Agenda of the AgFoodTrade annual meeting SEVILLE 4-5 NOVEMBER 2010 Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS), Calle Inca de Garcilaso 3, ES-41010 Seville, Spain Sala Montreal Thursday November 4th Project Executive Board Meeting (members of the PEB and the management group only) 9h30. Project Executive Board Meeting, Part1 o Overview on the project work progress (JC Bureau). o Administrative and financial management review covering the first six months of the last reporting period - April 2010- November 2010 ( E. Muhr). o Use of the funds and resources allocated against planned efforts and expenditure (E. Muhr) o Status of the deliverables to the Commission (J.C Bureau and E. Muhr) o Information on financial issues: Status of interim payments by the Commission. Transfers to the PEB members. Problems with payments to WSEB and ISRA (J.C Bureau and E. Muhr). o The issue of the technical audit o Explanation of the technical audit and what is at stake (E. Muhr) o Presentation of the outputs of the project in comparison with the description of work (JC Bureau) o Identification of the potential weak points for the AgFoodTrade audit Progress on the ongoing tasks and next deliverables (all participants) o Finalization of the last outputs of WP01, in regard to the Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit. o o o 13h Lunch Databases (H. Boumellassa) Baselines and scenarios (R. M'Barek) Conclusion regarding the deliverables and the Description of Work (L. Salvatici) Progress on the ongoing tasks and next deliverables, continued (all participants) 14h15 o Status of current work and planned future work under WP02, in regard to the Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit. o o o o o Status of current work and planned future work under WP03, in regard to the Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit. o o o o o o Case study on France (J.C. Bureau) Case study on Poland (W. Florkowski) Case study on Senegal (F.C Sadibou) Cases study on Ireland and Uganda (A. Matthews) Conclusion regarding the deliverables and the Description of Work (A. Matthews) Status of current work and planned future work under WP04, in regard to the Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit. o o o o Spatial model (G. Anania) CAP-analysis model (A. Gohin) CGE trade oriented model (W. Yu and A. Bouët) Conclusion regarding the deliverables and the Description of Work (W. Yu) Competiton issues (M. Scoppola) Price volatility issues (C. Gouël) SPS and TBT issues (A.C Disdier and K. Balzer) Status of current work and planned future work under WP05, in regard to the Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit. o o Work on biofuels and land use (JC Bureau, D. Laborde) Work on resources, poverty (A. Bouët) 18h00 Special meetings Friday November 5th Scientific presentations (all participants) 9h 00 Long presentations (to be discussed) Proposed topics so far o C. Gouel: Optimal policies for agricultural prices stabilization o A. Bouët: Poverty impacts of trade agreements: CGE approach (to be confirmed) o M.Scoppola: Preferences erosion and the developing countries exports to the EU: a dynamic panel gravity approach o H. Valin, D. Laborde: indirect land use changes and biofuels: CGE approach 13h15 Lunch. Short presentations. Current proposals (a selection needs to be made) : o S. Jean: Methodology and data for assessing the impact of EU preferential trade agreements o B. Bayramoglu adn R. Chakir The indirect impacts of french biofuel policies on pesticide demand: o an econometric analysis. o L. Le Mener. Does Input Trade Liberalization Boost Downstream Firms Exports? Theory and Evidence o O. Boysen: The poverty impact of the EPA : the Uganda case. o C. Miller and A. Matthews: CGE-MS models for distributional analysis of trade reforms: the case of Ireland o Matthews: Market access for African agri-food exports to the EU’ o L. Salvatici: Exports vs. FDIs: evidence from cross-country industry data o M. Cipollina, D. Laborde and L.Salvatici: Trade preferences: a gravity equation approach for a comparison between EU and US trade policies o L. Salvatici :Regionalism vs. Multilateralism: assessing the EU trade strategy o G. Anania and M. Scoppola: An assessment of the impact of recent trade policy changes in the banana market under alternative market structures o Henning T. Jensen : work on agriculture bias o A.C. Disdier and S. Marette: Comparison of the economic impacts of measures for ensuring import safety (two related works). o F. Ferrari and M. Mueller: Using Macro Indicators for Consistent CGE Baselines" o A. Gonzalez : Obstacles to agricultural trade between Africa-EU which are the main determinants for the exporters? o K. Latouche: Adoption of Private Standards Required by Retailers: Which benefits for exporters ? o C. Emlinger and A. Berthou : Unit value database: The collapse of world trade and the shift to lower quality o C. Mitaritonna: Recent developments with MIRAGE- HS6 and TRQ version Project Executive Board Meeting (members of the PEB and the management group only) 16h. PEB Meeting Part 2 (PEB Members only) Discussion and conclusions regarding measures to be taken so as to fulfil the commitments and the technical audit, and decisions on the financial issues that iqre involved. The next meeting (Poland ?). Pro-Memoria: Partners Partner code France (Paris + Rennes) P02 UCPH Denmark (Copenhagen) P03 UNIMOL Italy (Molise) P04 TCD Ireland (Dublin) P05 IFPRI USA (Washington P06 WSEB Poland (Warsaw) P07 ISRA-BAME Senegal (Dakar) P08 JRC IPTS Spain (Sevilla) P09 CIREM France (Paris) P10 SAU Slovakia (Nitra) P11 VITAMIB France (Grenoble) P12 UNICAL Italy (Calabria) Title Activity The current state and predictable future of agricultural liberalization Changes in world agricultural trade Changes in national agricultural systems and income distribution Competition, regulations and price fluctuations Structural changes in food and biofuels demand Dissemination and articulation with policy makers Project Management WP02 WP03 WP04 WP05 WP06 WP07 Country INRA Workpackages (after amendment) Code WP01 Short Name CO01 Responsible A01 P03 – (L. Salvatici) Ending month 18 A01 A01 P02 – (W. Yu) P04 – (A. Matthews) 32 30 A01 A01 A02 A03 CO01 – (S. Jean) P05 (A. Bouët) CO01 (JC Bureau) P11 (E. Muhr) 33 35 41 41 Deliverables (after the ongoing amendment) Code D01.01 D02.01 D03.01 D04.01 D05.01 D06.01 D06.02 D06.03 D06.04 D06.05 D07.01 Work Package Databases, indicators and definition of prospective scenarios WP01 Modelling trade liberalization WP02 Impact assessment on EU and developing countries WP03 agricultural systems New issues in assessing the consequences of trade WP04 liberalization Biofuels and structural changes in food markets WP05 Leaflet introducing the project WP06 Project Website WP06 Prospective Use and Dissemination Plan (12 Months) WP06 Intermediate Dissemination and Use plan (24 Months) WP06 Final Dissemination and Use plan (36 Months) WP06 Project Handbook WP07 Title Responsible Delivery date P08 P02 18 32 P04 30 CO01 36 P05 CO01 P11 CO01 CO01 CO01 P11 35 2 4 12 24 37 3 Tasks (after the ongoing amendment) Code Title WP01.T01 WP01.T02 WP01.T03 WP02.T01 WP02.T02 Baselines and scenarios Databases Methodology and indicators for impact assessments Development of trade-specific CGE model Spatial model to assess changes in the direction of agricultural trade A macro level assessment of the impact of agricultural trade liberalization Assessment of the impact of trade liberalization on the EU agricultural sector A focus on the microeconomic impact of agricultural trade liberalisation: The case of France The impact of trade liberalization on agriculture and income distribution in the EU: The case of Ireland The impact of agricultural trade liberalization on the EU agricultural sector: The case of Poland Adjustment of the food sector to trade liberalization: evidence from firm-level data in new EU member states The potential impact of trade liberalization on poverty: the cases of Senegal and Uganda Market structure and agricultural trade liberalization Trade liberalization and the volatility of world prices The trade impact of TBT and SPS measures The effects of alternative European biofuel policies on European agricultural markets The effects of biofuel policies on world agricultural markets with a specific focus on developing countries The effects of alternative demographic and economic scenarios in developing countries on world demand for agricultural and food products Dissemination tools set-up and update Dissemination activities Articulation with decision makers Management Initiation Management Cruise Mode Management Termination WP02.T03 WP03.T01 WP03.T02 WP03.T03 WP03.T04 WP03.T05 WP03.T06 WP04.T01 WP04.T02 WP04.T03 WP05.T01 WP05.T02 WP05.T03 WP06.T01 WP06.T02 WP06.T03 WP07.T01 WP07.T02 WP07.T03 Responsible P08 – R. M’Barek P09 – H. Boumellassa P03 – L. Salvatici P09 – Y. Decreux P12 – G. Anania Starts Ends 6 13 18 28 28 P02 – W. Yu 32 CO01- A. Gohin 26 CO01 – K. Louhichi/F. Jacquet P04- A. Matthews 24 P06 – W. Florkowski 30 P10 – J. Pokrivcak 30 P07 – P.N Dieye 30 P03 – M. Scoppola CO01- C. Gouël P02 –K. Baltzer CO01 – D. Treguer 31 39 30 35 P05 – D. Laborde 35 P05 – A. Bouët 35 P11 – E. Muhr P08 - R. M’Barek CO01- JC Bureau P11 – E. Muhr P11 – E. Muhr P11 – E. Muhr 41 41 35 3 33 41 28
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