Probability Vocabulary Certain probability Sure to happen; having a probability of 1 combination An arrangement of items or events in which order does not matter. Ex: For objects A, B, C and D, there are 6 different combinations of 2 objects: AB, AC, AD, BC, BD, CD Compound event An event made up of two or more simple events. Ex: rolling a 3 on a number cube and spinning a 2 on a spinner is a compound event. Dependent events Events for which the outcome of one event affects the probability of the second event. EX: A bag contains 3 red marbles and 2 blue marbles. Drawing a red marbles and then drawing a blue marble without replacing the first marble is an example of dependent events. Equally likely Outcomes that have the same probability Event An outcome or set of outcomes of an experiment or situation EX: when rolling a number cube, the event “an odd number” consists of the outcomes 1, 3, and 5. experiment In probability, any activity based on chance, such as tossing a coin. Experimental probability The ratio of the number of times an event occurs to the total number of trials, or times that the activity is performed. EX: Kendra attempted 27 free throws and made 16 of them. Her experimental probability of making a free throw is: number made = 16 number attempted 27 Fair When all outcomes of an experiment are equally likely, the experiment is said to be fair. Impossible (probability) Can never happen; having a probability of 0. Independent Events Events for which the outcome of one event does not affect the probability of the other. Example: A bag contains 3 red marbles and 2 blue marbles. Drawing a red marble, replacing it, and then drawing a blue marble is an example of independent events. Outcome A possible result of a probability experiment. Example: When rolling a number cube, the possible outcomes are 1,2,3,4,5, and 6. Prediction Something you can reasonably expect to happen in the future. Probability A number from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%) that describes hoe likely an event is to occur. Example: A bag contains 3 red marbles and 4 blue marbles. The probability of randomly choosing a red marble is 3/7. Random Sample A sample in which each individual or object in the entire population has an equal chance of being selected. Example: Mr. Henson chose a random sample of the class by writing each student’s name on a slip of paper, mixing up the slips, and drawing five slips without looking. Sample Space All possible outcomes of an experiment. Examples: When rolling a number cube, the sample space is 1,2,3,4,5,6. Simple Event An event consisting of only one outcome. Example: In the experiment of rolling a number cube, the event consisting of the outcome 3 is a simple event. Theoretical Probability The ratio of the number of ways an event can occur to the total number of equally likely outcomes. Examples: When rolling a number cube, the theoretical probability of rolling a 4 is 1/6. Trial Each repetition or observation of an experiment. Example: When rolling a number cube, each roll is one trial.
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