We stand for Office Office Market Report Vienna | Spring 2017 We stand for real estate. EHL REAL ESTATE GROUP © ZOOM VP 2 QBC, building parts 1 and 2 | 1100 Vienna Preface The Vienna office market is currently in the midst of an unmistakable trend reversal: the production of new office space will double in 2017, and a further substantial increase is expected in 2018. Moreover, 2016 marked the highest take-up since 2008. This development opens a range of excellent opportunities for all market participants: the strong demand for office space creates optimal conditions for the realisation of longprepared development projects and prospective tenants can choose from a large range of new office properties – that will significantly expand the supply of attractive investment projects. Michael Ehlmaier FRICS Managing Partner At EHL, we will be pleased to help you make the perfect use of these opportunities based on the extensive know-how of our office and investment experts. Stefan Wernhart MRICS Head of Commercial Properties [email protected] Thomas Schanda, MA Head of Market Research [email protected] EHL - the office specialist EHL market reports For many years EHL Real Estate Group has been one of the leading providers of property services in Austria. EHL offers a complete range of real estate services throughout the entire property life-cycle, as well as a successful international network. EHL market reports are updated regularly and offer a comprehensive overview of the most important developments, facts and figures in the property markets in Vienna. EHL is the exclusive Austrian partner of international property group Savills, providing its customers with property services across the globe. With the EHL City map you will find the most important office, retail and logistics properties at a glance, as well as detailed representations of the most important office locations in Vienna. EHL City Map 3 OVERVIEW OFFICE MARKET VIENNA Office market Vienna 2010 – 2017 2010 2014 280,000 300,000 2015 160,000 2013 200,000 2012 220,000 260,000 210,000 2011 8% 60,000 75 0 130,000 Market Research | Q1 2017 Vacancy Rate (%) 120,000 7575,000 sqm 170,000 Source * Forecast 180,000 Take-up in sqm 180,000 1150,000 sqm 220,000 Deliveries in sqm 185,000 1225,000 sqm 270,000 1300,000 sqm 2016 2017* Executive Summary Steady growth in the production of new space The market supply is increasing significantly: Deliveries amounted to 160,000 sqm in 2017 and will reach 330,000 sqm in 2018. The attractive newly developed office properties include Denk Drei, ORBI Tower, QBC building parts 3+4, Austria Campus and THE ICON VIENNA. Take-up remains at a very high level The level of completions has also been accompanied by a parallel rise in take-up: Forecasts point to a letting volume of approx. 280,000 sqm in Vienna in 2017 due to the continued strong demand, following the 300,000 sqm during 2016. Take-up | Deliveries 2017 Increase in average rents The rising share of deals in high-quality new construction projects has led to an increase in average rents from EUR 13.75/sqm to EUR 14.25/sqm. Prime rents remain stable at EUR 26.00/sqm. Continued very low yields on office properties The new development projects will clearly accelerate the momentum on the office property investment market. Yields remain under pressure, and currently equal 4 percent for prime properties. Rents | First occupancy** (in EUR / sqm/m.) Deliveries 160,000 sqm Prime locations Take-up * 280,000 sqm Quality locations 13.5 –16.5 Standard locations 10.0 –13.5 Market indicators Deliveries Take-up Vacancy rate Prime yield strongly increasing Prime rents Austria 6.2 % Unemployment rate (Eurostat) slightly decreasing Rental rates Average rents Economic Data Austria 2017* stable decreasing slightly increasing stable 16.5 – 26.0 EU (28) 8.3 % Eurozone (19) 9.7 % Nom. GDP EUR bn. 360.3 Economic growth 1.50 % Inflation 1.70 % State budget deficit -1.50 % Vienna Office Market H1 2017 Total Office Space in sqm*** 10,935,000 Vacancy rate 5.8 % Prime rent (in EUR / sqm/m.) 26.0 * Forecast ** EHL-average rent levels of 100 newly built or refurbished office buildings at various locations *** All figures in the report refer to total office space consisting of modern office properties and office space in older buildings. 7% 6% 5% 4% TAKE-UP | DELIVERIES © IC Projektentwicklung | OLN 4 Viertel Zwei, Denk Drei | 1020 Vienna Record levels for take-up and deliveries In 2016 the Vienna office market was considerably more active than in the past due to the growing supply of modern office space. This greater interest was reflected, among others, in substantial pre-letting for new construction projects. The production of new space will increase to 160,000 sqm in 2017 and more than double to approx. 330,000 sqm in 2018. Take-up has risen sharply and totalled 300,000 sqm in 2016. The well-filled pipeline and strong demand lead to expectations of similarly good performance with take-up of approx. 280,000 sqm in 2017. Consequently, the vacancy rate is projected to drop to 5.4 percent by mid-2017. Demand is also strong in the established cluster regions and urban development hubs, e.g. surrounding Vienna’s Hauptbahnhof with the QBC and THE ICON VIENNA as well as the Messe Wien/Prater area, e.g. with the Denk Drei and messecarree Wien. Most of the rentals are located in newly constructed, consistently high-priced projects, which has also led to a slight increase in average rents to EUR 14.25/sqm. Completions 2017 | 2018 Property 2017 Size Location SQUARE PLUS 1 28,000 sqm 1190, Leopold-Ungar-Platz 2 und 3 Austrian Post Headquarters ** 25,000 sqm 1030, Rochusmarkt Denk Drei, Viertel Zwei 23,000 sqm 1020, Vorgartenstraße 2 ORBI Tower, CB21, TownTown 21,600 sqm 1030, Thomas-Klestil-Platz 13 QBC 4, Quartier Belvedere Central 17,000 sqm 1100, Karl-Popper-Straße 4 Euro Plaza, Building Phase 6 12,700 sqm 1120, Kranichberggasse 2 Campus West * 11,000 sqm 1220, Seestadt Aspern Futurebase 11,000 sqm 1210, Giefinggasse 4 QBC 3, Quartier Belvedere Central 7,800 sqm 1100, Gertrude-Fröhlich-Sandner-Straße 3 messecarree Wien 4,600 sqm 1020, Ausstellungsstraße 50 200,000 sqm 1020, Walcherstraße 1 2018 Austria Campus THE ICON VIENNA 74,200 sqm 1100, Wiedner Gürtel 11 ViE/Lände 3 13,800 sqm 1030, Erdberger Lände 26A Inno Plaza 11,000 sqm 1120, Pottendorfer Straße 23-25 SILO Plus 11,000 sqm 1230, Lemböckgasse 57-59 SQUARE PLUS 2 8,000 sqm 1190, Leopold-Ungar-Platz 2 und 3 HoHo 4,500 sqm 1220, Seestadt Aspern HBF 1 4,200 sqm 1100, Gertrude-Fröhlich-Sandner-Straße * fully let | ** owner-occupied Source Market Research | Q1 2017 The table only includes those properties for which construction has already begun. Numerous projects for which construction will only commence when pre-let to a suitable degree are not included. 5 development of rents | largest lettings | prime rents | vacancy rates Development of rents 2010 – 2017 30 Prime rents 25 Prime locations 20 15 Quality locations Values from-to in EUR/sqm/m. * Forecast Source Standard locations 10 Market Research | Q1 2017 5 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* Selected Lettings 2016 Tenant Size Property BAWAG AG 28,000 sqm 1100, THE ICON VIENNA PwC Österreich GmbH 15,000 sqm 1220, DC Tower ibis acam Bildungs GmbH 12,000 sqm 1110, Office 11 Municipal Department of the City of Vienna 11,000 sqm 1220, Campus West BDO Austria GmbH 10,500 sqm 1100, QBC 4 Bundesimmobiliengesellschaft m.b.H. 8,500 sqm 1020, Denk Drei Sparkassen Versicherung AG 6,800 sqm 1020, faBricks Coca-Cola HBC Austria GmbH 6,500 sqm 1100, Business Park Vienna Vienna Municipal Administration 5,500 sqm 1110, OCG Office Campus Gasometer FCP Fritsch-Chiari & Partner ZT GmbH 4,300 sqm 1030, City Point Austrian Federal Office for Immigration and Asylum 3,500 sqm 1030, MGC Office Park WKO Inhouse 3,500 sqm 1100, QBC 4 Sigmund Freud University 2,900 sqm 1030, Kelsenstraße 2 S&T AG 2,800 sqm 1110, Brehmstraße 10+14 SIKA Österreich GmbH 1,400 sqm Source 1200, BIG BIZ EHL Real Estate Group provides consulting services to tenants and/or lessors Market Resarch | Q1 2017 Prime rents (in EUR/sqm/m.) Vacancy rates (in %) 17.0 Warsaw 112.0 London (West End) 63.5 Paris 16.5 Prague 41.0 Milan 13.8 Budapest 39.0 Frankfurt 12.9 Amsterdam 35.0 Munich 12.0 Bratislava 31.0 Amsterdam 11.0 Bucharest 27.0 Madrid 11.0 Milan 26.9 Berlin 26.0 Vienna 22.0 Warsaw 22.0 Budapest 19.0 Prague Source Market Research | Q1 2017 18.0 Bucharest 15.0 Bratislava 10.5 Madrid 8.8 Frankfurt 5.8 Vienna 4.1 Munich 3.8 Paris 3.3 London (West End) 2.9 Berlin 6 Vienna office regions © moodley brand identity Inner city and directly adjacent locations Top properties 1010, Rathausstraße 1* 1010, Goldenes Quartier Office 1010, Fleischmarkt 1 Rents EUR 15.0 -26.0 1010, Kohlmarkt 8 Rents tendency 1010, Palais Herberstein Demand 1010, Schwarzenbergplatz 3 Supply 1090, Wasagasse 2 © Amundi Northern Region Top properties 1190, Skyline 1190, Kay 29 u5 1190, Square Plus* Rents Rents tendency EUR 11.0 -15.5 1190, space2move 1200, Rivergate Demand 1200, Millennium Tower Supply 1200, Optimum 1210, Florido Tower © barus graphicdesign Western Region u3 A1 u4 Top properties 1120, Forum Schönbrunn 1120, Arcade Meidling 1140, Bergmillergasse 5 Rents EUR 10.0 -14.5 1140, Scheringgasse 2 Rents tendency A23 Demand u6 Supply © VDX.at Wienerberg | Southern Region Top properties 1100, Business Park Vienna 1100, myhive Twin Towers 1120, Euro Plaza Rents Rents tendency Demand Supply EUR 11.5 -18.0 1120, Arcade Meidling A21 A2 7 vienna office regions A22 © DC Towers | michael NagL Vienna DC | Surrounding Area u1 Top properties 1220, Ares Tower 1220, DC Tower 1220, Andromeda Tower EUR 12.5 -22.0 1220, Tech Gate Vienna Rents 1220, IZD Tower Rents tendency Demand S2 Supply © ZOOM VP Lassallestraße | Messe | Prater u2 Rents Rents tendency Top properties 1020, Green Worx 1020, Austria Campus* 1020, messecarree Wien* 1020, Denk Drei*, Viertel Zwei EUR 12.0 -17.0 1020, Galaxy 21 1020, e-zone Demand Supply © cetus Baudevelopment Seestadt Aspern A4 Top properties 1220, HoHo Wien* 1220, Aspern IQ 1220, Campus West Rents EUR 11.5 -16.0 Rents tendency Demand Supply Neu Marx | Erdberg © IWS TownTown AG S1 © SIGNA Hauptbahnhof | Quartier Belvedere Rents Rents tendency Demand Supply Top properties 1030, Marxbox 1030, Doppio Offices 1030, Solaris EUR 11.5 -18.5 1030, ORBI Tower* Top properties Rents 1100, QBC* Rents tendency 1030, MGC Office Park 1100, THE ICON VIENNA* Demand 1030, Media Quarter Marx 1100, Laxenburger Straße 36 Supply EUR 15.0 -22.0 1100, HBF 1* 1100, Favio * Project new world of work © SIGNA 8 Austria Campus | 1020 Vienna New office concepts for the modern working environment The examples set by international IT corporations like Google and Microsoft are gradually becoming an integral part of the Austrian office landscape. Increasingly mobile work models are making permanent desks in assigned offices more and more obsolete, and employers are turning to open-plan offices, desk-sharing and trolley solutions as well as multifunctional communication zones and lounge areas. These new ways of using office space will strengthen project and team activities and also support mobile work models. Improving spatial efficiency remains one of the key goals, but the total amount of leased area in today’s working world will not necessarily reduce. In fact, the utilisation structure is shifting from traditional individualised workplaces to shared-use, frequently changeable multifunctional areas. The work-life balance is becoming an increasingly important factor for companies in selecting their locations. Short routes and optimal accessibility via public transportation as well as car and bike sharing options play a greater role than ever before. Developers must therefore address these trends and create multipurpose office space in well-developed locations. Take-up by location Take-up by sector 2% 1% 25% 23% 3% 5% 5% 6% 22% 9% 21% 6% 8% 10% 11% 12% 15% 17% Central Station | Quartier Belvedere Public sector Neu Marx | Erdberg Banking and insurance Wienerberg | Southern Region Law firms and consultants Inner city and directly adjacent locations Educational and training institutions Northern Region Construction, Real Estate Vienna DC IT | High-Tech Other Food industry Lassallestraße | Messe | Prater Pharma and medical technology Western Region Serviced Office Source Market Research | Q1 2017 9 Investment market 3.00 3.25 Paris 3.25 London (West End) Madrid 3.30 Munich 3.50 3.90 Berlin 4.00 Frankfurt Milan Vienna 4.00 4.20 4.85 Amsterdam Prague Warsaw Bratislava Market Research | Q1 2017 Budapest Source Athens Prime yields in % Bucharest 5.25 6.50 6.75 7.50 7.50 Prime office yields across Europe Investment market New office properties revive the investment market Office properties were again the strongest segment of the Austrian real estate investment market in 2016 with 36 percent of the commercial transaction volume. The total turnover reached EUR 2.7 billion but – with a decline of EUR 800 million – the originally projected yearon-year growth failed to materialise. This situation resulted from delays in closing several major transactions, which are now expected to appear in 2017 statistics. Moreover, the supply in the top segment was too low to completely satisfy the strong demand. The shortage of office and retail properties led to an increase in the importance of the hotel sector, which continues to benefit from the strong growth in tourism. Hotels formed the second strongest segment in 2016 with 29 per cent of the total transaction volume. At the same time, alternative investments such as student housing, retirement homes and logistics properties moved more into the focus of investors. The largest office transactions in 2016 included the sale of the IZD Towers to CBRE Global Investors and the sale of the Solaris and Florido Towers to the French Amundi Group. EHL brokered the sale of the QBC 4, the first of the many new office projects at the Vienna Hauptbahnhof which are scheduled for completion in 2017 and 2018. Strong impulses for the entire market will also be created by attractive development projects at established cluster locations like the Viertel Zwei and Messe-Prater or near the Hauptbahn hof. EHL therefore assumes the EUR 3 billion mark will again be reached, or even exceeded, in 2017. Of particular note is the sound growth in forward purchases, which allow investors to secure attractive properties at an early point in time and before completion. Yields remain under pressure The enormous liquidity on capital markets has created a situation where demand still clearly outpaces the supply of suitable investment properties – and that, in turn, has led to a general increase in prices. Demand by numerous highly liquid international funds whose activities in Austria have been limited to date is another driving factor for the decrease in yields. There has been an influx of investors from North America and Asia, whose attention is focused primarily on investments over EUR 100 million. Rising rents for office space are also contributing to the higher price level. The margin between real estate yields and fixedincome investments, e.g. government bonds, is still very large, but is expected to decline during the course of the year. The prime yields for top office properties currently equal roughly 4 percent and are therefore trending downward. investment market © ZOOM VP 10 QBC 4 | 1100 Vienna Selected investment transactions 2016 | 2017 Period Property Type of use Size | Rooms Seller Buyer Q2 2016 IZD Tower Office 64,500 sqm Signa CBRE Global Investors Q1 2016 Aqua Portfolio (Solaris | Florido Tower) Office 49,800 sqm Union Investment Amundi Q2 2016 Tech Gate Office 27,000 sqm Wr. Städtische|Wien Holding|FFG Strabag Q1 2016 QBC 4 Office 16,700 sqm UBM Development AG BDO Q3 2016 MARXIMUM Parts 1+3 Office 14,850 sqm HOCHTIEF ERGO Q4 2016 Sonnwendcenter Office 9,980 sqm Private investor Generali Q2 2016 Neue Mitte Lehen Office 9,500 sqm UBM Development AG Semper Constantia Q4 2016 Austrian retail portfolio Retail 108,000 sqm IMMOFINANZ AG Private investor Q4 2016 UNO Shopping Retail 47,000 sqm Bank Austria Real Invest Private Investors Q1 2016 Fischapark (50%) Retail 42,800 sqm SES Allianz Real Estate Q1 2017 ZIB Salzburg Retail 16,650 sqm IMMOFINANZ AG Private Investors Q2 2016 Retail park Stadlau Retail 7,670 sqm Private investor TIAA Q1 2016 Hilton Stadtpark Hotel 579 rooms Raiffeisen Zentralbank Villagio Group Q4 2016 QBC Hotels (IBIS & NOVOTEL) Hotel 577 rooms UBM Development AG Amundi Q2 2016 La Stafa - Ruby Marie Design Hotel Hotel 186 rooms Private investor CBRE Global Investors Q1 2016 Hotel Imperial Hotel 138 rooms Starwood Gruppe Al Habtoor Group Q3 2016 Schottenring 19 mixed use 9,780 sqm Private investor Bank Austria Real Invest Q3 2016 Bösendorferstraße 2-4 Q2 2016 Aviva Logistics portfolio Q4 2016 Linked Living Q3 2016 Portfolio (7 properties) Source Market Resarch | Q1 2017 mixed use 4,100 sqm IMMOFINANZ AG Private investors Logistics | Industry 49,000 sqm Aviva Investors Tristan Capital Partners Student housing 589 rooms Corestate Universal Investment Platform Retirement homes 294 rooms Bank Austria Real Invest Emerge Capital EHL Real Estate Group provides consulting services to tenants and/or lessors 11 References References Investment © EHL Sonnwend Center Total space Client 9,980 sqm Private investor EHL brokered the sale of Sonnwend Center to the Generali Insurance Group within the framework of an exclusive contract. Both the sale procedure and support for the due diligence audit were managed by EHL. © EHL Neue Mitte-Lehen EHL brokered the sale of Salzburg property Neue Mitte-Lehen, developed by UBM, to a special fund managed by Semper Constantia. Total space Client 9,500 sqm UBM © ZOOM VP.AT QBC 4 | Karl-Popper-Straße 4 Total space Client 16,700 sqm UBM With QBC 4, EHL brokered the first of a series of new office properties that are under construction north of the Vienna Hauptbahnhof to the Austrian tax consulting and auditing company BDO. Leasing © VDX.AT Coca-Cola HBC Austria GmbH Total space Client 6,500 sqm Coca-Cola HBC Austria GmbH EHL advised the beverage group Coca-Cola HBC Austria GmbH in the search for a new office location and brokered the company approx. 6,500 sqm of office space in Business Park Vienna at Wienerberg. © EHL FCP-Fritsch-Chiari & Partner ZT GmbH Total space Client 4,300 sqm FCP-Fritsch-Chiari & Partner ZT GmbH Fritsch-Chiari & Partner ZT GmbH, an international engineering firm, was advised exclusively by EHL in its search for office space and leased 4,300 sqm at City Point, close to the railway station Wien-Mitte. © Sopranus Vienna Municipal Administration Total space Client 5,500 sqm City of Vienna EHL brokered the second largest third-party leasing of the City of Vienna in 2016: 5,500 sqm for a customer service centre were leased in the Office Campus Gasometer in St. Marx. This report is a translation. In the event of doubt the German-language report is to be used. The information and forecasts in this report are made without guarantee, warranty or liability. Cover: EHL/Horst Dockal The digital version of the report can be downloaded under www.ehl.at/en/marktberichte. Die Angaben und Prognosen dieses Berichts erfolgen ohne Garantie, Gewähr oder Haftung. Cover: EHL/Horst Dockal Die elektronische Version des Berichts steht unter www.ehl.at/research zum Download zur Verfügung. Our view is always directed ahead: As one of Austria’s leading real estate service provider, we strive to optimise our consulting performance and continue expanding our portfolio. 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