The Addition Rule Mutually Exclusive Events Two events A and B are mutually exclusive if A and B cannot occur at the same time. EX: Decide if the events are mutually exclusive: EVENT A Randomly selecting a 20 year old student Randomly selecting a vehicle that is a Ford EVENT B Randomly selecting a student with blue eyes Randomly selecting a vehicle that is a Toyota Randomly selecting a JACK Randomly selecting a FACE from a deck of cards card from a deck of cards The Addition Rule The Probability that Event A OR Event B will occur is: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B) If A and B are mutually exclusive, then: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) EX: Find each Probability 14. A math conference has an attendance of 4950 people. Of these, 2110 are college profs and 2575 are female. Of the college profs, 960 are female. a) Are the events “selecting a female” and “selecting a college prof” mutually exclusive? b) The conference selects people at random to win prizes. Find the probability that a selected person is a female or a college prof. 18. You roll a die. Find each Probability a) Rolling a 5 or a number greater than 3. b) Rolling a number less than 4 or an even number. c) Rolling a 2 or an odd number. Additional Topics in Probability & Counting Permutation: … an ordered arrangement of objects. The number of different permutations of n distinct objects is n! n! = n(n – 1)(n – 2)(n – 3)….(3)(2)(1) NOTE: 0! = 1 Permutations of n objects taken r at a time… Notation: nPr nPr = n! (n – r)! ORDER MATTERS!!! EXAMPLES 20. Eight people compete in a downhill ski race. Assuming that there are no ties, in how many different orders can the skiers finish? A psychologist shows a list of eight activities to her subject. How many ways can the subject pick a first, second, and third activity? Distinguishable Permutations The number of distinguishable permutations of n objects, where n1 are of 1 type, n2 are of another type, and so on… is: n! (n1!) (n2!) (n3!) .. (nk!) EX How many distinguishable permutations are there using the letters in the word ALPHA? In the word COMMITTEE? Combinations A selection of r objects from a group of n objects is denoted nCr n Cr = n! (n – r)!r! ORDER DOES NOT MATTER!!! EX A three person committee is to be appointed from a group of 15 employees. In how many ways can this committee be formed? If 6 of the 15 employees are women, what is the probability that a randomly chosen 3-person committee is all women?
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