Electricity and Gas Retail Markets Report Q2 2016 Information Paper Reference: CER/16306 Date Published: 27/10/2016 Public/ Customer Impact Statement The purpose of this report is to provide industry, consumers and interested stakeholders with relevant information1 on the developments of competition in the electricity and gas retail markets in the second quarter of 2016. Market monitoring forms an important part of the CER’s activities. This information helps to inform new policy and in the assessment of existing regulations. This report is part of a suite of other reports including monthly switching reports, disconnections reports, annual reports and emerging reports based on new market monitoring data which the CER began publishing in 2016. The information on the retail markets as provided in this report gives an insight into how the retail market is functioning and any specific issues that need to be addressed. This report details changes in market shares in the electricity and gas retail markets up to Q2 2016 and presents information about customer switching, renegotiations, prices and levels of discounts available. The report also provides up to date information on trends in disconnections, PAYG installs and debt flagging. 1 The primary sources of data in this report are: Electricity: MRSO (Meter Registration System Operator), ESBN (ESB Networks) and Gas: GPRO (Gas Point Registration Operator), Gaslink, GNI (Gas Networks Ireland). 1 Table of Contents PUBLIC/ CUSTOMER IMPACT STATEMENT................................................................................................... 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS .................................................................................................................. 2 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 BACKGROUND.................................................................................................................................. 4 2 1.1.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 4 1.1.2 Related Documents......................................................................................................... 4 1.1.3 Summary......................................................................................................................... 5 ELECTRICITY AND GAS RETAIL PRICES ................................................................................... 8 2.1 DOMESTIC ELECTRICITY PRICES ........................................................................................................... 9 2.2 DOMESTIC GAS PRICES .................................................................................................................... 10 2.3 DOMESTIC DUAL FUEL PRICES .......................................................................................................... 11 2.4 CHANGES IN STANDING CHARGES AND UNIT CHARGES OVER TIME ........................................................... 12 2.5 NUMBER OF CUSTOMERS ON STANDARD VS DISCOUNTED PLANS – ELECTRICITY....................................... 14 2.6 NUMBER OF CUSTOMERS ON STANDARD VS DISCOUNTED PLANS - GAS .................................................. 17 2.7 NUMBER OF CUSTOMERS DEFAULTING TO STANDARD TARIFFS .............................................................. 18 2.8 FEATURES OF PLANS ........................................................................................................................ 19 3 MARKET SHARE – DOMESTIC ELECTRICITY .......................................................................... 21 3.1 DOMESTIC ELECTRICITY MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND MWHS ....................................... 21 4 MARKET SHARE – DOMESTIC GAS ...................................................................................... 23 4.1 DOMESTIC GAS MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND GWHS ................................................... 23 5 CUSTOMER SWITCHING AND RENEGOTIATIONS ................................................................. 25 5.1 ELECTRICITY, GAS AND DUAL FUEL SWITCHING IN Q2 2016.................................................................. 25 5.2 RENEGOTIATIONS ........................................................................................................................... 27 6 FINANCIAL HARDSHIP PAYG............................................................................................... 29 7 DEBT FLAGGING ................................................................................................................ 32 8 DISCONNECTIONS.............................................................................................................. 33 2 8.1 DISCONNECTIONS – TOTAL .............................................................................................................. 33 8.2 DISCONNECTIONS-ELECTRICITY MARKET ............................................................................................ 34 8.3 DISCONNECTIONS- GAS MARKET ...................................................................................................... 36 9 NON-DOMESTIC ELECTRICITY MARKET SHARE .................................................................... 38 9.1 SMALL AND MEDIUM BUSINESS ELECTRICITY MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND MWHS........... 38 9.2 MEDIUM BUSINESS ELECTRICITY MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND MWHS ........................... 39 9.3 LARGE ENERGY USERS ELECTRICITY MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND MWHS ........................ 41 10 NON-DOMESTIC GAS MARKET SHARE ............................................................................. 42 10.1 INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL GAS MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND GWHS ..................... 42 10.2 FUEL VARIATION TARIFF MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND GWHS ..................................... 44 10.3 REGULATED TARIFF FORMULA MARKET SHARE BY CUSTOMER NUMBERS AND GWHS ............................. 46 11 NON-DOMESTIC DISCONNECTIONS ................................................................................ 48 12 NEXT STEPS.................................................................................................................... 49 3 1. Introduction 1.1 Background 1.1.1 Introduction The Commission for Energy Regulation (CER) is Ireland’s independent energy and water regulator. The CER was established in 1999 and now has a wide range of economic, customer protection and safety responsibilities in energy. The CER is also the regulator of Ireland’s public water and wastewater system. The CER’s primary economic responsibilities in energy cover electricity generation, electricity and gas networks, and electricity and gas supply activities. As part of its role, the CER jointly regulates the all-island wholesale Single Electricity Market (SEM) with the Utility Regulator in Belfast, Northern Ireland. The SEM is governed by a decision-making body known as the SEM Committee, consisting of the CER, the Utility Regulator (Northern Ireland) and an independent member. The overall aim of the CER’s economic role is to protect the interests of energy customers. The CER has an important related function in customer protection by resolving complaints that customers have with energy companies. The CER’s core focus in safety is to protect lives and property across a range of areas in the energy sector. This includes safety regulation of electrical contractors, gas installers and gas pipelines. In addition the CER is the safety regulator of upstream petroleum safety extraction and exploration activities, including on-shore and off-shore gas and oil. In 2014 the CER was appointed as Ireland's economic regulator of the Irish public water and wastewater sector. Further information on the CER’s role and relevant legislation can be found on the CER’s website at www.cer.ie 1.1.2 Related Documents Information on the CER’s role and relevant legislation can be found on the CER’s website at www.cer.ie 4 1.1.3 Summary Electricity and Gas Prices A range of price reductions have occurred in electricity and gas in 2016. Price reductions in electricity were announced by Electric Ireland, Bord Gáis Energy, SSE Airtricity and PrePayPower. The largest price reduction of a 6% decrease in the standard unit price was announced by Electric Ireland in April 2016. For domestic gas, Bord Gáis Energy announced a 2.5% decrease in its gas unit rate in August 2016. The best available standard electricity plan in Q2 2016 of €1,123.92 was offered by Electric Ireland, while the best available discounted plan of €967.36 was offered by Energia. However, Energia had one of the most expensive standard plans and Electric Ireland had one of the most expensive discount plans. The best available standard gas plan in Q2 2016 of €938.32 was offered by Electric Ireland, while the best available discount plan of €781.9 was offered by Flogas. Most customers continue to be on standard plans or on plans with low levels of discounts. Market Share – Domestic Electricity In Q2 2016, the market share of suppliers in terms of consumption was as follows: Electric Ireland - 52.7%, SSE Airtricity -17.27%, Bord Gáis Energy-17.22%, Energia - 5.38% and PrePayPower- 5.19%. Bord Gáis Energy had the largest increase in market share between Q1 and Q2 2016, with an increase of 0.79% in terms of consumption. Electric Ireland had the largest decrease of market share, losing 1.56% in terms of consumption. Between Q2 2016 and Q2 2015 it lost 3% of the domestic market in terms of consumption. Market Share – Domestic Gas In Q2 2016, the market share of suppliers in terms of customers was as follows: Bord Gáis Energy- 51.72%, Electric Ireland- 22.95%, SSE- Airtricity 14.02%, Energia- 5.72% and Flogas5.59%. Energia had the largest increase in market share between Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 with an increase of 0.94% in terms of customer numbers. SSE Airtricity lost 0.31% of its market share between Q1 and Q2 2016 in terms of customer numbers, and has lost 1.93% overall since Q2 2015. 5 Switching & Renegotiations The total number of customers switching in electricity was 81,918 in Q2 2016. This represented an increase in switching of 9.14% from Q2 2015.The total number of customers switching in gas was 22,926 in Q2 2016. This represented a decrease in switching of 13% from Q2 2015. The level of renegotiations between customers and their suppliers in 2016 demonstrates that there is additional customer engagement in the market to that measured through switching numbers. Disconnections In Q2 2016, there were 1,631 electricity disconnections and 715 gas disconnections. Overall, this presented a decline in electricity disconnections in from Q2 2015 of 11% and a decline of gas disconnections from Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 of 13%. . Financial Hardship PAYG and Debt Flagging 1,641 Electricity PAYG financial hardship devices were installed in Q2 2016, compared to 3,570 in Q2 2015. 1,276 Gas PAYG devices were installed in Q2 2016, compared to 2,022 in Q2 2015. SSE Airtricity and Electric Ireland had the highest electricity and gas PAYG installation rate in Q2 2016. 6 Key Findings – Non-Domestic Market Market Share - Electricity The market share in the small business market in terms of consumption was as follows: Electric Ireland - 37.13%, Energia - 28.09%, SSE Airtricity - 20.55% and Bord Gáis Energy - 12.09%. The market share in the medium business market in terms of consumption was as follows: Electric Ireland - 39.14%, Energia - 30.66%, SSE Airtricity - 16.5% and Bord Gáis Energy - 8.16%. The market share in the LEU market was as follows: Electric Ireland- 45.14%, SSE Airtricity- 21.71%, Energia - 13.21%, Bord Gáis Energy - 8.92% and Vayu - 3.10%. Market Share – Gas In Q2 2016, the market share in the IC gas market in terms of customer numbers was as follows: Bord Gáis Energy - 43.72%, Flogas - 22.29%, Energia - 20.51%, Electric Ireland 6.72% and SSE Airtricity - 4.92%. In Q2 2016, the market share in the FVT market in terms of customer numbers was as follows; Bord Gáis Energy - 38.67%, Energia - 22.82%, Flogas - 19.64%, Vayu - 14.62% and SSE Airtricity - 2.85%. The market share in the RTF market in terms of customer numbers was as follows; Bord Gáis Energy - 35.8%, Energia - 21.79%, Vayu - 19.07%, Electric Ireland - 10.89% and SSE Airtricity - 10.12%. 7 2 Electricity and Gas Retail Prices This section outlines the range of plans offered by suppliers from January 2015 to June 2016 for domestic electricity, gas and dual fuel customers, including their standard and highest discounted plans. All information is publicly available on price comparison websites and supplier websites. There are a large number of plans available to domestic and business customers that are provided by electricity and gas suppliers in Ireland. These plans offer customers different tariffs comprised of standing and unit charges (and in some instances other charges). Suppliers can also offer different rates depending on the payment or billing methods of customers (e.g. paperless, online, direct debit etc.). All suppliers are required to publish details of tariff plans that are available to domestic customers. Suppliers of businesses often provide bespoke plans to their business customers and information on such plans is generally not published by suppliers. Some suppliers also offer standard plans to business customers. The options available to customers in Q2 2016 included exclusive deals, limited term signup discounted offers, cashback/credit offers, fixed price plans, energy efficiency services, loyalty programmes and plans including exclusive devices. The range of options available to consumers can help to promote competition in the electricity and gas retail markets and increase consumer switching. The first part of this section provides comparisons between suppliers for their standard and discounted plans in gas and electricity, and details price reductions by suppliers in 2016. This is followed by analysis of new data received by the CER from suppliers. Data on the top ten electricity, gas and dual fuel plans per supplier in terms of customer numbers is provided to the CER on a quarterly basis. This includes information on the price components of each plan, discounts, consumption and customer numbers and has been used for analysis of the number of customers on different levels of discounts and standard plans. 8 It should be noted that this does not represent all customers in the market as suppliers may have more than ten plans which are not reported under the new market monitoring framework. The last part of section 5 looks at the range of non-price related components of electricity and gas offers available in the market at present. Price comparison websites are useful tools for customers to compare prices across suppliers. CER has an accreditation framework which reviews the energy price comparison service provided by websites and only accredits if the site meets defined standards for accuracy, transparency and reliability. There are two accredited price comparison websites: www.bonkers.ie and www.switcher.ie. 2.1 Domestic Electricity Prices In order for a domestic electricity customer to accurately compare prices between suppliers, the comparison of the estimated average annual bill, using current typical consumption values of 5,300kWhs across suppliers is the best measure. In 2016 there were five suppliers offering both standard and discounted plans for domestic electricity, along with PrePayPower and Pinergy who offered PAYG plans exclusively. Standard Domestic Electricity Annual Average Bills (based on typical annual consumption of 5,300 kWhs) January June 2016 2016 Price Announcements in 2016 Electric Ireland €1,182 6% reduction in unit rate announced €1,124 in April 2016 Energia €1,228 No reduction announced in Q2 2016 €1,228 on standard plans BGE €1,169 5% reduction in unit rate €1,169 announced in August 2016 SSE Airtricity €1,218 5% reduction on standard gas and €1,218 electricity unit rates announced in June 2016 Panda power €1,234 No reduction announced in Q2 2016 €1,226 on standard plans PAYG Plans PrePayPower €1,311 4.1% reduction on standard €1,271 electricity unit rate in May 2016 Pinergy €1,219 No reduction announced in Q2 2016 €1,261 on standard plans Table 2.1 9 The annual average bill for Lifestyle choice PAYG customers includes an additional supplier service charge which is reflected in the price. Highest Discounted Domestic Electricity Annual Average Bills (based on typical annual consumption of 5,300 kWhs) January 2016 June 2016 Electric Ireland Energia BGE SSE Airtricity Panda power PrePayPower Pinergy Electric Ireland €1,037 €967 €979 €1,020 €1,046 PAYG Plans €1,139 - €1,074 €967 €979 €970 €1,046 €1,107 €1,156 €1,230 Table 2.2 2.2 Domestic Gas Prices In order for a domestic gas customer to accurately compare prices between suppliers, the comparison of the average annual bill, using current typical consumption values of 13,800kWhs across suppliers is the best measure. Standard Domestic Gas Annual Average Bills (based on typical annual consumption of 13,800 kWhs) Price announcements in January 2016 June 2016 2016 Announced a 5% drop in its Electric Ireland €938 gas unit rate in September €938 2016 Energia €960 €960 Announced a 2.5% drop in BGE €943 its gas unit rate in August €943 2016 Flogas €939 €939 5% reduction on standard SSE Airtricity -2 gas unit rate announced in €953 June 2016 Table 2.3 2 In January 2016 SSE Airtricity offered gas as part of dual fuel offers only 10 Highest Discounted Domestic Gas Annual Average Bills (based on typical annual consumption of 13,800 kWhs) Gas January 2016 June 2016 €891 €854 €880 €783 - €895 €854 €880 €782 €824 Electric Ireland Energia BGE Flogas SSE Airtricity Table 2.4 2.3 Domestic Dual Fuel Prices In Q2 2016 Electric Ireland, Energia, Bord Gáis Energy and SSE Airtricity offered dual fuel plans to customers with price discounts for domestic customers that avail of both services for the same supplier. Highest Discounted Dual Fuel Annual Average Bills January 2016 Electric Ireland €1,970 Energia BGE €1,795 €1,916 SSE Airtricity €1,844 Price announcements in 2016 Announced a 5% drop in its gas unit rate in September 2016 8% discount plan for dual fuel customers announced in June 2016 June 2016 €1,918 €1,795 €1,916 €1,901 Table 2.5 11 2.4 Changes in standing charges and unit charges over time Standing charges for electricity and gas plans have not changed significantly over time. For electricity, they have fluctuated between an average of approximately 34c per day and 37c per day3. Competition and discounts are usually associated with the unit charge for supplier’s plans. the CER will continue to monitor changes to standing charges and competition in total energy costs. 150 140 130 120 110 100 Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Energia Panda Jul-16 Sep-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jan-16 Nov-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 May-15 Jan-15 Mar-15 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jul-14 May-14 Jan-14 Mar-14 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jul-13 90 May-13 €/year (excluding VAT) Electricity standing charge over time Bord Gais Energy Figure 2.1 For gas, standing charges have fluctuated between 21c per day and 23c per day. 3 This average excludes the standing charges associated with PAYG plans as additional service charges are also included. 12 c/day (excluding VAT) Gas standing charge over time 23 22.5 22 21.5 21 20.5 20 19.5 19 Electric Ireland Bord Gais Energy Energia Flogas Figure 2.2 Figures 2.3 and 2.4 show the changes in electricity and gas standard and discount unit rates over time per supplier. Overall for standard and discounted plans in both markets, unit rates have declined in recent years and the trend across suppliers is similar. In 2016, there were a number of announcements concerning price reductions, however there have been fewer price reductions in the gas market. Figure 2.3 13 Figure 2.4 2.5 Number of Customers on Standard Vs Discounted Plans – Electricity Under the CER’s extended market monitoring framework, data on the top ten contracts for each supplier in terms of customer numbers is submitted to the CER on a quarterly basis. This includes data on the number of customers on each plan, the percentage discount, total consumption for the period, the features of each plan and the annual average bill. This analysis does not include all customers in the market but provides a good indication of the level of up-take of discounted plans in the market. Electricity Gas Number of customers reported on top 10 plans for Q2 2016 1,695,406 479,632 Total number of customers in the market 2,031,128 646,492 % of total customers 83.47% 74.16% Table 2.6 This section presents some analysis carried out with data for Q2 2016, looking at the proportion of customers on standard and discounted plans and the breakdown of the range of discounts they receive. 14 90.00 83.26 81.09 81.34 80.00 % of customers 70.00 60.00 50.00 Standard Plans 40.00 Discount plans 30.00 20.00 18.91 18.66 16.74 10.00 0.00 Total Customers Urban Rural Figure 2.5 Figure 2.5 shows the % of customers on standard and discounted electricity plans in Q2 2016 (as reported through market monitoring). This data indicates that the majority of customers in the market are on standard plans. This information is based on data received for this period from suppliers detailing their top 10 electricity plans, based on the number of customers on each plan. This means that not every customer in the market is detailed here and the data is only representative of the market as a whole. Total Customers Urban customers Rural Customers % Standard 81.09% 83.26% 81.34% % Discount 18.91% 16.74% 18.66% Table 2.6 15 Breakdown of electricity discounts 45.00 40.00 % of customers 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 <1% 1-5% 5-10% 10-20% >20% Figure 2.6 Figure 2.6 shows the proportion of electricity customers on less than 1% discounts and discounts of between 1-5%, 5-10%, 10-20% and greater than 20%. Based on market monitoring information, most customers, who are on a discounted plan, are on discounts of between 1% and 5%. These may be rolling discounts on standard plans, where customers receive discounts off their plans for using direct debit and e-billing. Customers on discounts of 5-10% and 10-20% are more likely to be on fixed term contracts with higher discounts available. Customers who switch at the end of their contract term can avail of these discounts across suppliers. Analysis suggests that most customers are not on the highest discounted plan available, and in many cases the discounted plans with the most customers have an annual average bill that is only slightly below that of the standard tariff bill. 16 2.6 Number of Customers on Standard Vs Discounted Plans - Gas Top 10 domestic gas plans, Q1 2016 80.00 % of customers 70.00 68.53 60.00 50.00 40.00 Standard Plans 31.47 Discounted Plans 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 Standard Vs Discounted Plans Figure 2.7 Figure 2.7 shows the % of customers on standard and discounted gas plans in Q2 2016 (as reported through market monitoring). This information is based on data received for this period from suppliers detailing their top 10 gas plans, based on the number of customers on each plan. A larger proportion of gas customers are on discounted plans than electricity, with approximately 31% of customers receiving some type of discount. Figure 2.8 shows the proportion of gas customers on less than 1% discounts and discounts of between 1-5%, 5-10%, 10-20% and greater than 20%. As for electricity, the majority of gas customers on discounted plans receive discounts of between 1-5%. More customers receive discounts of greater than 20% than for electricity. Breakdown of gas discounts 40 % of customers 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0-1% 1-5% 5-10% 10-20% >20% Figure 2.8 17 2.7 Number of Customers Defaulting to Standard Tariffs Data is also received from suppliers on a yearly basis on the overall number of customers who defaulted to standard tariffs. The indicator refers to the automatic default of a current customer at the end of a contract to a tariff that does not have a new customer discount or a contract term associated with it. Number of customers defaulting to standard tariffs, 237391 2015 Number of customers 240000 190000 140000 86191 90000 40000 6159 -10000 Domestic Electricity 573 Small Business Electricity Domestic Gas IC Gas Figure 2.9 Figure 2.9 shows the number of customers per market segment that defaulted to standard tariffs in 2015. There were 2,030,110 customers in the domestic electricity market in 2015. % of customers defaulting to standard tariffs in 2015 Domestic Electricity Small Business Electricity Domestic Gas IC Gas % of total customers 11.69% 3.33% 12.89% 2.41% % of customers who switched in the last 12 months 86.14% 18.34% 81.23% 15.73% Table 2.7 In 2015, 86% of electricity customers that had switched supplier in the last 12 months defaulted to a standard tariff, when their initial discount period ended. This amounted to 11.69% of all electricity customers. 12.89% of all gas customers defaulted to standard tariffs, at the end of a discount period, amounting to over 81% of gas customers who switched supplier in the last 12 months. 18 While this is a low percentage of customers overall, taken as a percentage of customers on fixed term discounted plans this indicates that a large number of customers who were active in the market did not renegotiate their contract or switch in 2015. Lower numbers of business electricity and gas customers defaulted to standard tariffs, however a significant proportion of business customers negotiate bespoke contracts with suppliers. 2.8 Features of plans In 2016 there was a large variety of payment methods available and different features across different plans. Features included cash based and credit offers, green offers, loyalty schemes and device based offers. Energy based services/Free items Cashback offers & Points Climote heating control €50-€150 cashback 1000-4000 Tesco clubcard points Nest learning thermostat GE Led Light Bulbs In Home Displays and applications Boiler Services Green offers €20-€50 free top ups Access to loyalty schemes €120 credit on first or second bill Discounts 2%-20% Gas discounts 1%-26% Electricity discounts Duel fuel discount bundles Payment Methods Unit Charges and Standing Charges Standing charges do not vary widely PAYG Direct Debit Most discounts are off unit charges Contract terms 12/24 month contract terms with exit fees Most customers default to standard tariffs Bank Transfer Phone Cheque An Post Table 5.8 19 A range of price reductions have occurred in electricity and gas in 2016. The best available standard electricity plan in Q2 2016 was offered by Electric Ireland with an estimated annual average bill of €1,123.92. The best available discounted plan was offered by Energia, with an estimated annual average bill of €967.36 The best available standard gas plan in Q2 2016 of €938.32 was offered by Electric Ireland, while the best available discount plan of €781.9 was offered by Flogas. There was a price spread of €147 between the best available and worst available standard electricity plan, and a price spread of €107 between the best available and worst available discount plan in Q2 2016. For the best available electricity plans, the next best available offer was only €4 euro more expensive for standard plans and €3 euro more expensive for discounted plans. Most customers continue to be on standard plans or on plans with lower levels of discounts. A significant proportion of customers default onto standard prices; In 2015, 86% of electricity customers that had switched supplier in the last 12 months .defaulted to a standard tariff, when their initial discount period ended. 20 3 Market Share – Domestic Electricity 3.1 Domestic Electricity Market Share by Customer Numbers and MWhs Domestic Market Share 4.57% 1.18% 0.83% 5.47% 15.56% 1.28%5.38% 5.19% 0.96% 17.22% 52.7% 57.65% Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy PrePayPower Energia 14.75% 17.27% Pinergy Others (a) Customer Nos (b) MWhs Figure 3.1, Q2 Domestic Electricity market Share Q2 2016 Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Domestic Market Share Sites MWhs 1,172,939 1,027,717 300,065 336,778 Bord Gáis Energy 316,472 335,839 PrePayPower 111,184 101,179 Energia 92,927 104,927 Pinergy 23,976 25,030 Others 16,851 18,811 Total 2,034,414 1,950,281 Table 3.1, Number of sites and Mwhs per supplier 21 Domestic Customers change in market share Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Q2 2015-Q2 2016 Electric Ireland Sites -0.93% MWhs -1.56% Sites -3.34% MWhs -3.00% SSE Airtricity -0.47% -0.62% -1.61% -1.96% Bord Gáis Energy 0.37% 0.79% 1.87% 1.77% PrePayPower 0.18% 0.28% 0.70% 0.57% Energia 0.46% 0.66% 1.46% 1.38% Pinergy 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.28% Others 0.32% 0.42% 0.79% 0.95% Table 3.2, % change in market share for Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 Electric Ireland had the largest decrease of market share between Q1 and Q2 2016, losing 1.56% in terms of consumption. Between Q2 2016 and Q2 2015 it lost 3% of the domestic market in terms of consumption. Bord Gáis Energy had the largest increase in market share between Q1 and Q2 2016, with an increase of 0.79% in terms of consumption. In Q2 2016, Electric Ireland held 52.7% of the domestic electricity market in terms of consumption, followed by SSE Airtricity with 17.27%, Bord Gáis Energy with 17.22%, Energia with 5.38% and PrePayPower with 5.19%. 22 4 Market Share – Domestic Gas 4.1 Domestic Gas Market Share by Customer Numbers and GWhs Domestic Market Share 5.72% 6.05% 5.59% 5.97% 14.02% Airtricity 14.68% BG Energy 22.95% 22.34% Electric Ireland 51.72% Flogas 50.97% Energia (a) Customer Nos (b) GWhs Figure 4.1, Q2 Domestic gas market Share Domestic Market Share Q2 2016 Sites GWhs (Cumulative) GWhs (Q2 only) Bord Gáis Energy 334,926 2,196 632 SSE Airtricity 90,814 649 182 Electric Ireland 148,609 984 277 Flogas 36,190 253 74 Energia 37,062 261 75 Total 647,602 4,343 1,240 Table 4.1, Number of sites and Gwhs per supplier 23 Domestic Gaschange in market share Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Q2 2015 –Q2 2016 Sites GWhs Sites GWhs Bord Gáis Energy 0.09% 0.56% 1.05% SSE Airtricity -0.31% -0.37% 0.78% -1.93% Electric Ireland -0.27% -0.60% -0.21% Flogas 0.19% -0.45% % 0.20% 0.69% 0.66% Energia 0.30% 0.05% 0.94% 0.82% -2.23% Table 4.2, % change in market share for Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 Energia had the largest increase in market share between Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 with an increase of 0.94% in terms of customer numbers. SSE Airtricity lost 0.31% of its market share between Q1 and Q2 2016 in terms of customer numbers, and has lost 1.93% overall since Q2 2015. In Q2 2016, Bord Gáis Energy held 51.72% of the market in terms of customer numbers, followed by Electric Ireland with 22.95%, SSE Airtricity with 14.02%, Energia with 5.72% and Flogas with 5.59%. 24 5 Customer Switching and Renegotiations 5.1 Electricity, Gas and Dual Fuel Switching in Q2 2016 Customer switching is a key indicator of retail competition and supplier activity within the retail market. This section contains data on customer switching activity from Q2 2015 to Q2 2016. Figure 5.1, Overall Switching in Electricity, Q2 2015-Q2 2016 The total number of customers switching in electricity was 81,918 in Q2 2016. This represented an increase in switching of 9.14% from Q2 2015. Month Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan-16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr-16 May16 Jun16 Total Number of Switches 22,944 26,712 25,404 26,307 23,867 26,906 25,765 26,455 20,379 23,925 28,684 26,771 29,244 27,079 25,595 Table 5.1 Total switches in electricity, Q2 2015-Q2 2016 25 Figure 5.2, Overall switching in gas, Q2 2015-Q2 2016 The total number of customers switching in gas was 22,926 in Q2 2016. This represented a decrease in switching of 13% from Q2 2015, during which time there were 26,307 customer switches. Month Apr15 May-15 Jun15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan16 Feb-16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Total Number of Switches 8,314 9,561 8,432 9,415 8,602 10,174 9,440 8,630 7,314 7,900 8,766 8,639 8,847 6,884 7,215 Table 5.2, Total Switches in Gas, Q2 2015-Q2 2016 The CER has also begun to collect data on the number of dual fuel switches per month. A dual fuel customer is defined as a site that has both gas and electricity accounts with the same supplier (whether on a specific dual fuel tariff or not). The 'dual fuel switching' indicator refers to the number of dual fuel customers (measured by MPRN/GPRN) that switched, either one account or both gas and electricity, per month. The data is provide by suppliers to the CER. Table 5.3 and Figure 5.3 demonstrate the level of duel fuel switches between December 2015 and June 2016. 26 Dual Fuel Switches Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Domestic Electricity 1673 1760 2475 1988 2547 1996 2243 Domestic Gas 1717 2106 1978 1862 1406 1318 1631 Domestic Dual Fuel 4523 5075 6565 5492 5729 3823 4343 Electricity Switches 20,379 23,925 28,684 26,771 29,244 27,079 25,595 7,314 7,900 8,766 8,639 8,847 6,884 7,215 27,693 31,825 37,450 35,410 38,091 33,963 32,810 28.57 28.09 29.42 26.38 25.42 21.01 25.04 Gas Switches Total Switches % of switches which were dual fuel customers Table 5.3, Dual Fuel Switches 7000 Number of dual fuel customer switches 6565 6000 5492 5729 Domestic Electricity 5075 5000 4523 4343 4000 3823 Domestic Gas 3000 2547 2475 2000 2044 1717 1673 2106 1760 1978 1996 1988 1862 1406 2243 1631 Domestic Dual Fuel 1318 1000 582 0 126 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Figure 5.3 5.2 Renegotiations This section presents new market monitoring data on renegotiations in the electricity and gas retail markets from January 2016 to March 2016. Renegotiations refer to situations where a new contract term, tariff or terms & conditions have been negotiated between the supplier and the customer (whether the renegotiation was initiated by the customer or supplier).Data on renegotiations complements that collected on switching and helps to provide a more complete picture of customer engagement and the options open to customers. 27 This analysis looks at the number of successfully completed renegotiated contracts (regardless of whether initiated by the customer or the supplier or of the number of times and individual customer renegotiated)4. Domestic Electricity Total Number of successful renegotiations Non Domestic Electricity Total Number of successful renegotiations Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 5,250 10,103 14,239 17,728 14,982 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 582 428 557 1,722 556 Number of switches 26,455 20,379 23,925 28,684 26,771 % of total switches 22.04 51.68 61.84 67.81 58.04 Table 5.4 Domestic Gas Total Number of successful renegotiations Non-Domestic Gas Total Number of successful renegotiations Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 1,483 2,850 4,014 4,085 3,519 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 19 600 581 643 196 Number of switches 8,630 7,314 7,900 8,766 8,639 % of total switches 17.40 47.17 58.16 53.94 43.00 Table 5.5 The total number of electricity customers that switched in Q2 2016 was 81,918. This represented an increase in switching of 9.14% from Q2 2015. The total number of customers that switched in gas was 22,926 in Q2 2016. This represented a decrease in switching of 13% from Q2 2015. Data on dual fuel switches indicates that a material number of switches each month are from dual fuel customers. The level of renegotiations between customers and their suppliers in 2016 demonstrates that there is additional customer engagement in the market to that measured through switching numbers. 4 New data captured under the market monitoring framework may be subject to change 28 6 Financial Hardship PAYG This section looks at the trend in the installation of PAYG meters. Prepayment meters are split into two types; financial hardship Pay As You Go (PAYG) meters and lifestyle choice PAYG meters. PAYG financial hardship meters are offered in the domestic electricity and gas markets to customers experiencing financial difficulty paying their bills. The cost of the meter and its installation are socialised and the customer does not have to pay anything extra for the meter itself. If a customer is in arrears, they cannot be disconnected for reasons of non-payment of account unless they have first been offered a PAYG meter by their supplier. In instances where it would not be appropriate to offer a PAYG meter, such as the customer not being able to use the meter or where there is no suitable location for the meter in the premises, the supplier must offer an alternative. The Codes of Practice require fair and robust customer processes to be in place for the installation of such meters. Currently Bord Gáis Energy, Electric Ireland, Energia, Flogas and SSE Airtricity provide PAYG meters for financial hardship in the electricity and gas domestic markets. A number of suppliers also offer lifestyle choice prepayment options in the electricity sector (Electric Ireland, Pinergy and PrePayPower). Customers may find such meters useful to manage their consumption and spending on electricity. For gas, GNI provides all the PAYG meters. If a customer wishes to avail of a lifestyle choice meter in gas they obtain such from GNI through their supplier. The CER will continue to monitor the installation of PAYG financial hardship meters in its quarterly reports. Total Cumulative Installs Total Monthly Installs Q1 2015 67,010 4,152 Electricity PAYG installs Q2 2015 Q3 2015 70,580 73,288 3,570 2,478 Q4 2015 75,177 Q1 2016 77,101 Q2 2016 78,742 1,889 1,921 1,641 Table 5.1 Total and cumulative number of electricity PAYG installs 29 Gas PAYG Installs Q2 2015 Q3 2015 97,317 99,341 Q1 2015 94,927 Total Cumulative Installs Total Monthly Installs % financial hardship Q4 2015 100,052 Q1 2016 100,749 Q2 2016 101,736 1,896 2022 1,625 902 1,003 1,276 87.87% 89.28% 89.11% 78.82% 70.09% 77.35% Table 5.2 Total and cumulative number of gas PAYG installs The total number of PAYG installs by ESBN and GNI has declined between the beginning of 2015 and the beginning of 2016. Total number of PAYG installs Q1 2014-Q2 2016 7,000 5,975 6,120 Number of installs 6,000 5,075 5,000 4,064 4,152 4,000 3,000 2,597 2,478 Electricity PAYG Installs 3,287 3,193 2,000 1,000 2,478 1,959 1,896 1,889 1921 1,750 1641 1,625 1,276 1,003 902 Gas PAYG Installs Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Figure 5.1, Total number of PAYG installs between 2014 and 2016 Table 5.3 details the electricity PAYG meter installation rate per supplier. This was calculated by dividing the number of meter installs per quarter by the number of customers of each supplier per quarter. 30 Electricity PAYG financial hardship Install Rate Q2 2014 Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy Energia 0.29% 0.39% 0.32% - Q3 2014 0.33% 0.32% 0.31% - Q4 2014 0.24% 0.18% 0.18% 0.01% Q1 2015 0.24% 0.20% 0.16% 0.02% Q2 2015 0.18% 0.19% 0.24% 0.03% Q3 2015 0.13% 0.13% 0.17% 0.02% Q4 2015 0.10% 0.11% 0.12% 0.01% Q1 2016 0.11% 0.09% 0.10% 0.03% Q2 2016 0.10% 0.10% 0.09% 0.03% Table 5.3 Electricity PAYG installation rate Table 5.4 details the Gas PAYG financial hardship meter installation rate per supplier. Gas PAYG (financial hardship) Install Rate Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy Flogas 0.15% 0.12% 0.24% 0.22% 0.15% 0.05% 0.21% 0.25% 0.13% 0.14% 0.22% 0.65% 0.56% 0.66% 0.45% 0.26% 0.16% 0.29% 0.24% 0.13% 0.16% 0.27% 0.35% 0.32% 0.50% 0.42% 0.26% 0.12% 0.32% 0.21% 0.10% 0.09% 0.12% 0.67% 0.58% 0.41% 0.39% 0.23% 0.05% 0.17% 0.15% 0.09% 0.04% 0.03% Table 5.4 Gas PAYG installation rate 1,641 Electricity PAYG financial hardship devices were installed in Q2 2016, compared to 3,570 in Q2 2015. 1,276 Gas PAYG devices were installed in Q2 2016, compared to 2,022 in Q2 2015. SSE Airtricity and Electric Ireland had the highest electricity and gas PAYG installation rate in Q2 2016. 31 7 Debt Flagging Where a customer requests to change to a new supplier, the customer’s existing supplier has the facility to inform the new supplier if the customer has an outstanding debt, above the industry thresholds approved by the CER5. The new supplier can then choose whether to proceed with or cancel the change of supplier (CoS) request where this ‘flag’ has been raised. The debt flagging process has been in place since October 2011 and the CER monitors the use of the debt flagging facility by both losing and gaining suppliers on an on-going basis. Elec Debt Flags Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Total Debt Flags 1,061 1,398 1,374 959 1,262 972 858 922 560 572 1.67% 1.73% 1.67% 1.17% 1.61% 1.29% 1.11% 1.27% 0.71% 0.70% 23.60% 29.00% 31.40% 37.23% 35.30% 36.30% 33.10% 21.80% 28.57% 27.97% 811 993 943 602 817 619 574 721 400 412 Total debt Flags as % of overall Switches % of debt Flagged CoS requests Cancelled Debt Flagged CoS not cancelled Table 7.1, Debt Flagging in Electricity Q1 2014 – Q2 2016 Debt Flags Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Gas Q1 Q2 2015 2015 Q3 2015 Total Debt Flags 166 254 287 278 175 258 0.69% 0.96% 0.95% 0.96% 0.65% 50.60% 44.10% 44.30% 38.49% 82 142 160 171 Total debt Flags as % of overall Switches % of debt Flagged CoS requests Cancelled Debt Flagged CoS not cancelled Q1 2016 180 Q2 2016 352 Q4 2015 237 0.98% 1.25% 0.93% 0.71% 1% 46.29% 52.33% 44.03% 37.13% 47% 55% 94 123 197 149 96 143 Table 7.2, Debt Flagging in Gas Q1 2014 – Q2 2016 5 Domestic threshold: ≥ €225 for > 60 days from due. Small business & unmetered supply: ≥ €600 for > 30 days from due. Medium sized business: ≥ €1,200 for > 30 days from due. 32 319 8 Disconnections The disconnection/ de-energisation of a customer’s energy supply should always be the last resort and all suppliers are required to offer a payment plan and prepayment solution to customers in advance of proceeding to disconnect. This section analyses trends in disconnections in both electricity and gas for Q2 2016. In early 2014 the CER, in conjunction with industry and the Department of Communications, Energy and Natural Resources, reviewed the market processes to ascertain if more could be done in further reducing disconnections (e.g. by increasing uptake of PAYG). While this work was ongoing the CER imposed a moratorium on the disconnections, which was lifted on 20th February 2014. In May 2014, a voluntary agreement was introduced by most energy suppliers which saw them committing to never disconnect an engaging customer. 8.1 Disconnections – Total The total number of disconnections in Q2 2016 was 1,631 for electricity and 715 for gas. Table 8.1 shows the total number of disconnections between 2011 and Q2 2016. Total NPA Disconnections 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Electricity 17,794 17,441 12,391 8,731 7,783 3,006 1,631 Gas 4,560 7,558 6,279 3,998 3,542 855 715 Table 8.1, total (domestic and business) disconnections in Electricity and Gas 2011-Q2 2016 Number of disconnections Total (Domestic and Business) NPA disconnections 20,000 17,794 17,441 15,000 12,391 10,000 8,731 7,558 5,000 6,279 4,560 7,783 3,998 3,542 2011 2012 Electricity 2013 2014 2015 Gas Figure 8.1, trend in NPA disconnections from 2011-2015 33 8.2 Disconnections-Electricity Market The CER receives data on electricity disconnections6 that were completed for non-payment of account reasons on a monthly basis from ESBN7. This section analyses the data on validated electricity non-payment of account (NPA) disconnections8. Total domestic disconnections per supplier Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Enegy Pre Pay Power Energia 224 406 300 415 148 176 286 134 257 403 398 229 89 114 96 103 80 117 106 114 110 73 60 12 49 136 115 125 61 47 84 76 105 71 63 26 122 90 76 45 52 34 52 48 47 13 29 9 5 2 5 21 17 33 68 52 32 12 20 9 699 596 580 250 92 73 71 84 56 81 97 109 56 94 83 107 40 58 20 30 22 15 22 13 19 18 11 21 27 22 Pinergy9 1 5 1 4 1 7 1 21 15 23 22 28 14 13 Total 489 748 592 709 358 408 600 425 558 573 570 306 880 845 774 502 292 288 Table 8.2, Total domestic disconnections by supplier, January 2015 – June 2016 The majority of disconnections due to NPA in Q2 2016 were for domestic customers, with Electric Ireland having the largest number of disconnections in Q2 2016. The market share 6 This data has been validated by suppliers in advance of publication. NPA can cover customers in arrears that have been disconnected because they cannot pay due to financial hardship or disconnected customers who choose not to pay debt. Currently such customers cannot be distinguished in the data. This NPA data does not include data on self-disconnections. This data includes disconnections of PAYG customers due to fraud/theft. 8 PrePayPower states that, as a prepay supplier, it only disconnects in situations where they suspect a site of being vacant or in instances of fraud based on an analysis of vend and consumption data. 9 As a prepay supplier, Pinergy also disconnects customers in instances of fraud and for vacant premises based on vend and consumption data. 7 34 of suppliers and rate of disconnections will be considered in the 2016 annual report, which will look at the disconnection rate per 10,000 customers. Figure 8.2 shows the trend in disconnections for 2015 and 2016 compared to the trend in installation of PAYG financial hardship meters. Without a PAYG system in place which provides an option for customers facing difficulty in paying their electricity bills, disconnections would be significantly higher. Total domestic electricity disconnections compared to PAYG Installs 1,800 1,600 1,577 1,400 1,358 1,200 1,217 1,082 1,000 800 Domestic Disconnections 1,187 709 600 592 489 400 941 884 880 845 796 748 600 1,018 358 408 200 774 687 675 653 653 563 530 559 558 573 570 523 502 465 425 306 292 288 PAYG Installs Jun-16 May-16 Apr-16 Mar-16 Feb-16 Jan-16 Dec-15 Nov-15 Oct-15 Sep-15 Aug-15 Jul-15 Jun-15 May-15 Apr-15 Mar-15 Feb-15 Jan-15 - Figure 8.2, Total Domestic Electricity Disconnections compared to PAYG financial hardship installs for January 2015 to June 2016 Percentage change in electricity disconnections Total Domestic % change between 2013 and 2014 -29.63% -27.62% % change between 2014 and 2015 -11.04% -13.51% % change between Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 -11% -27% Table 8.3 35 8.3 Disconnections- Gas Market There are three types of disconnections10 in gas: credit locks, disconnect meters (DMs) and street isolations (CTSRs). This section only focuses on the disconnections that were undertaken for non-payment of account (NPA) reasons11. Total domestic gas disconnections per supplier Bord Gáis SSE Electric Flogas Energia Energy Airtricity Ireland Total Jan-15 74 27 17 17 1 136 Feb-15 99 31 38 26 0 194 Mar-15 208 22 27 39 4 300 Apr-15 111 30 36 48 17 242 May-15 77 29 38 34 19 197 Jun-15 212 30 52 22 35 351 Jul-15 206 40 20 47 61 374 Aug-15 222 30 26 26 35 339 Sep-15 206 29 8 227 0 470 Oct-15 221 37 52 127 6 443 Nov-15 135 18 4 77 6 240 Dec-15 68 6 1 10 1 86 Jan-16 143 9 13 21 12 198 Feb-16 172 30 37 42 9 290 Mar-16 142 13 25 43 15 238 Apr-16 76 23 15 21 24 159 May-16 143 30 47 33 23 276 Jun-16 89 24 29 48 21 211 Table 8.4, Total domestic disconnections by supplier, January 2015 – March 2016 10 The CER receives separate data reports on all three from GNI. To determine the disconnections that were completed for non-payment of account reasons (NPA), the CER assumes all credit locks were completed for NPA reasons and sends each supplier the GPRNs that relate to their DMs and CTSRs so that the supplier can identify the remaining NPA disconnections. The CER then add together all the CLs and the NPA identified DMs and CTSRs to derive an estimate for total gas NPA disconnections. 11 This data has been validated by suppliers in advance of publication. 36 Bord Gáis Energy had the highest number of disconnections overall between January and June 2016. The market share of suppliers and rate of disconnections will be considered in the annual report, which will look at the disconnection rate per 10,000 customers. Figure 8.3 shows the trend in gas disconnections compared to the trend in installation of PAYG financial hardship meters. The chart indicates that without a PAYG system, disconnections would be higher. Total gas disconnections compared to PAYG installs 700 650 600 577 616 570 470 440 441 443 439 400 Domestic Gas Disconnections 563 567 500 351 300 374 374 360 344 339 300 290 242 200 240 197 194 171 166 136 100 221 205 198 277 283 276 238 211 159 Gas PAYG (financial hardship) installs 86 Jun-16 May-16 Apr-16 Mar-16 Feb-16 Jan-16 Dec-15 Nov-15 Oct-15 Sep-15 Aug-15 Jul-15 Jun-15 May-15 Apr-15 Mar-15 Feb-15 Jan-15 0 Figure 8.3, Total Domestic Gas Disconnections compared to PAYG financial hardship installs for January 2015 to June 2016 Percentage change in gas disconnections between 2014 and 2015 Total Domestic % change between 2013 and 2014 -36.3% -35.3% % change between 2014 and 2015 -11.43% -11.64% % change between Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 -13.75% -18% Table 8.5 In Q2 2016, there were 1,631 electricity disconnections and 715 gas disconnections. Overall, this presented a decline in electricity disconnections in from Q2 2015 of 11%. There was a decrease of 27% of domestic disconnections and an increase of 55% in non-domestic disconnections between Q2 2015 and Q2 2016. 37 9 Non-Domestic Electricity Market Share 9.1 Small and Medium Business Electricity Market Share by Customer Numbers and MWhs SME Market Share 1.46% 2.14% Electric Ireland 20.34% Airtricity 28.09% 45.69% 37.13% Bord Gáis Energy 11.91% Energia 12.09% 20.6% 20.55% (a) Customer Nos Others (b) MWhs Figure 9.1, Q2 SME Electricity market Share Q2 2016 Small Business Market Share Sites MWhs Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy Energia Others 84,477 38,086 22,021 37,597 2,698 321,753 178,103 104,747 243,379 18,510 Total 184,879 866,492 Table 9.1, Number of sites and Mwhs per supplier Small Business - change in market share Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Electric Ireland Sites -0.88% MWhs -1.18% SSE Airtricity 0.22% Bord Gáis Energy Q2 2015 – Q2 2016 Sites MWhs -2.81% -2.24% 0.17% 0.58% 0.31% 0.37% 0.48% 1.32% 1.77% Energia -0.07% 0.09% -0.09% -1.13% Others 0.35% 0.44% 1.01% 1.29% 38 Table 9.2, % change in market share for Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 In Q2 2016, Electric Ireland held 37.13% of the small business market in terms of consumption, followed by Energia with 28.09%, SSE Airtricity with 20.55% and Bord Gáis Energy with 12.09%. Electric Ireland lost the most in terms of consumption between Q1 and Q2, with a loss of 1.18% of market share. Between Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 it lost 2.24% of its’ market share in terms of consumption. Bord Gáis Energy gained 0.48% in terms of market share between Q1 and Q2. 9.2 Medium Business Electricity Market Share by Customer Numbers and MWhs Medium Business Market Share 0.79% 1.57% 2.66% 2.89% Electric Ireland Airtricity 23.66% 39.14% 30.66% 3.91% 10.01% Bord Gáis Energy Energia 60.06% Vayu 16.5% Others 8.16% (a) Customer Nos (b) MWhs Figure 9.2, Q2 Medium Business Electricity market Share Q2 2016 Electric Ireland SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy Energia Vayu Others Total Medium Business12 Market Share Sites MWhs 15,450 384,880 2,575 162,230 1,007 80,264 6,086 301,479 204 26,123 404 28,406 25,726 983,382 ‘Medium-sized business’ includes low voltage maximum demand (DG6) and public lighting (DG 3&DG4). 12 39 Table 9.3, Number of sites and MWhs per supplier Medium Business - change in market share Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Q2 2015-Q2 2016 Electric Ireland Sites -0.14% MWhs 0.06% Sites -2.23% MWhs 0.66% SSE Airtricity -0.16% 0.03% -1.32% -2.96% Bord Gáis Energy 0.03% 0.36% 0.22% 0.78% Energia 0.07% -1.42% 2.27% -0.91% Vayu -0.03% 0.25% 0.02% 0.15% Others 0.22% 0.72% 1.05% 2.28% Table 9.4, % change in market share for Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 In Q2 2016, Electric Ireland held 39.14% of the medium business market in terms of consumption, followed by Energia with 30.66%, SSE Airtricity with 16.5% and Bord Gáis Energy with 8.16%. Bord Gáis Energy had the largest increase in market share in terms of consumption between Q1 2016 and Q2 2016, while Energia had the greatest loss with a decrease of 1.42%. 40 9.3 Large Energy Users Electricity Market Share by Customer Numbers and MWhs LEU Market Share 5.9% 3.74% 3.10% Electric Ireland 7.92% Airtricity 18.26% 13.21% 45.09% 45.14% 8.92% Bord Gáis Energy Energia 9.93% Vayu 21.71% 17.07% (a) Customer Nos Others (b) MWhs Figure 9.3, Q2 LEU Electricity market Share Q2 2016 LEU Market Share Sites MWhs Electric Ireland 795 1,049,982 SSE Airtricity 301 504,926 Bord Gáis Energy Energia 175 207,574 322 307,190 Vayu 104 72,190 66 184,267 2,326,128 Others Total 1,763 Table 9.5, Number of sites and Mwhs per supplier LEUs - Change change in market share Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Q2 2015 – Q2 2016 Electric Ireland Sites -0.51% MWhs -0.67% Sites 0.76% MWhs 0.23% SSE Airtricity -0.28% -0.63% -3.64% -3.79% Bord Gáis Energy -0.12% 0.79% 0.49% 2.46% Energia 0.57% 0.45% 0.79% -0.34% Vayu -0.15% -0.13% 0.29% 0.10% Others 0.49% 0.20% 1.31% 1.34% Table 9.6, % change in market share for Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 41 In Q2 2016, Electric Ireland held 45.14% of the LEU market, followed by SSE Airtricity with 21.71%, Energia with 13.21%, Bord Gáis Energy with 8.92% and Vayu with 3.10%. Between Q1 and Q2 2016, Electric Ireland lost 0.67% of market share in terms of consumption, while Bord Gáis Energy gained 0.79%. 10 Non-Domestic Gas Market Share 10.1 Industrial and Commercial Gas Market Share by Customer Numbers and GWhs NDM IC Market Share 1.85% 4.92% 2.61% 20.51% 4.23% Airtricity 25.52% 38.87% 43.72% 22.29% Bord Gáis Energy Electric Ireland Flogas Energia 22.58% Vayu 6.72% (a) Customer Nos 6.19% (b) GWhs Figure 10.1, Q2 IC gas market share 42 NDM IC13 Market Share Q2 2016 Sites GWhs (cumulative) GWhs (Q2 2016) Bord Gáis Energy 10,397 422 142 SSE Airtricity 1,169 45 15 Electric Ireland 1,597 62 21 Flogas 5,300 262 99 Energia 4,878 277 95 Vayu 439 42 14 Total 23,780 1,110 386 Table 10.1, Number of sites and GWhs per supplier NDM IC- change in market share Q2 2015 – Q2 2016 Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Sites GWhs Sites GWhs Bord Gáis Energy 3.62% 7.12% -0.42% -1.89% SSE Airtricity -1.96% -6.55% -0.21% -0.26% Electric Ireland -0.65% -1.70% -0.09% -0.22% Flogas -1.87% -2.92% 0.57% 3.13% Energia 0.68% 3.46% 0.11% -0.53% Vayu 0.19% 0.60% 0.02% -0.24% Table 10.1, % change in market share for Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 13 In Q2 2016, Bord Gáis Energy held 43.72% of the IC gas market in terms of customer numbers, followed by Flogas with 22.29%, Energia with 20.51%, Electric Ireland with 6.72% and SSE Airtricity with 4.92%. Flogas gained the most between Q1 2016 and Q2 2016 with an increase in market share of 0.57%. Non-daily metered industrial and commercial. 43 10.2 Fuel Variation Tariff Market Share by Customer Numbers and GWhs FVT Market Share Airtricity 2.98% 2.85% Bord Gáis Energy Electric Ireland 14.71% 14.62% 35.59% 38.67% 21.27% 22.82% Flogas Energia 19.64% 24.25% 1.4% (a) Customer Nos 1.19% Vayu (b) GWhs Figure 10.2 Q2 FVT gas market share FVT14 eligible Market Share Q2 2016 Sites GWhs (Cumulative) GWhs (Q2 2016) Bord Gáis Energy 693 494 179 SSE Airtricity 51 45 15 Flogas 352 309 122 Energia 409 289 107 Vayu 262 208 74 Electric Ireland 25 15 6 Total 1,792 1,360 503 Table 10.3, Number of sites and GWhs per supplier 14 Fuel variation tariff. 44 Q2 2015 – Q2 2016 Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Bord Gáis Energy Sites 9.14% GWhs 9.76% Sites 0.63% GWhs -1.17% SSE Airtricity -7.47% -8.59% -0.17% -0.52% Flogas -3.56% -4.05% -0.41% 2.43% Energia 2.14% 5.16% -0.25% 0.04% Vayu -0.12% -2.23% -0.07% -0.92% Electric Ireland -0.13% 0.16% 0.28% 0.14% FVT- change in market share Table 10.4, % change in market share for Q2 2015 and Q2 2016 In Q2 2016, Bord Gáis Energy held 38.67% of the FVT market in terms of customer numbers, followed by Energia with 22.82%, Flogas with 19.64%, Vayu with 14.62% and SSE Airtricity with 2.85%. Between Q1 2016 and Q2 2016, Bord Gáis Energy gained the most in terms of customer numbers, while Flogas lost the most with a decrease of 0.41%. 45 10.3 Regulated Tariff Formula Market Share by Customer Numbers and GWhs RTF Market Share 0.27% 1.17 0.36% 10.12 11.86% Airtricity 14.5% BG Energy Electric Ireland Energia 19.07 9.99% 1.17 11.51% 35.80 21.79 Gazprom 51.52% Vayu 10.89 Flogas (a) Customer Nos (b) GWhs Figure 10.3, Q2 RTF gas market share RTF15 eligible Market Share Q2 2016 Sites GWhs (cumulative) GWhs (Q2 2016) Bord Gáis Energy 92 2,310 1,155 SSE Airtricity 26 655 325 Electric Ireland 28 475 258 Gazprom 3 18 8 Energia 56 484 224 Vayu 49 526 266 Flogas 3 6 6 Total 257 4,474 2,242 Table 10.4, Number of sites and GWhs per supplier 15 Regulated tariff formula. 46 RTF- change in market share Q2 2015 – Q2 2016 Bord Gáis Energy SSE Airtricity Sites 9.8% -5.08% Electric Ireland 0.49% Gazprom -1.23% Energia GWhs 16.27% -4.87% 5.18% Q1 2016 – Q2 2016 Sites -1.07% -0.08% -0.09% GWhs -0.16% -0.27% 1.80% -0.01% -5.01% -5.78% -7.76% -0.56% -0.09% -1.64% Vayu 0.67% -3.11% 1.42% 0.23% Flogas - - 1.17% 0.27% Table 10.5, % change in market share for Q2 2015 to Q2 2016 In the RTF market, Bord Gáis Energy held 35.8% in terms of customer numbers, followed by Energia with 21.79%, Vayu with 19.07%, Electric Ireland with 10.89% and SSE Airtricity with 10.12%. Between Q1 2016 and Q2 2016, Vayu gained the most in terms of customer numbers with an increase of 1.42% of market share, while Borg Gáis Energy lost the most with a decrease of 1.07%. 47 11 Non-Domestic Disconnections Total non-domestic electricity disconnections per supplier Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Electric Ireland 23 29 49 52 62 37 94 86 78 49 56 48 85 81 122 110 136 68 SSE Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy Pre Pay Power Energia Pinergy 24 42 31 53 19 23 29 27 30 18 28 17 18 15 18 23 40 12 10 21 8 13 13 11 7 16 13 17 11 19 16 31 25 26 13 14 1 1 1 2 1 3 - 34 33 22 31 23 15 21 20 30 11 22 14 45 23 28 28 43 31 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - 92 125 111 150 117 87 151 151 152 96 117 98 2 - 164 150 193 187 237 125 Total Table 11.1, Total non-domestic electricity disconnections, 2015-2016 There were 549 non-domestic electricity disconnections in Q2 2016, compared with 354 in Q2 2015. For gas, there with 69 non-domestic disconnections in Q2 2016, compared to 39 in Q2 2015. 48 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Total non-domestic gas disconnections per supplier Electric Ireland Airtricity Bord Gáis Energy Flogas Energia 0 3 2 4 0 1 0 8 2 1 0 3 12 6 1 2 3 8 2 2 1 0 7 1 0 0 1 6 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 0 6 5 2 0 16 2 4 0 0 10 1 2 2 1 11 0 1 0 2 13 1 0 0 2 11 0 3 0 2 17 2 1 2 1 78 0 8 16 0 2 3 1 19 1 1 2 2 9 2 4 1 6 Vayu 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 Total 9 12 22 18 9 12 7 14 23 13 15 16 17 23 89 22 25 22 Table 11.2, Total non-domestic gas disconnections, 2015-2016 12 Next Steps This report has detailed the market share of suppliers for Q2 2016 along with disconnections data. It has presented data for 2016 concerning debt flagging, PAYG installs, customer switching and electricity and gas prices. It is encouraging to see that the trends in both disconnections and electricity and gas prices were downward for 2016. Data for Q3 2016 will be presented in the next electricity and gas retail market report. 49
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