Changing Japan’s National Innovation System and Its Policy Implications Kazuyuki Motohashi University of Tokyo & RIETI http://www.mo.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/ Outline of Presentation • Characterizing Japanese System: Large firm dominated system • But it is changing. RIETI Survey on R&D collaboration • Econometric analysis on R&D collaboration on research productivity • Policy implications for facilitating changes of J-NIS toward network model 2 Business Expenditure of R&D in Japan Toyota 6% Matsushita 5% Sony 5% Honda 4% Nissan 3% Rest of firms 44% Hitachi 3% Toshiba 3% NEC 3% Other top 30 firms 19% Cannon 2% NTT 3% 3 Japan’s national innovation system 4 Changes in Large Firm Dominated System?: Possible Factors • Intense innovation competition: globalization and catching up of Korea, Taiwan and China • Necessity of innovation speed in order to appropriate rents from R&D • Importance of scientific knowledge for industrial innovation: particularly the case for biopharmaceuticals • Institutional changes in science sector: PRIs and national university reforms 5 RIETI’s Survey on R&D Collaboration • Firm level survey on external R&D collaboration: business to business networks and university and industry linkages • Data for 2003, 556 samples • Survey items – Recent trend of external R&D collaboration and IPR licensing – Factors behind R&D collaboration decision – Managing the boundary of firm in R&D, internal R&D vs outsourcing • Detail results are found as the following site http://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/projects/innovation-system/H15.html 6 Japanese system is changing? From RIETI survey C ollaboration w ith Large firm s 0% 10% 20 or under 12.2 21-100 13.0 101-300 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 11.6 70% 5 year s ago Pr es ent ( i ncr eas ed) 24.4 6.1 38.8 2.3 46.0 1001-2000 2001 or over 12.8 68.1 4.3 C ollaboration w ith sm all firm s 20 or under 21-100 101-300 301-1000 1001-2000 2001 or over 10% 14.9 20% 30% 50% 5.7 16.5 25.2 22.0 60% C ollaboratio w ith universities 70% 5 year s ago Pr es ent ( i ncr eas ed) 4.2 11.0 40% 80% 90% 20 or under 21-100 4.1 101-300 10.3 301-1000 13.3 51.4 90% 5.6 301-1000 0% 80% 1001-2000 5.2 2001 or over 0% 10% 23.0 20% 30% 40% 50% 10.4 21.0 60% 70% 80% 5 year s ago Pr es ent ( i ncr eas ed) 15.3 27.6 14.4 46.6 9.5 54.0 20.5 81.9 7 1.0 90% Management of firm’s boundary in R&D 80% 70% O w n R&D W ith large firm s W ith sm all firm s W ith university 72.0 64.1 60% 50% 40% 52.8 51.2 47.6 47.0 46.5 37.7 32.9 30% 32.4 32.2 31.3 30.3 29.3 28.4 20.2 18.7 20.5 20% 16.9 16.2 13.5 10% 5.9 5.9 9.3 7.9 10.6 8.3 6.7 5.5 7.1 4.9 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 5.9 0% Learning technology Cost reduction project Basic science Core technology Technology frontier project R&D needing speed R&D related to core technology New R&D subject Product Development project 8 Factors behind R&D outsourcing Reasons why increasing R&D collaboration 36.7 38.1 21.3 20% 29.4 24.8 24.5 27.2 41.2 41.8 40% 48.6 51.4 48.5 50% Universities 60.3 59.6 60% Small firms 67.9 Large firms 70% PRIs 55.1 10.1 5.5 5.9 3.0 1.5 8.2 5.5 2.9 2.0 10% 6.4 5.9 8.3 2.9 2.2 11.0 9.7 6.7 6.4 4.4 3.7 0% 16.9 14.9 29.9 29.9 30% Easy to access counterpart information Important for technology standard Success in past collaboration projects Respond to intense R&D competition Upgrade own basic technologycapability Cost reduction of R&D Needs to access to basic science Policy push for industry-science linkage Shortage of R&D fund by own Upgrading technology level of counterparts 9 Motivation and underlining hypotheses for econometric analysis • Factors behing external R&D collaboration – Intense innovation competition? – Increasing complexity of innovation and the role of scientific knowledge – Selection and concentration of R&D projects, but it needs wider technological scope • UIC’s impacts on research and production productivity: greater impact for small firms – Less Not-Invented-Here Syndrome – Focusing on more concrete project (short term benefit) and greater pressure for commercialization 10 Important factors behind R&D 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 66.9 M eet m arket needs 59.2 Shoten lead tim e 37.9 Explore new R &D them e 29.5 Focus R &D them es 22.3 C ost reduction 16.7 C om m ercialize ow n tech seeds Shift to applied R &D 11.9 U pgrade basic R &D skills 11.5 Staff reduction 70% 4.5 11 Collaboration and R&D strategy Shorter development lead time Focusing R&D theme Reduce R&D cost Reduce R&D staffs Explore new technology seeds more R&D for application and development project large firms SME LF ++ -- Universities SME LF ++ ++ + +++ Improving basic technology capability Market needs for R&D Commercialization of tech seeds SME and startups SME LF ++ ++ ++ ++ + -++ 12 Research Productivity by Firm Age all (1) 0.276 (7.81)** 0.250 (6.08)** -0.030 (0.23) 0.377 (3.21)** all (2) lrd 0.260 (7.19)** lemp 0.246 (5.41)** cord -0.056 (0.45) univ1 0.355 (3.05)** lage -2.402 (4.81)** lage2 0.360 (4.86)** Constant -1.683 2.302 (7.10)** (2.57)* Industry Dummies yes yes Observations 450 438 R-squared 0.62 0.64 Absolute value of t statistics in parentheses * significant at 5%; ** significant at 1% -1950 (4) 0.434 (5.61)** 0.397 (3.72)** -0.131 (0.53) 0.203 (0.95) 1951-70 (5) 0.183 (3.05)** 0.315 (3.30)** 0.146 (0.67) -0.077 (0.33) 1971(6) 0.109 (2.29)* 0.131 (2.84)** -0.169 (1.06) 0.348 (2.09)* -4.257 (8.51)** yes 168 0.77 -1.188 (2.83)** yes 134 0.55 0.439 (1.30) yes 136 0.49 13 Research Productivity and R&D Project Type Research Productivity New Product Development Scientific Research Firm Age 14 Implications for J-NIS Commercialization of new product Commercialization of new product Research Lab. Scope of UIC Close to the market Product development Systemic barriers Large firm SMEs Start-ups Scope of UIC Scientific knowledge and fundamental science at universities and PRIs 15 Synthesis and policy implications • Growing trend of R&D external collaboration • Reflecting firms’ R&D strategy for innovation speed and wider technological scope • Research productivity is higher for young and small firms as compared to old and large firms • The role of SMEs and start-ups for Japan’s NIS reform toward network type system • SMEs and start-ups: facilitates system’s transformation. In addition, it may be beneficial for large firms to have strong high-tech startups • Policies for facilitating network type NIS system are important, such as IPR, labor mobility, VC finance 16
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