Fall 2011 Midterm 1 Answer Key Economics of Sport October 24, 2011 The examination consists of 3 open-ended questions with 4 subparts each. Each subpart is equally weighted in the determination of your grade. Answer the questions fully. Be sure to define any economic concept you use or refer to in your answer. 1 1 Tampa Bay Rays and Ticket Pricing 1.1 Statement of the Problem An econometrician has estimated the demand function for Tickets to Rays game as q = 500, 000 − 25, 000P , where P is the per game ticket price. 1. Use the information above to calculate the number of tickets sold when P = $10. 2. Use the information above to calculate the number of tickets sold when P = $12. 3. The Elasticity of Demand is calculated by ξ = q1 −q0 q0 P1 −P0 P0 . Identify the Elas- ticity of Demand at P = $10. 4. Given the marginal cost of admitting one more fan is zero, did the Rays make a good decision regarding the increase in ticket price? Explain. 1.2 Solution 1. Use the information above to calculate the number of tickets sold when P = $10. Using the demand function for tickets at P = $10, we have q = 500, 000 − 25, 000(10) = 500, 000 − 250, 000 = 250, 000. That is, at a price of $10 per ticket, when anticipate 250,000 tickets being sold. This raises $2.5 Million in ticket revenue. 2. Use the information above to calculate the number of tickets sold when P = $12. Using the demand function for tickets at P = $12, we have q = 500, 000 − 25, 000(12) = 500, 000 − 300, 000 = 200, 000. That is, at a price of $12 per ticket, when anticipate 200,000 tickets being sold. This raises $2.4 Million in ticket revenue. 3. The Elasticity of Demand is calculated by ξ = q1 −q0 q0 P1 −P0 P0 . Identify the Elas- ticity of Demand at P = $10. If we define q0 = 250, 000 with P0 = $10 and q1 = 200, 000 with Pq = $12, we may use the supplied elasticity of demand formula to calculate: ξ= 200,000−250,000 250,000 12−10 10 = −1 5 1 5 = −1. That is, at the price P = $10, demand is unitary elastic. Total Revenue is maximized at the price where demand is unit elastic. 2 4. Given the marginal cost of admitting one more fan is zero, did the Rays make a good decision regarding the increase in ticket price? Explain. Given the marginal cost of providing fans with the additional 50,000 seats was zero, the Rays did not make a good decision raising ticket prices. In fact, if we think that fans would have purchased more concessions and parking (and these items are being sold at a profit), then we anticipate the decision to raise ticket prices has caused the Rays to shrink profits. 3 2 Washington Nationals and Winning in Major League Baseball 2.1 Statement of the Problem The Washington Nationals, one of the weakest teams in the National League from a wins-losses perspective, is also one of the most profitable teams in baseball. 1. Explain what factors determine profitability of a team. In particular, why might these profits be independent of wins and losses. 2. Is it possible that winning more games may actually hurt a team’s profitability? Explain. 3. If Major League Baseball teams are profit maximizers, what must be true to encourage weak teams to win more games? Can you think of a league policy that would be consistent with your observation? Explain. 4. Explain the law of diminishing marginal returns. If this concept applies to Major League Baseball, explain how it may help support competitive balance. 2.2 Solution 1. Explain what factors determine profitability of a team. In particular, why might these profits be independent of wins and losses. Team profits are the difference between revenues and costs. Revenues for the team come from ticket sales, parking, concessions, advertising, and television broadcasting rights. Team costs are largely driven by facility charges and player contracts. Some teams in large markets, like the Nationals, draw from a very large metropolitan area. Also, there is a large television market. As these revenue sources are less sensitive to wins and losses, winning an extra game isn’t that valuable to the Nationals. Costs, on the other hand, are quite sensitive to the quality of team assembled. The team has an opportunity to field a poor team and not lose much revenue while driving costs down. This can boost profits. 2. Is it possible that winning more games may actually hurt a team’s profitability? Explain. If Team Revenues are not sensitive to wins and costs are highly sensitive to wins, we can see that mathematically winning more games can shrink a team’s profits. For simplicity, let’s suppose that the Nationals only get revenue from tickets and have a 50,000 seat stadium and charge $50 per ticket. Thus, each game the Nationals generate $2.5 million in revenue. We’ll also suppose that this revenue does not depend on how the team is performing as the Washington D.C. market is so big and incomes are so high. With 80 home games per season, this generates $200 million in ticket revenue. 4 Now, the Nationals could build a competitive team and spend $150 million on player contracts. This would leave profits of $50 million per year. On the other hand, if the Nationals do not build a competitive team and spend only $75 million on player contracts (losing many more games), the team would geenrate profits of $125 million per year. Clearly in this example, winning more games causes the Nationals to lose profits. Again, this is if team revenues are somewhat insensitive to the team’s on the field success. 3. If Major League Baseball teams are profit maximizers, what must be true to encourage weak teams to win more games? Can you think of a league policy that would be consistent with your observation? Explain. To encourage MLB teams to win more games given they are profit maximizers, the league must design profit incentives to weak teams to win more games. Gate sharing for away teams may be a part of this initiative. When weak teams visit fairly strong teams, attendance tends to be down even for the strong team. If the weak teams can share in the gate, they have a much larger incentive to field a more competitive team because they would generate stronger gate revenue even when they go on the road. 4. Explain the law of diminishing marginal returns. If this concept applies to Major League Baseball, explain how it may help support competitive balance. The law of diminishing marginal returns suggests that after some point, the returns necessarily get smaller. This may support competitive balance because this may keep superstar players spread out through the league rather than consolidated on a single team. If we suppose there are 10 superstars, the marginal return of the first superstar is quite high. However, eventually, as a single team got more than say 3 or 4 superstars, another team may value the next superstar more highly than the team that has 3 or 4 signed. This keeps the league more balanced than a situation where all 10 superstars played for the same team. 5 3 The Arizona Cardinals and Price Discrimination 3.1 Statement of the Problem The typical Arizonal Cardinals fan has the demand curve for Cardinals football games: p = 120 − 15G, where G is the number of games attended and p is the price per game. 1. If the Cardinals want to seel the fan a ticket to all eight home games, what price must they charge? What are their revenues? 2. What is the typical fans benefit (total willingness-to-pay) for eight games? 3. What is the typcial fans benefit (total willingness-to-pay) for four games? 4. Suppose the Cardinals can sell a season-ticket (good for all 8 home games), a partial season-ticket (good for 4 home games), or single game tickets. Given the information you have calculated in this problem, what pricing structure would you suggest to maximize the revenues of the Cardinals? 3.2 Solution 1. If the Cardinals want to seel the fan a ticket to all eight home games, what price must they charge? What are their revenues? Charging a single game price, we want to know the price such that G = 8. Using the information above, we see: p = 120 − 15(8) = 0. That is, we must give the tickets away for free if want our typical fan to attend all 8 home games. This will generate $0 in ticket revenues. 2. What is the typical fans benefit (total willingness-to-pay) for eight games? The area under the demand curve between 0 and 8 games captures the dollar value of the fans total willingness-to-pay for all eight games. This is calculated as: T W T P8 = 1 (120 − 0)(8) = $480. 2 That is, our typical Cardinals fan values all eight home games at $480. 3. What is the typcial fans benefit (total willingness-to-pay) for four games? The height of the demand curve at G = 4 is $60. Thus, the typical fan’s total willingness-to-pay for 4 games is given by: T W T P4 = 1 (120 − 60)(4) + 4(60) = $360. 2 That is, the fan derives benefit of $360 from attending 4 games. 6 4. Suppose the Cardinals can sell a season-ticket (good for all 8 home games), a partial season-ticket (good for 4 home games), or single game tickets. Given the information you have calculated in this problem, what pricing structure would you suggest to maximize the revenues of the Cardinals? The Arizona Cardinals could sell a season ticket for $479.99 to all eight home games and maximize the amount of revenue extracted from Cardinal fans. Selling a partial season ticket for $361 and a single game ticket for $116 would also force Cardinal fans to purchase the season ticket. 7
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