The impact of the NRTI backbone resistance on the public health approach to PI-based second-line therapy in resource limited settings Thuy Le, MD, DPhil Hospital for Tropical Diseases Oxford University Clinical Research Unit Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam Background The WHO recommendations to recycle NRTIs in 2nd-line therapy are based largely on expert opinions 1st line NRTI 2nd line NRTI AZT or d4T TDF TDF + 3TC (or FTC) AZT + 3TC (or FTC) It is unclear whether at least one fully-active drug in the NRTI backbone is needed or is sufficient to achieve 2nd-line ART success Research objective We aimed to assess the impact of the genotypic susceptibility score of the NRTI backbone on the clinical and virological performance of a cohort of patients on 2nd-line therapy in Ho Chi Minh City. Study design Study population: 2nd-line LPVr-based ART cohort at the Hospital for Tropical Diseases in HCMC from 2006-20131,2 • confirmed virological failure to 1st-line ART • genotyping before 2nd-line ART switch Study outcomes: • Primary outcome: time to death or WHO-defined immunological/clinical failure • Secondary outcome: virological failure (confirmed VL ≥1000 copies/mL) assessed cross-sectionnally 1. Thao VP, et al, Medicine 2015 2. Thao VP, et al. JAC 2015 Genotypic susceptibility score (GSS) The susceptibility of the NRTI backbone is determined by the sum of GSS for each NRTI drug using the Stanford algorithm HIVdb scoring for 1 drug HIVdb intepretation GSS for 1 drug 0-9 Susceptible 1 10-14 Potential low-level resistance 0.75 15-29 Low-level resistance 0.5 30-59 Intermediate resistance 0.25 ≥60 High-level resistance 0 Statistical analyses Cox regression model was used to evaluate time to death or immunological/clinical failure Logistic regression model was used to evaluate risk of virological failure Explanatory variables: age, history of IDU, baseline CD4 counts and HIV RNA loads, history of PI exposure, and ART adherence Results 326 patients initiating 2nd-line LPVr-based ART (2006-2012) Clinical outcome cohort (N=246) - Had documented VF to 1st-line regimen - Had HIV genotyping Virological outcome cohort (N=173) - Were in active follow up - Had VL assessment 40 failure events (16%). Median follow up: 29 (IQR:15-44) months - 8 IF - 1 AIDS - 31 deaths 17 virological failure (10%) Characteristics of 246 patients in the clinical outcome cohort Characteristics Sex, male (%) Median age (years) Previous history of IDU (%)(n=235) Median CD4 count (cells/mm3) Median HIV RNA (log copies/mL) Second-line regimens (%) LPVr + 3TC + TDF LPVr + 3TC + TDF + AZT LPVr + 3TC + either ddI/d4T/ABC Adherence ≥95% <95% N=246 201 (81.7%) 32 (28-36) 97 (41.3%) 41 (14-82) 5.1 (4.6-5.5) 138 (56.1%) 93 (37.8%) 15 (6.1%) 219 (89.0%) 27 (11.0%) Resistance mutations at time of 2nd-line therapy switch Predicted susceptibility to NRTI drugs Calculated GSS of the 2nd-line NRTI backbone GSS of the NRTI Number of patients (%) backbone 0 68 (27.7%) 0.25-0.75 113 (45.9%) ≥1 65 (26.4%) Predictors of clinical failure (N=246) Covariates Univariate HR (95% CI) GSS=0 0.25≤ GSS <1 GSS≥1 1 0.59 (0.27-1.27) 1.11 (0.52-2.37) 0.195 1 0.74 (0.31-1.77) 1.49 (0.59-3.67) 0.313 Age (by +10 years) 1.38 (0.91-2.07) 0.127 1.89 (1.06-3.36) 0.031 History of IDU 1.62 (0.84-3.11) 0.151 2.91 (1.14-7.41) 0.025 0.031 0.643 1.81 (0.95-3.45) 0.85 (0.55-1.31) 0.072 0.461 0.875 0.98 (0.58-1.67) 0.958 CD4 count (by -50 cells) 1.86 (1.06-3.25) in first year subsequent years 0.92 (0.63-1.33) HIV RNA (by + log10 1.04 (0.65-1.65) copies/ml) p-value Adjusted HR (95% CI) p-value Adherence <95% 2.97 (1.44-6.09) 0.003 3.59 (1.47-8.80) 0.005 Prior PI use 0.65 (0.31-1.35) 0.252 2.59 (1.15-5.86) 0.021 Predictors of virological failure (N=173) Covariates GSS=0 0.25≤ GSS <1 GSS≥1 Univariate HR (95% CI) 1 2.29 (0.67-10.48) 1.55 (0.27-8.84) p-value Adjusted HR (95% CI) p-value 0.443 1 2.79 (0.70-14.85) 1.63 (0.18-12.43) 0.348 Age (by +10 years) 1.57 (0.75-3.12) 0.211 1.80 (0.59-5.29) 0.289 History of IDU 0.70 (0.22-2.00) 0.529 3.40 (0.67-20.11) 0.151 0.91 (0.56-1.28) 0.638 0.81 (0.39-1.37) 0.496 2.55 (1.16-5.99) 0.025 3.09 (1.18-8.95) 0.027 Adherence <95% 3.12 (0.08-10.28) 0.074 5.36 (1.08-26.92) 0.036 Prior PI use 5.33 (1.18-15.62) 0.002 11.13 (2.71-54.34) 0.001 CD4 count (by -50 cells/µl) HIV RNA (by +log10 copies/ml) Limitations Low CD4 counts indicate late therapy switching and a severe population where clinical events are likely driven by the consequences of immuno-suppression rather than by the effectiveness of 2nd-line therapy Extensive NRTI resistance could mask possible association between NRTI resistance and outcomes One-center study with limited generalisability Conclusions NRTI resistance does not predict clinical or virological outcomes of second-line ART in Vietnam Findings are consistent with data from the EARNEST trial showing that despite extensive resistance, the NRTI backbone adds to the potency and durability of LPVr-based 2nd-line therapy Supports the current public health strategy to recycle NRTIs in 2nd-line ART in resource-limited settings Continued adherence support, early detection of treatment failure, and timely therapy switching can improve the outcomes of patients on 2nd-line therapy
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