Open Journal of Discrete Mathematics, 2011, 1, 127-135 doi:10.4236/ojdm.2011.13016 Published Online October 2011 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/ojdm) The Equilibrium Distribution of Counting Random Variables Shuanming Li Centre for Actuarial Studies, Department of Economics, the University of Melbourne, Australia E-mail: [email protected] Received July 1, 2011; revised August 3, 2011; accepted August 15, 2011 Abstract We study the high order equilibrium distributions of a counting random variable. Properties such as moments, the probability generating function, the stop—loss transform and the mean residual lifetime, are derived. Expressions are obtained for higher order equilibrium distribution functions under mixtures and convolutions of a counting distribution. Recursive formulas for higher order equilibrium distribution functions of the a, b,0 -family of distributions are given. Keywords: Counting Random Variable, Equilibrium Distribution, Stop-Loss Transform, Mean Residual Life, a, b,0 Family, Recursive Formulas, Probability Generating Function 1. Introduction Recently, there has been much attention given to higher order equilibrium distributions associated with a given distribution function (d.f.), see e.g., Fagiuoli and Pellerey [1,2], Nanda, Jain and Singh [3], Hesselager, Wang and Willmot [4] and the references therein. Equilibrium distributions arise naturally in ruin theory and play an important in various settings. The first order equilibrium distribution of a claim size d.f., in classical risk theory, can be interpreted as the distribution of the amount of the first drop below the initial reserve, given there is such a drop (see for instance Bowers et al. [5], Chapter 12). Many results on the moments of the time to ruin, the surplus before ruin and the deficit at ruin, heavily depend on the equilibrium distribution of the claim size d.f. [see Lin and Willmot [6,7] for details]. Some classifications of reliability distributions are based on properties of higher order equilibrium distributions. Whence, bounds for the right tail of the total claims distribution and ruin probabilities, can be obtained from the properties of equilibrium distributions associated with the single claim size d.f., see [7-9]. Although much attention has been paid to the equilibrium distributions associated with a given d.f., most results are for continuous random variables. Instead, we discuss higher order equilibrium distributions associated Copyright © 2011 SciRes. with a discrete probability function (p.f.). Throughout the paper, = 0,1, 2, and = 1, 2, . 2. Notation and Definitions Let X be a non-negative r.v. taking integer values, with probability function (p.f.) p x = P X = x , survival function P x = P X > x = y x 1 p y , x and n -th moment n = E X n . Consider the equilibrium distribution of p, defined as p1 x := P x 1 = 1 1 p y , x . y x 1 n Now, define n := E X to be the n-th factorial n moment of X, where x = x x 1 x n 1 de0 notes the n-th factorial power of x and x = 1. It is well known in summation calculus (see e.g. Hamming k = xk y n n 1 x n 1 , for n 1 n , x, y , and x y. Hence the n-th factorial moment 1: n of p1 is given by [10], p.182) that 1: n = x n p1 x = x 1 = 1 1 y 1 = y 1 1 1 x p y n x 1 p y x , y 2 n y x 1 n 1, x =1 OJDM S. M. LI 128 y 1 = 1 y2 n 1 = 1 n 1 n 1 n 1 p y n 1 = pn 1 x = 1 n 1 (1) , for 1 = 1 . Similarly, the probability generating function (p.g.f.) of the equilibrium distribution p1 is given by 1 pˆ s pˆ1 s = s x p1 x = 1 1 s x0 Pn 1 x = , 1 s 1 , = 1 1 y x 1k y 1 p k k x 1 . (2) 1:1 1:1 1 y x 1 y x 1 p y , x , 1: n 1 1:1 n 1 = 1: n 1 1:1 n 1 . x0 1 pˆ1 s 1:1 1 s 1 , 1 < s < 1 , n!l :1 p y y x 1 n , x , (3) y x 1 l =0 = 1 n p y y x 1 , n y x 1 and accordingly Copyright © 2011 SciRes. y 1 n n!l :1 p y y x2 t = x 1 y t 1 n y x 2 1 n n!l :1 p y y x2 k n k =0 = 1 n n 1!l:1 p y y x 1 n 1 , y x 1 l =0 verifies (3) also for n 1. Further, since Pn 1 = 1, we conclude from (3) that n!l :1 = n , n . (6) l =0 Hence Pn x is also given by (4). To prove (5), use P x and (6). □ pn 1 x = n Example 1: If X is geometrically distributed with p x = 1 x and survival function P x = x 1 , for x and 0,1 then Define similarly the subsequent equilibrium distributions of p, from the third order p3 x = 1 2:1 P2 x up to the n-th order pn x = 1 n 1:1 Pn 1 x for x , where the following theorem gives an expression for Pn x and pn 1 x . Theorem 1 The survival function Pn x , of the n-th order equilibrium distribution pn can be expressed as n 1 Pn t l =0 Pm x = with pˆ 2 1 = 1, and the corresponding survival function P2 x = k x 1 p2 k . Pn x = n:1 n:1 Then the p.g.f. of p2 x is given by pˆ 2 s = s x p2 x = 1 n 1 where 1:1 is the first order moment of p1 . The factorial moments of p2 are obtained as in (1) to be 2: n = t x 1 1 = 1 k x 1 1 (5) , l =0 Now define the equilibrium distribution of p1 , or equivalently, the second order equilibrium distribution of p : P x p2 x = 1 = n y x 1 t x 1 1 y x 1 p y y x 1 pn 1 t = = p1 y = p k n 1 where l :1 is the mean of l -th order equilibrium distribution and 0:1 = 1 is the mean of p (or 0-th order equilibrium distribution). Proof: (2) shows that (3) holds for n = 1. By induction, assume that (3) holds for any n, then with pˆ1 1 = 1 and its survival function is P1 x = n 1 = 1 m 1 m 1 y y x 1 m y x 1 1 x 1 y y m = x 1 , y 0 where the last equality holds true as m = y 0 1 y y m , by definition. This shows that any order equilibrium distribution of the geometric distribution is identical to the original distribution. Example 2: Let X be a discrete uniform with 1 p x = , x = 0,1, 2, , m. m 1 (4) As n = x =0 m n 1 n m 1 x = , 1 m m 1 n 1 OJDM S. M. LI then for n m, pn x = 1 m n y x 1 n y = x 1 m 1 n n 1 = m x 1 m 1 y =0 n n 1 m x = n 1 m 1 n > m, pn x 0. while for n 1 129 for an arbitrary n = k and m , then for n = k 1 the left-hand-side (LHS) of (10) becomes n 1 y LHS = x m y x y n 1 y = y x m y x y m k x , 0 x mn, = n n k k =1 n k S = S = = S =1, S n 1 k =S n k 1 m k 1 m k 1 s = n! sn 1 s y 1 s x =0 n 1 sn x s x = n! n x0 1 s n 1 y 1 mk 2 n = x =0 n! s n k k y s y , (8) k! n k 1 k =1 1 s n , s 0,1 . m y 1 = m 1 (9) . 1 n 1! 1 pˆ s pˆ n 1 s = n 1 n 1 1 s n pn 1 x = n 1 k =1 nk k! (11) k 1 s n k 1 . n 1 n 1 y x 1p y y x 1 n , pˆ n 1 s = s x pn 1 x x0 = m 1 , then (10) holds n 1! n 1 Proof: Since (10) when n = 0 and m . Assuming that it also holds Copyright © 2011 SciRes. n m 2 The following theorem gives an expression for pˆ n 1 s . Theorem 2 n m!n! n m 1 y 1 . 1 ! m n x =0x y n 1 m 1 Let pˆ n 1 s = x 0s x pn 1 x be the p.g.f. of pn 1 . 1 n y s 1 sy I n 1 y s , while I 0 = . Then 1 s 1 s 1 s (8) is verified by mathematical induction. To prove (9), simply let y in (8). Lemma 3 For y , m and n , Proof: Since m!k! y m k m k 1! = y n m 1 In = n x m y x m k 2 □ Proof: Let I n = x =0x s x . It is easy to show that y k! m 1 ! y 1 m k 2 ! y Proof: See p.160 in [10]. □ Lemma 2 For n and y , x m!k! k! m 1 ! with s0n = 0 and 1 k n . x k n m m n 1 0 x y x dx = y m 1, n 1 snn11 = snn = = s11 = 1 , skn 1 = skn1 kskn , n y x Remark: (10) is a discrete version of the formula nS , n k with S0n = 0 , y 1 x =0 y 1 m k 2 ! m! k 1 ! m k 2 = . y 1 m k 2 ! k =1 1 1 k m k 1! m k 1 m k y 1 k!m! m k 1! (7) where S , s , k = 1, 2, , n, called the first and the second Stirling numbers respectively, are given recursively by y y 1 = y 1 n k n n m y x m x m y x x =0 n = S k , and n = s k , n , n 1 n 1 k x =0 In deriving the properties of the higher order equilibrium distributions of p, the following lemmas will be needed. Lemma 1 The relationships between raw and factorial moments are given by n k y x k x =0 3. Properties of the Equilibrium Distribution n k = n 1 n 1 n 1 n 1 s x p y y x 1 x0 y x 1 y 1 p y s x y x 1 y 1 n n x =0 OJDM S. M. LI 130 = n 1 y 1 p y s y 1 s x x n n 1 y 1 x =0 1 s y 1 y 1 n = p y s 1 n! n 1 n 1 y 1 1 s s nk n 1 n! y k 1 y 1 , by Lemma 2 , n k 1 k! s k =1 1 s n 1 n 1! 1 pˆ s = n 1 n 1 1 s n 1 y 1 n 1! 1 n n 1 nk 1 s k! k =1 k n k 1 n:m = n!m! n m , m, n , m n ! n n! m n k!s m n kk ! n k , E X m x (12) m , n , (13) k =1 E X m x = = n n n y 1 n 1 m! n 1 ! n!m! n m = . m n ! n = m k =1 k n n Let X m be a random variable following the probabil n ity function pm . Define E X m x to be the n -th n factorial stop-loss transform of pm and E X m x Copyright © 2011 SciRes. m 1 Pm 1 x k x 1 = 1 while hm x = = (16) m 1 m Pm x 1 . rm 1 x = 1 m E X x = k =1 k skn Pk x 1 . (15) k!skn m k ! m k Pm k x 1 k =1 n (17) rm x = E X m x X m > x = , by Lemma 3 , To prove (13), use n:m = s n: k , as stated in Lemma 1, and (12). □ Consider now the stop-loss transform π x = E X x of the r.v. X (where the notation a = aIn a > 0 ). For n and x , denote by E X x the n-th stop-loss transform of X (with n probability function p) and by E X x its n-th factorial stop-loss transform. Theorem 1 and Lemma 1 show n that E X x = n Pn x 1 and k =1 Proof: x =0 p y y n m n m ! y 1 m rm x = 1 x 0 y 1 m! mk function of pm . Then the following result holds. Theorem 5 For x and m , hm x = p y x m y x 1 m k!s n n m kk ! E X x Proof: The argument is similar to that in the above proof. □ N o w d ef in e rm x = E X m x X m > x , x , m , to be the mean residual lifetime (MRL) of P X m = x pm , and hm x = to be the hazard rate P X m x n:( m ) = x m pn x n m! n where n:m is the m -th moment of the distribution pn . Proof: = (14) m!n! n m = P x 1 , m n ! m n m = Theorem 3 n m m!n! E X x = m m n ! n . □ n: m = to be the n-th stop-loss transform of pm . The following theorem holds. Theorem 4 For n and m, x , k x pm k k x 1 k x 1 pm k Pm x E X m x 1 Pm x pm k k x 1 1 Pm x m 1 m 1 m pm x pm x Pm x Pm 1 x Pm x = , by (14). 1 Pm x 1 pm x 1 1 = , by (16) . m m 1 Pm x rm 1 x 1 m Pm 1 x This proves the conclusion. □ OJDM S. M. LI where X 1 , X 2 , , X n are i.i.d. with common p.f. p, which can be computed recursively by 4. Equilibrium Distribution and Convolutions This section studies the equilibrium distribution of the n-th fold convolution of a counting distribution. The following lemma shows that the usual formulas n n x y = nk =0 x k y n k k and n! l1 n l x1 xmm , x1 x2 xm = l1 lm = n l1! lm! for n , also hold for factorial integer powers. Lemma 4 For n x y n n k nk = x y , k =0 k n 131 *kn = E X 1 X 2 X n 1 X n The following Theorem gives an expression for pm*n x . Theorem 6 For m , n 2,3, and x , x = *n m p n! l l l (19) x1 1 x2 2 xmm . l1 l2 lm = n l1!l2! lm! Proof: Clearly (18) holds for n = 1. Assume it holds for an arbitrary n, then x y = x y n x y n n n k nk = x y x k y n k k =0 k n 1 k n 1 k = x y k =0 k and (18) holds by induction. A similar argument proves (19). □ Next we will discuss the high order equilibrium distributions of the convolution of p with itself. x Let p*n x = k =0 p k p*n 1 x k be the n-th fold convolution of p, with p*1 = p, and pm*n be the m-th order equilibrium distribution of p*n . Consider *kn , the k-th factorial moment of p*n , then pm*n x = = = = = = k! l l l , 1 2 n l1 l2 ln = k l1!l2! ln! Copyright © 2011 SciRes. 1 x (20) m * n 1 l l m l pl x . l =1 m *mn p*n y y x 1 y m p k p x t x k 1 *n m p* n 1 t t x k 1 p k p * n 1 *n m k x 1 * n 1 m m 1 yk p k *n m k 0 m 1 p k p* n 1 y k y x 1 m m 1 y x 1 *n m k x 1 m y k y x 1 p k p* n 1 y k y x 1 *n m k =0 m * n 1 *n m y x 1k =0 m m 1 *n m y x 1 y 0 m 1 y y k x 1 m 1 x m p k pm* n 1 x k *n p k m k =0 k x 1 m 1 m 1 l m 1 l p* n 1 y k x 1 y l y 0 l =0 = *m n1 *n m p * pm * n 1 x m *mn p k k x 1 m 1 m 1 l * n 1 k x 1 m 1l l l =0 k *kn = E X 1 X n k! l l X1 1 X n n = E l1 ln = k l1! ln! m n 1 * n 1 Proof: n n n k 1 n k n k n 1 k = x y x y k =0 k k =0 k n 1 n k n 1 k n n k n 1 k = x y x y k =1 k 1 k =0 k p * pm *mn n n 1 *m n1 (18) k k l k l = E X 1 X 2 X n 1 E X n l l =0 k k * n 1 = l k l . l =0 l x1 x2 xm = k = *m n1 *n m p * pm * n 1 x m p k k x 1 m 1 m 1 * n 1 m 1 l l *n m l =0 l k x 1 OJDM S. M. LI 132 = *m n1 p * pm * n 1 *n m m 1l * n 1 = * n 1 m l 1 l 1 *n m m 1 l l =0 1 = z g * g m * 1 m 1 pl 1 x p * pm* n 1 x *n m m x m m l *n m l =1 l m l pl x . where z = x 1 z g x , 1 . This shows that the m-th order m 1 equilibrium distribution of a negative binomial is a mix* 1 ture of the distributions g * g m and g , where the 1 . mixing factor z = m 1 * n 1 5. Equilibrium Distribution of a Mixture This completes the proof. □ Remark: Theorem 6 gives a recursive formula for the high order equilibrium distributions of the convolution pm*n . First obtain pl x and *lk , for l = 0,1, , m and k = 1, 2, , n. Then compute the starting p.f. pm x , followed by the convolutions pm*2 x up to pm*n x . Example 3 Consider X negative binomial , , for 2 and 0,1 , that is x 1 x p x = 1 , for x . x Since the NB , distribution can be viewed as the -th convolution of a geometric distribution g x = 1 x , then p x = g * x and the above theorem can be used to compute pm x = g m* x recursively. Here the k-th factorial moment of g x is , 1 k = 1 x 0x k x = k! k by Lemma 1. Now Pk x = x 1 and *k = k! l l l 1 2 l1 l2 l = k l1!l2!l ! = k! 1 k 1 1 k 1 = k! . 1! 1 After some simplifications, we have g m* x = *m 1 = * m 1 *m g * g m * 1 x m * 1 l l m l pl x l =1 m 1 * 1 g * g m x m 1 m 1 x m 1 Copyright © 2011 SciRes. p x = p x dU , is given by 0 pn x = 0 pn x dU n , (21) E X dU where dU n = . n E X Proof ( n 1) n pn x = p y y x 1 n n y x 1 n 1 =n = l1 l2 l = k k This section discusses the equilibrium distribution of a mixed p.f.. For x . let p x , be the conditional distribution of X, given = . First assume that has a continuous distribution function U with density u over 0, . Then the p.f. of X, given by p x = 0 p x dU , is a U-mixture of distributions. The high order equilibrium distributions of p are given in the following theorem. Theorem 7 The n-th order equilibrium distribution of the mixed p.f. E X x 1 E X n n E X = 0 n 0 E X x 1 n 1 n n 1 E X x 1 E X n dU E X n dU n E X = 0 pn x dU n . □ This theorem shows that the n-th order equilibrium distribution of a mixed p.f. is the mixture of the n-th order equilibrium distribution of the conditional p.f., mixed by a new distribution U n . An important special case is the mixture of geometric 1 p.f.’s, where p x = 1 x dU . Geometric 0 mixtures benefit from an important property, is that they OJDM S. M. LI are completely monotone distributions, in the sense that n 1 n p x 0, for all x, n . Then pn x = 1 x and E X dU dU n = n E X n n = = = x 1 x x0 E X discrete p.f., that is p x = j =1 f j 1 j jx , for k x , where 0 < j < 1, dU k x (n) x j 1 j n! n 1 n 1 , by() showing that the n-th order equilibrium distribution of a geometric U-mixture is still a geometric, with same parameter. Here the new mixing density is proportional to the original one, un u . 1 Example 4 (Waring Distribution) If p x = 1 x , for x , and n a 1 1 b 1 , 1 p x = 0 x a 1 d 6. Equilibrium Distribution of the (a,b) Family a, b = x a, b 1 a, b b a b a x a x a b 1 We consider here the equilibrium distributions of the a,b class of discrete distributions, or more precisely, of the important subclass of the a, b family called the a, b, 0 class, see [11,12]. This class of counting distributions has support on the non-negative integers on which the recurrence relation p x = a b x p x 1 , which is called a Waring distribution. It follows that pn x = p x = 1 x , un a n 1 1 b n 1 , which is a a n, b n distribution when b > n. Then pn x = 0 1 x dU n 1 = x a n,b n 1 a n, b n Copyright © 2011 SciRes. The following theorem gives the aging properties of the higher order equilibrium distributions of geometric mixtures. Theorem 8 The n-th order equilibrium distribution of a geometric mixture is DFRd and IMRLd . Also Pn x Pn1 x , for x 0, or equivalently, pn < st pn 1 . Proof: Since pn is also a geometric mixture, it is completely monotone. Then pn is DFRd , see [9]. Further, rn x = 1 hn 1 x , by (17), hence pn is IMRLd . Lastly, Pn x r 0 1 = n 1, Pn 1 x rn x 1 by (16). □ for (0,1), then = n f j where f n j = , for j = 1, 2, , k . n k i i =1 1 f i i n b k pn x = f n j 1 j jx , x , dU , 1 1 j =1 f j = 1, then x0 n E X f j > 0 and j =1 1 dU 1 when b n, If instead, the geometric p.f. is mixed over another n E X a, b b n a b x a n a n x a b 1 then pn x does not exist. = n 1 dU u = 133 holds for x = 1, 2, . The members of the this class are binomial, Poisson and negative binomial distributions (with their corresponding special cases). It is easily seen that 1 = ak b k 1 ab and k = , for k 2 . 1 a 1 a Then we have the following recursive formula for pn . Theorem 9 The n-th order equilibrium distribution pn in the a, b, 0 class of distributions satisfies the following recursion for n : OJDM S. M. LI 134 pn 1 x 1 = apn 1 x which in turns implies n 1 1 a x n 1 n an a b n 1 1 a an a b ax an a b n pn x 1 (22) pn 1 x 1 = apn 1 x pn x , x . The starting points of the recursion are 1 p1 x = P x , p1 0 = 1 1 1 1 p 0 n! n 1 n 1 1 1 1 p 0 k =1 n k! n 1 k k , pn 0 = = for n 2. b Pro of: p x = a p x 1 , or equivalently, x a b p x = x 1 p x 1 axp x , for x = 0,1, 2,. Then a b pn x n n 1 = a b p y y x 1 , n 1 y x 1 n = n y 1 p y 1 y x 1 yp y y x 1 n 1 y x 1 = n n y x 2 yp y y x 2 a y x 1 n n a = n 1 p y y x 1 y x 1 n y x2 n n n p y y x 2 n 1 y x 1 p y y x 1 n y x 1 n x n n p y y x 1 n 1 y x 1 n n 1 p x 1 x n 1 pn x 1 n n 1 n 1 a n n 1 p x a x n pn x , n n 1 n 1 Copyright © 2011 SciRes. = n 1 n n n n n! n p y y 1 y 1 n 1 n 1 k k y 1 k =0 k n 1 p y y 1 n 1 1 k =0 n 1 k k! p y yk y 1 n 1 k n 1 1 n! n 1 k . = 1 1 p 0 I n 2 k! n k =1 This completes the proof. □ For another subclass of the a, b family, the a, b,1 class of distributions, the relation p x = a b x p x 1 holds for x 2, where p 0 is an arbitrarily selected value in 0,1 . In this case, it is ak b , for k 2. The easy to see that k = 1 a k 1 above recursive formula (22) and those for the starting points still hold true here, the only change being that n 1 1 = n 1 p y y x 2 n x n 1 a y x n p y y x 1 a x n = n 1 n y x 1 a n 1 1 a , we get (22). an a b = Finally, we have and pn 0 = n n 1 an a b ax pn x , n 1 n 1 n n Since n n 1 p x 1 n 1 n n p 1 a b 1 p 0 1 a . 7. Conclusions This paper investigates the higher order equilibrium distributions of counting random variables. The above results can be used in Risk Theory to derive bounds of ruin probabilities in the discrete time risk model. They also lead to the factorial moments of three related random variables: the surplus before ruin, the deficit at ruin and the time of ruin (see Li and Garrido [13] for details). 8. References [1] E. Fagiuoli and F. Pellerey, “New Partial Orderings and Applications,” Naval Research Logistics, Vol. 40, No. 6, 1993, pp. 829-842. doi:10.1002/1520-6750(199310)40:6<829::AID-NAV322 0400607>3.0.CO;2-D [2] E. Fagiuoli and F. Pellerey, “Preservation of Certain OJDM S. M. LI Classes of Life Distributions under Poisson Shock Models,” Journal of Applied Probability, Vol. 31, No. 2, 1994, pp. 458-465. doi:10.2307/3215038 [3] A.K. Nanda, H. Jain and H. Singh, “On Closure of Some Partial Orderings under Mixture,” Journal of Applied Probability, Vol. 33, No. 3, 1996, pp. 698-706. doi:10.2307/3215351 [4] O. Hesselager, S. Wang and G.E. Willmot, “Exponential and Scale Mixture and Equilibrium Distributions,” Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Vol. 20, No. 2, 1994, pp. 125-142. [5] M. Bowers, H. Gerber, J. Kickman, D. Jones and C. Nesbitt, “Actuarial Mathematics,” 2nd Edition, Society of Actuaries, Schaumburg, 1997. [6] X. Lin and G. E. Willmot, “Analysis of a Defective Renewal Equation Arising in Ruin Theory,” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 25, No. 1, 1999, pp. 63-84. doi:10.1016/S0167-6687(99)00026-8 [7] X. Lin and G. E. Willmot, “The Moments of the Time of Ruin, the Surplus before Ruin, and the Deficit at Ruin,” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 27, No. 1, Copyright © 2011 SciRes. 135 2000, pp. 19-44. doi:10.1016/S0167-6687(00)00038-X [8] G. E. Willmot, “Bounds for Compound Distributions Based on Mean Residual Lifetimes and Equilibrium Distributions,” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 21, No. 1, 1997, pp. 25-42. doi:10.1016/S0167-6687(97)00016-4 [9] G. E. Willmot and J. Cai, “Aging and other Distributional Properties of Discrete Compound Geometric Distributions,” Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Vol. 28, No. 3, 2001, pp. 361-379. doi:10.1016/S0167-6687(01)00062-2 [10] R. W. Hamming, “Numerical methods for scientists and Engineers,” 2nd Edition, Dover, New-York, 1973. [11] H. H. Panjer, “Recursive Evaluation of a Family of Compound Distributions,” ASTIN Bulletin, Vol. 12, No. 1, 1981, pp. 22-26. [12] S. A. Klugman, H. H. Panjer and G. E. Willmot, “Loss Models,” Wiley, New-York, 1998. [13] S. Li and J. Garrido, “On the Time Value Ruin of Discrete Time Risk Process,” Working Paper 02-18, Universidad Carlos III of Madrid, Madrid, 2002. OJDM
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