New York University Dr. Ian Giddy Asset-Backed Securities NIBC Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Asset-Backed Securities Made Simple 5 Pooling of assets Delinking of the credit risk of the collateral asset pool from the credit risk of the originator, usually through the transfer of the underlying assets from an originator to a finite-lived, standalone special purpose vehicle (SPV) Tranching of liabilities that are backed by the asset pool. These liabilities are called “asset-backed securities.” Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Asset-Backed Securities: Three Key Features 6 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy The Fundamental ABS Structure 7 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Source: bondmarkets.com, Research Quarterly Asset-Backed Securities: A Big Segment of the US Bond Market 8 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Source: bondmarkets.com, Research Quarterly Consumer Finance Dominates 9 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Typical Credit Card Securitization 10 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy A Global Phenomenon 11 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy The European Market Source: HSBC Market Update on absnet.net 12 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Mortgage Securitization: Example Source: www.emac-investors.com Source: europeansecuritisation.com 13 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Deals Source: www.absnet.net 15 Illiquid Originator assesses risk, subjective, periodic High operating cost Limited investors base Liquid/tradable Independent third party evaluation Global investors base and flexible structures Security Loans and other financial contracts Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Why Securitization? 16 Mortgage Securitization Non-Mortgage ABS Intangibles Infrastructure and Project Financing Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Choose a Structure to Suit the Type of Assets to be Securitized 17 Finance company whose growth is constrained Has pool of automobile receivables Has track record Plans to use this as an ongoing source of financing Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Case Study: The Company (Finance Company Limited) 19 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Form of transfer of asset Form of credit enhancement Decisions Form of Form of cash flow transformation of allocation cash flows Securitize the assets Form of special purpose vehicle Key Decisions 20 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy SALE OR ASSIGNMENT LOANS. LOANS. Servicing Agreement ISSUES ASSET-BACKED CERTIFICATES SPECIAL PURPOSE VEHICLE FORD (SPONSOR) Asset-Backed Securities: The Typical Structure 21 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy ISSUES ASSET-BACKED CERTIFICATES SPECIAL PURPOSE VEHICLE TOP QUALITY INVESTMENTS CREDIT SWAP AGREEMENT (Stay on balance sheet) REFERENCE POOL OF LOANS DB (Originator) Asset-Backed Securities: The Typical Structure 22 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Trustee Finance Co. Ltd (Seller) Hire-Purchase Agreement Finance Co.’s Customers Top Rating FCL 1997-A (Special Purpose Co.) Trust Agreement Sale of Assets Proceeds Servicing Agreement Rating Agency Guarantee Agreement Asset-Backed Securities Proceeds Credit Enhancement: Guarantee Method Financial Guarantee Provider (if required) Investors 28 “MBIA has approximately $2.5 billion of net par exposure to the manufactured housing sector, including $588 million of Greentree/Conseco transactions. Although losses within most of the Greentree/Conseco transactions have exceeded expectations, MBIA does not expect to incur any insured losses because the high original Triple-A and Double-A attachment points have provided a substantial amount of first loss protection in front of MBIA.” From an MBIA report: Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Insurer Protection 29 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Finance Co. Ltd (Seller) Sale of Assets Proceeds Guarantee Agreement FCL 1997-A (Special Purpose Co.) Credit Enhancement: An Alternative Approach Financial Guarantee Provider (if required) More Subordinated No Rating Subordinated 30 Lower Rating Senior Top Rating Rating Agency Mellon Mortgage (Servicer) Rating AAA AA A BBB BB B NR Asset-Backed Securities Proceeds Class A1,A2,A-x B C D E F Issuer balance Atherton FLF 1998-A (Special Purpose Co.) Servicing Agreement Sale of Assets Proceeds Servicing Advisor Atherton Capital (Seller) Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Loan Payments Loan Agreement Franchisees (Borrowers) Example: Franchise Loan Securitization 31 Subordination 28% 22% 16.5% 12% 8.5% 5.5% 0% Investors Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Other Forms of Credit Support? Source: moodys.com 32 The Transfer The Special-Purpose Vehicle Taxation Accounting Treatment Bank Regulatory Treatment Legal Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Asset-Backed Securities: Legal and Regulatory Aspects 33 Goal: Credit quality must be solely based on the quality of the assets and the credit enhancement backing the obligation, without any regard to the originator's own creditworthiness Otherwise, quality of the ABS issue would be dependent on the originator's credit, and the whole rationale of the asset-backed security would be undermined. Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Asset-Backed Securities: Legal Aspects LE 34 L A G LE The transfer must be a true sale, or its legal equivalent. If originator is only pledging the assets to secure a debt, this would be regarded as collaterized financing in which the originator would stay directly indebted to the investor. The assets must be owned by a special-purpose corporation, whose ownership of the sold assets is likely to survive bankruptcy of the seller. The special-purpose vehicle that owns the assets must be independent Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Three Conditions Enable the Separation of the Assets from the Originator 35 L A G Securitization of a DBS Land property DBS Land sells 6BR to SPV, Clover, for S$835m Clover issues S$878m of debt: 66% to public, 34% to DBS Land Senior Bonds: 10 year, 6%, plus “share of gain if building is sold” Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy 6 Battery Road Building S$835m Cash S$43m Sale DBS Land Junior Bonds S$328m Senior Bonds S$550m 37 Purchase X A T Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy If the SPV or the transfer is subject to normal corporate, withholding, or individual tax rates, investors or borrowers could in principle be subject to additional or double taxation Must avoid double taxation of Seller/servicer Trust or special-purpose corporation Investors Taxation Aspects 38 Seller Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy TAX? SALE TAX? Seller/Servicer TAX Trust TAX? Taxation: Before and After TAX? Investor X A T 40 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Example: A-BEST (Fiat Auto Loan Securitization) Source: Standard and Poors 41 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Example: Ford Credit Owner Trust 1999-A 42 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Ford Class D Class C Class B Class A-1 to A6 Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust Sale Ford Credit Auto Rec. Two LP Sale Ford Motor Credit Receivables Ford Structure Class D Class A-5 and A-6 43 Legal and Tax Structure Cash Flows Effective Cost Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Ford Deal 44 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy 45 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Ford Structure: Waterfall 46 The capital allocated to a well-balanced ABS portfolio should slowly decrease over time, whereas the same cannot be said of a similar corporate loan portfolio. Rating upgrades should be the norm in the ABS world, and downgrades the exception (currently, the situation is exactly the opposite). In the corporate world, we should rather expect downgrades to equal upgrades over long time intervals. An ABS portfolio should be traded much more actively than a corporate loan portfolio to take advantage of its inherent rating volatility. Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Implications of Waterfall Upgrades 47 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Receivables Ford Structure: Waterfall Class D Class C Class B Class A-1 to A6 48 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Receivables Class D Class C Class B Class A-1 to A6 Ford Structure: Default or Loss? 49 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Paydown: Soft Bullet Structure 50 Corporations, like Ford Banks Investors Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Cost-Benefit Analysis 51 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy SALE OR ASSIGNMENT ISSUES ASSET-BACKED CERTIFICATES SPECIAL PURPOSE VEHICLE ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE SPONSORING COMPANY Separation of Two Businesses: Origination and Lending 52 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Source: abs-cost-benefit.xls Receivables Ford Credit Auto Rec 2 LP Receivables Ford Credit FORD 1999-A Receivables Class D - NR 2% Class C - BBB 2% Class B - AA 3% A B C D 0.08% 0.03% 0.11% 3.941667 years Class A - AAA 93% 9.80% 5.30% 1.50% 1% 0.03% 1.97% 1,462,716 2,311,593 1,000,000 Trust 1998-B Size $ Underwriting fees $ Other costs $ Total upfront costs WAM Portfolio yield Funding cost Default rate Servicing fee Total upfront costs Excess servicing fee Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust 1855 93% 5.20% 69 3% 5.79% 39 2% 6.52% 39 2% 8.00% 2002 56 4.82% 0.20% 0.13% 0.16% 5.30% What protections do investors have in this ABS? What was the weightedaverage cost of funds to Chase of this securitization? (Assume the cost of equity at 100% capital requirement.) Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Chase – Credit Cards 59 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy 20 7% 15% 7.64% Cost Debt Equity Total 50 100 100 250 Capital: A BB+ B Assets Loan Portfolio AAA AA NR 47.5 From A 52.5 Cost ABS Debt Equity Total Capital: 32.8 From BB+From B Liabilities Securities Classes Credit Enhancement Calculation For banks: Banks – Capital Savings 5% 8% 16% 6.71% 9.376 132.8 0 117.2 250 60 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy For Investors, Spread Analysis 61 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Source: Moodys, “Default & Loss Rates of Structured Finance Securities: 1993-2004” Ratings Mix in USD ABS 64 The goal: Get default rates down to a level suited to the Rating, by using Credit Enhancement. Overcollateralization Senior/Sub or Reserve and liquidity accounts and lines Excess cash flow Third-party guarantees Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Credit Enhancement 69 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy SENIOR ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES “EQUITY” ABS (owned by seller) COLLATERAL POOL OVER-COLLATERAL SPECIAL-PURPOSE VEHICLE Over-Collateralization Method 70 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Receivables Class D Class C Class B Class A-1 to A6 Ford Credit Auto Owner Trust Senior-Subordination Method: The Logic? 71 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Example: Atrium 72 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Stress Testing 73 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy What Do Ratings Tell Us About Default Rates? 74 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Losses are a function of: Default rate (over the period of the investment) Recovery rate Loss rate is PD(1-R) Default Probabilities and Recovery Rates Source: Moodys 75 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Source: Moodys, “Default & Loss Rates of Structured Finance Securities: 1993-2004” ABS Loss Rates Are Low 76 Copyright ©2006 Ian H Giddy Amsterdam Institute of Finance Tel +31 20 5200160; Fax +31 20 5200161 [email protected] Web: aif.nl Prof. Ian Giddy NYU Stern School of Business Tel +1.646.8080.746; Fax 212.995.4233 [email protected] Web: giddy.org Contacts 78
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