Hindawi Publishing Corporation International Journal of Stochastic Analysis Volume 2015, Article ID 287450, 15 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/287450 Research Article Large Deviation Analysis of a Droplet Model Having a Poisson Equilibrium Distribution Richard S. Ellis1 and Shlomo Taâasan2 1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003, USA Department of Mathematical Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA 2 Correspondence should be addressed to Richard S. Ellis; [email protected] Received 5 March 2015; Accepted 20 August 2015 Academic Editor: Lukasz Stettner Copyright © 2015 R. S. Ellis and S. Taâasan. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. In this paper we use large deviation theory to determine the equilibrium distribution of a basic droplet model that underlies a number of important models in material science and statistical mechanics. Given ð â N and ð > ð, ðŸ distinguishable particles are placed, each with equal probability 1/ð, onto the ð sites of a lattice, where ðŸ/ð equals ð. We focus on configurations for which each site is occupied by a minimum of ð particles. The main result is the large deviation principle (LDP), in the limit ðŸ â â and ð â â with ðŸ/ð = ð, for a sequence of random, number-density measures, which are the empirical measures of dependent random variables that count the droplet sizes. The rate function in the LDP is the relative entropy ð (ð | ðâ ), where ð is a possible asymptotic configuration of the number-density measures and ðâ is a Poisson distribution with mean ð, restricted to the set of positive integers ð satisfying ð ⥠ð. This LDP implies that ðâ is the equilibrium distribution of the number-density measures, which in turn implies that ðâ is the equilibrium distribution of the random variables that count the droplet sizes. 1. Introduction This paper is motivated by a natural question for a basic model of a droplet. Given ð â N and ð > ð, ðŸ distinguishable particles are placed, each with equal probability 1/ð, onto the ð sites of a lattice Î ð = {1, 2, . . . , ð}. Under the assumption that ðŸ/ð = ð and that each site is occupied by a minimum of ð particles, what is the equilibrium distribution, as ð â â, of the number of particles per site? We prove in Corollary 3 that this equilibrium distribution is a Poisson distribution, with mean ð, restricted to the set of positive integers ð satisfying ð ⥠ð. As we explain near the end of the Introduction, this equilibrium distribution has important applications to technologies using sprays and powders. As in many other models in statistical mechanics, we can identify the equilibrium distribution by exhibiting it as the unique minimum point of a rate function in a large deviation principle (LDP). Other models for which this procedure can be implemented are discussed at the end of the Introduction. For the droplet model we prove the LDP for a sequence of random probability measures, called number-density measures, which are the empirical measures of a sequence of dependent random variables that count the droplet sizes. This LDP is stated in Theorem 1. Our proof is self-contained and starts from first principles, using techniques that are familiar in applied mathematics and statistical mechanics. For example, the proof of the local large deviation estimate in Theorem 5, a key step in the proof of the LDP for the number-density measures, is based on combinatorics, Stirlingâs formula, and Laplace asymptotics. Our use of combinatorial methods goes back to Boltzmann in his work on the discrete ideal gas. He calculated the Maxwell-Boltzmann equilibrium distribution for this system by analyzing the asymptotic behavior of a particular multinomial coefficient [1]. Starting with Boltzmannâs work, combinatorial methods have remained an important tool in both statistical mechanics and in the theory of large deviations, offering insights into a wide variety of physical and mathematical phenomena via techniques that are elegant, powerful, and often elementary. In applications to statistical mechanics, this state of affairs is explained by the observation that âmany fundamental questions . . . are inherently combinatorial, . . . including the Ising model, the Potts model, 2 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis monomer-dimer systems, self-avoiding walks and percolation theoryâ [2]. For the two-dimensional Ising model and other exactly soluble models, [3, 4] are recommended. A similar situation holds in the theory of large deviations. For example, Section 2.1 of [5] discusses combinatorial techniques for finite alphabets and points out that because of the concreteness of these applications the LDPs are proved under much weaker conditions than the corresponding results in the general theory, into which the finite-alphabet results give considerable insight. The text [6] devotes several early sections to large deviation results for i.i.d. random variables having a finite state space and proved by combinatorial methods, including a sophisticated, level-3 result for the empirical pair measure. In order to formulate the LDP for the number-density measures in our droplet model, a standard probabilistic model is introduced. The configuration space is the set Ωð = ÎðŸð consisting of all ð = (ð1 , ð2 , . . . , ððŸ ), where ðð denotes the site in Î ð occupied by the ðth particle. The cardinality of Ωð equals ððŸ . Denote by ðð the uniform probability measure that assigns equal probability 1/ððŸ to each of the ððŸ configurations ð â Ωð. The asymptotic analysis of the droplet model involves the two random variables, which are functions of the configuration ð â Ωð: for â â Î ð, ðŸâ (ð) denotes the number of particles occupying the site â in the configuration ð; for ð â N ⪠{0}, ðð (ð) denotes the number of sites â â Î ð for which ðŸâ (ð) = ð. We focus on the subset of Ωð consisting of all configurations ð for which every site of Î ð is occupied by at least ð particles. Because of this restriction ðð (ð) is indexed by ð â Nð = {ð â Z : ð ⥠ð}. It is useful to think of each particle as having one unit of mass and of the set of particles at each site â as defining a droplet. With this interpretation, for each configuration ð, ðŸâ (ð) denotes the mass or size of the droplet at site â. The ðth droplet class has ðð (ð) droplets and mass ððð (ð). Because the number of sites in Î ð equals ð and the sum of the masses of all the droplet classes equals ðŸ, the following conservation laws hold for such configurations: â ðð (ð) = ð, ðâNð â ððð (ð) = ðŸ. (1) ðâNð In addition, since the total number of particles is ðŸ, it follows that âââÎ ð ðŸâ = ðŸ. These equality constraints show that the random variables ðð and ðŸâ are not independent. In order to carry out the asymptotic analysis of the droplet model, we introduce a quantity ð = ð(ð) that converges to â sufficiently slowly with respect to ð; specifically, we require that ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. In terms of ð and ð we define the subset Ωð,ð,ð of Ωð consisting of all configurations ð for which every site of Î ð is occupied by at least ð particles and at most ð of the quantities ðð (ð) are positive. This second condition is a useful technical device that allows us to control the errors in several estimates. In Appendix D of [7] we present evidence supporting the conjecture that this condition can be eliminated. The discussion in that appendix involves a number of interesting topics including Stirling numbers of the second kind (see [8, pp. 96-97] and [9, §5.4]) and their asymptotic behavior [10, Example 5.4]. The random quantities in the droplet model for which we formulate an LDP are the number-density measures Îð,ð . For ð â Ωð,ð,ð these random probability measures assign to ð â Nð the probability ðð (ð)/ð, which is the number density of the ðth droplet class. Because of the two conservation laws in (1) and because ðŸ/ð = ð, for ð â Ωð,ð,ð , Îð,ð (ð) is a probability measure on Nð = {ð â Z : ð ⥠ð} having mean ð. Thus Îð,ð takes values in PNð ,ð , which is defined to be the set of probability measures on Nð having mean ð. The probability measure ðð,ð,ð defining the droplet model is obtained by restricting the uniform measure ðð to the set of configurations Ωð,ð,ð . Thus ðð,ð,ð equals the conditional probability ðð(â | Ωð,ð,ð ). In the language of statistical mechanics ðð,ð,ð defines a microcanonical ensemble that incorporates the conservation laws for number and mass expressed in (1). A natural question is to determine two equilibrium distributions: the equilibrium distribution ðâ of the numberdensity measures and the equilibrium distribution ðââ = âðâNð ððââ ð¿ð of the droplet-size random variables ðŸâ . These distributions are defined by the following two limits: for any ð > 0, any â â Î ð, and all ð â Nð lim ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðµ (ðâ , ð)) ó³šâ 1, ðââ lim ðð,ð,ð (ðŸâ = ð) = ððââ , (2) ðââ where ðµ(ðâ , ð) denotes the open ball with center ðâ and radius ð defined with respect to an appropriate metric on PNð ,ð . As we prove, the equilibrium distributions of Îð,ð and ðŸâ coincide. As in many models in statistical mechanics, an efficient way to determine the equilibrium distribution Îð,ð is to prove an LDP for Îð,ð , which we carry out in Theorem 1. This theorem is the main result in the paper. The content of Theorem 1 is the following: as ð â â, the sequence of number-density measures Îð,ð satisfies the LDP on PNð ,ð with respect to the measures ðð,ð,ð . The rate function is the relative entropy ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) of ð â PNð ,ð with respect to the Poisson distribution ðð,ðŒ on Nð having components ðð,ðŒ;ð = [ðð (ðŒ)]â1 â ðŒð /ð! for ð â Nð . In this formula ðð (ðŒ) is the normalization that makes ðð,ðŒ a probability measure, and ðŒ equals the unique value ðŒð (ð) for which ðð,ðŒð (ð) has mean ð [Theorem A.2]. Using the fact that ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) equals 0 at the unique measure ð = ðð,ðŒð (ð) , we apply the LDP for Îð,ð to conclude in Theorem 2 that ðð,ðŒð (ð) is the equilibrium distribution of Îð,ð . Corollary 3 then implies that ðð,ðŒð (ð) is also the equilibrium distribution of ðŸâ . The space PNð ,ð is the most natural space on which to formulate the LDP for Îð,ð in Theorem 1. Not only is PNð ,ð the smallest convex set of probability measures containing the range of Îð,ð for all ð â N, but also the union over ð â N of the range of Îð,ð is dense in PNð ,ð . As we explain in part (a) of Theorem 4, PNð ,ð is not a complete, separable metric space, a situation that prevents us from directly applying general International Journal of Stochastic Analysis results in the theory of large deviations that require the setting of a complete, separable metric space. The droplet model is defined in Section 2. Step 1 in the proof of the LDP for Îð,ð is to derive the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5. This local estimate, one of the centerpieces of the paper, gives information not available in the LDP for Îð,ð , which involves global estimates. Step 2 is to lift the local large deviation estimate to the large deviation limit for Îð,ð lying in open balls and certain other subsets of PNð ,ð while Step 3 is to lift the large deviation limit for open balls and certain other subsets to the LDP for Îð,ð stated in Theorem 1. Steps 2 and 3 are explained in Section 4. Details of Steps 2 and 3 as well as other routine proofs are omitted from the present paper. They appear in the unpublished companion paper [7], which also contains additional background material. The paper [1] explores how our work on the droplet model was inspired by the work of Ludwig Boltzmann on a simple model of a discrete ideal gas. The main connection is via the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5. When ð = 0, the LDP for a path version of Îð,0 with ðŸ = ð¡ð and ð¡ > 0 varying appears in [11, 12]. The main application of the results in this paper is to technologies using sprays and powders, which are ubiquitous in many fields, including agriculture, the chemical and pharmaceutical industries, consumer products, electronics, manufacturing, material science, medicine, mining, paper making, the steel industry, and waste treatment. In this paper we focus on sprays; our theory also applies to powders with only changes in terminology [13]. The behavior of sprays might be complex depending on various parameters including evaporation, temperature, and viscosity. Our goal here is to consider the simplest model where the only assumption is made on the average size of droplets in the spray. In many situations it is important to have good control over the sizes of the droplets, which can be translated into properties of probability distributions. The size distributions are important because they determine reliability and safety in each particular application. Interestingly, there does not seem to be a rigorous theory that predicts the equilibrium distribution of droplet sizes, analogous to the Maxwell-Boltzmann distribution of energy levels in a discrete ideal gas [14, 15]. Our goal in the present paper is to provide such a theory. We do so by focusing on one aspect of the problem related to the relative entropy, an approach that characterizes the equilibrium distribution of droplet sizes as being a Poisson distribution restricted to Nð . We expect that this distribution will be important in experimental observations. A full understanding of droplet behavior under dynamic conditions requires treating many other aspects and is beyond the scope of this paper. We plan to apply the ideas in this paper to understand the entropy of dislocation networks [16]. The importance of predicting droplet size can be seen from the wide range of applications utilizing sprays [17, 18]. Because of the importance of this problem, novel approaches for measuring size distribution of droplet size in sprays have been developed [19â23]. What makes the problem of predicting droplet size particularly interesting is the complexity of droplet-size distribution, which is attributed to 3 many factors such as temperature and viscosity. As [24] shows, even the nozzle plays a significant role in the outcome. Many theoretical tools used to understand the distribution of droplet size in sprays include entropy [25], which also plays a key role in the present paper. We end the Introduction by expanding on a comment made at the beginning of this section. This comment concerns one of the main applications of large deviation theory in statistical mechanics, which is to identify the equilibrium distribution or distributions of a model as the minimum point(s) of the rate function in an LDP for the model. This procedure is also useful to study phase transitions in the model, which concern how the structure of the set of equilibrium distributions changes as the parameters defining the model change. There are numerous other models for which this procedure has been used. They include the following three lattice spin models: the Curie-Weiss spin system, the Curie-Weiss-Potts model, and the mean-field Blume-Capel model, which is also known as the mean-field BEG model. As explained in the respective Sections 6.6.1, 6.6.2, and 6.6.3 of [26], the large deviation analysis shows that each of these three models has a different phase transition structure. Details of the analysis for the three models are given in the references [6, §IV.4], [27â29]. Section 9 of [30] outlines how large deviation theory can be applied to determine equilibrium structures in statistical models of twodimensional turbulence. Details of this analysis are given in [31]. 2. Definition of Droplet Model and Main Theorem After defining the droplet model, we state the main theorem in the paper, Theorem 1. The content of this theorem is the LDP for the sequence of random, number-density measures, which are the empirical measures of a sequence of dependent random variables that count the droplet sizes in the model. As we show in Theorem 2 and in Corollary 3, the LDP enables us to identify a Poisson distribution as the equilibrium distribution both of the number-density measures and of the droplet-size random variables. In Theorem 4 we prove a number of properties of two spaces of probability measures in terms of which the LDP for the number-density measures is formulated. We start by fixing parameters ð â N ⪠{0} and ð â (ð, â). The droplet model is defined by a probability measure ðð,ð parameterized by ð â N and the nonnegative integer ð. The measure depends on two other positive integers, ðŸ and ð, where 2 †ð †ð < ðŸ. Both ðŸ and ð are functions of ð in the large deviation limit ð â â. In this limit we take ðŸ â â and ð â â, where ðŸ/ð, the average number of particles per site, equals ð. Thus ðŸ = ðð. In addition, we take ð â â sufficiently slowly by choosing ð to be a function ð(ð) satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â; for example, ð(ð) = ðð¿ for some ð¿ â (0, 1/2). Throughout this paper we fix such a function ð(ð). The parameter ð and the function ð = ð(ð) first appear in the definition of the set 4 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis of configurations Ωð,ð,ð in (3), where these quantities will be explained. Because ðŸ and ð are integers, ð must be a rational number. This in turn imposes a restriction on the values of ð and ðŸ. If ð is a positive integer, then ð â â along the positive integers and ðŸ â â along the subsequence ðŸ = ðð. If ð = ð¥/ðŠ, where ð¥ and ðŠ are relatively prime, positive integers with ðŠ â¥ 2, then ð â â along the subsequence ð = ðŠð for ð â N and ðŸ â â along the subsequence ðŸ = ðð = ð¥ð. Throughout this paper, when we write ð â N or ð â â, it is understood that ð and ðŸ satisfy the restrictions discussed here. In the droplet model ðŸ distinguishable particles are placed, each with equal probability 1/ð, onto the sites of the lattice Î ð = {1, 2, . . . , ð}. This simple description corresponds to a simple probabilistic model. The configuration space is the set Ωð = ÎðŸð consisting of all sequences ð = (ð1 , ð2 , . . . , ððŸ ), where ðð â Î ð denotes the site in Î ð occupied by the ðth particle. Let ð(ð) be the measure on Î ð that assigns equal probability 1/ð to each site in Î ð, and let ðð = (ð(ð) )ðŸ be the product measure on Ωð with equal one-dimensional marginals ð(ð) . Thus ðð is the uniform probability measure that assigns equal probability 1/ððŸ to each of the ððŸ configurations ð â Ωð; for subsets ðŽ of Ωð we have ðð(ðŽ) = card(ðŽ)/ððŸ , where card denotes cardinality. The asymptotic analysis of the droplet model involves two random variables. For â â Î ð and ð â Ωð, ðŸâ (ð) denotes the number of particles occupying site â in the configuration ð. For ð â N ⪠{0} and ð â Ωð, ðð (ð) denotes the number of sites â â Î ð for which ðŸâ (ð) = ð. The dependence of ðŸâ (ð) and ðð (ð) on ð is not indicated in the notation. Because the distributions of both random variables depend on ð, both ðŸâ and ðð form triangular arrays. We now specify the role played by the nonnegative integer ð, first focusing on the case where ð is a positive integer. The case where ð = 0 is discussed later. For ð â Ωð, in general there exist sites â â Î ð for which ðŸâ (ð) = 0; that is, sites that are occupied by 0 particles. The next step in the definition of the droplet model is to restrict to a subset Ωð,ð,ð of configurations ð â Ωð for which every site is occupied by at least ð particles and the following constraint holds: for any configuration ð â Ωð,ð,ð at most ð of the components ðð (ð) are positive, where ð = ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. Because for ð â Ωð,ð,ð every site â â Î ð is occupied by at least ð particles, we have ðŸâ (ð) ⥠ð and ðð (ð) is indexed by ð â Nð = {ð â Z : ð ⥠ð}. We denote by ð(ð) the sequence {ðð (ð), ð â Nð } and define |ð(ð)|+ = card{ð â Nð : ðð (ð) ⥠1}. In terms of this notation Ωð,ð,ð = {ð â Ωð : ðŸâ (ð) ⥠ð, ââ â Î ð, |ð (ð)|+ †ð = ð (ð)} . (3) The constraint restricting the number of positive components of ð(ð) is a useful technical device that allows us to control the errors in several estimates. In Appendix D of [7] we give evidence supporting the conjecture that this restriction can be eliminated. When ð is a positive integer, for each ð â Ωð,ð,ð , each site in Î ð is occupied by at least ð particles. In this case it is useful to think of each particle as having one unit of mass and of the set of particles at each site â as defining a droplet. With this interpretation, for each configuration ð, ðŸâ (ð) denotes the mass or the size of the droplet at site â. The ðth droplet class has ðð (ð) droplets and mass ððð (ð). Because the number of sites in Î ð equals ð and the sum of the masses of all the droplet classes equals ðŸ, it follows that the quantities ðð (ð) satisfy the two conservation laws in (1) for all ð â Ωð,ð,ð . We now consider the modifications that must be made in these definitions when ð = 0. In this case the first constraint in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð disappears because we allow sites to be occupied by 0 particles, and therefore ðð (ð) is indexed by ð â N0 = N ⪠{0}. On the other hand, we retain the second constraint in the definition of Ωð,0,ð , which requires that for any configuration ð â Ωð,0,ð at most ð of the components ðð (ð) for ð â N0 are positive. When ð = 0, the definition of Ωð,0,ð becomes Ωð,0,ð = {ð â Ωð : |ð(ð)|+ †ð = ð(ð)}. Because the choice ð = 0 allows sites to be empty, we lose the interpretation of the set of particles at each site as being a droplet. However, for ð â Ωð,0,ð the two conservation laws in (1) continue to hold. For the remainder of this paper we work with any fixed nonnegative integer ð. The probability measure ðð,ð,ð defining the droplet model is obtained by restricting the uniform measure ðð to the set Ωð,ð,ð . Thus ðð,ð,ð equals the conditional probability ðð(â | Ωð,ð,ð ). For subsets ðŽ of Ωð,ð,ð , ðð,ð,ð (ðŽ) takes the form ðð,ð,ð (ðŽ) = ðð (ðŽ | Ωð,ð,ð ) = (4) 1 â card (ðŽ) . card (Ωð,ð,ð ) Having defined the droplet model, we introduce the random probability measures whose large deviations we will study. For ð â Ωð,ð,ð these measures are the number-density measures Îð,ð that assign to ð â Nð the probability ðð (ð)/ð. This ratio represents the number density of droplet class ð. Thus for any subset ðŽ of Nð Îð,ð (ð, ðŽ) = â Îð,ð;ð (ð) , ðâðŽ where Îð,ð;ð (ð) = ðð (ð) ð (5) . By the two formulas in (1) âðâNð Îð,ð;ð (ð) = 1 and âðâNð ðÎð,ð;ð (ð) = ðŸ/ð = ð. Thus Îð,ð (ð) is a probability measure on Nð having mean ð. We next introduce several spaces of probability measures that arise in the large deviation analysis of the droplet model. PNð denotes the set of probability measures on Nð = {ð â Z : ð ⥠ð}. Thus ð â PNð has the form âðâNð ðð ð¿ð , where the components ðð satisfy ðð ⥠0 and âðâNð ðð = 1. We say that a sequence of measures {ð(ð) , ð â N} in PNð converges weakly to ð â PNð , and write ð(ð) â ð, if, for any bounded function ð mapping Nð into R, â«N ððð(ð) â â«N ððð as ð â â. ð ð International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 5 PNð is topologized by the topology of weak convergence. There is a standard technique for introducing a metric structure on PNð for which we quote the main facts. Because Nð is a complete, separable metric space with metric ð(ð¥, ðŠ) = |ð¥ â ðŠ|, there exists a metric ð on PNð called the Prohorov metric with the following two properties: (1) convergence with respect to the Prohorov metric is equivalent to weak convergence [32, Thm. 3.3.1]; (2) with respect to the Prohorov metric, PNð is a complete, separable metric space [32, Thm. 3.1.7]. We denote by PNð ,ð the set of measures in PNð having mean ð. Thus ð â PNð ,ð has the form âðâNð ðð ð¿ð , where the components ðð satisfy ðð ⥠0, âðâNð ðð = 1, and âðâNð ððð = ð. The number-density measures Îð,ð defined in (5) take values in PNð ,ð . According to part (a) of Theorem 4, PNð ,ð is not a closed subset of PNð . Hence it is natural to introduce the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð . As we prove in part (b) of Theorem 4, the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð equals PNð ,[ð,ð] , which is the set of measures in PNð having mean lying in the closed interval [ð, ð]. Being the closure of the relatively compact, separable metric space PNð ,ð , PNð ,[ð,ð] is a compact, separable metric space with respect to the Prohorov metric. This space appears in the formulation of the large deviation upper bound in part (c) of Theorem 1. We next state Theorem 1, which is the LDP for the sequence of distributions ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðð) on PNð ,ð as ð â â. The rate function in the LDP is the relative entropy of ð with respect to the Poisson distribution ðð,ðŒð (ð) = âðâNð ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð ð¿ð defined in (7), where each ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð > 0. Thus any ð â PNð ,ð is absolutely continuous with respect to ðð,ðŒð (ð) . For ð â PNð ,ð the relative entropy of ð with respect to ðð,ðŒð (ð) is defined by ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) = â ðð log ( ðâNð ðð ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð ). (6) If ðð = 0, then ðð log(ðð /ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð ) = 0. For ð â Nð the components of the measure ðð,ðŒð (ð) appearing in the LDP have the form ð ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð [ðŒ (ð)] 1 = , â ð ð! ðð (ðŒð (ð)) (7) where ðŒð (ð) â (0, â) is chosen so that ðð,ðŒð (ð) has mean ð and ðð (ðŒð (ð)) is the normalization making ðð,ðŒð (ð) a probability measure; thus ð0 (ðŒ0 (ð)) = ððŒ0 (ð) and, for ð â N, ðð (ðŒð (ð)) = ð ððŒð (ð) â âðâ1 ð=0 [ðŒð (ð)] /ð!. As we show in Theorem A.2, there exists a unique value of ðŒð (ð). As a consequence of the fact that PNð ,ð is not closed in PNð , the large deviation upper bound takes two forms depending on whether the subset ð¹ of PNð ,ð is compact or whether ð¹ is closed. When ð¹ is compact, in part (b) we obtain the standard large deviation upper bound for ð¹. When ð¹ is closed, in part (c) we obtain a variation of the standard large deviation upper bound, which, when ð¹ is compact, coincides with the upper bound in part (b). The refinement in part (c) is important. It is applied in the proof of Theorem 2 to show that ðð,ðŒð (ð) is the equilibrium distribution of the number-density measures Îð,ð . In turn, Theorem 2 is applied in the proof of Corollary 3 to show that ðð,ðŒð (ð) is the equilibrium distribution of the droplet-size random variables ðŸâ . In the next theorem we assume that ð is the function ð(ð) appearing in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. The assumption that ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 is used to control error terms in Lemmas 6 and 7 in the present paper and in Lemma B.3 in [7]. This assumption on ð(ð) is optimal in the sense that it is a minimal assumption guaranteeing that error terms in parts (a) and (b) of Lemma B.3 in [7] converge to 0. In the next theorem, for ðŽ a subset of PNð ,ð or PNð ,[ð,ð] we denote by ð (ðŽ | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) the infimum of ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) over ð â ðŽ. Theorem 1. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a rational number ð â (ð, â). Let ð be the function ð(ð) appearing in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. Let ðð,ðŒð (ð) â PNð ,ð be the distribution having the components defined in (7). Then as ð â â, with respect to the measures ðð,ð,ð , the sequence Îð,ð satisfies the LDP on PNð ,ð with rate function ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) in the following sense. (a) ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) maps PNð ,ð into [0, â] and has compact level sets in PNð ,ð ; that is, for any ð < â the set {ð â PNð ,ð : ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) †ð} is compact. (b) For any compact subset ð¹ of PNð ,ð we have the large deviation upper bound lim sup ðââ 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ð¹) †âð (ð¹ | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . ð (8) (c) For any closed subset ð¹ of PNð ,ð , let ð¹ denote the closure of ð¹ in PNð ,[ð,ð] . We have the large deviation upper bound lim sup ðââ 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ð¹) †âð (ð¹ | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . ð (9) (d) For any open subset ðº of PNð ,ð we have the large deviation lower bound lim inf ðââ 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðº) ⥠âð (ðº | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . ð (10) The properties of ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) in part (a) are proved in [33, Lem. 1.4.1] and part (a) of Theorem A.1. The basic step in proving the large deviation bounds in parts (b)â(d) is the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5. As explained in Section 4, this local estimate is lifted to large deviation limits involving open balls stated in Theorem 8, which in turn are used to derive the bounds in parts (b)â(d) of Theorem 1. In the next theorem we use the large deviation upper bound in part (c) of Theorem 1 to prove that the Poisson distribution ðð,ðŒð (ð) is the equilibrium distribution of the number-density measures Îð,ð . In this theorem [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð denotes the complement in PNð ,ð of the open 6 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis ball ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð) = {] â PNð ,ð : ð(ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ]) < ð}. [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð denotes the complement in PNð ,[ð,ð] of the open ball ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð) = {] â PNð ,[ð,ð] : ð(ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ]) < ð}. Theorem 2. One assumes the hypotheses of Theorem 1. The following results hold for any ð > 0. (a) The quantity ð¥â = inf{ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) : ð â [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð } is strictly positive. â (b) For any number ðŠ in the interval (0, ð¥ ) and all sufficiently large ð ð ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)] ) †exp [âððŠ] ó³šâ 0 ðð ð ó³šâ â. lim â« ð (Îð,ð ) ððð,ð,ð = ð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . (12) These two limits allow us to interpret the Poisson distribution ðð,ðŒð (ð) as the equilibrium distribution of the number-density measures Îð,ð with respect to ðð,ð,ð . Proof. The starting point is the large deviation upper bound in part (c) of Theorem 1 applied to the closed set [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð , which is a subset of [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð . We denote the closure of [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð in PNð ,[ð,ð] by [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð]ð . Since [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð â [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð , the large deviation upper bound in part (c) of Theorem 1 takes the form ð 1 lim sup log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â [ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)] } ðââ ð ð †âð ([ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) Corollary 3. One assumes the hypotheses of Theorem 1. Then for any site â â Î ð and any ð â Nð lim ðð,ð,ð (ðŸâ = ð) = ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð ðââ ð (11) This upper bound implies that, as ð â â, ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)) â 1 and for any bounded, continuous function ð mapping PNð ,ð into R ð â â Ωð,ð,ð count the droplet sizes at the sites of Î ð. This is the content of the next corollary. A fact needed in the proof is that Îð,ð is the empirical measure of these random variables; that is, for ð â Ωð,ð,ð , Îð,ð (ð) assigns to subsets ðŽ of Nð the probability Îð,ð (ð, ðŽ) = ðâ1 âð â=1 ð¿ðŸâ (ð) (ðŽ). This representation is valid because both Îð,ð (ð) and the empirical measure assign to ð â Î ð the probability ðð (ð)/ð. (13) ð †âð ([ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . We now prove part (a) of Theorem 2. Since ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) is lower semicontinuous on PNð ,[ð,ð] and has compact level sets in PNð ,[ð,ð] [33, Lem. 1.4.3(b)â(c)], it attains its infimum ð¥â on the closed set [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð . If ð¥â = 0, then there would exist ð â [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð such that ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) = 0. But on PNð ,[ð,ð] , ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) attains its infimum of 0 at the unique measure ð = ðð,ðŒð (ð) [33, Lem. 1.4.1]. This contradicts the fact that ðð,ðŒð (ð) â [ðµÌð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)]ð , completing the proof of part (a). The inequality in part (b) is an immediate consequence of part (a) and the large deviation upper bound (13). This inequality yields the limit ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðµð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) , ð)) â 1, which in turn implies (12). The proof of Theorem 2 is complete. We now apply Theorem 2 to prove that ðð,ðŒð (ð) is also the equilibrium distribution of the random variables ðŸâ , which = [ðŒ (ð)] 1 â ð . ð! ðð (ðŒð (ð)) (14) Proof. Since the random variables ðŸâ are identically distributed, it suffices to prove the corollary for â = 1. For fixed ð â Nð , the limit (12) with ð(ð) = ðð yields lim ðð,ð,ð (ðŸ1 = ð) ðââ 1 ð 1ð (ðŸâ ) ððð,ð,ð ââ« ðââð â=1 Ωð,ð,ð = lim = lim â« ð â â Ωð,ð,ð (15) Îð,ð;ð ððð,ð,ð = ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð . This completes the proof. The last theorem in this section proves several properties of PNð ,ð and PNð ,[ð,ð] with respect to the Prohorov metric that are needed in the paper. Theorem 4. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a real number ð â (ð, â). The metric spaces PNð ,ð and PNð ,[ð,ð] have the following properties. (a) PNð ,ð , the set of probability measures on Nð having mean ð, is a relatively compact, separable subset of PNð . However, PNð ,ð is not a closed subset of PNð and thus is not a compact subset or a complete metric space. (b) PNð ,[ð,ð] , the set of probability measures on Nð having mean lying in the closed interval [ð, ð], is the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð . PNð ,[ð,ð] is a compact, separable subset of PNð . Proof. (a) For ð â N satisfying ð ⥠ð let Κð denote the compact subset {ð, ð + 1, . . . , ð} of Nð , and let [Κð ]ð denote its complement. For any ð â PNð ,ð ð ð = â ððð ⥠â ððð ⥠ð â ðð = ðð ([Κð ] ) . ðâNð ðâ¥ð+1 ðâ¥ð+1 (16) It follows that PNð ,ð is tight; that is, for any ð > 0 there exists ð â N such that ð([Κð ]ð ) < ð for all ð â PNð ,ð . Prohorovâs theorem implies that PNð ,ð is relatively compact [32, Thm. 3.2.2]. The separability of PNð ,ð is proved in Corollary B.2 in [7]. International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 7 We now prove that PNð ,ð is not a closed subset of PNð by exhibiting a sequence ð(ð) â PNð ,ð having a weak limit that does not lie in PNð ,ð . Let ð be any measure in PNð with mean ðœ â [ð, ð); thus ð â PNð ,ð . The sequence ð(ð) = ðâðœ ðâð ð+ ð¿ ðâðœ ðâðœ ð for ð â N, ð > ð (17) has the property that ð(ð) â PNð ,ð and that ð(ð) â ð â PNð ,ð . This completes the proof of part (a). (b) Since PNð ,ð is a separable subset of PNð and PNð ,ð is dense in PNð ,[ð,ð] , it follows that PNð ,[ð,ð] is separable. We prove that PNð ,[ð,ð] is the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð . Let ð(ð) be a sequence in PNð ,ð converging weakly to ð â PNð . Since ð(ð) â ð implies that ðð(ð) â ðð for each ð â Nð , Fatouâs lemma implies that ð = lim inf ð â â âšð(ð) ⩠⥠âšðâ©, where âšð(ð) â© and âšðâ© denote the means of ð(ð) and ð. Since for any ð â PNð we have âšð⩠⥠ð, it follows that ð ⥠âšð⩠⥠ð. This shows that the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð is a subset of PNð ,[ð,ð] . We next prove that PNð ,[ð,ð] is a subset of the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð by showing that for any ð â PNð ,[ð,ð] there exists a sequence ð(ð) â PNð ,ð such that ð(ð) â ð. If âšðâ© = ð, then we choose ð(ð) = ð for all ð â N. If âšðâ© = ðœ â [ð, ð), then we use the sequence ð(ð) in (17), which converges weakly to ð. We conclude that ð lies in the closure of PNð ,ð and thus that PNð ,[ð,ð] is a subset of the closure of PNð ,ð in PNð . This completes the proof of part (b). The proof of Theorem 4 is done. In the next section we present the local large deviation estimate that will be used in Section 4 to prove the LDP for Îð,ð in Theorem 1. 3. Local Large Deviation Estimate Yielding Theorem 1 The main result needed to prove the LDP in Theorem 1 is the local large deviation estimate stated in part (b) of Theorem 5. The first step is to introduce a set ðŽ ð,ð,ð that plays a central role in this paper. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a rational number ð â (ð, â). Given ð â N define ðŸ = ðð and let ð be the function appearing in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. Define Nð = {ð â Z : ð ⥠ð}; thus N0 is the set of nonnegative integers. Let ] be a sequence {]ð , ð â Nð } for which each ]ð â N N N0 ; thus ] â N0 ð . We define ðŽ ð,ð,ð to be the set of ] â N0 ð satisfying â ]ð = ð, For ð â Ωð,ð,ð the components Îð,ð;ð (ð) of the numberdensity measure defined in (5) are ðð (ð)/ð for ð â Nð , where ðð (ð) denotes the number of sites in Î ð containing ð particles in the configuration ð. We denote by ð(ð) the sequence {ðð (ð), ð â Nð }. By definition, for every ð â Ωð,ð,ð each site â â Î ð is occupied by at least ð particles, and |ð(ð)|+ †ð = ð(ð). It follows that ðŽ ð,ð,ð is the range of ð(ð) for ð â Ωð,ð,ð ; the two sums involving ]ð in (18) correspond to the two sums involving ðð (ð) in (1). Since the range of ð(ð) is ðŽ ð,ð,ð , for ð â Ωð,ð,ð the range of Îð,ð (ð) is the set of probability measures ðð,ð,] whose components for ð â Nð have the form ðð,ð,];ð = ]ð /ð for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð . By (18) ðð,ð,] takes values in PNð ,ð , the set of probability measures on Nð having mean ð. It follows that the set ðµð,ð,ð = {ð â PNð ,ð : ðð = ]ð ð for ð â Nð for some ] (19) â ðŽ ð,ð,ð } is the range of Îð,ð (ð) for ð â Ωð,ð,ð . In part (b) of the next theorem we state the local large deviation estimate for the event {Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] }. In part (a) we introduce the Poisson distribution ðð,ðŒð (ð) that appears in the local estimate; ðð,ðŒð (ð) is defined in terms of a parameter ðŒð (ð) guaranteeing that it has mean ð. In part (a) of Theorem C.2 in [7] we give the straightforward proof of the existence of ðŒð (ð) for ð = 1. The proof of the existence of ðŒð (ð) for general ð â N is much more subtle than the proof for ð = 1. The proof for general ð â N is given in Theorem A.2 in the present paper. Theorem 5. (a) Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a real number ð â (ð, â). For ðŒ â (0, â) let ðð,ðŒ be the measure on Nð having components ðð,ðŒ;ð = [ðð (ðŒ)]â1 â ðŒð /ð! for ð â Nð , where ð0,ðŒ = ð ððŒ , and, for ð â N, ðð (ðŒ) = ððŒ â âðâ1 ð=0 ðŒ /ð!. Then there exists a unique value ðŒð (ð) â (0, â) such that ðð,ðŒð (ð) lies in the set PNð ,ð of probability measures on Nð having mean ð. If ð = 0, then ðŒ0 (ð) = ð. If ð â N, then ðŒð (ð) is the unique solution in (0, â) of ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ)/ðð (ðŒ) = ð. (b) Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a rational number ð â (ð, â). Let ð be the function ð(ð) appearing in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. For any ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð we define ðð,ð,] â PNð ,ð to have the components ðð,ð,];ð = ]ð /ð for ð â Nð . Then 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] ) ð (20) = âð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + ðð (]) . ðâNð â ð]ð = ðŸ, (18) ðâNð |]|+ †ð = ð (ð) , where |]|+ = card{ð â Nð : ]ð ⥠1}. Because ]ð â N0 , the two sums involve only finitely many terms. ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) is finite because it involves only finitely many components of ðð,ð,] , and ðð(]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð as ð â â. We now prove the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5. This proof is based on a combinatorial argument that is reminiscent of and is as natural as 8 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis the combinatorial argument used to prove Sanovâs theorem for empirical measures defined in terms of i.i.d. random variables having a finite state space [1, §3]. Part (b) of Theorem 5 is proved by analyzing the asymptotic behavior of the product of two multinomial coefficients that we now introduce. Given ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð , our goal is to estimate the probability ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] ), where ðð,ð,] has the components ðð,ð,];ð = ]ð /ð for ð â Nð . A basic observation is that {ð â Ωð,ð,ð : Îð,ð (ð) = ðð,ð,] } coincides with Î ð,ð,ð;] = {ð â Ωð,ð,ð : ðð (ð) = ]ð for ð â Nð } . (21) It follows that ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] ) = ðð,ð,ð (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) = 1 â card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) . card (Ωð,ð,ð ) (22) Our first task is to determine the asymptotic behavior of card(Î ð,ð,ð;] ). In determining the asymptotic behavior of card(Ωð,ð,ð ), we will use the fact that Ωð,ð,ð can be written as the disjoint union Ωð,ð,ð = â Î ð,ð,ð;] . ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð (23) Let ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð be given. We start by expressing the cardinality of card(Î ð,ð,ð;] ) as a product of two multinomial coefficients. For each configuration ð â Î ð,ð,ð;] , ðŸ particles are distributed onto the ð sites of the lattice Î ð with ð particles going onto ]ð sites for ð â Nð . We carry this out in two stages. In stage one ðŸ particles are placed into ð bins, ]ð of which have ð particles for ð â Nð . The number of ways of making this placement equals the multinomial coefficient ðŸ!/âðâNð (ð!)]ð . This multinomial coefficient is well-defined since âðâNð ð]ð = ðŸ. Given this placement of ðŸ particles into ð bins, the number of ways of moving the particles from the bins onto the sites 1, 2, . . . , ð of the lattice Î ð equals the multinomial coefficient ð!/âðâNð ]ð !. This second multinomial coefficient is well-defined since âðâNð ]ð = ð. We conclude that the cardinality of Î ð,ð,ð;] is given by the product of these two multinomial coefficients: card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) = ð! ðŸ! . âðâNð ]ð ! âðâN (ð!)]ð ð â (24) Since |]|+ †ð, at most ð of the components ]ð are positive. Such a product of multinomial coefficients is well known in combinatorial analysis [8, Thm. 2.10]. A related version of this formula is derived in Example III.23 of [34]. See also [35, p. 115] and formula (2) in [36, p. 36]. The next two steps in the proof of the local estimate given in part (b) of Theorem 5 are to prove the asymptotic formula for card(Î ð,ð,ð;] ) in Lemma 6 and the asymptotic formula for card(Ωð,ð,ð ) in part (b) of Lemma 7. The proof of Lemma 6 is greatly simplified by a substitution in line 4 of (34). This substitution involves a parameter ðŒ â (0, â), which, we emphasize, is arbitrary in this lemma. The substitution in line 4 of (34) allows us to express the asymptotic behavior of both card(Î ð,ð,ð;] ) in Lemma 6 and card(Ωð,ð,ð ) in Lemma 7 directly in terms of the relative entropy ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ), where ðð,ðŒ is the probability measure on Nð having the components defined in part (a) of Theorem 5. One of the major issues in the proof of part (b) of Theorem 5 is to show that the arbitrary parameter ðŒ appearing in Lemmas 6 and 7 must take the value ðŒð (ð), which is the unique value of ðŒ guaranteeing that ðð,ðŒ â PNð ,ð [Theorem 5(a)]. We show that ðŒ must equal ðŒð (ð) after the statement of Lemma 7. Lemma 6. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a rational number ð â (ð, â). Let ðŒ be any real number in (0, â), and let ð be the function ð(ð) appearing in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. We define ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) = log ðð (ðŒ) â ð log ðŒ + ð log ðŸ â ð. (25) For any ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð , we define ðð,ð,] â PNð ,ð to have the components ðð,ð,];ð = ]ð /ð for ð â Nð . Then 1 log card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) ð (26) = âð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) + ðð (]) . The quantity ðð(]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð as ð â â. Proof. The proof is based on a weak form of Stirlingâs approximation, which states that, for all ð â N satisfying ð ⥠2 and for all ð â N satisfying 1 †ð †ð, 1 †log(ð!) â (ð log ð â ð) †2 log ð. We summarize the last formula by writing log (ð!) = ð log ð â ð + O (log ð) , âð â N, ð ⥠2, âð â {1, 2, . . . , ð} . (27) The term denoted by O(log ð) satisfies 1 †O(log ð) †2 log ð. To simplify the notation, we rewrite (24) in the form card(Î ð,ð,ð;] ) = ð1 (ð, ]) â ð2 (ðŸ, ]), where ð1 (ð, ]) denotes the first multinomial coefficient on the right side of (24), and ð2 (ðŸ, ]) denotes the second multinomial coefficient on the right side of (24). We have 1 log card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) ð 1 1 = log ð1 (ð, ]) + log ð2 (ðŸ, ]) . ð ð (28) The asymptotic behavior of the first term on the right side of the last display is easily calculated. Since ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð , there are |]|+ â {1, 2, . . . , ð} positive components ]ð . Because of this restriction on the number |]|+ of positive components of ], we are able to control the error in line 3 of (29). We define Κð(]) = {ð â Nð : ]ð ⥠1}. For each ð â Κð(]), since the components ]ð satisfy 1 †]ð †ð, we have International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 9 log(]ð !) = ]ð log ]ð â ]ð + O(log ð) for all ð ⥠2. Using the fact that âðâΚð (]) ]ð = ð, we obtain 1 1 1 log ð1 (ð, ]) = log (ð!) â â log (]ð !) ð ð ð ðâΚ (]) ð = 1 (ð log ð â ð + O (log ð)) ð 1 â â (] log ]ð â ]ð + O (log ð)) ð ðâΚ (]) ð (29) ðâNð (1) (2) where ðð = [O(log ð)]/ð â 0 as ð â â and ðð (]) = ðâ1 âðâΚð (]) O(log ð). By the inequality noted after (27) and the fact that |]|+ †ð (2) 0 †max ðð (]) †max †ð 2ð log ð . ð (30) Since (ð log ð)/ð â 0 as ð â â, we conclude that (2) (]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð as ð â â. ðð We now study the asymptotic behavior of the second term on the right side of (28). Since ðŸ = ðð, we obtain for all ðŸ ⥠2 1 1 1 log ð2 (ðŸ, ]) = log (ðŸ!) â â ] log (ð!) ð ð ð ðâN ð ð = ð log ðŸ â ð â â ðð,ð,];ð log (ð!) (31) ðâNð (3) = O(log ðŸ)/ð = O(log ð)/ð â 0 as ð â where 0 †ðð â. The weak form of Stirlingâs formula is used to rewrite the term log(ðŸ!) in the last display, but not to rewrite the terms log(ð!), which we leave untouched. Substituting (29) and (31) into (28), we obtain 1 log card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) ð 1 1 log ð1 (ð, ]) + log ð2 (ðŸ, ]) ð ð (32) = â â ðð,ð,];ð log (ðð,ð,];ð ð!) + ð log ðŸ â ð ðŒð ) ðŒð / (ðð (ðŒ) â ð!) ðð (ðŒ) â (34) + ð log ðŸ â ð + ðð (]) = âð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + log ðð (ðŒ) â ð log ðŒ + ð log ðŸ â ð + ðð (]) = âð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) + ðð (]) . The facts that âðâNð ðð,ð,];ð = 1 and âðâNð ððð,ð,];ð = ð are used to derive the next-to-last equality. The proof of Lemma 6 is complete. The next step in the proof of the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5 is to prove the asymptotic formula for card(Ωð,ð,ð ) stated in part (b) of the next lemma. The proof of this lemma uses Lemma 6 in a fundamental way. After the statement of this lemma we show how to apply it and Lemma 6 to prove part (b) of Theorem 5. (a) limð â â ðâ1 log card(ðŽ ð,ð,ð ) = 0. (b) Let ðŒ be the positive real number in Lemma 6, and let ð be the function ð(ð) appearing in the definition of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. We define ð(ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) = log ðð (ðŒ)âð log ðŒ+ð log ðŸâð. Then ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) attains its infimum over ð â PNð ,ð , and 1 log card (Ωð,ð,ð ) = ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) ð (35) ðâPNð ,ð + ðð (]) . The quantity ðð â 0 as ð â â. (1) (2) (3) â ðð (]) + ðð . As ð â â, In this formula ðð(]) = ðð óµš óµš (1) (2) (3) max óµšóµšóµšðð (])óµšóµšóµš †ðð + max ðð ó³šâ 0. (]) + ðð ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ðâNð ðð,ð,];ð â min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) + ðð. ðâNð ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð = â â ðð,ð,];ð log ( Lemma 7. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a rational number ð â (ð, â). The following conclusions hold: (3) + ðð , = = â â ðð,ð,];ð log (ðð,ð,];ð ð!) + ð log ðŸ â ð + ðð (]) (1) (2) = â â ðð,ð,];ð log ðð,ð,];ð + ðð â ðð (]) , ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð 1 log card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) ð ðâNð ð 2 â log ð ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ð ðâΚ (]) Now comes the key step, the purpose of which is to express the sum in the next-to-last line of (32) as the relative entropy ð (ðð,ð,];ð | ðð,ðŒ ), where ðŒ â (0, â) is arbitrary. To express the sum in the next-to-last line of (32) as ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ), we rewrite the sum as shown in line 4 of the next display: (33) We conclude that ðð(]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð as ð â â. Before proving Lemma 7, we derive the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5 by applying Lemmas 6 and 7. An integral part of the proof is to show how the arbitrary value of ðŒ â (0, â) appearing in these lemmas is replaced by the specific value ðŒð (ð) appearing in Theorem 5. As in the statement of part (b) of Theorem 5, let ] be any 10 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis vector in ðŽ ð,ð,ð and define ðð,ð,] â PNð ,ð to have the components ðð,ð,];ð = ]ð /ð for ð â Nð . By (22) 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] ) ð 1 1 = log card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) â log card (Ωð,ð,ð ) . ð ð (36) Substituting the asymptotic formula for log card(Î ð,ð,ð;] ) derived in Lemma 6 and the asymptotic formula for log card(Ωð,ð,ð ) given in part (b) of Lemma 7 yields 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] ) ð = âð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) + ðð (]) . (37) ðâPNð ,ð The error term ðð(]) equals ðð(]) â ðð; ðð(]) is the error term in Lemma 6, and ðð is the error term in Lemma 7. As ð â â, ðð(]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð , and ðð â 0. It follows that ðð(]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð as ð â â. We now consider the first two terms on the right side of (37). By part (b) of Theorem A.1 applied to ð = ðð,ð,] â PNð ,ð , for any ðŒ â (0, â) ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) â min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) ðâPNð ,ð (38) = ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . With this step we have succeeded in replacing the relative entropy ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) with respect to ðð,ðŒ , which appears in Lemma 6, by the relative entropy ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) with respect to ðð,ðŒð (ð) , which appears in Theorem 5. Substituting the last equation into (37) gives (39) = âð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + ðð (]) , where ðð(]) â 0 uniformly for ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð as ð â â. This is the conclusion of part (b) of Theorem 5. We now complete the proof of part (b) of Theorem 5 by proving Lemma 7. âð ð=1 {] Nð 0 â : Proof of Lemma 7. (a) We write ðŽ ð,ð,ð â âðâNð ]ð = ð, |]|+ = ð}. By [8, Cor. 2.5] the number of elements in the set indexed by ð equals the binomial coefficient ð¶(ð â 1, ð â 1). Since by assumption ð/ð â 0 as ð â â, for all sufficiently large ð, the quantities ð¶(ð â 1, ð â 1) are increasing and are maximal when ð = ð. Since ð¶(ð â 1, ð â 1) †ð¶(ð, ð), it follows that ð card (ðŽ ð,ð,ð ) †â ð¶ (ð, ð) †ðð¶ (ð, ð) =ð ð! . ð! (ð â ð)! †log ð ð ð ð ð â log â (1 â ) log (1 â ) ð ð ð ð ð (41) O (log ð) . ð Since ð/ð â 0 as ð â â, we conclude that 0 †ðâ1 log card(ðŽ ð,ð,ð ) â 0 as ð â â. This completes the proof of part (a). (b) The starting point is (23), which states that Ωð,ð,ð = â]âðŽ ð,ð,ð Î ð,ð,ð;] . For distinct ] â ðŽ ð,ð,ð the sets Î ð,ð,ð;] are disjoint. Hence + 1 1 log card (Ωð,ð,ð ) = log â card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) ð ð ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð 1 = log ( max card (Î ð,ð,ð;] )) + ð¿ð, ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ð (42) where 0 < ð¿ð = card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) 1 ) log ( â ð ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð max]âðŽ ð,ð,ð card (Î ð,ð,ð;] ) (43) 1 log card (ðŽ ðŸ,ð,ð ) . ð It follows from part (a) that ð¿ð â 0 as ð â â. We continue with the estimation of card(Ωð,ð,ð ). By Lemma 6 †â min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð = ðð,ð,] ) ð ð=1 An application of the weak form of Stirlingâs formula yields for all ð ⥠2 and all ð ⥠ð + 2 1 log card (ðŽ ð,ð,ð ) 0†ð (40) óµš óµš â max óµšóµšóµšðð (])óµšóµšóµš ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð †1 log ( max card (Î ð,ð,ð;] )) ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ð (44) †â min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð óµš óµš + max óµšóµšóµšðð (])óµšóµšóµš . ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð As proved in Lemma 6, max]âðŽ ð,ð,ð |ðð(])| â 0 as ð â â. Hence by (42) â min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð 1 óµš óµš log card (Ωð,ð,ð ) â max óµšóµšóµšðð (])óµšóµšóµš + ð¿ð †]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ð †â min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð óµš óµš + max óµšóµšóµšðð (])óµšóµšóµš + ð¿ð. ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð (45) International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 11 Under the assumption that ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) attains its infimum over PNð ,ð , we define ðð = 1 log card (Ωð,ð,ð ) â ð (ðŒ, ð, ð, ðŸ) ð + min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) . (46) ðâPNð ,ð In the last two paragraphs of this proof, we show that ðð â 0 as ð â â. Given this fact, the last equation yields the asymptotic formula (35) in part (b). We now prove that ðð â 0 as ð â â. To do this, we use (45) to write óµšóµš óµšóµš óµšóµšððóµšóµš †( min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) â min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ )) ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ðâP Nð ,ð óµš óµš + max óµšóµšóµšðð (])óµšóµšóµš + ð¿ð. ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð (47) Like the second and third terms on the right side, the first term on the right side is nonnegative because ðŽ ð,ð,ð is a subset of PNð ,ð . Since max]âðŽ ð,ð,ð |ðð(])| â 0 and ð¿ð â 0 as ð â â, it will follow that ðð â 0 if we can show that ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) attains its infimum over PNð ,ð and that lim min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) = min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) . ð â â ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð ðâPNð ,ð (48) We now prove (48). ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) is lower semicontinuous on PNð [33, Lem. 1.4.3(b)] and thus on PNð ,ð . Since ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð ,ð [Theorem A.1(a)], it attains its infimum over PNð ,ð at some measure ðâ . We apply Theorem B.1 in [7] to ð = ðâ , obtaining a sequence ð(ð) with the following properties: (1) for ð â N, ð(ð) â ðµð,ð,ð has (ð) is an components ðð(ð) = ](ð) ð /ð for ð â Nð , where ] appropriate sequence in ðŽ ð,ð,ð ; (2) ð(ð) â ðâ as ð â â; (3) ð (ð(ð) | ðð,ðŒ ) â ð (ðâ | ðð,ðŒ ) as ð â â. The limit in (48) follows from the inequalities min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) †min ð (ðð,ð,] | ðð,ðŒ ) ðâPNð ,ð ]âðŽ ð,ð,ð (ð) †ð (ð (49) | ðð,ðŒ ) and the limit ð (ð(ð) | ðð,ðŒ ) â ð (ðâ | ðð,ðŒ ) = minðâPN ,ð ð (ð | ð ðð,ðŒ ) as ð â â. This completes the proof of Lemma 7 and thus the proof of the local estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5. In the next section we explain how the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5 yields the LDP in Theorem 1. 4. Proof of Theorem 1 from Part (b) of Theorem 5 In Theorem 1 we state the LDP for the sequence Îð,ð of number-density measures. This sequence takes values in PNð ,ð , which is the set of probability measures on N having mean ð â (ð, â). The purpose of the present section is to explain how the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5 yields the LDP for Îð,ð . All details appear in Section 4 of [7]. The basic idea is first to prove the large deviation limit for Îð,ð lying in open balls in PNð ,ð and in other subsets defined in terms of open balls and then to use this large deviation limit to prove the LDP in Theorem 1. In Theorem 8 we state the large deviation limit for open balls and other subsets defined in terms of open balls. Two types of open balls are considered. Let ð be a measure in PNð ,ð , and take ð > 0. Part (a) states the large deviation limit for open balls ðµð (ð, ð) = {ð â PNð ,ð : ð(ð, ð) < ð}, where ð denotes the Prohorov metric on PNð ,ð . This limit is used to prove the large deviation upper bound for compact subsets of PNð ,ð in part (b) of Theorem 1 and the large deviation lower bound for open subsets of PNð ,ð in part (d) of Theorem 1. Now let ð be a measure in PNð ,[ð,ð] . Part (b) states the large deviation limit for sets of the form ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð , where ðµÌð (ð, ð) = {ð â PNð ,[ð,ð] : ð(ð, ð) < ð}. This limit is used to prove the large deviation upper bound for closed subsets in part (c) of Theorem 1. If ð â PNð ,ð , then ðµð (ð, ð) = ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð , and the conclusions of parts (a) and (b) of the next theorem coincide. Theorem 8. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a rational number ð â (ð, â). Let ð be the function ð(ð) appearing in the definitions of Ωð,ð,ð in (3) and satisfying ð(ð) â â and ð(ð)2 /ð â 0 as ð â â. The following conclusions hold: (a) Let ð be a measure in PNð ,ð and take ð > 0. Then for any open ball ðµð (ð, ð) in PNð ,ð , ð (ðµð (ð, ð) | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) is finite, and one has the large deviation limit 1 log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðµð (ð, ð)) ðââð lim (50) = âð (ðµð (ð, ð) | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . (b) Let ð be a measure in PNð ,[ð,ð] and take ð > 0. Then the set ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð is nonempty, ð (ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) is finite, and one has the large deviation limit lim 1 ðââð log ðð,ð,ð (Îð,ð â ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð ) (51) = âð (ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) . We prove Theorem 8 by applying the local large deviation estimate in part (b) of Theorem 5. A key step is to approximate probability measures in ðµð (ð, ð) and in ðµÌð (ð, ð) â© PNð ,ð by appropriate sequences of probability measures in the range of Îð,ð . This procedure allows one to show in part (a) that the infimum ð (ðµð (ð, ð) | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) can be approximated by the infimum of ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) over ð lying in the intersection of ðµð (ð, ð) and the range of Îð,ð ; a similar statement holds for the infimum in part (b). A set of hypotheses that allow one to carry out this approximation procedure is given 12 International Journal of Stochastic Analysis in Theorem 4.2 in [7], a general formulation that yields Theorem 8 as a special case. Theorem 1 states the LDP for the number-density measures Îð,ð . In order to complete the proof of Theorem 1, we must lift the large deviation limits in Theorem 8 to the large deviation upper bound for compact sets and for closed sets and the large deviation lower bound for open sets. The large deviation lower bound for open sets is immediate from the limit in part (a). To prove the large deviation upper bound for compact sets, we cover the compact set by open balls and use the limit in part (a); the large deviation upper bound for closed sets follows by a similar procedure involving part (b). The details of this procedure are carried out as an application of general formulation in Theorem 4.3 in [7]. In the Appendix we prove two properties of the relative entropy and prove the existence of the quantity ðŒð (ð) appearing in part (a) of Theorem 5. Appendix Properties of Relative Entropy and Existence of ðŒð (ð) We fix a nonnegative integer ð and a real number ð â (ð, â). Given ð a probability measure on Nð = {ð â Z : ð ⥠ð}, the mean â«N ð¥ð(ðð¥) of ð is denoted by âšðâ©. In Theorem A.1 ð we present two properties of the relative entropy ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) and ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) for ð in each of the following three spaces, which are introduced in Section 2: PNð , the set of probability measures on Nð ; PNð ,ð , the set of ð â PNð satisfying âšðâ© = ð; and PNð ,[ð,ð] , the set of ð â PNð satisfying âšðâ© â [ð, ð]. We recall that, for ðŒ â (0, â), ðð,ðŒ denotes the Poisson distribution on Nð having components ðð,ðŒ;ð = [ðð (ðŒ)]â1 â ðŒð /ð! for ð â Nð , where ð0 (ðŒ) = ððŒ , and, for ð â N, ðð (ðŒ) = ð ððŒ ââðâ1 ð=0 ðŒ /ð!. According to part (a) of Theorem 5 there exists a unique value ðŒ = ðŒð (ð) for which âšðð,ðŒð (ð) â© = ð; thus ðð,ðŒð (ð) lies in PNð ,ð . In Theorem A.2 we prove the existence of ðŒð (ð). In part (a) of the next theorem we show that ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð , PNð ,[ð,ð] , and PNð ,ð . After the statement of Lemma 7 we use part (b) of the next theorem to show that the arbitrary parameter ðŒ in Lemmas 6 and 7 must have the value ðŒð (ð). Theorem A.1. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a real number ð â (ð, â). For any ðŒ â (0, â) the relative entropy ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) = âðâNð ðð log(ðð /ðð,ðŒ;ð ) has the following properties: (a) ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð , PNð ,[ð,ð] , and PNð ,ð . (b) For any ð â PNð ,ð , ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ )âminðâPN ,ð ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) = ð ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ). Proof. (a) The fact that ð (â | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) has compact level sets in PN is proved in part (c) of Lemma 1.4.3 in [33]. Since PNð ,[ð,ð] is a compact subset of PNð [Theorem 4(d)], ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) also has compact level sets in PNð ,[ð,ð] . Because PNð ,ð is not a closed subset of PNð ,[ð,ð] [Theorem 4(a)], the proof that ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð ,ð is more subtle. If ð(ð) is any sequence in PNð ,ð satisfying ð (ð(ð) | ðð,ðŒ ) †ð < â, then since ð(ð) â PNð and ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level óž sets in PNð , there exist ð â PNð and a subsequence ð(ð ) óž such that ð(ð ) â ð and ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) †ð. To complete the proof that ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð ,ð , we must show that ð â PNð ,ð ; that is, âšðâ© = ð. By Fatouâs lemma óž âšð⩠†lim inf ð â â âšð(ð ) â© = ð. In addition, for any ð€ â (0, â) â« ðð€ð¥ ðð,ðŒ (ðð¥) = Nð 1 ðŒð â â ðð€ð ðð (ðŒ) ðâN ð! ð (A.1) 1 †â exp (ðŒðð€ ) < â. ðð (ðŒ) óž Lemma 5.1 in [37] shows that the sequence ð(ð ) is uniformly óž integrable, implying that ð = limðóž â â âšð(ð ) â© = âšðâ© [32, Appendix, Prop. 2.3]. This completes the proof that ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð ,ð . The proof of part (a) is finished. (b) We define ð(ðŒ, ð, ð) = log ðð (ðŒ) â ð log ðŒ â (log ðð (ðŒð (ð)) â ð log ðŒð (ð)). Step 1 is to prove that for any ð â PNð ,ð ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) = ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð) . (A.2) For any ð â PNð ,ð we have âðâNð ðð = 1 and âðâNð ððð = ð. Hence ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) = â ðð log ( ðâNð = â ðð log ( ðâNð ðð ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð ðð ðð,ðŒ;ð ) ) + â ðð log ( ðâNð ðð,ðŒð (ð);ð ðð,ðŒ;ð ) = ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) ð [ðŒð (ð)] ð (ðŒ) ð! + â ðð log ( â ð ð ) ðŒ ðð (ðŒð (ð)) ð! ðâNð = ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + log ( + ð log ( (A.3) ðð (ðŒ) ) ðð (ðŒð (ð)) ðŒð (ð) ). ðŒ Since the last two lines equal ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + ð(ðŒ, ð, ð), the proof of (A.2) is complete. Step 2 is to prove that ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) attains its infimum over ð â PNð ,ð at the measure ð = ðð,ðŒð (ð) , and min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) = ð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) | ðð,ðŒ ) = ð (ðŒ, ð, ð) . ðâPNð ,ð (A.4) Given these two assertions part (b) of the theorem follows by substituting ð(ðŒ, ð, ð) = minðâPN ,ð ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) into (A.2). ð International Journal of Stochastic Analysis 13 We now prove the two assertions in Step 2. ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) is lower semicontinuous on PNð [33, Lem. 1.4.3(b)] and thus on PNð ,ð . Since ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) has compact level sets in PNð ,ð , it attains its infimum over PNð ,ð . The relative entropy ð (â | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) attains its minimum value of 0 over PNð ,ð at the unique measure ðð,ðŒð (ð) [33, Lem. 1.4.1]. Hence (A.2) implies that the minimum value of ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) over PNð ,ð equals ðâPNð ,ð = ð (ðŒ, ð, ð) óž óž (A.7) 2 (log ðð ) (ðŒ) = â« [ðŠ â (log ðð ) (ðŒ)] ðð,ðŒ (ððŠ) . (A.5) = ð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) | ðð,ðŒ ) . The last equality follows by applying (A.2) with ð = ðð,ðŒð (ð) . This display shows that ð (â | ðð,ðŒ ) attains its infimum over PNð ,ð at ðð,ðŒð (ð) and yields (A.4). The proof of part (b) is finished, completing the proof of the theorem. We now prove that there exists a unique value of ðŒð (ð) for which âšðð,ðŒð (ð) â© = ð. The conclusion of the next theorem is part (a) of Theorem C.1 in [7]. In part (b) of that theorem we derive two sets of bounds on ðŒð (ð) and use these bounds to show that ðŒð (ð) is asymptotic to ð as ð â â. In part (d) of Theorem C.1 in [7] we make precise the relationship between ðð,ðŒð (ð) and a Poisson random variable having parameter ðŒð (ð). Theorem A.2. Fix a nonnegative integer ð and a real number ð â (ð, â). There exists a unique value ðŒð (ð) â (0, â) such that ðð,ðŒð (ð) lies in the set PNð ,ð of probability measures on Nð having mean ð. If ð = 0, then ðŒ0 (ð) = ð. If ð â N, then ðŒð (ð) is the unique solution in (0, â) of ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ)/ðð (ðŒ) = ð. According to this theorem, for ð â N, ðŒð (ð) is the unique solution of ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ)/ðð (ðŒ) = ð. The heart of the proof of Theorem A.2, and its most subtle step, is to prove that the function ðŸð (ðŒ) = ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ)/ðð (ðŒ) satisfies ðŸðóž (ðŒ) > 0 for ðŒ â (0, â) and thus is monotonically increasing on this interval. This fact is proved in the next lemma. Lemma A.3. Fix a positive integer ð and a real number ð â (ð, â). For ðŒ â (0, â) the function ðŸð (ðŒ) = ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ)/ðð (ðŒ) satisfies ðŸðóž (ðŒ) > 0. ððóž (ðŒ) = Proof. For ð â N and for ðŒ â (0, â), we have ððâ1 (ðŒ). Thus ðŸð (ðŒ) = ðŒ(log ðð (ðŒ))óž . The key to proving that ðŸðóž (ðŒ) > 0 is to represent log ðð (ðŒ) in terms of the moment generating function of a probability measure. We do this by first expressing ðð (ðŒ) in terms of the upper incomplete gamma function via the formula ðð (ðŒ) = [ððŒ /(ðâ ðŒ 1)!] â«0 ð¥ðâ1 ðâð¥ ðð¥. As suggested in [38], we now make the change of variables ð¥ = ðŠðŒ, obtaining the representation ððŒ ð ðŒ ðð (ðŒ) , ð! óž R = ð (ðð,ðŒð (ð) | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð) ðð (ðŒ) = óž (log ðð ) (ðŒ) = â« ðŠðð,ðŒ (ððŠ) , R min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒ ) = min ð (ð | ðð,ðŒð (ð) ) + ð (ðŒ, ð, ð) ðâPNð ,ð The function ðð is the moment generating function of the probability measure on R having the density âð (ðŠ) = ð(âðŠ)ðâ1 on [â1, 0]. For ðŒ â (0, â) let ðð,ðŒ be the probability measure on R having the density ððŒðŠ âð (ðŠ)/ðð (ðŒ) on [â1, 0]. A straightforward calculation shows that 0 ðŒðŠ ðâ1 where ðð (ðŒ) = â« ð ð (âðŠ) â1 (A.6) ððŠ. It follows that (log ðð )óž óž (ðŒ) > 0 for all ðŒ â (0, â). ð Using (A.6) and the formulas ððâ1 (ðŒ) = ââ ð=ðâ1 ðŒ /ð! and â ð ðð (ðŒ) = âð=ð ðŒ /ð!, we calculate óž ðŸðóž (ðŒ) = (log ðð (ðŒ)) + ðŒ (log ðð (ðŒ)) óž = (log ðð (ðŒ)) + ðŒ [log ( óž óž óž óž ððŒ ð ðŒ ðð (ðŒ))] ð! = ððâ1 (ðŒ) ð óž óž â + ðŒ (log ðð (ðŒ)) ðð (ðŒ) ðŒ = ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ) â ððð (ðŒ) óž óž + ðŒ (log ðð (ðŒ)) ðŒðð (ðŒ) = 1 â ð â ð ðâ1 óž óž ðŒ + ðŒ (log ðð (ðŒ)) > 0. â ðð (ðŒ) ð=ð ð! (A.8) This completes the proof of the lemma. We are now ready to prove Theorem A.2. Proof of Theorem A.2. We first consider ð = 0. In this case ð0,ðŒ is a standard Poisson distribution on N0 having mean ðŒ. It follows that ðŒ0 (ð) = ð is the unique value for which ð0,ðŒ0 (ð) has mean ð and thus lies in PN0 ,ð . This completes the proof for ð = 0. We now consider ð â N. In this case ðð,ðŒ is a probability measure on Nð having mean â ððð,ðŒ;ð = ðâNð ðŒð 1 â â ðð (ðŒ) ðâN (ð â 1)! ð 1 â ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ) . = ðð (ðŒ) (A.9) Thus ðð,ðŒ has mean ð if and only if ðŒ satisfies ðŸð (ðŒ) = ð, where ðŸð (ðŒ) = ðŒððâ1 (ðŒ)/ðð (ðŒ). We prove the theorem by showing that ðŸð (ðŒ) = ð has a unique solution ðŒð (ð) â (0, â) for all ð â N and any ð > ð. This assertion is a consequence of the following three steps: (1) limðŒ â 0+ ðŸð (ðŒ) = ð; (2) limðŒ â â ðŸð (ðŒ) = â; (3) for all ðŒ â (0, â), ðŸðóž (ðŒ) > 0. Steps 1 and 2 follow immediately from the definition of ðŸð (ðŒ), and Step 3 is proved in Lemma A.3. We have proved the theorem for all ð â N. Since we also validated the conclusion of the theorem for ð = 0, the proof for all nonnegative integers ð is done. 14 Conflict of Interests The authors declare that there is no conflict of interests regarding the publication of this paper. 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