Embassy Row Acquisition Update November 2008 Confidential Draft Executive Summary • Reality remains a critical growth area for SPE and requires further investment – Sector offers attractive program economics and continues to grow – GSN is increasingly dependent on original game shows to drive growth – 2waytraffic provides strong international distribution but needs additional U.S. product to fill distribution capacity • Through the acquisition of his production company (Embassy Row / “ER”), Michael Davies will serve as a cornerstone of our reality strategy – Strong track record, credible internationally and works well with 2way and GSN – ER earnings will be below CY08 budget, but we continue to believe in ER’s potential and do not anticipate a significant negative impact on overall economics – ER recently received orders for new shows (Newlywed Game, Make My Day, Empire, PopTub) and has key properties in development (American Bandstand, Dating Game) • We are seeking approval to close the Embassy Row acquisition – Long-form negotiated in-line with terms previously discussed ($25MM at close, up to an additional $50MM of earn-outs) – RAD to be signed week after Thanksgiving – Target closing December 12th 1 Strategic Benefits Track Record • Michael Davies has a history of success with shows like “Who Wants to be a Millionaire?” and “Wife Swap” • Now focusing on reinvigorating Sony brands (“Dating Game” and “Newlywed Game”) and launching new shows with global potential (“The Comedy Exchange”) International Credibility • Well regarded both domestically and internationally • Strong relationships with networks in multiple territories • Creates new formats that leverages 2way's distribution capacity Fit with 2waytraffic • Valuable sales asset for selling new ER formats, SPT library formats, and 2way formats in the U.S. – Driving force behind 2waytraffic’s format “All-Star Mr. and Mrs.” being developed for the U.S. (likely with CBS) • Successful, original programming is key to GSN’s growth strategy Fit with GSN • Embassy Row is now a key source of GSN originals, including: – Shows in production: Newlywed Game – Shows in development: Hold on to Your Seat, It’s A Knockout: U.S. vs. France, Honey Please and Game Show Talk Show 2 Key Terms: Deal Consideration Current Deal Structure • $25MM cash at close • Up to $50MM of additional earn-outs tied to “Adjusted Company Profit” (ACP) –ACP mimics the portion of profits ER would retain under the existing overall deal, tying earn-outs to profits that are truly incremental to SPE –Value of earn-outs would be calculated in Year 6 as: 7x (Average of Years 5-6 ACP) minus $25MM advance • Earn-out payments would be made between Year 6 and Year 10 –Subject to the creation of an incentive plan to be approved by the SCA Comp Committee, 10% of earn-out would be paid to employees in Year 6; 10% in Year 7 –80% of earn-out paid to Davies over Years 6-10 if Davies meets minimum Adjusted Company Profit (ACP) targets –Earn-out payments can be accelerated if Davies exceeds ACP goals Changes from April 2008 Deal Update • No change to overall consideration or mix between cash at close and earn-out • Changed earn-out measurement period from years 3-5 to years 5-6 to improve tax impact to Davies and accounting impact to SPE • Earn-out payments are no longer subject to Davies being employed by SPE 3 Financial Performance CY07 Through 3/31/09 • Operating income was in-line with previous projections – $3.3MM actual vs. $3.4MM budget • 15 months ending March 2009 is expected to be below forecast – 15 month forecast was revised downward in October from $1.1MM to ($0.1MM) – November through March Forecast (period owned by Sony) was revised down from $2.0MM to $0.9MM • FY09 EBIT impact will be better than budget, roughly in-line with Q2 forecast FY09 – Q1 forecast for FY09 EBIT was ($3MM) with higher amortization and excluding P10 – Q2 forecast for FY09 EBIT was $0.4MM with lower amortization and including P10 – Current forecast for FY09 EBIT is $0.3MM, offsetting near-term earnings miss with decreased incremental investment in overhead and development FY10 Forward • We believe Michael Davies will continue to generate successful new shows and the deal will generate a positive NPV of $8.0MM – Although value of on-air shows (including Power of 10) has decreased, the ability to leverage 2waytraffic and ER’s currently increased staff has decreased our required incremental investment – Model assumes that ER creates 2 format successes in the next 3 years 4 Embassy Row’s Pipeline Remains Strong Pilot & Series Orders Show Newlywed Game Shows in Development Network GSN Show The Comedy Exchange Network BBC / UKTV TV Land Grand Masters of Pop Culture Vh1 The Empire MTV Hold on to Your Seat GSN National Bible Championships CMT It’s A Knockout: U.S. vs. France GSN / TBD Honey Please GSN / TBD Make My Day Pop Tub America’s Strongest American Hogs & Heifers YouTube CBS Oxygen Game Show Talk Show GSN American Bandstand TBD Dating Game N/A 5 Financial Impact – Base Case Prior Base Case (4/08) P&L FY13 P&L $15.5 $21.6 EBITDA ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($0.1) $5.2 $11.1 $17.3 $1.4 $1.4 $3.7 $5.8 $6.7 Amortization ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) ($4.4) Incremental EBIT ($3.0) ($3.0) ($0.7) $1.5 $2.4 EBITDA Amortization EBIT Incremental EBITDA FY09 FY10 FY11 $1.9 $4.3 $9.6 ($4.4) ($4.4) ($2.5) Current Base Case FY12 FY09 FY10 FY11 $1.6 $0.7 $3.3 $5.5 $6.2 ($1.3) ($3.1) ($3.1) ($3.1) ($1.8) EBIT $0.3 ($2.4) $0.1 $2.4 $4.3 Incremental EBITDA $0.9 $0.5 $3.2 $5.4 $6.2 Amortization ($1.3) ($3.1) ($3.1) ($3.1) ($1.8) Incremental EBIT ($0.4) ($2.6) $0.1 $2.3 $4.3 Amortization FY12 FY13 NPV (10-year) Nominal (10-Year) NPV (10-year) Nominal (10-Year) Incremental EBITDA: $21.0 Incremental EBITDA: $52.8 Incremental EBITDA: $18.3 Incremental EBITDA: $47.0 Terminal Value: $74.2 Value of Exit (2): $14.7 Terminal Value: $67.8 Total Consideration: ($25.0) Total Consideration: ($25.0) Total Consideration: ($25.0) Total Consideration: ($25.0) Net Present Value (3): $12.2 Consideration / EBITDA: 47% Net Present Value (3): $8.0 Consideration / EBITDA: 53% Value of Exit (2): $16.1 Notes: Difference between total EBITDA and Incremental EBITDA is the portion of shows we own under Davies’ current deal Old Cases assume ER is owned for all of FY09 while New Cases assume ER is owned as of December 1, 2008 Assumes a risk adjusted discount rate of 16.5% for all NPV calculations (1) If ER secures 5% chargebacks, EBIT in FY10 - FY13 would be ($0.1), $1.9, $3.6 and $6.1, NPV would be $18.1MM (2) Includes exit at 11x multiple (3) Includes $25MM up-front, incremental EBITDA less earn-outs, plus exit at 11x 6 Cumulative Incremental EBITDA/NPV: Current Base Case vs. Prior Base Case • Value associated with properties currently on-air has decreased – Partially offset by decrease in required investment in overhead and development as a result of the ability to leverage 2waytraffic and ER’s currently increased staff • Value of properties in development is higher because ER network contracts include chargebacks (1) Estimates for Properties On-air Power of 10 (2) Other TV Interactive Sub-Total Estimates for Properties In-Development TV Interactive Sub-Total Expenses ER Overhead Incremental Investment Sub-Total Deal Consideration Total Acquired EBITDA Prior Base Case (SCA Preview 04/08) NPV 10-yr EBITDA Impact Cash Flow Terminal Total $36.5 $15.0 $10.4 $25.4 $13.0 $9.1 $0.0 $9.1 $13.9 $6.4 $3.5 $9.9 $63.4 $30.5 $13.9 $44.4 Current NPV 10-yr EBITDA Impact $0.3 $0.0 $12.9 $13.2 Cash Flow $0.3 $0.0 $5.8 $6.1 Terminal $0.0 $0.0 $3.3 $3.3 Total $0.3 $0.0 $9.1 $9.4 $81.4 $3.5 $84.9 $31.6 $1.6 $33.2 $26.2 $0.9 $27.1 $57.8 $2.5 $60.3 $97.6 $7.9 $105.5 $40.0 $3.7 $43.7 $28.4 $1.9 $30.3 $68.4 $5.7 $74.0 ($40.8) ($54.7) ($95.5) ($18.4) ($24.2) ($42.6) ($10.5) ($14.4) ($24.9) ($28.9) ($38.6) ($67.5) ($53.1) ($18.6) ($71.7) ($22.8) ($8.7) ($31.5) ($14.3) ($4.6) ($18.9) ($37.1) ($13.3) ($50.4) N/A ($25.0) N/A ($25.0) N/A ($25.0) N/A ($25.0) $52.8 ($4.0) $16.1 $12.2 $47.0 ($6.7) $14.7 $8.0 Note: (1) Includes chargebacks of 5% of budget on new shows. (2) Includes only portion of P10 acquired from Davies. 7 Economic Impact of Acquiring Embassy Row Cumulative 10 Yr. EBITDA (1) ($ in MM) Cumulative 10 Yr. EBIT(2) ($ in MM) Current Current Prior $40 $52.8 $50 ($ in MM) Prior $60 NPV Current Prior $14 $12.2 $34.5 $12 $47.0 $30.9 $30 $10 $40 $8 $30 $8.0 $20 $6 $20 $4 $10 $10 $2 $0 $0 Base Case $0 Base Case Base Case Footnotes: (1) Based on incremental EBITDA (e.g., only includes portion of Power of 10 SPE did not already own). In all cases, assumes incremental EBITDA is flat in years 6-10 for purposes of calculating any earn-out acceleration. 8 (2) EBIT after Earn-out. Embassy Row Deal Timing Day Item 11/24 • SPT and Embassy Row meeting to close final open issues in long-form agreement 11/26 • Contract is agreed by both parties but remains unsigned 12/10 • Sony Approval process complete (RAD signed) – provides two weeks after Thanksgiving to secure all signatures • Purchase Agreement “dated as of the closing date” signed and put into “lawyer escrow” 12/12 S M November T W T 2 9 16 23 30 3 10 17 24 4 11 18 25 6 13 20 27 7 14 21 28 S 1 8 15 22 29 M 1 8 15 22 29 December T W T 2 3 4 9 10 11 16 17 18 23 24 25 30 31 F 5 12 19 26 S 6 13 20 27 S 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 F • Funds wired and deal closes 9 Appendix 10 Current Year Update • Since we began negotiations, Davies’ forecast for his standalone business has declined from $3.5MM to breakeven • $1MM of the decline has occurred since submitting the MRP and would impact SPE’s FY09 dollar-for-dollar unless we further decrease our incremental investment in ER operations Embassy Row Standalone EBITDA Forecast ($ in 000) As of 4/08 Briefing As of MRP Today SPE EBITDA Forecasts Embassy Row CY08 (15 mos.) Nov 08 – Mar 09 (5 mos.) SPE EBITDA FY09 Impact $3,500 N/A $1,900 (1) $1,092 ($163) (3) $2,051 $891 $1,750 (2) $1,561 (4) Notes • SPE EBITDA is a base case which assumed some ER shows missed as well as additional SPT revenue and expenses • Includes incremental investment and headcount re-adjustments and revised Power of 10 profits • Includes a reduction in incremental investment and headcount re-adjustments • Includes $350K in expenses saved by not closing during the month of November Footnotes: (1) 12 months ending 3/31/09. (2) 5 months ending 3/31/09. (3) 15 month net operating profit from Davies estimated at ($694K). Excludes $530K from Davies salary ($264K) and salary re-adjustment ($266K). (4) 4 months ending 3/31/09. Assumes zero additional revenue during the month of November. 11 Managing Current Year Earnings Current Dec 08 - Mar 09 Net Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit Expenses - Embassy Row Operating Income as Provided by ER Expenses - SPT Headcount Re-adjust (1) Expenses - SPT Investment Savings for Not Owning in November $2,665,947 ($24,000) As of MRP Nov 08 - Mar 09 $3,740,091 ($24,000) $2,641,947 $3,716,091 ($1,751,403) ($1,665,403) $890,544 ($530,494) $2,050,688 ($1,074,144) ($86,000) ($1,160,144) $0 ($963,094) $963,094 $350,000 N/A $350,000 $899,319 Power of 10 Profits 850,621 850,621 $1,560,671 $1,749,940 ($1,302,083) ($1,302,083) EBIT w/ Power of 10 $0 ($342,219) $710,050 Amortization ($1,074,144) ($188,275) EBITDA b/f Power of 10 EBITDA w/ Power of 10 Variance $258,588 $447,857 ($189,269) $0 ($189,269) $0 ($189,269) Footnotes: (1) Includes $61K in expenses that weren’t accrued and $25K in December bonuses which weren’t accrued. (2) Gross up on employee salaries for Nov-Mar 2009. SPT also should have accrued for an additional $342K of expenses ($106K associated with Davies' salary in Nov and Dec.; $173K of accruals for aspire bonuses; $63K in fringe in Nov. and Dec.). 12 Key Terms: Calculation and Payment of Earn-out • The portion of the “Earn-out Value” not paid to employees will be paid as follows: • “Year 6 Acceleration” – If the Earn-out Value is $50MM; • All or a portion of the earn-out will be eligible for payment in year 6 • For every $1 by which cumulative Year 1-6 ACP exceeds $56MM; $0.40 of the earn-out will be paid in year 6 • “Vesting Payments” – Any portion of the earn-out not paid in year 6 or set aside for the employee pool, will be payable equally per year in years 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 if: • ACP in any given year meets or exceeds a threshold Threshold ACP will equal the lesser of 80% of the year 5-6 average or $8.6MM Earnings are “crossed” for purposes of vesting (i.e., earnings shortfall in early years can be made-up in future years) • “Acceleration of Vesting Payments” – In Years 6-10, any payments normally payable under the Vesting Payments will be subject to acceleration • For every $1 a given year’s ACP exceeds 125% of the Year 5-6 average; Davies will accelerate $0.40 of the total vesting payments – Any acceleration will decrease future year payments ratably 13 Key Terms: Davies Employment and Non-compete Current Deal Structure • Davies will be subject to a 4 year employment agreement –Exclusive to SPE with the exception of Executive Producer services on Who Wants to be a Millionaire? and Wife Swap Journalistic work for ESPN (e.g., Davies’ World Cup Blog) –Liquidated damages if employment contract is breached • After a 4 year employment contract: –If Davies chooses not to stay; he is subject to a 2 year non-compete –If Davies wants to stay; SPT may retain him for 2 years –If Davies wants to stay and SPT doesn’t retain him; he is not subject to a 2 year non-compete Changes from April 2008 Deal Update • Previously discussed a 5 year contract • Shortened to 4 years to address tax and accounting issues • Introduced liquidated damages into deal to ensure Davies is present long enough to drive value 14 Key changes in Model: “Base Case” Current Approach Slate • Davies’ “New” slate, but with 5% chargebacks on new shows • New shows including 2 modest format successes in the next 3-5 years • P10 on GSN, declining format profits, no syndication and no local language production Changes from Prior • Begins w/ Davies’ updated slate – Smaller shows (WSOPC, Chain Reaction, Grand Slam) no longer on-air – New shows added (Newlywed, Pyramid) – Format profits on new/library shows more modest compared with format profits on network shows in prior model – P10 moved to GSN from CBS, formats/ syndication fees and local language production reduced Incremental Investment • Reduced to $0.5MM - $1.9MM of investment in HC and development • Reduced investment from prior estimate of $3MM - $6MM due to: – Ability to leverage 2way for acquisition and distribution – Davies now has more HC in place Interactive • $1.9MM (CY07 actuals) growing at 5% • Increased from $1.5MM growing @ 5% based on actual performance Ancillary • Excluded • No Change Sports and Film • Excluded • No Change 15 Incremental SPT Investment New Case vs. Prior Incremental Investment (Prior) Incremental Investment (New) • Incremental investment was modeled prior to 2waytraffic acquisition • New incremental investment assumes ability to leverage 2waytraffic • $300K-$2.4M of headcount costs • Current ER and 2way working relationship is – 2-3 Acquisition headcount already bearing fruit with the development of – 1-3 Development headcount “Celebrity Mr. and Mrs. “ – 1-3 Administration headcount • Reduced headcount costs to $500K-$1.4M – An additional 5 Embassy Row headcount –2 Acquisition headcount –1 Development headcount converted to full-time employees • $2.0-$2.5M of self-funded pilot costs –1-2 Administration headcount • $0.0-$2.0M for development and acquisitions –1 Finance headcount –1 Director of Digital Development • $0 in self-funded pilot costs • $0-$500K for development and acquisitions Incremental Investment (New) Incremental Investment (Old) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 ($2.8) ($4.7) ($5.2) ($5.9) ($6.0) ($0.5) ($1.7) ($1.8) ($1.9) ($1.9) 16
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz