COMMODITY DAILY As on Tuesday, July 11, 2017 Global Market Round Up Commodities traded lower with Bullion declined on monetary tightening signals from world central banks. Crude oil prices traded firm witnessing short recovery while Base metals witnessed correction on demand concerns and higher inventories. World Economic Data Country Time Data Actual Forecast Previous No Major Data today Asian stocks rose on Monday thanks to a robust Wall Street performance at the end of last week, while the U.S. dollar extended gains made after much stronger than expected June employment data. The dollar index, which climbed 0.2 percent on Friday, was little changed at 96.028 on Monday. On data calendar today , there are no major data to watch out. The dollar index and equity market move will be crucial. Dollar Index Daily Chart USDINR Spot Daily Chart Commodity Research - Alpha Commodity Pvt Ltd 1|Page COMMODITY DAILY As on Tuesday, July 11, 2017 Technical Trend Guider Commodity Contract MCX Gold Aug MCX Silver July MCX Crude oil July MCX Natural gas July MCX Copper Aug MCX Nickel July MCX Lead July MCX Zinc July MCX Aluminum July S2 27500 35500 2810 182.0 374.0 565.0 146.2 176.0 120.5 S1 27600 35900 2840 185.0 376.0 576.0 147.0 178.5 121.2 Key Level 27700 36200 2870 188.0 380.0 582.0 148.5 180.0 122.0 R1 27750 36350 2910 192.0 384.0 586.0 149.5 181.5 123.0 Commodity Research - Alpha Commodity Pvt Ltd R2 27850 36550 2940 195.0 387.0 592.0 150.5 183.0 124.0 Intraday Trend Overall Trend Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bearish Bearish 2|Page COMMODITY DAILY As on Tuesday, July 11, 2017 Bullion Trend: Sideways to up Bullion Commodity MCX Gold COMEX Spot Gold MCX Silver COMEX Spot Silver Open 27732 1212.28 36226 15.57 High 27820 1215.58 36597 15.74 Low 27603 1204.2 35460 15.17 Close 27794 1213.75 36544 15.63 % Change Open Int Volume 0.04 6583 11049 0.10 0.86 22326 31279 0.44 - Levels to watch: Gold 2805028400, Silver 37500/38200 Event/Data to watch: Dollar index movement Gold silver prices declined on stringer dollar after positive US non-farm payroll data. Prices remained under pressure since last week after world central banks signaled monetary tightening in near term. Prices are expected to trade sideways to down with stronger dollar. The uncertainty over BREXIT and tensions in Korean peninsula may support prices to trade firm. We expect bullion prices to trade sideways to down today with Gold resistance at $1220, support at $1202. Silver resistance at $15.60, support at $15.20. COMEX Gold Daily Chart COMEX Silver Daily Chart Commodity Research - Alpha Commodity Pvt Ltd 3|Page COMMODITY DAILY As on Tuesday, July 11, 2017 Energy Energy Commodity MCX Crude Oil NYMEX WTI Crude Oil MCX Natural Gas NYMEX Natural Gas Open 2882 44.35 186.3 2.898 High 2893 44.84 190.4 2.946 Low 2822 43.65 185.7 2.87 Trend: Sideway to down Close 2876 44.4 189.4 2.929 % Change Open Int Volume 0.45 17035 172991 0.38 2.27 5261 48240 2.27 - Levels to watch: Crude oil 2820 – 2910 Natural Gas 184-192 Data to Watch: Dollar Index Move, Crude oil prices traded firm witnessing short recovery despite bearish inventory data. Prices were trading steady in day trade in the narrow range and later rallied after EAI report showed decline in US output. The summer demand will boost gasoline consumption which can support oil prices to trade firm. Prices are currently caught in tug of war between higher supplies and production cut effects. US weekly crude oil inventories rose by 0.1mb against previous decline of 2.5 mb. The rising output from Libya and increasing U.S. production has pressured oil prices to trade lower. US oil rigs rose by 17 to 758 rigs at highest in two years. Natural gas prices traded higher on warmer temperatures which pushed cooling demand. Prices are caught in supply demand expectations ahead of summer demand. We expect prices to trade sideways to up with Support at 194/182, resistance at 192/195. MCX Crude Oil Daily Chart MCX Natural Gas Daily Chart Commodity Research - Alpha Commodity Pvt Ltd 4|Page COMMODITY DAILY As on Tuesday, July 11, 2017 Base Metals Base Metals Commodity MCX Copper MCX Nickel MCX Lead MCX Zinc MCX Aluminum Open 380.45 584 148 180.15 124.35 High 380.85 584 149 180.45 124.45 Low 376.4 573 146.2 177.25 121.8 Trend: Sideways to down Close 379.25 581.1 148.85 178.95 121.95 % Change Open Int Volume -0.22 13794 24321 0.05 31886 24323 0.4 2398 14174 -0.75 7774 24042 -2.01 1966 6038 Levels to watch: Copper 376–381, Zinc 176-181 Data to watch: Dollar index movement Prices traded mixed witnessing both side movements. Prices traded lower witnessing selling on demand concerns and higher supply. The overall demand outlook kept prices under pressure with rise in LME inventories has put additional pressure on prices. Copper prices may trade lower with resumed mining from Chile with end of labor strike. Other metals may come under pressure with rise in inventories at LME. We expect prices to trade sideways to down with copper support at 376, resistance at 381. Zinc support at 176, resistance at 181 and Nickel support at 576/572, and resistance at 590. MCX Copper Daily Chart MCX Nickel Daily Chart Commodity Research - Alpha Commodity Pvt Ltd 5|Page COMMODITY DAILY As on Tuesday, July 11, 2017 Disclaimer: This document has been issued by Alpha Commodity Pvt. Ltd., for the information of its customers only. Alpha Commodity Pvt. Ltd., is governed by the Securities Exchange Board of India. This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. 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