STATE OF MICHIGAN Request For Proposal No. 007116B0006587 (Digital Media Marketing and Advertising Services – Michigan Lottery) Exhibit D Case Study In August 2015, the Lottery launched a new style of instant game online, VIP Black. The game features progressive mechanics that include two bonus games resulting in a wide variety of memorable prizes. VIP Black averaged $1,000,000 in total sales in the first three weeks, accounting for 27% of total sales. The successful launch of VIP Black was not supported with paid media efforts, but Lottery feels there is an opportunity to reach a broader market of Lottery players with the game. For this case study: Develop a digital media campaign plan to acquire new iLottery players using the VIP Black digital game product brief Identify who the campaign will target Develop a media strategy including the recommended markets, media/channel mix, reach and value-add Provide media rationale Provide creative concepts (including digital assets, email design and landing page design) Provide message concepts (including a clear message and call-to-action) Develop a project management plan for this case study including the following elements: o List of positions that would be assigned to this case study. o The number of hours, per position, required to complete the project defined in this case study. o Project timeline showing sub-projects, activities and tasks, and resources required and allocated to each. o Project cost estimate/breakdown. Case Study budget: $ 250,000 VIP Black Product Brief Game Name VIP Black Platform(s) Desktop & Mobile Price Points $0.05, $0.10, $0.25, $0.50, $1, $2 Default Total Cost $1.00 (twenty $0.05 tickets) Max Top Prize $60,000 Overall Odds 20 tickets activated: 1 in 2.15 10 tickets activated: 1 in 3.73 Payout % 87.63% Category Multi-ticket Play Style Key Number Match + Bonus Rounds Key Features 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Featuring two bonus round games Bonus rounds offer guaranteed, rich prizes Play 10 or 20 tickets at once “VIP” game Win up to $60,000 Marketing Support VIP Black is intended for serious players who are striving to reach a bonus round and win a great prize. It is highly recommended to support this game with paid media targeted at casino and slot players. The game should marketed within owned CRM assets that are aimed at players who are willing to spend higher amounts. It is advised to adjust casino oriented advertisements to include images of VIP Black. Game Narrative The red carpet is rolled out and VIP Black is here! Match your numbers to win great prizes. Get three rubies or three diamonds, and enter the exciting bonus rounds for guaranteed, big prizes! Game Visuals Desktop Covered Artwork Desktop Uncovered Artwork Ruby Desktop Bonus Round Diamond Desktop Bonus Round Mobile Covered Artwork Mobile Uncovered Artwork Mobile Covered Artwork Mobile Uncovered Artwork Game Overview The strategy with VIP Black is to offer a game that features bonus rounds resulting in meaningful wins. As shown in the table below, the odds to reveal a bonus round occur frequently enough to entertain players, and the average prize per bonus round is significant enough to provide a memorable winning moment: Bonus Round Ruby Game Diamond Game Odds/click 1 in 134.88 1 in 168.98 $.25 $61.75 $148.75 Average Prize/Price Point $.50 $1 $123.50 $247 $297.50 $595 $2 $494 $1190 *Data within the table is based on 20 tickets activated per click VIP Black’s top prize amount is not as lofty as other games, mainly because the bonus game contains a lot of weight in the prize structure. The payout percentage for VIP Black is 87%, however the bonus games carries a significant portion of the total payout allocation: Game Base Game Ruby Bonus Game Diamond Bonus Game Total Payout Percent 60.80% 9.19% 17.62% 87.61% The reveal mechanic for the bonus rounds are unique and exciting. Each Bonus Round offers a guaranteed prize and allows players to collect multiple prizes in the round. In the Ruby game, a player will collect all of the prizes where the wheel stops. When the player lands on a “Collect” prize, the game will sum all of the prize money that was won in the bonus round and award it to the player. The Diamond Game allows the player to select 7 out of 14 diamonds. The player will win a prize underneath each diamond and the player will win the sum of all prizes collected in the bonus round. This “prize collecting” mechanic is new to the Lottery portfolio, and it is expected to create excitement as the player rolls prizes into a large amount. There are 61 different prize amounts tied to a bonus round outcome. The majority of these prize amounts are uneven numbers ($230, $360, $720, $880, $1,080, etc.) which plays into the psychology of having a personalized experience that is not canned for every player. It also provides many different win-scenarios and the likelihood of a player repeating, or remembering, the same win type is low. While this game is built for the high roller, it is important to note that the base game provides a very familiar key number match. Due to the familiar base game, VIP Black could appeal to casual players and move their activity to higher levels. Target Audiences Current Players It is likely that VIP Black will appeal to wide range of current iLottery players. The game offers unique, never-before-seen mechanics that will help with engagement and retention efforts. Despite that the game is projected to have broad appeal, its target audience is undoubtedly high value players. The entertainment that the game offers requires players to spend money until a bonus round is hit. It is advised to focus marketing efforts towards players who average at least $62.50 per deposit. As shown in the table below, the more a player deposits and plays VIP Black, the more likely a player will hit a bonus round: Deposit Value B2D Ratio Total Money Cost/Bet Total Plays Bonus Round Hits $200 $6.00 $1,200 $5 240 3.20 $150 $6.00 $900 $5 180 2.40 $100 $6.00 $600 $5 120 1.60 $62.50 $6.00 $375 $5 75 1.00 *Based on total odds of 1 in 75 to hit either of the bonus rounds. If it is possible to offer bonus money towards VIP Black, it is advised to offer a dollar amount to players who may need extra funds to push them into the $62.50 threshold. If the Lottery can help provide casual players the bonus round experience, it may be enough to increase the player’s activity and long term value. Additionally, multi-ticket players, players who spend a lot per bet (Diamond Payout players, for example) and high frequency keno players should be targeted with VIP Black. New Players It is recommended to use paid media to target online casino and slot players. Bonus rounds have become a popular mechanic in slot machines and are often the main reason why people play a particular machine. The following excerpt from TheVerge.com helps illustrate how bonus games have revolutionized the slot game experience: The advent of bonus games has also helped bolster slot machines’ popularity: instead of just winning money, certain combinations can trigger mini games. In the IGT showroom, Lanning showed me the company’s forthcoming Entourage game, in which a bonus game has the player match portraits of characters. In the industry, it’s called a pick-em bonus. "Those are the most popular features," Melissa Price, the senior vice president of gaming for Caesar’s Entertainment, told me. "Customers enjoy ‘perceived skill’ experience." With the popularity of the bonus rounds with slot machines, it is advised to advertise VIP Black towards casino and slot players. Utilizing words like “Slots Bonus Rounds” or “Slots Bonus Game” may help acquire valuable players. A few examples of Bonus Rounds in slot machines are shown below: Deal or No Deal Bonus Round Jackpot Party Bonus Round Expected Lifespan VIP Black does not have a predetermined end date. The lifespan for the game will be driven by performance. Goals Average $500,000 in total bets per week for the first 8 weeks In the first month the game is on sale, re-engage 500 lapsed players Analysis A few items that we will need to track are listed below: 1. Who plays VIP Black most often? 2. Did VIP cannibalize scratch game sales or keno sales? 3. Did VIP Black change casual player behavior? Are they more valuable with VIP Black in the portfolio? 4. Did VIP Black re-engage lapsed players? 5. What is VIP Black’s impact on player retention? 6. Are players who hit a bonus round more likely to be retained? 7. Did we see a change in the casino promotion when assets were changed to include VIP Black? 8. Did newly acquired players from casino promotion choose VIP Black as their first game? 9. Did VIP Black move the needle and increase overall sales? 10. Did this game attract new players through advertising? 11. How did the paid media campaigns performs in acquiring new players using VIP Black? Prize Factor Odds Prize Odds Prize Odds Prize Odds 3 215.05 450 71,428.60 1000 66,666.67 4 238.95 460 212,765.96 1080 1,000,000.00 5 268.82 470 71,428.60 1100 1,000,000.00 8 307.22 480 71,428.60 5000 1,000,000.00 10 358.42 490 71,428.60 10000 2,000,000.00 15 358.42 500 28,571.43 30000 3,333,333.30 20 299.10 520 71,428.60 30 537.63 530 71,428.60 40 935.02 540 71,428.60 50 1,194.74 550 71,428.60 80 1,654.26 560 416,666.67 100 2,150.54 580 71,428.60 140 35,842.29 590 71,428.60 150 35,842.29 600 416,666.67 160 35,842.29 620 71,428.60 170 35,842.29 630 71,428.60 180 42,918.45 640 416,666.67 190 42,918.45 650 71,428.60 200 2,975.30 660 71,428.60 220 42,918.45 670 85,470.10 230 42,918.45 680 714,285.71 240 71,428.57 690 107,526.90 250 71,428.57 700 107,526.90 260 71,428.57 720 714,285.71 270 71,428.57 740 107,526.90 280 71,428.57 760 1,000,000.00 290 71,428.57 780 178,571.40 300 71,428.57 800 1,000,000.00 320 107,526.88 820 212,766.00 340 107,526.88 840 212,766.00 360 107,526.88 860 212,766.00 380 107,526.88 880 416,666.70 400 11,111.11 900 416,666.70 410 71,428.60 920 526,315.80 420 107,526.88 940 526,315.80 430 71,428.60 960 1,000,000.00 440 212,765.96 980 1,000,000.00 Source: http://www.theverge.com/2015/5/6/8544303/casino-slot-machine-gambling-addiction-psychology-mobile-games
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