Water Resources Planning in South Florida during a Difficult Economy: No Time for Unreasonable and Unfunded Mandates Thomas M. Missimer, Ph.D., P.G. Robert G. Maliva, Ph.D., P.G. Schlumberger Water Services Fort Myers, Florida Introduction Florida is in an economic crisis that is perhaps the worst in 50 years. South Florida has lost population in the last two years. The ability of water supply utilities to implement existing water supply plans is dependant on a reliable, continuous revenue stream. Costs of operations are up and overall net revenue is down for many SW Florida public utilities. Issues Facing Utilities during This Economic Crisis Reductions in future water use projections Reductions in net revenue Costs to complete planned infrastructure Bond payments/reductions in ratings Additional costs to comply with new regulations Some Measures Recently Taken by South Florida Utilities to Reduce Costs Reductions in personnel Deferment of projected capital improvements and alteration of water planning documents Deferment of some scheduled maintenance Legal challenges to new regulations Some Current Regulatory Initiatives with Major Associated Costs Year-round water conservation regulation Application of water use permitting to reclaimed water Phasing out of ocean outfalls for disposal of treated sewage effluent Numerical standards for nutrient concentrations in surface water Year-Round Water Conservation Regulation Sounds reasonable Can require considerable modification of the water conveyance system to limit time of water delivery Limitation to one or two days for irrigation can cause violations of state and federal laws within the distribution system (pressures, storage) Reduces revenue collected for both water use and wastewater treatment Application of Water Use Permitting to Reclaimed Water Adds costly layer of bureaucracy Can require expensive distribution infrastructure Can cause additional, expensive monitoring mechanisms to monitor reclaimed water use Comprehensive planning coordination with local government utility plans Can cause contract violations with consumers Phasing Out of Ocean Outfalls for Disposal of Treated Sewage Effluent Will require new wet season disposal method, such as deep injection wells In certain cases it cannot to placed into the reclaimed water system because of high salinity (i.e. Miami-Dade north collection system). Can cause billions of dollars in capital improvements If wastewater is to be added to the reclaimed water system, it will have to be desalinated which creates another waste stream (concentrate requiring disposal). Numerical Standards for nutrient concentrations in surface water Causes re-design of numerous wastewater treatment facilities (billions of dollars) Will reduce concentrations of nutrients in reclaimed water, thereby forcing additional fertilizers to be used Some utilities cannot afford the WWT modifications and would have to reduce or eliminate reclaimed water reuse Combining Economic Downturn with a Dubious Drought Declaration Economy causes a reduction in use and consummate reduction in both the water and wastewater revenue streams Implementation of Phase III drought restrictions, not necessarily justified, causes additional reductions in both revenue streams Overall reduction in revenue has caused nearly catastrophic economic impacts to some utilities Cost of Droughts When Not Scientifically Justified Political Drought – water is physically available, but an agency regulating water acts to create a situation to increase funding, increase power, or otherwise exert greater control over local governments and utilities. SFWMD 2006 – 2007 Drought 2006 & 2007 set a new Districtwide record for low rainfall in two consecutive calendar years. District-wide rainfall total was reported to be 83.6 inches versus average of 105.6 inches (52.8 inches/yr). District-wide rainfall deficit = 22 inches. SFWMD 2006 – 2007 Drought Effects of 2006-2007 drought varied considerably across the SFWMD area. There was a large spatial variation in rainfall. Local rainfall data for drought period was compared against available historic data for stations in the SFWMD. Sources: Southeast Regional Climate Center (SERCC) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). 2006 & 2007 Rainfall Versus Historic Means Station 2006 (in.) 2007 (in.) Mean (in.) Avon Park 32.30 38.97 52.74 2006 & 2007 vs. Mean (in.) -34.21 Orlando 36.35 38.49 50.18 -25.52 Fort Pierce 33.84 49.31 52.77 -22.39 Moore Haven Okeechobee 37.12 37.55 47.63 -20.59 30.45 41.50 44.99 -18.03 Historic Min. (in. & year) 26.10 (2000) 30.38 (2000) 32.66 (1988) 29.63 (1981) 25.32 (2000) 2006 & 2007 rainfall versus historic means Station Miami Int. Airport West Palm Beach Fort Lauderdale Fort Myers Hialeah 2006 (in.) 2007 (in.) Mean (in.) 64.67 63.97 60.01 2006 & 2007 vs. Mean (in.) 8.62 54.15 63.80 60.86 -3.77 61.87 66.43 66.43 -4.56 56.27 47.02 54.56 -5.83 59.46 64.77 65.96 -7.69 Historic Min. (in. & year) 37.05 (1956) 32.66 (1988) 35.54 (1961) 32.83 (1964) 41.10 (1961) SW Florida Water Levels Lower Tamiami Aquifer Well C-391 SFWMD Drought Response Implementation of Phase II Severe Water Shortage Restrictions Goal = 30% reduction in demand Still in effect even though many areas do not have a severe water shortage. Implementation of Phase III Extreme Water Shortage Restrictions (1/15/08 to 4/18/08) Goal = 45% reduction in demand Restrictions were essentially District-wide. Drought Management Considerations Magnitude of the precipitation shortage and spatial variability in the deficits. The available natural water in storage that could be used during the drought. Potential duration of the drought. Economics of drought mitigation measures (impacts to consumers, loss of revenues to producers/utilities). Potential economic, environmental, and water resources impacts of non- or delayed implementation of mitigation measures. Reality of 2006-2007 Drought Worst impacted area was the center of the District from Lake Okeechobee area northwards. Low rainfall in the Lake Okeechobee area and low lake level limited exports to the east coast. Coastal areas were less impacted by the drought. Coastal Southwest Florida did not experience severe drought conditions. Water restrictions (Phase III Extreme Water Shortage Restrictions) were emplaced in areas that were not experiencing extreme drought conditions. Impacts of Water Restrictions on Utilities Most utilities do not have large budget excesses to cover sudden unexpected drop in revenues. Large utilities reported losses of revenues in millions resulting in deferral of capital projects, reductions in machinery and equipment purchases, staff lay-offs, and water restriction surcharges. Utilities that invested the most in costly alternative water supply systems ironically faced the greatest hardships as they must still pay for the expensive systems even though revenues were suddenly reduced. Increase in peaking factors as residential water use in concentrated into short periods of time. Impacts of Water Restrictions on Utilities Water utilities finance their operations through the sale of water. Wastewater fees are also commonly tied to water sales. Revenues must covered on-going operational expenses and debt service. Much of utility costs are fixed (debt service, staff, maintenance, overhead) and still need to be met irrespective of water sales. Drought response issues Appropriateness of universal responses to droughts District-wide “one-size fits all” or “shared pain” response is simpler to implement and in one sense appeals to a sense of fairness (“we are all in this together”). Results in some water users and utilities facing hardships that are not necessary based on local hydrologic conditions. Consideration should be given to degree of utility implementation of AWS. Restrictions have a variable benefit depending on freshwater use and local climatic conditions. Alternatives: restrictions based on County or utility service area. Drought response issues Disincentives against utility drought protection methods Drought-proofing efforts, such as the development of alternative water supplies (desalination), and reuse systems in general did not yield utilities and customers any direct benefits as far as maintaining normal water use patterns. ▪ Reduced financial incentive to invest in AWS. Such investments may make utilities more vulnerable to droughts as they must still be paid for during water restriction periods. The value of committing to the reuse system was also diminished as most customers do not meet 100% of supply from reuse system and therefore faced the same reductions as other water users. Alternative – link water restrictions to use of fresh groundwater. Drought response issues Water restrictions as an education method Credibility Issue. Noah - Any chance the Phase II Severe Water Shortage Restrictions will be lifted soon? Politics, Economics, and Droughts This combination can cause very poor decisions to be made that will have long-term, negative impacts on utility planning and management (i.e. City of Cape Coral situation) Poor drought management based on political expediency rather that science leads to severe impacts on utilities. By political question, it is meant that policy choices are being made between different options that are ultimately based on personal values and opinions. People of good will may disagree. Implementation of new regulations in an economic downturn does have serious implications on utility operations, management and planning. Conclusions Severe changes in the economy have serious effects on utility planning and revenues. Leeway must be given to utilities by regulatory agencies during economic downturns to not disrupt operations. A moratorium on new regulations applied to utilities during economic downturns is appropriate. Implementation of water restrictions should be based more on local hydrologic conditions and fresh water use rather than political expediency. Drought response plans should have incentives for investment in AWS as a means of drought-proofing.
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