1 16.209.1 Living Healthier, Staying Well : Timeline for developing our strategy and Integrated Medium Term Plan 1. Purpose of report The purpose of this report is to describe and refresh the strategic planning process for the Health Board from November 2016 onwards and how this will support and enable the development of a three year Integrated Medium Term Plan (IMTP) for 2018/21. The paper identifies the key milestones and outputs which will provide assurance to the Board during the proposed process. 2. Introduction The introduction of Integrated Medium Term Plans (IMTPs) across Wales signalled a move away from a focus on annual plans, towards a medium-term approach linked to organisational strategies. The NHS Wales Planning Framework 2017/20 confirms the requirement for every NHS organisation to have a long-term strategy which should be a separate document to the IMTP. “In essence, the strategy should set out the organisation’s strategic goals; outline the ‘roadmap’ which the organisation will follow; and describe how it will address any key strategic challenges or opportunities.” The guidance confirms that the IMTP document should “demonstrate how the actions to be taken during the three-year period help achieve the long term vision of the organisation set out in the strategy.” In July 2016, the Board received and approved the proposed approach for the strategy – entitled Living Healthier, Staying Well. The strategy will set out the strategic vision for the Board and will reshape how we support good health and provide healthcare for the medium to longer term. Our aspiration is to develop a strategy built on priorities which will be agreed with partners – Local Authorities, other statutory organisations, third and independent sector – and co-designed with service users and carers. The approach will be based on three overlapping major programmes within the overall portfolio: • • • Improving health and reducing inequalities Care closer to home Acute hospital care Whilst there will be a specific programme to drive and deliver on the Health Board’s contribution to improving health and reducing inequalities, the focus on addressing inequalities will be a founding principle for all areas. Each programme will be 2 required to demonstrate that improving health and well-being and reducing inequalities is the foundation. All programmes will need to have regard to the life course approach – understanding and addressing the needs of individuals and the impact on health at key stages of the life course. In addition to the three main programme areas, separate delivery frameworks will be developed for children & young people and older people, to ensure that health and well-being needs of these groups are addressed. A separate strategy for mental health and well-being is also being developed in view of the priority of this area for the Board. The strategy will also build on the work being undertaken in respect of the Social Services and Well-being (Wales) Act 2014 (SSWB Act) and the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015 (WFG Act.) The implementation of both Acts will require a significant cultural and behavioural shift within the Health Board, especially in relation to the way we work with the public we serve and with our partners. Both, however, represent a significant opportunity to create the conditions in which we can improve the well-being of both current and future generations in North Wales. NHS Wales Planning Framework Requirements and IMTP Core Content The Health Board is required under the NHS Finance (Wales) Act 2014 to prepare a three year IMTP for approval by the Cabinet Secretary for Health, Well-being and Sport. The IMTP must set out the immediate actions that we will take towards our strategic objectives. A three year focus allows us to set out clearly what we intend to do in the medium term and avoids ‘start/stop’ behaviors associated with the focus upon a single year. Whilst the IMTP must cover three years, it is acknowledged that the level of detail for each of the three years will be different as follows: Year 1 (2018/19): Year 1 plan will clearly describe, the actions and milestones for 2018/19. Year 1 will also set out the preparatory work to support delivery in future years. Year 2 (2019/20): The IMTP will indicate priorities, actions and risks for the second year and set out detail around key plans and metrics including performance trajectories. Work on major challenges or opportunities will be outlined. Year 3 (2020/21): The IMTP will show how we propose to make continued progress towards delivery of our strategic objectives and include as much detail as possible for year 3. 3. Developing our Long term Strategy - Approach and Timescale 3.1 Progress update on the Living Healthier, Staying Well strategy programme The methodology being used for the strategy development is a seven-stage model, adapted from strategy development guidance produced by Monitor for English NHS organisations. 3 Diagnose the current position Forecast – develop a clear view of the potential future Generate scenarios – ideas and options for change Prioritise ideas and build into an overall strategy Agree and implement the goals of the strategy Evolve – monitor the impact, refresh and recreate when necessary 2. Diagnose Establish baseline starting position - detailed summary of performance and drivers; evidence base and standards; commence modelling of health needs and population projections 3. Forecast Create a clear view of the potential future state – the optimum configuration for population needs 4. Generate scenarios Develop, explore and evaluate strategic ideas and options for change; detailed activity and capacity modelling and pathway development 5. Prioritise Make choices about the set of strategic ideas for change and build into one effective coherent strategy deliverable within sustainable resources; undertake formal consultation; review & refine strategy proposals in light of consultation outcomes 6. Agree and implement Board approval of recommendations. Create and communicate the action plan and allocate resources to deliver the goals of the strategy. Feed into IMTP 7. Evolve Monitor the impact of the strategy and recommit, refresh or recreate when needed Continuous engagement and communication throughout Impact assessment process running alongside strategy development Frame the strategic questions we are seeking to answer 1. Frame Agree on important strategic decisions to be made, and criteria and constraints for making them, including: what outcomes are we seeking to achieve? What are the “givens”? What criteria for assessment of scenarios? The first stage is to frame the strategy by agreeing the strategic questions we are seeking to answer; what the outcomes are which we are seeking to achieve; what are the fixed points or “givens”. This work has commenced and is ongoing. The programme structure has been established; the formal Programme Executive Group (PEG) has met three times and agreed governance arrangements. 4 Programme brief documents have been developed, which set out what each programme area is expected to achieve in terms of benefits, outcomes, scope and objectives. A set of strategic questions which provide a guide for the programme workstreams has also been agreed through the PEG. These questions are intended to guide the work of the programme areas. (Appendix 1) During the summer and early autumn a programme of general engagement, awareness raising and listening has been taking place led by the communications and engagement team. This has included attendance at a range of community events, shows and fairs, as well as participation in existing forums and partnership meetings. All the North Wales Public Service Boards (PSBs) have received a brief awareness raising presentation on the strategy. Engagement with seldom heard groups has begun, with attendance at a number of targeted events including the Equality Stakeholder Forum, a discussion with representatives of black and minority ethnic community groups and attendance at Lesbian Gay Bisexual Transgender (LGBT) forums. This will be developed further and extended as the strategy work progresses. Feedback from engagement to date has been shared with the strategy workstreams and will inform the baseline document being produced during November. This feedback is also being shared with operational teams and will feed into the operational planning work. A separate paper to the Board, on three specific documents developed to address special measures improvement milestones, also includes further detail on the approach to the strategy development overall. During the autumn of 2016, the Welsh Government has been seeking the views of people throughout North Wales on how we can ensure continued sustainable and improved health outcomes. The exercise, entitled “Delivering a Healthier North Wales”, has involved a range of face-to-face engagement as well as an online survey. The Cabinet Secretary for Health, Well-being and Sport will report on the initial conclusions before Christmas 2016. The proposed approach set out in this paper is designed to enable feedback through this process to be reflected as we move forward. Consequently the work programme and timelines may need to adapt to respond to this. 3.2 Next steps The next steps in the strategy programme will include the development of a baseline to describe the current position. Then we will begin to develop the vision for the programme workstreams and to describe what this might mean in terms of support for health and well-being and future delivery of healthcare. We will be undertaking further engagement with partner organisations, stakeholders and the population to do this. We will be seeking to respond to the assessments of need currently being developed in response to the SSWB Act and the WFG Act. We 5 will also be seeking to identify ways of working more closely together with partners and particularly the PSBs, to avoid unnecessary duplication and to share findings. By the summer of 2017 we will be able to describe scenarios for the future in sufficient detail to inform the development of the broad IMTP priorities. We will undertake a formal consultation with the population as needed and will be seeking to produce a final strategy and submit for approval by early 2018. This timeline reflects a small adjustment to the initial proposal presented to the July 2016 Board and has been made in order to allow for full reflection and response to the outcome of the Welsh Government (WG) “Delivering a Healthier North Wales” exercise described above. This timeline will still allow for a robust link to the IMTP development. The high level milestones for each of the stages of development are set out below. December 2016 – diagnosis By December 2016 we will have developed a baseline assessment setting out a summary of population health needs; performance; drivers for change; outcomes and quality standards. To support this work, external consultancy support is being commissioned. The baseline will be informed by: - the draft Social Services and Well-being Population Assessment (to be produced in November) - draft Well-being Assessment for Conwy and Denbighshire PSB (November) - a Health Board readiness assessment for the Well-being of Future Generations Act (December) - the statement of the Cabinet Secretary on the outcome of the WG Delivering a Healthier North Wales exercise By December, and taking account of the Cabinet Secretary statement, we will also have defined detailed next-stage project plans for programme workstreams, including key milestones; defined the next phase of engagement methodology and timescales, including engagement with staff; and confirmed content and project plans for enabling workstreams including impact assessment, finance, workforce, estates and infrastructure etc. • March 2017 – publication of Mental Health Strategy By March the Mental Health Strategy will be published, setting out the strategic direction for mental health and well-being together with high level priorities for action. • May 2017 - forecasting and generating scenarios Draft scenarios for the major elements of the strategy will be developed. These will be informed by - The publication of the draft Well-being Assessments for Gwynedd & Anglesey, Flintshire, and Wrexham PSBs (December – January) Publication of well-being objectives for the Health Board (March) 6 - Publication and approval of the final Population Assessment for the SSWB Act (March) Publication of the final approved Well-being Assessments for all PSBs A further programme (phase 2) of engagement will run alongside the strategy work during this phase, giving the opportunity for co-design of the scenarios for the overall strategy and for specific areas. This will include staff, stakeholders and partners as well as direct engagement with service users, carers and members of the public. The engagement team is supporting the development of a detailed plan which will be available in December alongside the next stage project plans. We will produce a document to share widely which sets out the issues being considered and invite feedback. The scenarios will be supported by enabling workstreams on workforce and organisational development, estates and capital; finance; information management and technology; activity and capacity modelling. Assessment of transport and travel issues, benefits realisation and a broader impact assessment (including equality impact assessment) will inform the work. July 2017 – prioritisation of scenarios By July 2017 the draft scenarios will have been developed with supporting technical details to enable recommendations to be made to the Board. An impact assessment will have been undertaken, including equality impact, which will consider the potential impact on people and whether the proposals will contribute to improving well-being. The scenarios will be brought together into a draft strategy document for consideration by the Board. This will include the high level strategic framework setting out how we will contribute to improving health and well-being and addressing inequalities. It will also set out the broad picture of future service models, with key areas identified and described in more depth. This will include Care Closer to Home and major elements of Acute Hospital Care. The work will reflect the findings of the joint work on population needs and well-being of communities which is being undertaken with Local Authority partners and other stakeholders. At this stage, there may be elements which can be supported and implemented, which would be fed into the IMTP development. Other elements may require formal consultation and would not be taken forward until tested through this route. September 2017 – potential consultation By September we will commence formal consultation if needed on the overall strategic approach proposed and any substantial changes which form part of the proposals. 7 December 2017 – review and refine scenarios Scenarios will be reviewed and refined in the light of consultation feedback and a final impact assessment will be undertaken. January 2018 – Board approval of strategy By early 2018 the final strategy will be submitted to the Board for approval with decisions taken regarding any consultation outcomes. The strategy should reflect the priorities identified within the PSBs’ well-being plans and the Area action plans required under the SSWB Act. Following the submission and approval of the strategy, implementation plans will be taken forward through the Integrated Medium Term Plan process. The strategy will be reviewed and refreshed as it evolves. 3.3 Bringing Together the Long Term Strategy and our 2018-21 IMTP The essence of our approach to developing the 2018/21 IMTP is to build on progress made in 2017/18, driving continuous improvement whilst also delivering upon the first three year commitments for implementation as identified within our longer term strategy The work to develop our long term strategy will therefore shape and inform our 3 year IMTP and associated planning process. For example, there are a number of common inputs for both the long term strategy and IMTP process including the requirements for a robust needs assessment, service baselines, outcome measures etc. We will ensure that these processes are joined up and completed once to feed both requirements of the long term strategy and IMTP. We will develop and publish our planning and commissioning intentions which will be the mechanism by which we will shape the development of our 2018/21 IMTP. This will be aligned to our organisational strategic goals and our shred priorities with partner organisations and will link the outputs of the long term strategy to the IMTP. The planning and commissioning intentions will take into account the following: - - Refreshed North Wales Population health priorities Emerging strategic priorities identified from our strategy work Partner organisations’ priorities, in particular arising from the SSWB Act and the Regional Partnership Board priorities, and WFG Act responses New or emerging National policy and planning guidance for 2018/21. A review of delivery in 2017/18 including key risks, quality and safety priorities Outputs from our Strategy work which have been agreed can be taken forward for implementation over the period of IMTP 2018/21 Local priorities for 2018/19 incorporating cluster plans; integrated health and social care and wider partnership plans; delivery plans for major health conditions e.g. cancer, respiratory, heart disease Key productivity, efficiency and financial parameters 8 Developing our Integrated Medium Term Plan Divisional Area, Secondary Care and Mental Health teams will work closely with our partners and through their departmental and service teams to focus on quality, safety, sustainability and patient/user experience. The plan will be integrated, bringing together service, workforce, infrastructure and financial elements.. There will be a continued drive to reduce variation and embed innovation across North Wales as our strategic direction is implemented, using data and best practice in support of all our work. Plans will be grounded in good evidence of effectiveness and will reflect the prudent healthcare principles: Achieve health and wellbeing, with the public, patients and professionals as equal partners through co-production Care for those with the greatest need first, making the most effective use of skills and resources Do only what is needed, no more, no less and do no harm Reduce inappropriate variation using evidence based practices consistently and transparently We will clearly demonstrate robust demand and capacity analysis with action plans to achieve and maintain targets within the resources available. This will include demand / referrals to other secondary care or tertiary services which will inform BCU external secondary care contracts and Welsh Health Specialised Services Committee (WHSSC) specialist services plans. Plans will be developed at a service and departmental to underpin the Board’s IMTP. Service and departmental plans will inform respective Area, Secondary care and Mental Health divisional level plans. These in turn will shape the development of key BCU Delivery Plans. IMTP Planning Timetable The IMTP planning timetable, key inputs and products are described in more detail below: April – May 2017 – Summary of population needs and baseline assessment We will consolidate the work undertaken to support strategy development to set out the key health challenges facing the population of North Wales and our assessment of current service provision. This will include the SSWB population assessment. This will clearly identify the context for the development of our IMTP July 2017 – Identification of strategic direction and key priorities for service change We will identify the priority areas for action within the Board’s emerging strategy, particularly those aspects which can be progressed over the first year of the IMTP in order that detailed implementation planning work can commence. 9 September - October 2017 – Development of Planning Guidance and Planning and Commissioning Intentions for 2018/21 Planning guidance / principles and a detailed planning timetable for 2018/21 IMTP will be developed by September 2017 to support all divisions. In September 2017, we will develop and publish our planning and commissioning intentions linking the output of our strategy work to the IMTP. By end September 2017, draft capital priorities for action will have been identified to shape our Capital Plan over this period including estates, medical devices and Information Management & Technology. It is expected that the NHS Planning Framework for 2018/21 will have been published by October 2017 which will reinforce national and ministerial priority areas. November 2017 - Divisional priorities identified and draft operational plans developed Area Teams, Secondary Care and Mental Health Teams will have identified their specific divisional priorities and departmental / service plans will be drafted in response to local planning and commissioning intentions, including Area action planning under the SSWB Act, PSB well-being objectives and national priorities. The following departmental / service plans have been identified for development. Departmental / Service Plans Services managed Services managed by By Area Management Secondary Care Teams Management Team Primary care Surgical Services Community hospitals Acute Medicine and A&E and services Therapy services Inpatient therapy services Medical Specialties Out of Hours Service Children’s / Child & Cancer Services Adolescent Mental Health Services Medicines Medicines Management Management Primary and Womens Services Community Dental Services Continuing Healthcare Clinical support services; (Radiology, Pathology, Audiology, EBME, genetics) Services Managed by MH&LD Management Team Primary Mental health Team Community Mental Health Team Inpatient mental health Services Substance Misuse Services Prison Services Medicines management Medium Secure Services Learning Disabilities 10 Dental Services Psychological Therapies Continuing Healthcare December 2017 Draft Delivery plans will be developed underpinning our IMTP and subject to review and scrutiny by the Strategy, Partnerships & Population Health (SPPH) Committee in December on behalf of the Board. January 2018 Draft BCU IMTP will be reviewed by Board in January 2018 prior to submission to Welsh Government for plan scrutiny. Importantly, at this stage, the Board are able to reflect upon the outputs from our consultation and agree the emerging priorities for implementation over the period of IMTP 2018/21. Following feedback, plans will be redrafted as required for submission to Board in March 2017. March 2018 - 2018/21 IMTP submitted to BCU Board for approval A high level timeline is attached at Appendix 2 which shows the proposed programme for the development of the strategy and IMTP. Actions to deliver the against the timeline set out above will be progressed via the Programme Executive Group and will be monitored through the Strategy, Partnerships and Population Health Committee of the Board. 4. Assessment of risk and key impacts The potential consequences of failure to develop a comprehensive strategy and subsequently an IMTP for the Health Board are significant. Both elements are key measures in the Special Measures Improvement Framework and failure to deliver will compromise the Board’s ability to address the health needs of the population and deliver improvements in health, well-being and service delivery. Furthermore, failure to produce an IMTP would result in a breach of the Board’s statutory responsibilities under the NHS Finance (Wales) Act 2014. The Living Healthier, Staying Well strategy programme has established a risk and issues log in accordance to identify and manage risks to strategy development which will be overseen by the Programme Executive Group. The Corporate Risk Register reflects the risks relating to both the strategy development and the IMTP (CRR8 and CRR17). 11 5. Equality Impact Assessment A full equality impact assessment will be undertaken on the strategy development programme as the strategic direction develops and future scenarios emerge. In order to ensure a robust process, gathering of evidence has commenced on relevant equality and human rights issues. The equality profiles for North Wales will be supported by additional evidence gathered in relation to specific workstreams. A more integrated approach to impact assessment is being developed, which will seek to streamline the evidence gathering and involvement process so that best use is made of the valuable contributions of people who might be affected by proposals under the strategy. The Strategy & Planning Equality Scrutiny Group of the Health Board will provide support, scrutiny and challenge throughout the process. 6. Conclusions / Next Steps The development of the Living Healthier, Staying Well strategy will provide clear strategic goals for the Health Board and identify a route to the longer term outcomes we are seeking to achieve. The development of an IMTP for 2018/21 is instrumental to delivering ever-improving services to meet the changing needs of the population of North Wales and a key requirement under the NHS Finance (Wales) Act 2014 to prepare a three year IMTP for approval by the Cabinet Secretary for Health, Well-being and Sport. 7. Recommendations The Board is asked to: Receive the report and endorse the timescale and approach to the development of its Strategy and the Integrated Medium Term Plan 12 Appendix 1 QUESTIONS TO FRAME STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT How can we work with people to improve health and well-being for all ages – physical and mental health – both now and in the future? What can we do to help reduce the differences in health and well-being in different parts of North Wales or different groups? How can we make sure our NHS always provides good, safe and effective care, and produces good results for all, to match the best? How will we reduce how long people wait for health services, so that people can get the support they need, at the time they need it, in the right place? How can we make sure we use our staff, our budgets and our hospitals, clinics and other facilities well so we can provide better NHS services in the future? How will we use current and new technology to help improve how we connect with people and how others connect with us? How do we work better together with our staff and with others in addressing these issues? How do we make sure we continue to listen and to learn from feedback and from patients’ experiences in the future?
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