Agenda_AgFoodTrade_Seville_Draft1

Agenda of the AgFoodTrade annual meeting
SEVILLE 4-5 NOVEMBER 2010
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS),
Calle Inca de Garcilaso 3, ES-41010 Seville, Spain
Sala Montreal
Thursday November 4th
Project Executive Board Meeting
(members of the PEB and the management group only)
9h30. Project Executive Board Meeting, Part1
o
Overview on the project work progress (JC Bureau).
o
Administrative and financial management review covering the first six months of
the last reporting period - April 2010- November 2010 ( E. Muhr).
o
Use of the funds and resources allocated against planned efforts and
expenditure (E. Muhr)
o
Status of the deliverables to the Commission (J.C Bureau and E. Muhr)
o
Information on financial issues: Status of interim payments by the Commission.
Transfers to the PEB members. Problems with payments to WSEB and ISRA (J.C
Bureau and E. Muhr).
o
The issue of the technical audit
o
Explanation of the technical audit and what is at stake (E. Muhr)
o
Presentation of the outputs of the project in comparison with the
description of work (JC Bureau)
o
Identification of the potential weak points for the AgFoodTrade audit
Progress on the ongoing tasks and next deliverables
(all participants)
o
Finalization of the last outputs of WP01, in regard to the Description of Work,
and issues for the technical audit.
o
o
o
13h Lunch
Databases (H. Boumellassa)
Baselines and scenarios (R. M'Barek)
Conclusion regarding the deliverables and the Description of Work (L.
Salvatici)
Progress on the ongoing tasks and next deliverables, continued
(all participants)
14h15
o
Status of current work and planned future work under WP02, in regard to the
Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit.
o
o
o
o
o
Status of current work and planned future work under WP03, in regard to the
Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit.
o
o
o
o
o
o
Case study on France (J.C. Bureau)
Case study on Poland (W. Florkowski)
Case study on Senegal (F.C Sadibou)
Cases study on Ireland and Uganda (A. Matthews)
Conclusion regarding the deliverables and the Description of Work (A.
Matthews)
Status of current work and planned future work under WP04, in regard to the
Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit.
o
o
o
o
Spatial model (G. Anania)
CAP-analysis model (A. Gohin)
CGE trade oriented model (W. Yu and A. Bouët)
Conclusion regarding the deliverables and the Description of Work (W. Yu)
Competiton issues (M. Scoppola)
Price volatility issues (C. Gouël)
SPS and TBT issues (A.C Disdier and K. Balzer)
Status of current work and planned future work under WP05, in regard to the
Description of Work, and issues for the technical audit.
o
o
Work on biofuels and land use (JC Bureau, D. Laborde)
Work on resources, poverty (A. Bouët)
18h00 Special meetings
Friday November 5th
Scientific presentations
(all participants)
9h 00 Long presentations (to be discussed)
Proposed topics so far
o
C. Gouel: Optimal policies for agricultural prices stabilization
o
A. Bouët: Poverty impacts of trade agreements: CGE approach (to be
confirmed)
o
M.Scoppola: Preferences erosion and the developing countries exports to the
EU: a dynamic panel gravity approach
o
H. Valin, D. Laborde: indirect land use changes and biofuels: CGE approach
13h15 Lunch.
Short presentations.
Current proposals (a selection needs to be made)
:
o S. Jean: Methodology and data for assessing the impact of EU preferential trade
agreements
o
B. Bayramoglu adn R. Chakir The indirect impacts of french biofuel policies on
pesticide demand:
o
an econometric analysis.
o
L. Le Mener. Does Input Trade Liberalization Boost Downstream Firms Exports?
Theory and Evidence
o
O. Boysen: The poverty impact of the EPA : the Uganda case.
o
C. Miller and A. Matthews: CGE-MS models for distributional analysis of trade
reforms: the case of Ireland
o
Matthews: Market access for African agri-food exports to the EU’
o
L. Salvatici: Exports vs. FDIs: evidence from cross-country industry data
o
M. Cipollina, D. Laborde and L.Salvatici: Trade preferences: a gravity equation
approach for a comparison between EU and US trade policies
o
L. Salvatici :Regionalism vs. Multilateralism: assessing the EU trade strategy
o
G. Anania and M. Scoppola: An assessment of the impact of recent trade policy
changes in the banana market under alternative market structures
o
Henning T. Jensen : work on agriculture bias
o
A.C. Disdier and S. Marette: Comparison of the economic impacts of measures for
ensuring import safety (two related works).
o
F. Ferrari and M. Mueller: Using Macro Indicators for Consistent CGE Baselines"
o
A. Gonzalez : Obstacles to agricultural trade between Africa-EU which are the main
determinants for the exporters?
o
K. Latouche: Adoption of Private Standards Required by Retailers: Which benefits for
exporters ?
o
C. Emlinger and A. Berthou : Unit value database: The collapse of world trade and
the shift to lower quality
o
C. Mitaritonna: Recent developments with MIRAGE- HS6 and TRQ version
Project Executive Board Meeting
(members of the PEB and the management group only)
16h. PEB Meeting Part 2 (PEB Members only)
Discussion and conclusions regarding measures to be taken so as to fulfil the
commitments and the technical audit, and decisions on the financial issues that iqre
involved.
The next meeting (Poland ?).
Pro-Memoria: Partners
Partner code
France (Paris + Rennes)
P02
UCPH
Denmark (Copenhagen)
P03
UNIMOL
Italy (Molise)
P04
TCD
Ireland (Dublin)
P05
IFPRI
USA (Washington
P06
WSEB
Poland (Warsaw)
P07
ISRA-BAME
Senegal (Dakar)
P08
JRC IPTS
Spain (Sevilla)
P09
CIREM
France (Paris)
P10
SAU
Slovakia (Nitra)
P11
VITAMIB
France (Grenoble)
P12
UNICAL
Italy (Calabria)
Title
Activity
The current state and predictable future of agricultural
liberalization
Changes in world agricultural trade
Changes in national agricultural systems and income
distribution
Competition, regulations and price fluctuations
Structural changes in food and biofuels demand
Dissemination and articulation with policy makers
Project Management
WP02
WP03
WP04
WP05
WP06
WP07
Country
INRA
Workpackages (after amendment)
Code
WP01
Short Name
CO01
Responsible
A01
P03 – (L. Salvatici)
Ending
month
18
A01
A01
P02 – (W. Yu)
P04 – (A. Matthews)
32
30
A01
A01
A02
A03
CO01 – (S. Jean)
P05 (A. Bouët)
CO01 (JC Bureau)
P11 (E. Muhr)
33
35
41
41
Deliverables (after the ongoing amendment)
Code
D01.01
D02.01
D03.01
D04.01
D05.01
D06.01
D06.02
D06.03
D06.04
D06.05
D07.01
Work
Package
Databases, indicators and definition of prospective scenarios WP01
Modelling trade liberalization
WP02
Impact assessment on EU and developing countries
WP03
agricultural systems
New issues in assessing the consequences of trade
WP04
liberalization
Biofuels and structural changes in food markets
WP05
Leaflet introducing the project
WP06
Project Website
WP06
Prospective Use and Dissemination Plan (12 Months)
WP06
Intermediate Dissemination and Use plan (24 Months)
WP06
Final Dissemination and Use plan (36 Months)
WP06
Project Handbook
WP07
Title
Responsible
Delivery date
P08
P02
18
32
P04
30
CO01
36
P05
CO01
P11
CO01
CO01
CO01
P11
35
2
4
12
24
37
3
Tasks (after the ongoing amendment)
Code
Title
WP01.T01
WP01.T02
WP01.T03
WP02.T01
WP02.T02
Baselines and scenarios
Databases
Methodology and indicators for impact assessments
Development of trade-specific CGE model
Spatial model to assess changes in the direction of
agricultural trade
A macro level assessment of the impact of agricultural
trade liberalization
Assessment of the impact of trade liberalization on the EU
agricultural sector
A focus on the microeconomic impact of agricultural trade
liberalisation: The case of France
The impact of trade liberalization on agriculture and
income distribution in the EU: The case of Ireland
The impact of agricultural trade liberalization on the EU
agricultural sector: The case of Poland
Adjustment of the food sector to trade liberalization:
evidence from firm-level data in new EU member states
The potential impact of trade liberalization on poverty: the
cases of Senegal and Uganda
Market structure and agricultural trade liberalization
Trade liberalization and the volatility of world prices
The trade impact of TBT and SPS measures
The effects of alternative European biofuel policies on
European agricultural markets
The effects of biofuel policies on world agricultural markets
with a specific focus on developing countries
The effects of alternative demographic and economic
scenarios in developing countries on world demand for
agricultural and food products
Dissemination tools set-up and update
Dissemination activities
Articulation with decision makers
Management Initiation
Management Cruise Mode
Management Termination
WP02.T03
WP03.T01
WP03.T02
WP03.T03
WP03.T04
WP03.T05
WP03.T06
WP04.T01
WP04.T02
WP04.T03
WP05.T01
WP05.T02
WP05.T03
WP06.T01
WP06.T02
WP06.T03
WP07.T01
WP07.T02
WP07.T03
Responsible
P08 – R. M’Barek
P09 – H. Boumellassa
P03 – L. Salvatici
P09 – Y. Decreux
P12 – G. Anania
Starts
Ends
6
13
18
28
28
P02 – W. Yu
32
CO01- A. Gohin
26
CO01 – K. Louhichi/F.
Jacquet
P04- A. Matthews
24
P06 – W. Florkowski
30
P10 – J. Pokrivcak
30
P07 – P.N Dieye
30
P03 – M. Scoppola
CO01- C. Gouël
P02 –K. Baltzer
CO01 – D. Treguer
31
39
30
35
P05 – D. Laborde
35
P05 – A. Bouët
35
P11 – E. Muhr
P08 - R. M’Barek
CO01- JC Bureau
P11 – E. Muhr
P11 – E. Muhr
P11 – E. Muhr
41
41
35
3
33
41
28