ECON 370 Lecture 1 Introductory • Development as a process – Historical, dynamic (fire, agriculture, indust’l rev’n ...) – Poverty, health, freedom • Growth – changes in values of economic parameters quantitative, extension of already established structure • Development – growth accompanied or preseded by institutional change, qualitative, creation of new economic and non-economic structures • "Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything. A country’s ability to improve its standard of living over time depends almost entirely on its ability to raise its output per worker.” (Paul Krugman) Terminology and attitudes EARLIER: Developed/underdeveloped Advanced/backward First world/Third world Colonialism, imperialism, dependence STILL: North/South Rich/poor – High/middle/low income Traditional/modern NOW: Developed/developing Industrialized/Newly industrializing Countries Developing Developed Angola Zambia S. Africa Côte d’Iv Ghana Nigeria Brazil Venezuela China Mongolia Bangladesh India Vietnam Russia TURKEY 2011 GDP per cap 4222 42071 5318 1427 8094 1187 1587 1297 12276 10683 5241 3125 714 1566 1359 12890 10571 2012 GDP per cap ppp 6315 38325 5400 1590 11010 1920 1910 2450 11530 12920 9040 5020 2030 3910 3620 22720 18190 GDP Growth GDP per cap Growth 9200 4.8 2.9 5.0 0.8 2.7 4.1 4.3 2.3 2.9 0.9 9.9 3.0 4.9 6.3 7.8 -1.8 3.8 9200 3.0 2.3 2.0 -1.8 0.9 1.4 1.7 -0.1 1.3 -1.2 8.9 2.2 2.8 4.4 6.2 -1.6 2.2 0010 6.1 1.6 13.0 5.6 3.9 1.1 5.7 7.3 3.7 4.6 10.8 7.2 5.9 8.0 7.5 5.4 4.7 0010 4.6 1.0 9.4 3.0 2.7 0.6 3.2 4.7 2.6 2.7 10.2 5.8 4.5 6.4 6.3 5.7 3.3 UNCTAD HAndbook, World Bank World Development Indicators % Pop. < 2 USD/day 81.3 35.7 46.8 63.3 83.1 11.3 21.9 29.8 80.3 75.6 48.1 <2 4.2 HDI rank GNI– HDR ranks 148 163 121 168 135 153 85 71 101 108 146 136 127 55 90 -35 0 -42 -9 22 -6 -8 -2 -11 10 9 -3 9 0 -32 Countries Norway US Angola Zambia S. Africa Côte d’Iv Ghana Nigeria Brazil Venezuela China Mongolia Bangladesh India Vietnam Russia TURKEY HDI rank 2012 1 3 148 163 121 168 135 153 85 71 101 108 146 136 127 55 90 GNI– HDR ranks 4 6 -35 0 -42 -9 22 -6 -8 -2 -11 10 9 -3 9 0 -32 Inequality Gender Urbanization Schooling Adj. rank inequality % of pop. * 1 16 160 165 .. 171 138 166 97 88 101 95 141 135 113 .. 91 HDR 2013, table 1, 3, * WDI 2013 5 42 .. 136 90 138 121 .. 85 93 35 56 111 132 48 51 68 1990 72 75 37 39 52 39 36 35 74 84 26 57 20 26 20 73 59 2012 80 83 60 40 62 52 53 50 85 94 52 69 29 32 32 74 72 mean 12.6 13.3 4.7 6.7 8.5 4.2 7.0 5.2 7.2 7.6 7.5 8.3 4.8 4.4. 5.5 11.7 6.5 Exp. 17.5 16.8 10.2 8.5 13.1 6.5 11.4 9.0 14.2 14.4 11.7 14.3 8.1 10.7 11.9 14.3 12.9 Life expect. at birth 81.3 78.8 51.5 49.4 53.4 56.0 64.6 52.3 73.8 74.6 73.7 68.8 69.2 65.8 75.4 69.1 74.2 Countries Agricultural Productivity per worker Energy 1000t oil eq. / cap Energy use growth Structure of Output Agriculture Norway 2012 USD 53901 2011 5681 990-011 1.6 2000 2 2012 2 US Angola 49817 867 7032 673 0.8 4.2 1 6 1 10 Zambia 592 621 2.1 22 20 S. Africa Côte d’Iv Ghana Nigeria 5967 1213* .. 4453 2795 579 425 721 2.4 4.7 3.0 2.5 3 24 39 26 3 .. 23 33 Brazil Venezuela China Mongolia Bangladesh India Vietnam Russia TURKEY 5035 9210 749 3937 492 663 468 5269 6598 1371 2380 2029 1310 205 614 697 5113 1539 3.1 2.1 5.8 0.3 4.6 4.0 6.2 -0.6 3.6 6 4 15 31 26 23 23 6 11 5 6 10 17 18 17 20 4 9 World Development Indicators, Tables 3.3, 3.6, 4.2 Industry (manuf) 2000 2012 42 40 11 9 22 19 72 60 3 6 25 37 11 8 32 28 25 .. 28 27 52 41 4 2 28 26 50 52 46 45 25 8 33 7 25 28 26 26 34 39 38 36 31 27 Services 2000 56 2012 59 76 22 79 30 53 43 65 51 32 22 69 .. 50 26 67 46 39 44 49 51 43 56 57 68 42 45 50 54 57 42 60 64
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