIES Asset allocation Studies show that asset allocation— the division of assets across broad asset classes—is the primary determinant of a portfolio’s risk and return, assuming a diversified portfolio engaged in limited market-timing. Broad U.S. stock market ETF Broad U.S. bond market ETF A portfolio composed entirely of broadly diversified ETFs can help ensure that performance depends primarily on the investor’s asset allocation decisions. In fact, four broad-market ETFs can provide convenient, cost-effective diversification across asset classes. Broad international stock market ETF Broad international bond market ETF Points to consider • Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss. • All ETFs are subject to market risk, which may result in the loss of principal. International ETFs involve additional risks, including currency fluctuations and the potential for adverse developments in specific countries or regions. 4 • Bond ETFs are subject to interest rate, credit, and inflation risk. Some international index funds are subject to currency hedging risk, which is the chance that currency hedging transactions may not perfectly offset a fund’s foreign currency exposures and may eliminate any chance for the fund to benefit from favorable fluctuations in those currencies. Overconcentrated Overconcentrated in health care in health care stocks stocks Mitigate decline in decline in Mitigate long position gain by gain longbyposition in short position in short position Sub-asset allocation U.S. U.S. Developed Developed Non-U.S. Non-U.S. stock stock Europe side, Pacific Europe Pacific Portfolio weightings within an asset class On the international investors Emerging Emerging stock market stock market markets should reflect those of themarkets broad market who believe that emerging markets will unless objectives, risks, costs, liquidity, or other issues warrant otherwise. Some investors may prefer to actively STYLE change the characteristics of a marketValue Blend Growth Value Blend Growth weighted portfolio, and specialized ETFs can provide the desired market tilt. Investors who believe value and smallEmerging Broad Broad markets U.S.capitalization stock U.S. stock stocks can enhance returns ETF market ETF market ETF over the long run (as some studies suggest) may want to buy ETFs to Small-cap Small-cap value ETF value ETF overweight those market segments in the U.S. equity portion of their portfolios. STYLE ultimately provide higher returns than developed markets and are willing to bear higher volatility might invest a larger proportion of their international assets in an emerging markets ETF. Large Large Medium MARKET CAP Medium MARKET CAP Small Small ETFs can also be effective tools for implementing fixed income sub-asset Emerging markets Developed Developed allocation strategies, including duration ETF Markets Markets strategies or sector tilts. For example, ETF ETF the illustration below shows how to implement a government overweight strategy. Short Below inv.-grade Intermediate Long Short Intermediate Long Existing bond market coverage Treasury/ agency Investmentgrade corp. Below inv.-grade Treasury/ agency Investmentgrade corp. Treasury/ agency Investmentgrade corp. Below inv.-grade Below inv.-grade Investmentgrade corp. Treasury/ agency Implementing a government overweight strategy using an intermediate-term government bond ETF. Short Intermediate Long Short Intermediate Long Add to allocation using an intermediate-term government bond ETF Points to consider • Concentration in any security, industry sector, market segment, or asset class can lead to greater risk relative to a diversified portfolio. 5 Active/passive combinations There are many ways to make active decisions in a portfolio, including using index funds. One method involves combining actively managed funds which may have a certain appeal for some investors. A portfolio composed entirely of broad market ETFs typically means low costs, low manager risk, and consistent Broad But performance relative Broadto benchmarks. international U.S. stock it also means giving up somestock opportunities market market ETF for outperforming a benchmark return. ETF Active funds provide that opportunity, but they alsoentail greater relative risk Broad Broad and unpredictability. Some investors international U.S. bond may prefer a combination ETFsmarket and market ETF ofbond ETF low-cost active funds that can potentially achieve a happy medium between these two approaches. A portfolio with passively managed ETFs as its core that also includes lower-cost active funds can help establish a solid global core/satellite allocation approach. Active fund A Broad international stock market ETF Broad U.S. stock market ETF Broad U.S. bond market ETF Stock C Broad international bond market ETF Value Availability of lower cost choices Cost Blend Growth Manager A Assets likely in or tax-advantaged account a value tax-deferred Small-cap ETF Taxes Active Fund C Manager C Small high tax bracket Medium Manager B Broad Assets likely inU.S. a taxable stock account or client is inETF a market Probability of slightly Active Fund underperforming benchmark, but Dhigher relative return consistency B MARKET CAP B ETF Large High A cost sensitivity Active Fund Your large-cap fund has declined $12,000 since purchase STYLE Weighing the balance between passive and active Active Fund Your small-cap fund makes a $10,000 taxable capital gains distribution Possibility of outperforming benchmark, but higher relative return variability Returns PASSIVE ACTIVE Points to consider • here is no Client’s T guarantee that a combined fund makes $10,000 taxable capital gains distributions. active/passive approach will be lessValue riskyof client’s fund declinesor$12,000. than an all-active large-cap or all-index approach will achieve comparable returns. 6 Sell Sell large-cap fund. Buy • hether they choose active or passive funds, W investors should consider funds that have low expense ratios to increasePthe of longR E Sprobability ENT Valuedetract stocks from returns. term success. Costs directly outperform growth stocks Overweight growth stocks by investing in growth-oriented ETFs Asset location In addition to asset allocation, most investors should consider asset location in portfolio construction discussions. Asset location is simply the way in which assets are divided among taxable and tax-advantaged accounts to maximize a portfolio’s after-tax returns. For tax-advantaged accounts, the pre-tax total return is generally the return the investor gets (ignoring for the moment taxes on withdrawals from tax-deferred accounts). For taxable accounts, taxes will have to be paid on most dividend and capital gains distributions, even if all the distributions are reinvested in the fund. So a fund’s total return can be higher than the return the investor actually gets after taxes are deducted. Asset location tackles the issue of appropriately allocating assets among taxable and tax-advantaged accounts to maximize after-tax returns at the overall portfolio level. The extra return an investor gets after taking taxes into account might be incremental, but it can make a difference when compounded over time. General guidelines Because most stock returns come from capital gains and qualified dividends, which are taxed at a lower rate than the non-qualified dividends that comprise the majority of bond returns, stock funds and ETFs are generally better suited for taxable accounts. However, the typical actively managed stock fund and certain equity index funds and ETFs that concentrate in narrow market sectors are usually more suitable for tax-advantaged accounts, because their higher portfolio turnover leaves shareholders more vulnerable to capital gains distributions. Investments more suited for: Taxable accounts Tax-advantaged accounts Most broad-market stock index fund and ETFs. Most actively managed funds. Tax-managed funds or tax-efficient active funds. Municipal bonds. Individual stocks, if held long term. Taxable bonds. REITs. Certain commodities, such as gold and silver ETFs. Individual stocks, if held short term. Some narrowly focused equity index funds and ETFs. Points to consider • Tax codes can change. • It’s difficult to predict investors’ tax brackets many years ahead. • re- and after-tax returns of asset classes could P deviate substantially from historical averages. 7 Portfolio completion Active fund Portfolio completion can beAused strategically and tactically to fill gaps Broad in a portfolio. Broad Broad ternational ock market ETF international U.S. stock While owning the market maystock be an ideal market market ETF choice, some investors may have ETF gaps in their portfolios—little or no exposure to certain asset classes, market segments, or sectors. Wholesale rebalancing toBroad diversify Broad international Stock the portfolio may notbond always be possible U.S. bond market market ETF becauseC of trading restrictions, severe tax ETF consequences, or other issues. In those situations, ETFs can be used to fill in those gaps. Broad nternational ond market ETF Portfolio completion may also help mitigate capital gains. As offsetting tax gain and/or loss opportunities present Your small-cap fund themselves, the portfolio can gravitate makes a $10,000 toward its ideal allocation. taxable capital gains Large-cap fund SELL U t g inc BUY B lar distribution Your large-cap fund has declined $12,000 since purchase ETF B Large-cap ETF STYLE Value Blend Growth Large Manager A Active Fund ck ETF Medium Manager B MARKET CAP B Small-cap value ETF Small Manager C Active Fund C es $10,000 taxable capital utions. Value of client’s nd declines $12,000. Points to consider PRESENT Value stocks outperform • Greater diversification entails the possibility of growth stocks underperformance relative to a concentrated portfolio but has the potential for less volatility. Buy 8 Buy large-cap ETF to maintain large-cap exposure. FUTURE • reater diversification entails theGrowth G possibility of stocks outperform underperformance relative to a concentrated value stocks? portfolio but has the potential for less volatility. Overweight growth stocks by investing in growth-oriented ETFs e Medium Manager B MARKET CAP Small-cap value ETF Manager C Small Cash equitization STYLE Value ETFs are also a good option for investors who have a large temporary cash position such as a bonus, a distribution from a retirement account, the proceeds from selling a business, or when transitioning assets between managers. benchmarks or financial goals. Why? When it comes to equities and fixed income, both markets historically have had more periods of positive returns than periods of negative returns. The longer the time period, the stronger this performance bias. Blend Broad U.S. stoc market E Small-cap value ETF Such a cash position may tilt an investor’s PRESENT FUTURE Investing a temporary cash position portfolio away from its targeted allocation Value stocks Growth stocks in ETFs reduces the likelihood to equities or fixed income. Over extended outperform outperform of such performance shortfalls. periods, that positiongrowth can mean stockspotential value stocks? performance shortfalls relative to Overweight growth stocks Investmentgrade corp. Buy arge-cap ETF o maintain cap exposure. Treasury/ agency by investing in growth-oriented ETFs Temporary cash position Invest cash in appropriate ETF Reinvest ETF assets in established allocation Below inv.-grade le capital ent’s 000. A Short Points to consider • quities and/or bonds could underperform cash E during the transition period. • rading costs and possible tax consequences may T offset some of the advantages. • ash equitization is more effective in C tax-advantaged accounts. 9 STYLE Value Active Fund Tax optimization A Broad U.S. stock Besides asset location, there are other market ETF ways to maximize a portfolio’s after-tax return. For example, an investor sells an investment at a loss Active to offset capital Fund gains from another investment. At the D same time as the sale, the investor buys an ETF with a high correlation to the original investment. The investor Blend Growth Manager A Active Fund B Manage B simultaneously achieves three goals— Small-cap value ETF harvesting losses to lower tax liabilities, remaining fully invested in the chosen investment strategy, and potentially Active Fund improving the overall portfolio’s future tax C efficiency by using a broadly diversified index-based ETF. Client’s fund makes $10,000 taxable capital gains distributions. Value of client’s large-cap fund declines $12,000. Manage C PRESENT Value stocks outperform growth stocks Sell Sell large-cap fund. Use $12,000 loss to offset $10,000 gain. Overweight gro by investi growth-orien Buy Buy large-cap ETF to maintain large-cap exposure. Temporary cash position Points to consider • 10 efore executing this strategy, be sure to consider B the IRS wash-sale rule. The rule states that an investor must wait 30 days before or after selling a security prior to purchasing the same security or another security that is “substantially identical” in order to harvest a loss and avoid a wash sale. It is important to adhere to the time frame as well as to make sure the underlying index of the new fund or ETF is sufficiently different from that of the original holding. • Your replacement investment could underperform the original investment. • ransaction costs may be greater than the T tax benefit. Invest cash appropriate market ETF ETF SELL gain and $2,000 in income on tax return Your large-cap fund has declined $12,000 since purchase BUY But you still keep large-cap exposure through ETF B Market rotation Large-cap ETF STYLE Value For example, an investor who believes that the pendulum will swing the other way after a protracted period of outperformance by value stocks might invest in a growth-oriented ETF. Manager BSimilarly, an investor who believes it’s time for developed markets to start outpacing emerging markets might wish Manager to buy ETFs tracking developed markets. Medium Small C MARKET CAP Small-cap value ETF Growth Large Blend Market rotation involves purposefully overweighting or underweighting certain Manager market segments or industry sectors, A but doing so on an assessment of current market or economic cycles rather than as a permanent tilt to one investment style or sector. STYLE Value Blend Broad U.S. stoc market ET Small-cap value ETF e capital ent’s 00. PRESENT FUTURE Value stocks outperform growth stocks Growth stocks outperform value stocks? Overweight growth stocks by investing in growth-oriented ETFs Investmentgrade corp. Buy arge-cap ETF maintain cap exposure. Treasury/ agency C Broad U.S. bond market ETF Broad international bond market ETF taxable capital gains distribution Temporary cash position Invest cash in appropriate ETF Reinvest ETF assets in established allocation Below inv.-grade Stock ETF Short Points to consider • ou would have to be right about the direction of Y the market/economic cycle, the sectors that might profit from it, and the timing of the investments, both buying and selling. • If the investments were in taxable accounts, taxes could offset some of the gains. • ou could end up doing worse than if you Y had done nothing. 11 Considerations across all ETF strategies Although we discussed some of the risks involved with each strategy, there are other considerations that cut across all strategies. Trading ETFs entails certain costs—potential brokerage commissions, bid-ask spreads, and some deviation (though usually minor) between an ETF’s market price and its net asset value—that are normally not associated with mutual funds. A financial advisor should do a cost analysis to see if it’s worthwhile to use ETFs. Some of the factors to consider fall under what we call the “six Ts”: Transaction amounts Time period Trading costs Tax consequences Temperament of the investor T rade-off between risk and return 12 In other words, are the amounts invested large enough and the time horizon long enough to offset commissions, spreads, and possible tax consequences? Some of the considerations are not limited to just the choice between ETFs and mutual funds but pertain more directly to the investor’s own profile and preferences. For example, what is the investor’s temperament and risk tolerance? Will the investor be more upset by a market downturn or by missing out on a market rally? And because many of the strategies discussed entail taking more concentrated positions, financial advisors and their clients will need to weigh the extra risk involved against the potential reward. If they decide to go forward with ETFs after weighing these considerations, they gain access to a powerful and costeffective tool for executing a wide variety of investment strategies. 13 Vanguard Financial Advisor Services™ P.O. Box 2900 Valley Forge, PA 19482-2900 For more information about Vanguard ETF Shares, contact your financial advisor to obtain a prospectus. Investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other important information are contained in the prospectus; read and consider it carefully before investing. Vanguard ETF Shares are not redeemable with the issuing Fund other than in very large aggregations worth millions of dollars. Instead, investors must buy and sell Vanguard ETF Shares in the secondary market and hold those shares in a brokerage account. In doing so, the investor may incur brokerage commissions and may pay more than net asset value when buying and receive less than net asset value when selling. The information contained herein does not constitute tax advice and cannot be used by any person to avoid tax penalties that may be imposed under the Internal Revenue Code. Each person should consult an independent tax advisor about his/her individual situation before investing in any fund. All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. Financial advisors: Visit advisors.vanguard.com or call 800-997-2798. Investment Products: Not FDIC Insured • No Bank Guarantee • May Lose Value © 2015 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved. U.S. Patent Nos. 6,879,964; 7,337,138; 7,720,749; 7,925,573; 8,090,646; and 8,417,623. Vanguard Marketing Corporation, Distributor. FAETFBR 102015
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