Warm Up ... How many different outfits can you create if you have three shirts and four pairs of shorts? 1 13.1 Finding Probabilities & Odds 2 Important Vocab: 1. Outcome: possible results of an experiment 2. Event: outcome, or collection of outcomes 3. Sample Space: set of all possible outcomes 3 Example: You flip a coin and roll a six sided number cube. How many possible outcomes are in the sample space? List the possible outcomes. 4 You Try! You flip a coin twice. How many possible outcomes are in the sample space? List the possible outcomes. 5 You Try! You flip two coins and roll a six sided number cube. How many possible outcomes are in the sample space? List the possible outcomes. 6 4. Probability of an Event: measure of the likelihood, or chance, that the event will occur * probability is a number from 0 to 1 and can be expressed as a decimal, fraction, or percent P=0 Impossible P = 0.25 Unlikely P = 0.5 Equally likely to happen or not happen P = 0.75 Likely P=1 Certain 7 5. Favorable Outcomes: outcomes for a specific event 6. Theoretical Probability: theoretical probability = number of favorable outcomes total number of outcomes probability of event A is written P(A) 8 You and your friends designed tshirts with silk screened emblems, and you are selling the tshirts as a fundraiser. The table below shows the number of tshirts you have in each design. A student chooses a tshirt at random. What is the probability that the student chooses a red tshirt? Gold Emblem Silver Emblem Green TShirt 10 8 Red TShirt 6 6 What is the probability that the student chooses a TShirt with a gold emblem? What is the probability that the student chooses a red TShirt with a gold emblem? 9 A department store is offering a discount on sunglasses. The table shows the number of each type of sunglasses. You choose a pair at random. What is the probability that the pair you choose is polarized? Green Lens Brown Lens Polarized 8 4 Mirrored 7 9 10 7. Trial: number of times an experiment is performed 8. Success: number of times in which a favorable outcome occurs 9. Experimental Probability: experimental probability = Number of Successes Number of Trials 11 12 Each section of the spinner has the same area. The spinner was spun 20 times. The table shows the results. For which color is the experimental probability of stopping on the color the same as the theoretical probability? Spinner Results Red 5 Orange 9 Green Blue 3 3 13 A bag contains one blue, one green, one yellow, and one red ball. A ball is drawn at random from the bag and then replaced. The table shows the results for 24 drawings. For which color of ball is the experimental probability of drawing the color the same as the theoretical probability? Random Drawing Results Red Yellow Green Blue 4 6 9 5 14 10. Odds: compare the number of favorable and unfavorable outcomes when all outcomes are equally likely 11. Odds in favor: odds in favor = Number of Favorable Outcomes Number of Unfavorable Outcomes 12. Odds against: odds against = Number of Unfavorable Outcomes Number of Favorable Outcomes 15 Each section of the spinner has the same area. Finds the odds against stopping on green. Find the odds of landing on orange. 16 Classwork: page 846: 4, 10, 12 Homework: page 846: 3 19, 20, 21 odd (skip 17) 17 18
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