Review of Market Prices A Decision by the Commission for Energy Regulation CER/02/113 16th August 2002 Introduction This document contains a decision by the Commission for Energy Regulation under Regulation 3(4) of SI No. 49 of 2000 – Electricity Regulation Act, 1999 (Trading Arrangements in Electricity) Regulations, 2000. Commission’s Decision on Market Pricing The Commission hereby decides that the following amendments to the market pricing, will be put in place in the Trading and Settlement Code (“the Code”): 1. There will be a new payment made to some participants who spill energy. A Capacity Related Spill Payment shall be made and it will be based on the volume of spill and a flat price across all days and seasons, subject to conditions set out below1. 2. This payment, the Capacity Related Spill Payment, is in addition to the current payment (Bilateral Imbalance Payment) based on the spill price. 3. This payment will be made for all spill energy (i.e. positive Bilateral Contract Imbalances) by non-green, non-CHP, non-VIPP participants. Green and CHP participants will continue to get 100% access to Top Up at the first tier price (as per the current Rules) but will not be allowed avail of the Capacity Related Spill Payment. 4. The Capacity Related Spill Payment is calculated per trading period and is defined (for those who are eligible to receive it) as: Bilateral Contract Imbalance (where that is positive – i.e. spill) x Capacity Related Spill Payment Price. 5. The basic rate (price) is euro 5.94/MWhr2. The actual price in any trading period may vary between zero and this amount based on the principles in points 6 and 7 below. 6. The Capacity Related Spill Payment Price will be capped to ensure that it does not exceed the difference between the Spill Price and the Top Up Price. Thus in periods where: o the Spill Price resets the Top Up price (i.e. the Spill Price exceeds the ex-ante Top Up Price) – the price (and hence the payment also) will be zero. This will be an additional payment and will be included in the normal monthly settlement invoice. It will be calculated after all bilateral trading has occurred and final Bilateral Contract Imbalances are established. Information on the final Capacity Related Spill Payment price will be made available to all participants, in conjunction with their final imbalance position and associated payments. 2 The basic price for the Capacity Related Spill Payment price of euro 5.94/MWhr is subject to change by the Commission. 1 2 o the Spill Price is within euro 5.94/MWhr3 of the Top Up Price – the Capacity Related Spill Payment price will be reduced such that it plus the Spill Price equals the Top Up Price o the Spill Price is below the Top Up Price by euro 5.94/MWhr4 or more, then the Capacity Related Spill Payment price will be unchanged. 7. There shall be a 350 MW limit to the amount of spill energy that receives the Capacity Related Spill Payment. This limit is subject to change by the Commission. If the actual quantity spilled exceeds this limit the Capacity Related Spill Payment price (for all spill receiving this payment) shall be reduced, pro-rata, from euro 5.94/MWh. 8. The current Spill Cap will no longer apply. 9. A minimum Spill Price shall be set at the best new entrant fuel price. This floor price will apply to all units spilled including spill from ‘green’ and CHP generators and suppliers. 10. The current estimated BNE avoidable fuel price, and hence the Spill Price floor, is euro 28/MWhr. This floor price will be updated in the settlement system as and when the Commission updates the BNE avoidable fuel price. 11. The implementation date for the above spill-pricing regime shall be 1st September 2002. Interim Solution The Commission wished to implement this decision on Market Prices from 1st August but was advised that implementation of this decision in full from the intended date of 1st August would unduly interfere with the settlement process. However, it is possible to put in place an interim solution to apply for settlement of the month of August 2002 only. The Commission hereby decides that this interim solution shall be put in place with effect from 1 st August 2002. This interim solution implements the Commissions decision with the exception of the application of the 350MW spill cap limit referred to in item 7 above. Thus the Capacity Related Spill Payment shall apply to all energy units spilled by non-green, non-CHP, non-VIPP participants. This interim solution shall apply until settlement of 1st September 2002. As this arrangement is temporary for the month of August 2002 its application is outside of the scope of the Market Audit. However, the SSA shall make available full details of the payment to all affected participants. The basic price for the Capacity Related Spill Payment price of euro 5.94/MWhr is subject to change by the Commission. 4 The basic price for the Capacity Related Spill Payment price of euro 5.94/MWhr is subject to change by the Commission. 3 3 Top Up and Secondary Top Up Prices 1. The Top up price shall continue to be calculated and applied to generators and suppliers as currently set out in the Code. The current Top Up prices will continue to apply until such time as the Commission updates the BNE price and publishes a new set of Top Up prices. All limits on access to first tier top-up remain unchanged. 2. The second tier Top Up Price will be set by reference to ESB Power generation’s sales price to ESB Supply and shall be profiled over time. The Commission will publish a new set of Top Up Multipliers to give effect to this by 1st September 2002. 3. The implementation date for the above secondary top up pricing regime shall be 1st September 2002. The modifications required to the Code to give effect to the Spill Price floor are contained in Appendix 1. These are hereby approved by the Commission. A complete set of revisions to the Trading and Settlement Code and Rules to give effect to this decision will be issued in the near future. Background The Minister for Public Enterprise issued a Policy Direction in July 1999 setting out the high level principles for the electricity trading system for the period to February 18th 2005. The Direction required the Commission to review the market pricing arrangements in early 2002 and the overall trading arrangements in 2004. This paper relates to the review of market prices. According to the policy direction, the Commission may change the pricing arrangements if they are found to be inadequate when compared with the stated objective for the trading arrangements. The objective of the trading arrangements is the promotion of “efficient competition amongst licensed generators and suppliers within the market segment being opened to competition.” This review was initiated in September 2001, largely in response to concerns about market conditions. The Commission began by inviting interested parties to submit comments on the current pricing arrangements. Comments and submissions received seemed to suggest that these arrangements might be inadequate when compared with the objective of the trading arrangements, and should therefore be modified. Subsequently, on 11th January last the Commission issued a consultation paper (Ref.: CER/02/07) reviewing the present pricing arrangements. The paper examined the effectiveness of the current imbalance pricing arrangements in meeting the overall objective of the Minister’s policy direction and set out a number of options for change. Comments were invited on the ideas included in the paper. 4 While the Commission was considering the different responses made to the consultation paper, an industry meeting was held in the Commission’s offices on 26th February 2002. This was held to provide the Commission with the opportunity to further discuss these issues with the industry prior to making its decision about the current pricing arrangements. The Commission wanted to focus discussion on two main areas. The first related to possible changes to the top up and spill pricing mechanisms (if the Commission was to decide that the present pricing arrangements do not meet the objective of the policy direction). At that time, the Commission was considering the option of one market price for both top up and spill. This price could include both an energy and capacity element and be set, to the greatest extent possible, by market forces. Another area the Commission wanted to focus on was the issue of market information and the calculation of imbalance market prices. Another meeting was held on 13th March 2002 where a single price was discussed further. On 20th March 2002 the Commission published a discussion paper on Market Pricing (Ref.: CER/02/32) setting out an approach where the single price could be calculated with reference to a Marginal Energy Price plus a capacity component, calculated as Value of Lost Load (VOLL) times Loss of Load Probability (LOLP), where VOLL = €7,550. The Commission was of the view that this would (a) provide existing and potential market participants with a capacity value signal and (b) reduce some of the complexity in pricing arrangements as illustrated by the number of different prices in the market. In addition the Commission held a series of bilateral meetings with market participants. In general there was support for a single market price (although not unanimous) but there was some concern about the effects on a supplier of a market price that was not known in advance. At this time, the Commission considered this approach to pricing in more detail and a number of issues became clear. 1. There is a strong possibility that, depending upon what is happening in the market at a particular point in time, the single market price can fall below the PG, VIPP and top up prices (thereby undermining the market). 2. This pricing mechanism does not provide a sufficiently advanced investment signal to generators with a construction lead-time of two to three years. 3. This approach can lead to volatile pricing which is a concern to some suppliers. 4. During the transitional period, PG may face potentially considerable financial exposure from this approach to the extent that the single market price falls below the PG sales price to PES. 5 Reasons for Commission’s Decision The Commission has carefully considered the question of whether or not current pricing arrangements meet the main objective of the trading arrangements – the efficient competition amongst licensed generators and suppliers within the market segment being opened to competition. The Commission is of the view that the initial interest in the market by new generators and suppliers has diminished in part due to the overall structure of the market but also due to the operation of top up and spill. It would appear that potential new generators face a significant level of risk in securing a revenue stream in the bilateral contract market. The current pricing regime does little to abate this risk. The Commission accordingly has decided to amend the current market pricing arrangements as part of an overall plan to provide an environment that will encourage market entry by efficient generators and suppliers. In this manner, customers will be provided with a sustainable supply of reasonably priced electricity. The Commission is aware that changing the calculation of market prices will not, in itself, secure market entry. However it will provide a signal to interested parties of the Commission’s intention. It is worth noting that the Commission has decided to instigate the review of the overall trading arrangements earlier than anticipated in the Minister’s policy direction. This second review is underway and the Commission aims to set out the high level principles of the post February 2005 market early in 2003. This will provide interested parties (existing and potential) with a clear signal of how the market will develop and should reduce the level of uncertainty faced by parties considering entry into the Irish electricity market. It will also allow for the timely development and implementation of any necessary systems required to underpin the post February 2005 market. Tom Reeves Commission for Energy Regulation 16th August 2002 6 Appendix 1 Revisions to the Trading and Settlement Code to effect Spill Floor Price Trading and Settlement Code - Appendix 7 Electricity Trading and Settlements Rules 7.4.3 Spill Price A value of the “Spill Price” (SPh) in €/MWh per Trading Period will be determined as part of the EPUS run and will be included in the EPUS output files. This Spill Price is the highest decremental price of any Unit with a value of XNOMguh > 0 and that can be decremented. For the avoidance of doubt, a non-exclusive list of the circumstances which would preclude a Unit from being decremented is given below. 1) 2) Where the decrementing of the Unit would involve it being desynchronized. Where the decrementing of the Unit would involve it being scheduled at less than Min Gen. There will be a ‘floor’ applied to the Spill Price, such that if the EPUS derived Spill Price, above, is below this ‘floor’ price, then the Spill Price, for this trading period, will be reset to the ‘floor’ price. This ‘floor’ price is the Best New Entrant Avoidable Fuel Cost (BNEAFCh). Therefore, If SPh < BNEAFCh , then SPh = BNEAFCh 7
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