A discrete choice experiment to explain knowledge acquisition strategies of SMEs Frank van Rijnsoever [email protected] Sander Kempkes Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Introduction • Internal or external R&D? Aim: “to compare the influence of attributes of an innovation project on the choice for a knowledge acquisition strategy for different latent classes of firms” Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development How does this work? Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Knowledge acquisition strategies Internal R&D Buy Collaborate Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Characteristic Explanation Attributes Level Speed to market Are you ahead of your competitors? 1. First mover 2. Second mover Risk The likeliness the project will fail, 1. Low risk more than 50% chance succes does not yield the expected results 2. High risk less than 50% chance succes in the end. Development time The timescale of the project. Knowledge source Where do you get the knowledge to 1. None develop your idea to a proof of 2. Supplier concept from? 3. Competing firm 4. Non-competing firm 5. Buyer 6. University or public research institute 7. Private research institute 1. Short time: two times as fast 2. Long time: normal time Your intellectual How is your IP ownership arranged? 1. Free IP property (IP) 2. Shared IP 3. License IP 4. Full ownership Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Characteristic Explanation Level Access to a network Access to new contacts you gain by choosing a specific strategy to other partners. 1. 2. 3. 4. Access to Free access to an office and/or 1. Office/Specialized specialized equipment (e.g. laboratory, 2. equipment field test facilities) 3. 4. No Scientific Business Scientific & Business No Office Specialized equipment Office & Specialized equipment Access to Training/Coach Free access to a coach and/or training such as master classes and workshops. Coaching includes advisory boards, mentors and other coaches. 1. 2. 3. 4. No Coach Training Coach & Training Funding model The way the project is financed. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Subsidy from the government Loan from a bank Crowd funding Investor Family & Friends Own investment Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Example choice task Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Discrete choice experiment Respondents receive 9 choice tasks Experimental design Data collection 427 entrepreneurs that founded or owned in manufacturing SMEs in the UK (284) or Germany (143) Online panel, 20 minute questionnaire Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Attribute Knowledge acquisition strategy Wald χ2 53,66 Sig. 76,85 *** Risk 133,85 *** Development time 32,38 *** Knowledge source 96,24 *** Network Office & specialized equipment Training & coach Funding model 86,06 48,37 49,10 49,91 207,07 β class 1 Sig. β class 2 Sig. β class 3 ** ** 16,93 -17,61 0,68 *** *** Collaborate -8,08 3,95 4,12 -1,61 -8,16 9,77 First mover Second mover Small Large Short Long Buyer Competing firm Private research institute Non-competing firm Supplier University or public research institute No IP Full ownership License IP Shared IP None Business Scientific Scientific & business None Office Specialized equipment Office & specialized equipment None Training Coach Training & coach Own investment Family & friends -0,33 0,33 0,82 -0,82 0,00 0,00 0,16 -0,80 -0,23 0,77 0,17 -0,08 -0,16 0,01 0,15 0,00 -0,14 0,38 -0,23 -0,01 0,00 0,34 0,02 -0,36 0,33 -0,28 0,12 -0,17 0,71 -0,84 *** *** *** *** Investor Loan (bank) Crowd funding Subsidy (government) 0,44 ** 0,37 -0,77 *** Copernicus 0,09 *** Internal R&D Buy Speed to market IP Level *** *** *** *** *** ** *** *** ** ** ** ** * *** *** 0,03 -0,03 0,13 -0,13 -0,12 0,12 -0,26 0,08 0,22 0,44 0,11 -0,59 -0,20 0,96 -0,38 -0,38 -0,10 0,19 0,10 -0,19 0,22 0,12 -0,30 -0,04 -0,25 0,16 0,32 -0,22 3,02 0,09 -0,47 -1,16 -0,97 Institute -0,51 ** ** *** ** ** * * * *** 2,23 -2,23 2,24 -2,24 0,85 -0,85 0,28 -0,93 0,62 1,30 -0,43 -0,84 0,35 1,53 -1,54 -0,35 0,96 -1,82 -0,31 1,18 -0,17 -0,40 0,93 -0,36 -0,97 1,43 -0,26 -0,21 0,66 0,90 Sig. *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ** * *** * *** *** ** *** *** *** ** *** * * β class 4 Sig. 0,75 -0,15 -0,60 0,23 -0,23 -0,05 0,05 0,51 -0,51 0,15 0,04 -0,46 -0,27 0,33 0,22 0,18 -0,33 0,25 -0,10 -0,36 0,39 -0,05 0,01 -0,50 0,07 -0,24 0,66 -0,20 -0,19 0,47 -0,09 -0,27 -0,06 *** *** ** ** * * * ** *** ** ** 0,43 -0,19 *** -2,06 *** -0,42 ** *** -2,51 *** 0,72 *** of Sustainable Development ** 2,59 *** 0,22 Results: latent class analysis Class 1 (24%) Class 2 (28%) Class 3 (22%) Class 4 (26%) KAS Collaborate, Buy Internal R&D Collaboration Internal R&D Change in KAS? From collaborate to buy No No Yes! Market speed Second mover First mover First mover First mover Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Firm characteristic Wald χ2 Sig. Intercept R&D Patent stock 12,12 16,61 20,07 ** *** * Product innovations 20,31 a Past use of KAS: suppliers 16,41 * Past use of KAS: competing firm 14,50 * Past use of KAS: non-competing firm 14,21 * Past use of KAS: customers 11,27 Past use of KAS: Universities & Public knowledge institutes 8,71 Past use of KAS: Private knowledge institutes 6,88 Size McFadden R2 24,13 0,15 a ** Category β class 1 Sig. β class 2 Sig. β class 3 Sig. β class 4 Sig. External R&D 1,48 ** -0,80 *** 0,21 0,16 0,52 * -0,90 * -0,11 -0,06 -0,35 0,37 0,15 -0,17 0,41 ** -0,25 0,68 * -0,23 Internal R&D -0,55 0,40 * -0,23 0,32 -0,53 a 0,44 0,12 -0,31 a 0,36 a -0,60 * 0,42 a 0,14 -0,01 -0,13 0,22 -0,41 * Collaborate -1,28 * 0,07 0,51 * -0,42 -0,04 -0,05 0,10 0,02 -0,27 0,50 * -0,35 -0,05 0,09 -0,04 -0,92 0,48 Flexible 0,35 0,33 a -0,49 ** -0,06 0,04 0,51 -0,11 0,35 * 0,27 -0,27 -0,23 0,08 -0,49 *** 0,42 * 0,01 0,15 Not used Buy -0,46 0,34 0,18 0,43 0,44 -0,55 -0,16 -0,23 Collaborate Not used Buy Collaborate -0,26 -0,08 0,05 -0,09 -0,48 0,04 0,01 0,14 Not used Buy Collaborate Not used Buy 0,03 0,17 -0,01 -0,16 0,23 -0,14 -0,47 -0,09 0,56 -0,11 Collaborate Not used Micro Small Medium Medium-large -0,28 0,05 -0,27 0,47 0,62 -0,82 0,31 -0,20 0,31 -0,08 -0,04 -0,20 Yes 0 1-2 3-10 >10 0 1 2 3 >3 Buy Collaborate Not used Buy Collaborate * a * ** 0,50 0,04 -0,61 0,43 a a 0,23 0,00 0,55 -0,48 0,17 0,17 0,10 -0,27 0,05 -0,07 0,12 0,00 -0,13 -0,17 -0,23 0,18 -0,12 0,04 -0,91 0,99 0,20 -0,03 0,08 -0,43 0,33 0,03 ** a * ** a Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Results: latent class analysis Class 1 (24%) Class 2 (28%) Class 3 (22%) Class 4 (26%) KAS Collaborate, Buy Internal R&D Collaboration Internal R&D Change in KAS? From collaborate to buy No No Yes! Market speed Second mover First mover First mover First Mover R&D No Yes No Yes Patents Some Yes Some Yes Innovative Not that much Yes Yes A bit Interesting for collaboration? Mwa… Yes, but unlikely Yes, and doing so Yes, and you can get them to do so! Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Conclusions • Label, risk and funding are important • Knowledge institutes are unpopular partners • Heterogeneity matters! • • • • • Four latent classes Difference in preferences and likelihood to change Preferences are grounded in past behavior (routines?) 22% already collaborates 26% percent can be ‘seduced’ into collaboration Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Practical implications • Resource endowments like subsidies, mentorship, coaches, laboratories, office, etc. have a limited effect. • But can still be useful! Since firm history is matters, it is important to create firms that are externally oriented from the start. Focus on collaboration in entrepreneurship education and acceleration programs Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development Questions [email protected] Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development
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