The role of OA in
experimentation?
Dave Ferbrache
Director Analysis, Experimentation
& Simulation
Equipment Capability Customer
 RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Mission
“Better decisions in an uncertain
world”
To promote the use of objective
evidence based decision making
and the development of methods
and best practice.
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Analysis & Experimentation
Explore
Analysis
Abstract
Models
Concept Development
Experimentation
Constructive
Simulations
War Fighting
Experimentation
Synthetic
Environments
Test & Evaluation
Reference Facilities
& Ranges
Validate
Process
Infrastructure
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Virtual
Live
Concept Development &
Experimentation
Issue
Under
investigation
Problem
Workshops,
Wargames,
Modelling and
Simulation
Human
in the Loop
Experiments in
Virtual
Environments
Field
Experiments
Demonstrations
Solution Development Options
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Approval/
endorsement
Agreement
Concept to Capability
Concept
Discovery/Experiment
Preliminary Hypothesis
Maturit
y
Refine
Hypothesis
Demonstrat
e
Developed and
Refined Military
Capability
US DOD CCRP
CADMID Cycle
CONCEPT
ASSESSMENT
Initial
Gate
CONEMP
URD
O-TLMP
DEMO
Main
Gate
CONUSE
SRD
TLMP
MANU
FACTURE
IN
SERVICE
DISPOSAL
ISD
TT&P
TNA
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
DOCTRINE
EQUIPMENT
SUSTAINABILITY
PERSONNEL
ORGANISATION`
TRAINING
Maturity of
Knowledge
Demonstration
Mature
Experimental Space
Fidelity
Refined
Hypothesis
Real World
Lessons
Live Exercises
Preliminary
Hypothesis
Models & Sims
Wargaming
Discovery
Expert Elicitation
Brainstorming
Complexity
US DOD CCRP
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Network
Network Enabled
Centric Capability?
Capability!
Network
Effectors
Tempo
Sensors
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Shared
Understanding
Network Enabled Capability
• Goal:
To radically enhance our operational
capability by improving the way we share
information and how we use it
• Key Objective:
To provide a coherent conceptual and
technical framework to link sensors, decisionmakers and effectors
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Information
Sensor
Netting
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Information
Domain
Co-ordinated
Goals
Physical
Domain
Shared
Awareness
Cognitive
Domain
NEC Experimentation
Is there a difference?
Breadth
 Depth
 Fidelity
 Immersion
 Rapidity
 Cost

Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
Is there really a difference?

Communities



Personalities


OA, SE, WFE, T&E, HF
Science, Military, Administrative
Objective, Subjective, Judgemental, Analytic
Control

Assumptions, Models, Processes, Resources,
Outcomes
Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
The trick…
Selling the benefits of evidence based
decision making
 Bringing the communities together
 Linking the data, assumptions, models
and techniques

Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME
In short…
Experimentation is an OA technique…
 OA supports experimentation…
 Recursion… see recursion…

Equipment Capability Customer:  RIGHT KIT,  RIGHT PRICE,  RIGHT TIME