Going against the Grain The Harvesting Strategy Strategy by Timothy D. D’Angelo Investment Consultant The Static Asset Allocation Strategy What you hear about from the media The holding of stocks and bonds that match your risk tolerance The need to regularly rebalance your holdings back to your original risk tolerance The Harvesting Strategy How farmers manage their homesteads Plant - Tend - Harvest - Plan - Plant In the spring they plant their crops As the seasons move forward they tend to their crops As fall gets closer they start to harvest portions In the winter they plan on what crops to plant Where do they feel their best opportunities are going forward That’s where they plant Static Asset Allocation vs. Harvesting Strategy When put side by side how do they differ? The Debate: When you rebalance - do you in fact “Sell High to Buy Low”? Static Asset Allocation value of funds 1st of year 50 45 40 35 30 Fund A Fund B 25 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Static Asset Allocation fund values end of year one 60 50 40 Fund A Fund B 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of Yr 1 Static Asset Allocation Rebalance Sell High - Buy Low 60 50 40 Fund A Fund B 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of 1st Yr Start of Yr 2 Static Asset Allocation value of funds 1st of year 50 45 40 35 30 Fund A Fund B 25 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Static Asset Allocation fund values end of year one 90 80 70 60 50 Fund A Fund B 40 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of Yr 1 Static Asset Allocation Rebalance “Sell High - Buy Low” ? “Sell Higher - Buy High” ? 90 80 70 60 50 Fund A Fund B 40 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of 1st Yr Start of Yr 2 Static Asset Allocation value of funds 1st of year 50 45 40 35 30 Fund A Fund B 25 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Static Asset Allocation fund values end of year one 50 45 40 35 30 Fund A Fund B 25 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr End of Yr 1 Static Asset Allocation Rebalance “Sell High - Buy Low” ? “Sell Low - Buy Lower” ? 50 45 40 35 30 Fund A Fund B 25 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr End of 1st Yr Start of Yr 2 Harvesting Strategy value of funds 1st of year 45 40 35 30 25 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Harvesting Strategy The safety bucket’s primary focus is stability All dividends and capital gains will be placed in the safety bucket Its secondary focus is to keep pace with inflation We always want to try and maintain our purchasing power This is why we start and finish with the graphs showing first of and end of year Capital gains are most frequently paid in December 50% of all gains at end of year will be harvested The ‘harvest’ indicator is ‘up 30%’ The ‘plant’ indicator is ‘down 20%’ Recognizing any ‘harvest’ or ‘plant’ opportunity resets an indicator Taking into consideration all of the above will allow us to proceed with the harvesting strategy most proficiently Harvesting Strategy value of funds 1st of year 45 40 35 30 25 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Harvesting Strategy fund values end of year one 60 50 40 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of Yr 1 Harvesting Strategy Harvest 50% of Gain from Fund A - Sell High Place Gain in Safety Bucket Plant 25% of Safety Bucket to Fund B - Buy Low (down 20%) *What the safety bucket offers us is the ability to redeploy Gain when / if suitable 60 50 40 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of 1st Yr Start of Yr 2 Harvesting Strategy value of funds 1st of year 45 40 35 30 25 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Harvesting Strategy fund values end of year one 80 70 60 50 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 40 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of Yr 1 Harvesting Strategy Harvest 50% of Gain from Funds A & B - Sell High Place Gain in Safety Bucket *It’s OK for us to increase our safety bucket. This will provide us with opportunity and choice going forward. 80 70 60 50 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 40 30 20 10 0 1st of Yr End of 1st Yr Start of Yr 2 Harvesting Strategy value of funds 1st of year 45 40 35 30 25 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr Harvesting Strategy value of funds end of year one 45 40 35 30 25 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 20 15 10 5 0 1st of Yr End of Yr 1 Harvesting Strategy Fund A down 25% - Fund B down 20% Plant 50% of Safety Bucket - 25% to each Fund * Again we have created the ability to redeploy gain when/if it is suitable. This is never a requirement. It comes down to what is most appropriate at any given time for you to achieve your goals!! 45 40 35 30 25 Fund A Fund B Fund SB 20 15 10 5 0 1st Yr End of 1st Yr Start of Yr 2 Harvesting Strategy How farmers manage their homesteads: Plant - Tend - Harvest - Plan - Plant How prudent investors manage their portfolios : Buy - Monitor - Sell - Evaluate - Buy
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