CHAPTER 14 COST OF CAPITAL BY T.M.D.SAUMYA DIMANTHA SAMARAJEEWA MADUSHI RATHNAYAKE OVERVIEW OF THE LESSON • Introduction to Cost of Capital • Cost of Equity • Cost of Debt and Preferred Stock • Weighted Average Cost of Capital • Divisional and Project Cost of Capital • Floating Costs and the Weighted Average Cost of Capital • Summary and Conclusion INTRODUCTION TO COST OF CAPITAL Cost of capital of a project can be explained as the minimum required return from that project. Ex: Project A T0 Initial Investment T1 Cash Flows T2 Cash Flows T3 Cash Flows DETERMINANTS OF THE COST OF CAPITAL • Risk Associated with the Investment • Discount Rate • Tax Rate OVERALL COST OF CAPITAL OF A FIRM This will reflect required return on the firm’s assets as a whole. If we consider that firm uses both debt and equity capital, this overall cost of capital will reflect both cost of debt and its cost of equity capital P1 Stock Holders P2 Firm ABC Creditors P3 P4 COST OF EQUITY Creditors Cost of debt Capital Firm’s a Capital Structure Capital Mixture Debt/ Equity Capital Compensate Cost of Equity Capital Investors COST OF EQUITY • The return that equity investors require on their investment in the firm. • It is difficult to determine Firms overall cost of capital • WHY? • Because there is no way of directly observing the return that the firm’s investors require on their investments • Need to somehow estimate the firm’s cost of capital • Hence there are two approaches use to determine the cost of capital such that; • Dividend growth model approach • Security market line approach (SML) DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH • Estimate cost of equity using dividend growth model approach. • Estimate based on the information ; - P0 = Price per share of the stock - D0 = The dividend just paid - g = Expected growth rate • P0 and D0 are available in publicly traded, dividendpaying company • Only g variable must be estimated. DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH The equation of dividend growth model: D1 = D0 (1+ g) P0 = Price per share of the stock D0 = The dividend just paid g = Expected growth rate RE = Return that shareholder requires on stock D1 = Next period’s projected dividend Hence: 2 DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH Using equation 2 we can derive RE = D1/P0 +g RE = Return that shareholder requires on stock P0 D1 = Price per share of stock = Next period’s projected dividend g = Expected growth rate DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH Example 1 Suppose Greater State Public Service, paid a dividend of $4 per share last year. The stock currently sells for $60 per share. Company estimate that the dividend will grow steadily at 6% per year into the indefinite future. What is the cost of equity capital to the Greater State ? DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH Answer: Dividend for coming year D1 = D0 (1+ g) = $4 * 1.06 = $4.24 RE = D1/ P0 + g = $4.24 / $60 +0.6 = 13.07% DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH Estimation of growth Rate : • Analyst’s forecast of future growth rate • Different sources give different estimates • Get average of multiple estimates • Using historical growth rate • Observe dividend for previous years • Calculate year to year growth rate • Take the average ESTIMATION OF GROWTH RATE USING HISTORICAL GROWTH RATES Example Year Dividend Dividend ($) Change ($) Pecentage Change 1990 $1.10 1991 $1.20 0.1 9.09% 1992 $1.35 0.15 12.50% 1993 $1.40 0.05 3.70% 1994 $1.55 0.15 10.71% Average growth rate = ( 9.09+ 12.5 + 3.7 + 10.71) / 4 = 9% Hence expected growth rate (g) = 9% per year DIVIDEND GROWTH MODAL APPROACH Advantage Disadvantage Simplicity – Easy to understand and easy to use • Applicable only for the companies that pay dividend • Underlying assumption of dividend grows at a constant rate • Estimated Cost of capital is very sensitive to the growth rate • Does not explicitly consider the risk (No allowance for the degree of uncertainty of certainty) SECURITY MARKET LINE (SML) APPROACH • Cost of equity will be calculated based on market risk premium and beta coefficient β • Expected return on a risky investment depends on 3 attributes; • Rf = Risk free rate • E(RM) – Rf = The market risk premium • β = Systematic risk of the asset relative to average, which is called beta coefficient Expected return on the company’s equity, E(RE) can be written as; E(RE) = Rf + βE × [ E(RM) – Rf ] SECURITY MARKET LINE (SML) APPROACH • Since SML approach use for equity capital we can denote the equation as; RE = Rf + βE × [ (RM– Rf )] • Rf = Risk free rate • RM – Rf = The market risk premium • β = An estimate of relevant beta factor SECURITY MARKET LINE (SML) APPROACH Example 2 Company C is an active player of the market ,assuming that the estimate of market risk premium of the market (Based on large common stock) is 8.6%. Treasury bills are paying about 5.4% and the estimated beta coefficient of the company C, is 0.9. Estimate the cost of equity of company C RC = Rf + βC × [ (RM– Rf )] = 5.4% + 0.9 × (8.6%) = 13.4% SECURITY MARKET LINE (SML) APPROACH Advantage Disadvantage • Explicitly adjust for risk • Two elements should be estimated to calculate the problem. (Risk premium and β ) • Steady dividend growth is • Poor estimation can result irrelevant for the inaccurate output estimation COST OF EQUITY CAPITAL Example 3 Suppose stock in Alpha Air Freight has a beta of 1.2. The market risk premium is 8% , and the risk free rate is 6%. Alpha’s last dividend was $2 per share, and the dividend expected to grow at 8% indefinitely. The stock currently sells for $30. What is Alpha’s cost of equity Capital? Answer : • Using SML approach Expected return on the common stock of Alpha Air Freight is; RE = Rf + βE × [ (RM– Rf )] = 6% + 1.2 × 8% = 15.6% • Using Dividend growth model The projected dividend for next year D1 = D0 × (1+ g) = $2 × (1.08) = $2.16 Expected return RE = D1 /P0 + g =$2.16 / 30 = 15.2% COST OF DEBT • Cost of Debt is the return that lenders require on the firm’s debt. • Cost of debt can be easily identified as the interest rates that we have to pay creditors. • If company has outstanding bonds, cost of bonds • can be directly identified as the yield to maturity. COST OF DEBT… Cost of Bonds t Bond Value=C*[1-1/(1+r)]/r + F/(1+r)t C= Coupon paid each period R= Yield to maturity T=Number of periods F=Bonds face value COST OF DEBT… Cost of Bonds… Ex: Suppose the ABC company issued a 30 year , 7 percent bond eight years ago .The bond is currently selling 96% of its face value,(960).What is the ABC’s cost of debt? (Hint- The bond is selling at a discount ,so the yield to maturity is greater than 7%.But the discount is 40 ,so the increase of percentage also shouldn’t be that much higher from 7%.Use Trial and Error Method) COST OF DEBT… Bond Value=C*[1-1/(1+r) ]/r + F/(1+r) Trial 1(Considering YTM is 7.4%) Bond Value = 70*(1-1 t (1+0.074 22 ))/0.074 t + 1000/(1 + 0.07422 ) =749.261+207.925 =957.185 But it is lesser than 960(actual value),so the rate should be reduced further… Trial 2(Considering YTM is 7.3%) Bond Value = 70*(1-1 (1+0.07322 ))/0.073+ 1000/(1 + 0.07322 ) =755.369+212.23 =967.598 But it is greater than 960(actual value),so the YTM should be in between Through further calculations.. YTM=7.37% Cost of Bond= 7.37% COST OF DEBT… Cost of Preferred Stock Cost of Preferred Stock is simply equal to dividend yield of that preferred stock. Dividend Yield= D P0 D -Fixed Dividend P0- Current Price per Share COST OF DEBT… Ex: ABC company has issued preferred stock which is paying $7.72 of annual dividend and it is currently sold for $102 per share. What is ABC’s cost of preferred stock? Dividend Yield= D P0 Dividend Yield=$7.72/$102 = 7.57% So, Cost of Preferred Stock=7.57% THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL • Firms capital structure is a specific mix • Firm’s Total capitalization, which is the sum of its long term debt and equity • Total capitalization does not always imply the total value of the company ; but the weighted average approach is applicable in either case. • In this process short term liabilities are often ignored CAPITAL STRUCTURE WEIGHT • Market value of firm’s equity (E) • Number of share outstanding is multiplied by Price per share • Market value of firm’s debt (D) • Multiply the market price of a single bond by the number of bonds outstanding • If multiple bond issues, then repeat the calculation and add up the result • Privately held debt – observe yields on publicly traded debt and them estimate the market value of firm’s debt • Total market value of debt and equity (V) V= E + D • By dividing both sides by V; 100%= E/V + D/V CAPITAL STRUCTURE WEIGHT • The percentage of debt and equity is called the Capital structure weight • Example : If the total market value of a company’s stock were calculated as $200 million and the total market value of the company’s debt were calculated as $50 million, Then combined market value of the company (V)= E+D =$200 + $50 = $250 Weight of equity = E/V = 200/250 = 80% Weight of debt = 100% - 80% = 20% TAXES AND THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL • Discount rate need to be expressed on an after tax basis • Usually interest paid by a corporation is deductible for tax purposes. • It is need to find after tax rate as ; • = R D (1 - T C ) TAXES AND THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL Example: Suppose a firm borrows $1 million at 9 percent interest. The corporate tax rate is 34 percent. What is the after tax interest rate on this loan? total interest rate per year = $100,000 × 9% = $90,000 Tax deductible on loan = $90,000 × 34% = $30,600 Hence the after tax interest bill = $90,000 - $30,600 = $59,400 Thus, after tax interest rate is = ($59,400/ $100,000) × 100% = 5.94%. Aftertax rate can be written as R D (1 - T C ) TAXES AND THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL WACC = (E/V) × RE + (D/V) × RD × (1- Tc) • WACC = weighted average cost of capital • RE = cost of equity • Tc = Corporate tax rate • RD = Pre tax interest rate SOLVING (THE WAREHOUSE PROBLEM ) SIMILAR CAPITAL BUDGETING PROBLEMS • Before rush to discount the cash flows at the WACC to estimate NPV, firm need to make sure that they are doing the right thing. • The WACC for a firm reflects the risk and the target capital structure of the firm’s existing assets as a whole • WACC is the appropriate discount rate only if the proposed investment is a replica of the firm’s existing operating activities • The project depends on whether the warehouse project is in the same risk class as the firm • Projects like the warehouse renovation that are intimately related to the firm’s existing operations are often viewed as being in the same risk class as the overall firm. SOLVING (THE WAREHOUSE PROBLEM ) SIMILAR CAPITAL BUDGETING PROBLEMS Example Suppose the firm has a target debt/equity ratio of 1/3. We know that a debt/equity ratio of D/E = 1/3 implies that E/V is 0.75 and D/V is .25. The cost of debt is 10 percent, and the cost of equity is 20 percent. Assuming a 34 percent tax rate, the WACC will be: WACC = (E/V) × R E × (D/V) × R D ×(1 - T C ) = 0 .75 × 0.20 × .25 × 0.1 × (1 - 0 .34) = 16.65% • The warehouse project had a cost of $50 million and expected after tax cash flows (the cost savings) of $12 million per year for six years. The NPV (in millions) is thus: • r = WACC • WACC= 16.65% (From part 1) NPV= −$𝟓𝟎 + $𝟏𝟐 (𝟏+𝑾𝑨𝑪𝑪 )𝟏 = -$50 + $43.47 = -$ 6.53 million + $𝟏𝟐 (𝟏+𝑾𝑨𝑪𝑪 )𝟐 + …. + $𝟏𝟐 (𝟏+𝑾𝑨𝑪𝑪 )𝟔
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