Discovery some of the influencing patterns in the academic performance of the students of the Faculty of Education using the Association Rules technique. Case study: Faculty of Education, Afif 1 *1 Noha Hassan Osman Rajab , 2 Dr Saif Eldin Fattoh Lecture,Faculty of Education of Afif ,Shaqra University ,Kingdom of Saudi Arabia 2 Dean of Emirates University ,Khartoum,Sudan Email:[email protected](*Corresponding Author) Abstract This research aims to discover some of the dominant patterns in the academic data stored in the database Shaqra University of the Faculty of Education in Afif that influential in the academic performance of the students of the Faculty of Education of AFiF for the year 1438 and the research study applied in the field discovery of knowledge (data mining) by choosing Association Rules technique, which is an Apriori algorithm and this algorithm has helped to find patterns that can significant indicators are given between the percentage of students at the secondary level, the degree of capacity, the choice of specialization and the cumulative rate in two semesters The college graduates from the student statements accepted in the first semester of the academic year 1437/1438. This study is trying to read, interpret and display results, and the technology of the Association Rules has been chosen to fit this research and is one of the methods of data mining that helps decision makers make the right decisions. Key words: Data mining , Knowledge discovery in databases (KDD),Association Rule Techniques ,Apriorii Algorithms 1- Introduction: University education institutions play an active role in the development of human cadres, and university education is the most important and reliable component of the human race, which is the central focus of development. Academic performance is considered to be among them and there are many variables that influence academic performance of university students, as universities are entirely dependent on students and are the most important group in an educational institution. 1.1 Data Mining Data mining discovers patterns and relationships hidden in data, and is actually part of a larger process called “knowledge discovery” which describes the steps that must be taken to ensure meaningful results. Data mining software does not, however, eliminate the need to know the business, understand the data, or be aware of general statistical methods. Data mining does not find patterns and knowledge that can be trusted automatically without verification. Data mining helps business analysts to generate hypotheses, but it does not validate the hypotheses.[5]. 1.2-Knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) Knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) is the process of discovering useful knowledge from a collection of data. This widely used data mining technique is a process that includes data preparation and selection, data cleansing, incorporating prior knowledge on data sets and interpreting accurate solutions from the observed results.[3] . 1.3- Association Rules Association rules are if/then statements that help uncover relationships between seemingly unrelated data in a relational database or other information repository.[2]. An association rule has two parts, an antecedent (if) and a consequent (then). An antecedent is an item found in the data. A consequent is an item that is found in combination with the antecedent. Association rules are created by analyzing data for frequent if/then patterns and using the criteria support and confidence to identify the most important relationships. Support is an indication of how frequently the items appear in the database. Confidence indicates the number of times the if/then statements have been found to be true. [2] Association Rules find all sets of items (item sets) that have support greater than the minimum support and then using the large item sets to generate the desired rules that have confidence greater than the minimum confidence. The lift of a rule is the ratio of the observed support to that expected if X and Y were independent 1.4- Apriori algorithm Apriori algorithm is an algorithm for frequent item set mining and association rule learning over transaction databases. Its followed by identifying the frequent individual items in the database and extending them to larger and larger item sets as long as those item sets appear sufficiently often in the database. The frequent item sets determined by Apriori can be used to determine association rules which highlight general trends in the database. [4]. Apriori Algorithm: Pseudo code Join step: is generated by joining with itself Prune Step: any (k-1) item set that is not frequent cannot be a subset of a frequent k-item set Pseudo-code: 2- Search problem The Faculty of Education of Afif has a very rich database of academic data for students, pupils, programs, results, educational outcomes, etc. since the establishment of the university 1431 to date. This vast amount of data, although well known, has not yet been effectively exploited in the knowledge of success factors and failures, and the prevailing patterns have not been known affecting the academic performance of the student, who is one of the most important elements of university education and of the reasons for the dropout or diversion as well as the reasons for the student's failure or superiority and what the patterns are. This data-rich database can be used to support university decision makers and colleges, and the use of techniques such as Association Rules can provide results show relationships between different pattern within the university structure to help identify points of weakness and strength to do what is useful in evaluating performance within the university. 3- Search Objectives This study provides an application in the field of knowledge discovery to learn about the dominant patterns in the academic data of female students that contribute to the development of the university's educational process through the application of the rules of engagement technology to: To make use of the academic data of the university and of the college to discover the dominant and influential patterns of academic performance. 2. Discovering patterns helps to improve and develop the educational process in the college. 3. Discovering the dominant patterns helps to identify the causes of the failure or superiority of female students and thus helps the college management to learn about and address development constraints. 4. Produce results that help decision-making to develop the college's education and learning outcomes. 4- Research methodology: In this study the analytical descriptive approach has been used where a method has been developed to discover influencing patterns in student academic performance based on the methods currently used to discover knowledge (data mining systems). This method aims to discover the relationships between data the academy for female students are relevant to the academic performance of the student. This reduces the problems resulting from the poor methods used in the development and ordering of courses and the application of the Rules of Association (Association Rules) technique has been applied to the student data. 5- Study Limits: Objective: Application of the Association rules technique to the academic data of the first level students at the Faculty of Education of AFEF. Spatial: Faculty of Education of the Shaqra University in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Temporal: First semester... For the year... 1437 6- Theoretical framework: Shaqra University database contains the data of female students and students at various faculties, disciplines and faculty of Education with one of its faculties, including many sections include English, mathematics, Physics, Chemistry, Biology and Home economics, and contain academic student data. 7- Previous studies: In the first study [1], the researcher reviewed the applications of data mining in higher education, and the research presented a theoretical study on the data of the students of the University of IUS so that the Association Rules Technique (association Rules) The fact that the study was theoretical was the focus of the research on explaining data mining techniques and algorithms and their importance in supporting decision-making in higher education institutions. 9- Analysis and interpretation of results The second study [6] has taken care of the applications of prospecting in educational data and is based on the inputs and After compiling and processing data, the Apriori outputs of the educational process and how they affect each algorithm has been applied to the data and we get the other and the neural networks method has been used to learn following table about the relationships between the curriculum and the approved hours of students as well as other useful conclusions Table No(2) for decision makers at universities. Numbers of Rules Previous studies talk about data mining and explain it in detail Confid Supp and do not care about discovering influencing patterns but Consequen NO Antecedent ence( ort Lift most studies take the direction more theoretical than applied in t %) (%) this study, we try to know what relationships exist within the 2.000 ≤ CGPA < databases that affect the academic performance of female Secondary 3.000 students. 1 Department=economi c 8- Methodology The study community The students of the Faculty of Education in AFEF is a shaqra 2 university Sample study: First-level students for the university year 1437/1438 Implementation of the study: 3 .Obtain data from the database and save it in an external file. The data used in this study is data stored within the database of the Shaqra University. The data included students accepted for the first semester of the year 1437/1438 4 That was obtained in the form of files, PDF, and Excel. Nationalit y Departme nt Birthday Input year Civil number integ er integ er integ er integ er integ er Field name Secondary ratio Degree of achieveme nt Degree of capacity Weighted degree CGPA input date Select Data type integ er integ er integ er integ er integ er integ er integ er ≤ 100 7.89 3.11 64≤ Degree of capacity< 72 3.000<CGPA<4.9 department = english 100.33 6.14 2.15 department = math CGPA > 4.000 72 ≤ Degree of capacity< 81 93.7 6.14 3.17 department = math 64 ≤ Degree capabilities < 72 89.33 7.02 2.9 93.890 ≤ Secondary ratio < 96.850 100 7.89 2.04 96.91 7.89 3.11 5 72 ≤ Degree capacity< 81 CGPA > 4.000 6 Secondary ratio ≤ 87.970 department =biology 2.000 CGPA 3.000 64 ≤ Degree capacity< 72 CGPA > 4.000 of department = math 728.89 6.14 2.96 64 ≤ Degree capacity < 72 CGPA>3.5 of 8 department = physics 100.1 7.02 2.9 9 93.890 ≤ Secondary ratio < 96.850 CGPA > 4.000 72 ≤Degree of capacity < 81 90.2 7.89 2.04 10 department chemistry CGPA>4.00 72 ≤Degree of capacity < 81 98.58 6.14 2.15 Data processing and disposal of fields that do not affect the discovery of patterns such as student name, 7 university number, year of admission, civil registry Table No(1) Filed Data name type Student Integ ID er Student integ name er ratio 87.970 of = ≤ < Association Rule With Confidence The table No(2) contains a set of rules that help to know the strength and weakness of the academic performance of first-level students, including: The secondary rate is a very influential pattern of the cumulative student's rate of two classrooms. The degree of capacity testing in addition to specialization is linked to the cumulative student rate. From the table above we can conclude that the disciplines "biology" and "mathematics" are advanced in terms of academic performance on the rest of the disciplines The number of records in the data and trust level has been set to 0.75 and 1. And when she was trusting in the number of 0.75 rules that increased It is set out in the table above. From the data set it is clear that the Faculty of education of AFEF has patterns and rules associated with its academic data, It can be said that the specific patterns IF 93.890 ≤Secondary ratio< 96.850 or capacity < 81 Then CGPA > 4,000 IfElse 2.000 ≤ CGPA < 3.000 72 ≤Degree of In this search one of the technologies of the Association Rules , the Apriori algorithm is applied to the Faculty of Education of the chaste, which follows the University of Blonde to discover the patterns influence academic performance and assist departments in improving and developing education and learning outcomes, and data included academic data for students accepted in the first semester of the academic year 1437/1438 and the cumulative female students in two classrooms (first and second) and findings that help to improve the academic performance of female students and meaningful relationships between the cumulative student rate and the percentage obtained by the student of secondary, degree of testing and selection of specialization. In addition to the relationships between the cumulative rate of female students and some subjects that help to predict the dropout of female students from the university, we have not touched on it in this research, which makes it imperative for the university's admissions and registration department to look at the results to take advantage of them in raising the level of future students and learners. 11- References: Figure 1: showing the rules of association between the academic data of female students Figur 2: shows the rules of correlation between academic data for female students 10- Conclusions [1]. Abdullah Hussein Al-Hashiedy, "Data Mining Applications in Higher Education", Master thesis in Computer Information Systems, Arab Academy of Financial and Banking Sciences.. [2]. Bhardwaj, A., Sharma, A., & Shrivastava, V. (2012). Data mining techniques and their implementation in blood bank sector–a review. International Journal of Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA), 2(4), 1303-1309. [3].Fayyad, U., Piatetsky-Shapiro, G., & Smyth, P. (1996). From data mining to knowledge discovery in databases. AI magazine, 17(3), 37. [4].Han, J., Pei, J., Yin, Y., & Mao, R. (2004). Mining frequent patterns without candidate generation: A frequent-pattern tree approach. Data mining and knowledge discovery, 8(1), 53-87. [5].Rygielski, C., Wang, J.-C., & Yen, D. C. (2002). Data mining techniques for customer relationship management. Technology in society, 24(4), 483-502. [6]. Jing Luan, “Data Mining Applications in Higher Education”, 2004.
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