PERMINTAAN ASURANSI KESEHATAN OLEH: DESTANUL AULIA, PhD STIKES HELVETIA LOGIKA Konsumen membayar asuransi (premium) untuk menutupi biaya pengobatan pada masa akan datang Bagi seorang konsumen, premium dapat menjadi lebih tinggi atau lebih rendah dibandingkan biaya pengobatan Tetapi peserta asuransi dpt di pool atau dibagikan menurut resikonya diantara semua peserta Jumlah premium dapat melebihi jumlah biaya pengobatan Asuransi Kesehatan: Rasional Tujuan: Perlindungan terhadap risiko dengan pengumpulan dana Keuntungan: Hal ini dapat merubah pengeluaran yang tak terduga di kemudian hari kedalam pembayaran yang dapat direncanakan sebelumnya (dapat dipredisksi) Hal ini juga menggeser pembayaran dari periode waktu ketersediaan uang tunai yang rendah ke periode waktu dengan ketersediaan uang tunai yang lebih banyak (Keterjangkauan) Prinsip Solidaritas: – – Membagi beban antara yang mampu dan tidak mampu Jika cakupan cukup luas diantara orang kota dan desa Prinsip Risk-sharing: – Membagi beban antara yang sehat dan sakit Characterizing Risk Aversion Recall the consumer maximizes utility, with prices and income given Utility = U (health, other goods) health = h (medical care) Insurance doesn’t guarantee health, but provides $ to purchase health care We assumed diminishing marginal utility of “health” and “other goods” In addition, let’s assume diminishing marginal utility of income Utility Income Assume that we can assign a numerical “utility value” to each income level Also, assume that a healthy individual earns $40,000 per year, but only $20,000 when ill Income Utility Sick $20,000 70 Healthy $40,000 90 Utility when healthy Utility 90 70 A B Utility when sick $20,000 $40,000 Income Individual doesn’t know whether she will be sick or healthy But she has a subjective probability of each event She has an expected value of her utility in the coming year Define: P0 = prob. of being healthy P1 = prob. of being sick P0 + P1 = 1 An individual’s subjective probability of illness (P1) will depend on her health stock, age, lifestyle, etc. Then without insurance, the individual’s expected utility for next year is: E(U) = P0U($40,000) + P1U($20,000) = P0•90 + P1•70 For any given values of P0 and P1, E(U) will be a point on the chord between A and B Utility A 90 70 B $20,000 $40,000 Income Assume the consumer sets P1=.20 Then if she does not purchase insurance: E(U) = .80•90 + .20•70 = 86 E(Y) = .80•40,000 + .20•20,000 = $36,000 Without insurance, the consumer has an expected loss of $4,000 Utility 90 86 70 • B• •A C $20,000 $40,000 $36,000 Income The consumer’s expected utility for next year without insurance = 86 “utils” Suppose that 86 “utils” also represents utility from a certain income of $35,000 Then the consumer could pay an insurer $5,000 to insure against the probability of getting sick next year Paying $5,000 to insurer leaves consumer with 86 utils, which equals E(U) without insurance Utility 90 86 70 D • B• $20,000 $35,000 • •A C $40,000 $36,000 Income At most, the consumer is willing to pay $5,000 in insurance premiums to cover $4,000 in expected medical benefits $1,000 loading fee price of insurance Covers profits administrative expenses taxes Determinants of Health Insurance Demand 1 Price of insurance 2 In the previous example, the consumer will forego health insurance if the premium is greater than $5,000 Degree of Risk Aversion Greater risk aversion increases the demand for health insurance The horizontal distance between the utility function and the chord represents the loading fee that the consumer is willing to pay Utility Income If there is no risk aversion, utility = expected utility, and there is no demand for insurance Utility A B $20,000 $40,000 Income 3 Income 4 Larger income losses due to illness will increase the demand for health insurance Probability of ILLNESS Consumers demand less insurance for events most likely to occur (e.g. dental visits) Consumers demand less insurance for events least likely to occur Consumers more likely to insure against random events
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