www.VirtG.com
VIRTUALIZATION 2020:
THE FUTURE OF VIRTUALIZATION
Dan Stolts, MCT, MCITP, MCSE, TS...
Paul Thurrott
Sr. IT Pro Evangelist - Microsoft
President – Bay State Technology
Community Volunteer - Many
[email protected]
http://blogs.technet.com/DanStolts
Technology Analyst - Penton Media
Editor - SuperSite for Windows
[email protected]
http://www.winsupersite.com
Disclaimer
 This presentation and the content
presented by speakers is the presenters
opinion.
 It is NOT the opinion of their employers.
 It is not based on futures discussions with
any particular vendors.
 It is NOT Guaranteed 
Crystal Ball Stuff!
Overview – Full Agenda!











Past and Future Decade
Server Virtualization
Storage Virtualization
Presentation Virtualization
Application Virtualization
Desktop Virtualization
IP Infrastructure
Cloud Computing
Management-Virtual and Physical Combined
Security
Innovation
The Last Decade
Windows 2000 (2/2000)
Terminal Services &
Remote Desktop
Go Mainstream
Bluetooth
(2002)
VMWare
ESX Server
2001
2002
AMD
AMD64
(4/2003)
MSFT
Virtual
Server YouTube
Intel
Leaks x64 3G Mobile (9/2004) (2005)
Network
(2/2004
(9/2004)
Virtual PC
(8/2003)
Toyota
Hybrid
Car
2003
Application
Virtualization
(2006)Intel
2004
MSFT
SCVMM
Core 2
Virtualization MSFT
Processors
QUAD Core Twitter Management Hyper-V
(7/2006)
(9/2004)
2006
2006
2007
2008
2005
Atom
Processor
Netbooks MSFT
Windows
(2008)
2008 R2
(10/2009)
2009
VDI Virtual
Desktop
Infrastructure
(2009)
2010
The Next Decade










The Role of IT Changes…Specialization!
Data Explosion Continues!
Information when and where you want it
Speech, Gestures, Handwriting
Advertisements Everywhere!
Virtualization extends to the consumer
Fast Internet will become an Ultra-Fast Network
Wireless Everywhere… Free Public Network
Mobile devices grow up!
Security – Cat and Mouse Game Continues Hackers
Win.
 New Technologies will be created that we cannot
even dream of today!
Server Virtualization
 Mainstream for all (small, med, large)
 Mega Data Centers
 Online Services Will Dominate
 Complexity Get Worse
 Hardware Capabilities Grow
 More Players In The Space
 Leaders Change… Competition breads Innovation
 Moving Up or Down The Stack?
 Management: A Whole New World! (more later)
Storage
 Major Investments in Technical Advances?
 Complex Today, Simple Tomorrow
 Tiering of data to manage cost
 Where is the data? It could be anywhere!
 Organize and “Easily” Manage Centrally




Who Owns it?
Storage as Dynamic as Servers are today
Massive “Dead” Data (in the cloud)
High Definition Media / Large Data
Desktop Virtualization
 Terminal Services / Presentation Virtualization
 … Will change thinking
 Bring the OS to the client or Take the Client to the OS? BOTH?
 Prices fall, functionality skyrockets
 The very Old is New AGAIN
 Mainframe->Client Server->Terminal Server-> VDI
 Maturity will come fast
 Adoption… Maybe not so fast
 VDI as a “secure” solution (Instead of VPN)
 Hardware Performance Improvements Continue to explode
 Management changes the game
Application Virtualization
 Applications continue to grow in complexity
 Leading to more need for virtualization
 Deployment GREATLY Simplified
 Centralized Management familiar tools
 As prolific as non virtualized applications
 Virtualization of components (modules) are
introduced
IP Infrastructure – IPv6 /
Bandwidth









Internet Bandwidth
Wireless EVERYWHERE!
What is IPv6 and why it will survive
Mobile devices
Why Adoption has not happened
Consumers will want IPv6
Small Businesses will want IPv6
Enterprises will want IPv6
Ok, so when?
Cloud Computing –
OS/Data/Services In The Sky


Definition of Cloud computing will one day be understood – massive
growth assured


So much more than just a server in the Cloud… It is the future of virtualization
Massive $$$$ investment


Online services will dominate the IT World
Paying for what you use, not what you THINK you will eventually need
Who owns the data?




What happens to you and I when companies move to the cloud?




Federal and International Data Laws
Availability , Archival, Recoverability
Service Agreements
Automation!!!!, Specialization!!!!
Outsourced to the Cloud Provider
Small Business Consultants and IT people are most at risk short term
Cloud vs On Premise


Line will get grey as applications seamlessly work on either/both platforms (Long
Term)
Eventually, you will not be able to tell the difference
 The Term “Server” and “Cloud” will be synonymous
Management
 Automation becomes the holy grail of the virtualization
platform.
 Management MUST encompass all areas of the infrastructure
 Physical
 Virtual
 Online
 … And All Disciplines




Server, Storage
Application, Presentation
Desktop, Cloud
Etc.
 Microsoft with System Center Virtual Machine Manager has a
HUGE head start so I would expect them to be at the very least
a top contender. More likely they will be the clear leader.
What CEOs Are Saying: Virtualization
Leads
Biggest Trends Driving Spend Decisions
in 2009 into 2010
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Source: Barclays Capital CIO Survey, May 2009
Security
 Segment Physical from Virtual
 Different Nics, Different Vlan’s,
 Different Disk, Etc
 Outsourcing Security – Specialization may be the answer
 Companies are not taking security seriously but they are making
a HUGE MISTAKE.
 Security will get more complex as the data moves and the
connection paths increase… (remote, local, data center, cloud,
federated)
 Security concerns move in a big way to devices (phone, etc)
 Centralized Security MAY move to the cloud for consumers (and
business?)
 Safety/recoverability of the data/machine is as important part of
the security story


Federated Services (LiveID, etc)
Keys and passwords stored online for consumers
Innovation Will Continue
 Virtualization will lead the way to new innovations
 Chips will get smaller, faster, cheaper
 Innovations will come in all areas
 Disk Size and Speed
 CPU / GPU / Memory
 Software, Cloud
 New Devices and Synthetic devices
 Products and service
 Will grow at a staggering pace
 Things we have not even dreamed of
 Pricing will evolve
Virtualization is everywhere and it is not
going away, learn It, embrace it, enjoy it
and make or save money using it!
28% Discount on TechNet Plus – Just for
YOU!
Special promotion code: TNITE05 (WRITE IT DOWN!)
Purchase any TechNet subscription between now
and March 31, 2010.
Use the promotion code. TNITE05
You save 28%!
Includes 2 Tech Support Incidents
Simple, you save $97.72 and get it for only $251.28
For more information please visit
www.microsoft.com/technet/subscription